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Biomedical subjects

J M Colford

Publications and source records attributed to J M Colford.

11 recordsLinked to original sources
PubMed1998

Oral contraceptives and the risk of subarachnoid hemorrhage: a meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study is to estimate the risk of subarachnoid hemorrhage produced by oral contraceptive use. METHODS: Studies published since 1960 were identified using MEDLINE, Cumulated Index Medicus, Dissertation Abstracts On-line, and bibliographies of pertinent articles. Two independent reviewers screened published cohort and case-control studies that evaluated the risk of subarachnoid hemorrhage associated with oral contraceptives. Eleven of 21 pertinent studies met predefined quality criteria for inclusion in the meta-analysis. Relative risk (RR) estimations evaluating subarachnoid hemorrhage risk in oral contraceptive users compared with nonusers were extracted from each study by two independent reviewers. Study heterogeneity was assessed by design type, outcome measure (mortality versus incidence), exposure measure (current versus ever use), prevailing estrogen dose used, and control for smoking and hypertension. RESULTS: The overall summary RR of subarachnoid hemorrhage due to oral contraceptive use was 1.42 (95% CI, 1.12 to 1.80; p = 0.004). When the two study results failing to control for smoking were excluded from the analysis, a slightly greater effect was seen, with an RR of 1.55 (95% CI, 1.26 to 1.91; p < 0.0001). In the six studies controlling for smoking and hypertension the RR was 1.49 (95% CI, 1.20 to 1.85; p = 0.0003). High-estrogen oral contraceptives appeared to impart a greater risk than low-dose preparations in studies controlling for smoking, but the difference was not significant (high-dose RR, 1.94; 95% CI, 1.06 to 3.56; low-dose RR, 1.51; 95% CI, 1.18 to 1.92). CONCLUSIONS: This meta-analysis of observational studies suggests that oral contraceptive use produces a small increase in the risk of subarachnoid hemorrhage.

Case-Control Studies↗
PubMed1998

An analysis of the Milwaukee cryptosporidiosis outbreak based on a dynamic model of the infection process.

We combined information on the temporal pattern of disease incidence for the 1993 cryptosporidiosis outbreak in Milwaukee with information on oocyst levels to obtain insight into the epidemic process. We constructed a dynamic process model of the epidemic with continuous population compartments using reasonable ranges for the possible distribution of the model parameters. We then explored which combinations of parameters were consistent with the observations. A poor fit of the March 1-22 portion of the time series suggested that a smaller outbreak occurred before the March 23 treatment failure, beginning sometime on or before March 1. This finding suggests that had surveillance systems detected the earlier outbreak, up to 85% of the cases might have been prevented. The same conclusion was obtained independent of the model by transforming the incidence time series data of Mac Kenzie et al. This transformation is based on a background monthly incidence rate for watery diarrhea in the Milwaukee area of 0.5%. Further analysis using the incidence data from the onset of the major outbreak, March 23, through the end of April, resulted in three inferred properties of the infection process: (1) the mean incubation period was likely to have been between 3 and 7 days; (2) there was a necessary concurrent increase in Cryptospordium oocyst influent concentration and a decrease in treatment efficiency of the water; and (3) the variability of the dose-response function in the model did not appreciably affect the simulated outbreaks.

Animals↗
PubMed1997

Temporal trends and factors associated with survival after Pneumocystis carinii pneumonia in California, 1983-1992.

The authors investigated quarterly trends in survival after the diagnosis of Pneumocystis carinii pneumonia for 19,607 patients in California in the decade from January 1, 1983, through December 31, 1992. Subjects included all cases for whom P. carinii pneumonia was the initial (and only) acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS)-defining diagnosis as reported to the California human immunodeficiency virus/AIDS surveillance registry. There was a period of rapidly improving survival from approximately June 1986 until April 1988, coincident with the widespread introduction of antiretroviral therapy (zidovudine) and the institution of P. carinii pneumonia prophylaxis (with cotrimoxazole and pentamidine). There was no evidence, however, of meaningful improvements in survival for these patients after that period. The association of several covariates (risk transmission group, gender, race/ethnicity, certainty of P. carinii pneumonia diagnosis, age, region of residence, availability of CD4 count, and level of CD4 count) were also studied both by proportional hazards regression and by recursive partitioning (i.e., tree-based) survival analysis. The availability of a CD4 count (regardless of its level) was the single factor most strongly associated with survival (median survival 36 months among those with and 14 months among those without reported CD4 counts, p < 0.05). Data from this large, population-based surveillance registry of AIDS in California suggest that, despite earlier improvements in survival after the diagnosis of P. carinii pneumonia, the long-term survival of these patients remains poor (39% alive 2 years after diagnosis) and that no improvement in survival has occurred since 1988.

