Measuring the effectiveness of medical care delivery.
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Biomedical subjects
Publications and source records attributed to J G Jollis.
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BACKGROUND: An association between the dietary suppressants fenfluramine and dexfenfluramine and valvular heart disease was first described in patients from North Dakota and Minnesota in 1997. Limited data are available on the natural history of this valvulopathy after discontinuation of drug therapy. OBJECTIVE: To follow the progression of fenfluramine-associated valvular heart disease after discontinuation of therapy by using serial echocardiography. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Regional medical center in Fargo, North Dakota. PATIENTS: 50 patients with previous exposure to fenfluramines who had at least mild mitral regurgitation or aortic regurgitation after exposure to fenfluramines on serial echocardiography between December 1994 and February 1999 (96% were female, mean body mass index was 36.6 kg/m(2), and mean duration of drug exposure was 447 days). MEASUREMENTS: Serial echocardiograms were reviewed by two echocardiographers who were blinded to the order of image acquisition. The severity of valvular regurgitation and presence or absence of valve leaflet restriction were assessed. RESULTS: As described in the initial report, significant valvular disease on initial postexposure echocardiography was common in this cohort; 38 patients (76%) had at least mild mitral regurgitation and 43 patients (86%) had at least mild aortic regurgitation. On serial echocardiograms obtained an average of 356 days apart, mitral regurgitation improved by at least one grade in 17 patients (P = 0.001) and aortic regurgitation improved by at least one grade in 19 patients (P = 0.004). Nineteen and 22 patients, respectively, experienced no change in severity of mitral and aortic regurgitation. Two patients in each group experienced worsening of regurgitation by at least one grade. Results were similar for tricuspid (P = 0.002) and pulmonic (P = 0.012) regurgitation. CONCLUSION: On serial echocardiography, fenfluramine-associated valvular regurgitation improved or remained stable in most patients after therapy ended. Worsening of valvular regurgitation was uncommon. The potential for stabilization or regression of valvular regurgitation should be taken into account when counseling patients and considering the need for and timing of valve surgery.
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BACKGROUND: The combination of fenfluramine and phentermine was a widely used obesity treatment before the withdrawal of fenfluramine for an association with heart valve regurgitation. The prevalence and clinical significance of regurgitation among patients treated with these medications has yet to be fully established. METHODS AND RESULTS: To evaluate the potential association between the duration of treatment and the prevalence of heart valve abnormalities, we examined 1163 patients who had taken fenfluramine-phentermine and 672 control patients who had not taken the drug combination within 5 years. Mild or greater aortic regurgitation was present in 8.8% of treated patients and 3.6% of control patients (P<0.001). Moderate or greater mitral regurgitation was present in 2.6% of treated patients and 1.5% of control patients (P=0.18). The adjusted odds ratio compared with controls of aortic regurgitation of mild or greater severity increased according to duration of treatment: 90 to 180 days, 1.5 (P=0.23); 181 to 360 days, 2.4 (P=0.002); 361 to 720 days, 4.6 (P<0.001); >720 days, 6.2 (P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: This is the largest study to demonstrate a relation between the length of treatment with fenfluramine-phentermine and the prevalence of valvular abnormalities. These findings suggest that valvular abnormalities in patients who took fenfluramine-phentermine primarily involve those who had taken these medications for >6 months and predominantly results in mild aortic regurgitation. The valve regurgitation identified by this study was not accompanied by significant differences in cardiovascular symptoms nor physical findings other than a higher prevalence of heart murmurs.
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OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the relationship between how much a new cardiovascular therapy improves clinical outcomes over current therapies and how much more it can cost while still remaining 'economically attractive'. DESIGN: We developed a decision model to predict the 6-month cumulative cost savings and increased life expectancy that could be associated with new therapies for patients with non-ST elevation acute coronary syndrome. SETTING: This modelling study used outcome and cost data from US sources. METHODS: Event probabilities at 30 days and 6 months were estimated from US patients with non-ST elevation in the Global Use of Strategies to Open Occluded Coronary Arteries in Acute Coronary Syndromes (GUSTO) IIb trial; cost estimates were derived from patients enrolled in the Economics and Quality of Life substudy of this trial. Patient life expectancy estimates were calculated using survival estimates for similar patients treated at Duke University Medical Center. RESULTS: We found that new therapies costing up to $US2000 per episode that reduce 6-month mortality by 0.5%, death and nonfatal myocardial infarction (MI) by 1%, or death, nonfatal MI and revascularisation by 3%, may be cost effective by current standards. When new therapies costing up to $US1000 per episode reduce the absolute rate of death, nonfatal MI and revascularisation at 6 months by 6.5% or more, they may be cost saving. CONCLUSION: Our analysis suggests that economic constraints should not inhibit the development of effective new therapies.
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BACKGROUND: Although calcium channel blockers are a useful therapy in relieving angina, lowering blood pressure, and slowing conduction of atrial fibrillation, growing evidence has cast doubt on their safety in patients with coronary disease. OBJECTIVE: To examine the association between calcium channel blocker therapy at hospital discharge and mortality in a population-based sample of elderly patients hospitalized with acute myocardial infarction. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study using data from medical charts and administrative files. SETTING: All acute care hospitals in 46 states. PATIENTS: All Medicare patients with a principal diagnosis of acute myocardial infarction consecutively discharged from the hospital alive during 8-month periods between 1994 and 1995 (N = 141,041). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Mortality at 30 days and 1 year. RESULTS: Calcium channel blockers were widely prescribed at hospital discharge to elderly patients with myocardial infarction between 1994 and 1995 (n = 51,921), the most commonly prescribed being diltiazem (n = 21,175), nifedipine (n = 12,670), amlodipine (n = 11,683), and verapamil (n = 3639). After adjusting for illness severity and concomitant medication use, patients who were prescribed calcium channel blockers at hospital discharge did not have increased risk for 30-day or 1-year mortality, with the exception of the few (n = 116) treated with bepridil. Bepridil differs from other calcium channel blockers because of its tendency to prolong repolarization, and its association with proarrhythmic effects in elderly patients. CONCLUSION: We did not identify a mortality risk in a large consecutive sample of elderly patients with myocardial infarction, which supports the need for additional prospective trials examining calcium channel blocker therapy for ischemic heart disease.
BACKGROUND: The appropriate duration of therapy for catheter-associated Staphylococcus aureus bacteremia is controversial. Conventional practice dictates that all patients receive prolonged courses of intravenous antibiotics. Some clinicians recommend abbreviated therapeutic courses, but an alternate approach involves prospectively identifying patients for whom abbreviated therapy is appropriate. OBJECTIVE: To determine the cost-effectiveness of transesophageal echocardiography (TEE) in establishing duration of therapy for catheter-associated S. aureus bacteremia. DESIGN: Cost-effectiveness analysis. DATA SOURCES: MEDLINE search of literature; clinical data from patients with S. aureus bacteremia (n = 196) and patients with endocarditis (n = 60); and costs obtained from the study institution, regional home health agency, and national estimates of professional and technical fees. TARGET POPULATION: Patients with catheter-associated S. aureus bacteremia on native heart valves without intravenous drug use or clinically apparent metastatic infection, immunosuppression, or indwelling prosthetic devices. TIME HORIZON: Patient lifetime. PERSPECTIVE: Societal. INTERVENTIONS: Antibiotic treatment based on TEE results compared with 2- or 4-week empirical therapy. OUTCOME MEASURES: Quality-adjusted life expectancy, costs, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios. RESULTS OF BASE-CASE ANALYSIS: Compared with empirical short-course therapy, the TEE strategy cost $4938 per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained. The effectiveness of the TEE strategy and the effectiveness of the long-course strategy were sufficiently similar that the additional cost of empirical long-course therapy ($1,667,971 per QALY) was higher than that which society usually considers cost-effective. RESULTS OF SENSITIVITY ANALYSES: In a four-way sensitivity analysis (endocarditis prevalence, TEE cost, short-course relapse rate, and TEE specificity), compared with empirical short-course therapy, the TEE strategy results ranged from cost savings to $155,624 per QALY. CONCLUSION: Within the limitations of existing empirical data, this study suggests that for patients with clinically uncomplicated catheter-associated S. aureus bacteremia, the use of TEE to determine therapy duration is a cost-effective alternative to 2- or 4-week empirical therapy.
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Old age as our society is experiencing it is a new phenomenon. Never before in history have societies of developed countries enjoyed such longevity of life. In the next several decades the United States will face an unparalleled increase in the absolute number of elderly persons in our population. How will health care professionals, policy-makers, and society in general face the mammoth task of providing quality cardiovascular care for the elderly in an environment of limited financial resources? This article discusses the demographic, fiscal, and health policy implications of our aging society with particular emphasis on existing and anticipated impediments to the delivery of cardiovascular care to this rapidly expanding segment of our population.
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OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to examine the effects of provider profiling on bypass surgery access and outcomes in elderly patients in New York. BACKGROUND: Since 1989, New York (NY) has compiled provider-specific bypass surgery mortality reports. While some have proposed that "provider profiling" has led to lower surgical mortality rates, critics have suggested that such programs lower in-state procedural access (increasing out-of-state transfers) without improving patient outcomes. METHODS: Using national Medicare data, we examined trends in the percentages of NY residents aged 65 years or older receiving out-of-state bypass surgery between 1987 and 1992 (before and after program initiation). We also examined in-state procedure use among elderly myocardial infarction patients during this period. Finally, we compared trends in surgical outcomes in NY Medicare patients with those for the rest of the nation. RESULTS: Between 1987 and 1992, the percentage of NY residents receiving bypass out-of-state actually declined (from 12.5% to 11.3%, p < 0.01 for trend). An elderly patient's likelihood for bypass following myocardial infarction in NY increased significantly since the program's initiation. Between 1987 and 1992, unadjusted 30-day mortality rates following bypass declined by 33% in NY Medicare patients compared with a 19% decline nationwide (p < 0.001). As a result of this improvement, NY had the lowest risk-adjusted bypass mortality rate of any state in 1992. CONCLUSIONS: We found no evidence that NY's provider profiling limited procedure access in NY's elderly or increased out-of-state transfers. Despite an increasing preoperative risk profile, procedural outcomes in NY improved significantly faster than the national average.
Patients with known coronary disease and low-density lipoprotein >130 mg/dl who are followed by cardiologists after myocardial infarction are more than twice as likely to receive a cholesterol-lowering agent than patients followed by general internists.
BACKGROUND: With the expectation that physicians who perform larger numbers of coronary angioplasty procedures will have better outcomes, the American College of Cardiology/ American Heart Association guidelines recommend minimum physician volumes of 75 procedures per year. However, there is little empirical data to support this recommendation. METHODS AND RESULTS: We examined in-hospital bypass surgery and death after angioplasty according to 1992 physician and hospital Medicare procedure volume. In 1992, 6115 physicians performed angioplasty on 97,478 Medicare patients at 984 hospitals. The median numbers of procedures performed per physician and per hospital were 13 (interquartile range, 5 to 25) and 98 (interquartile range, 40 to 181), respectively. With the assumption that Medicare patients composed one half to one third of all patients undergoing angioplasty, these median values are consistent with an overall physician volume of 26 to 39 cases per year and an overall hospital volume of 196 to 294 cases per year. After adjusting for age, sex, race, acute myocardial infarction, and comorbidity, low-volume physicians were associated with higher rates of bypass surgery (P < .001) and low-volume hospitals were associated with higher rates of bypass surgery and death (P < .001). Improving outcomes were seen up to threshold values of 75 Medicare cases per physician and 200 Medicare cases per hospital. CONCLUSIONS: More than 50% of physicians and 25% of hospitals performing coronary angioplasty in 1992 were unlikely to have met the minimum volume guidelines first published in 1988, and these patients had worse outcomes. While more recent data are required to determine whether the same relationships persist after the introduction of newer technologies, this study suggests that adherence to minimum volume standards by physicians and hospitals will lead to better outcomes for elderly patients undergoing coronary angioplasty.
OBJECTIVES: This study examined the impact of early hospital discharge on short-term clinical outcomes of elderly patients treated with coronary artery bypass graft surgery (CABG) in the United States in 1992. BACKGROUND: Protocols that encourage earlier discharge of patients who have had CABG have been implemented across the country. Although delivery of efficient care benefits both patients and providers, premature discharge can adversely affect clinical outcomes, resulting in increased hospital readmissions and higher long-term costs. METHODS: We examined the prevalence of early discharge (postoperative length of stay < or = 5 days) among 83,347 non-health maintenance organization (HMO) Medicare patients who underwent CABG in the United States in 1992. Using logistic regression models, we identified patient characteristics associated with early discharge and obtained risk-adjusted rates of death and readmission or death for postoperative lengths of stay between 4 and 14 days. RESULTS: In 1992, 6% of Medicare patients undergoing CABG were discharged within 5 days of the operation. The prevalence of early discharge varied considerably among states, ranging from 1% to 21%. Patients discharged early tended to be younger and male and have fewer comorbid illnesses. Risk-adjusted rates of death and death or cardiovascular readmission were lowest among patients discharged early. CONCLUSIONS: As of 1992, early discharge of elderly patients treated with CABG in non-HMO settings was not associated with higher 60-day rates of death or readmission. This suggests that physicians were able to identify low risk candidates for early discharge. Variation across the nation in early discharge rates, along with the percentage of patients without major risk factors for adverse outcomes, suggests that higher rates of early discharge might be safely achieved.