AIDS-Related Opportunistic Infections↗
PubMed1996

Cryptosporidiosis among patients infected with human immunodeficiency virus. Factors related to symptomatic infection and survival.

The authors reviewed the medical records of 194 human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-positive patients newly diagnosed with cryptosporidiosis and all 3,564 patients with newly diagnosed acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) at San Francisco General Hospital for the period 1986-1992. The study was designed to address three questions: 1) How do AIDS patients who present with cryptosporidiosis differ from other patients with AIDS? 2) What factors are associated with survival among AIDS patients with newly diagnosed cryptosporidiosis? 3) Does a diagnosis of cryptosporidiosis impact survival after AIDS diagnosis? A total of 194 cases of cryptosporidiosis among HIV-infected patients were identified during the study period. Of the 194 patients, 109 (56%) had no prior diagnosis of AIDS. These 109 patients represented 3.1% of the 3,564 newly diagnosed cases of AIDS in the same period. Among the 134 patients with CD4 T-lymphocyte counts performed within 3 months of Cryptosporidium diagnosis, 34 (25%) had CD4 counts greater than 209 cells/ml. In a multivariate conditional logistic regression model, the incidence of Cryptosporidium was related to ethnicity (for blacks vs. whites, matched odds ratio (OR) = 0.15, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.03-0.73), CD4 count (for a CD4 count of < or = 53 cells/ml vs. > 53 cells/ml, matched OR = 12.60, 95% CI 4.01-39.61), and age (for a 10-year increase, matched OR = 0.51, 95% CI 0.27-0.98). Two factors measured at the time of Cryptosporidium diagnosis were identified as being independently associated with survival (p < 0.001) in the proportional hazards model: CD4 count < or = 53 cells/ml versus > 53 cells/ml (relative hazard = 6.18, 95% CI 2.99-12.76) and hematocrit < or 37% versus > 37% (relative hazard = 2.27, 95% CI 1.22-4.22). The median durations of survival in the four subgroups of Cryptosporidium-infected patients defined by these two variables differed significantly from each other (range, 204-1,119 days). Cryptosporidiosis as an initial AIDS-defining diagnosis was associated with an elevated relative hazard of death in comparison with other AIDS-defining diagnoses (relative hazard = 2.01, 95% CI 1.38-2.93). These data identify the groups of HIV-infected individuals at risk for presentation with symptomatic Cryptosporidium infection; the distinct survival patterns among subgroups of those patients already infected with this parasite; and the survival of AIDS patients with newly diagnosed cryptosporidiosis relative to patients with other AIDS-defining conditions. Such information is necessary for the design of prospective studies, the development of prophylactic strategies, the evaluation of candidate therapies, and the provision of prognostic information to patients.

AIDS-Related Opportunistic Infections↗
PubMed1995

Effect of older age on survival in human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) disease.

To evaluate the impact of older age (> 50 years old) on survival in late-stage human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) disease, the authors analyzed 846 HIV-infected patients at the San Francisco Veterans Affairs Medical Center from 1987 to 1992. The median age was 42 years with 171 (20.2%) subjects aged 50 or more years. Survival was measured from the date of initial lymphocyte testing (median CD4 count, 223 cells/mm3) until death or censoring. Compared with those aged less than 40 years, and after multivariate proportional hazards adjustment for other significant determinants of survival (CD4 percentage, CD8 count, hematocrit, and prior acquired immunodeficiency syndrome diagnosis), there was no difference in survival for those aged 40-49 years, but there was a trend toward decreased survival in those aged 50-59 years (relative hazard = 1.32, 95% confidence interval 0.90-1.94) and in those aged 60 or more years (relative hazard = 1.56, 95% confidence interval 0.99-2.46). The impact of older age on mortality in HIV disease is, however, less than the impact of age on overall mortality in the United States. Accordingly, while older HIV-infected patients do have a somewhat poorer survival, this risk need not be too highly emphasized in individual patients; older patients deserve aggressive management.

Adult↗
PubMed1995

Group B streptococcal bacteremia in adults. Five years' experience and a review of the literature.

The importance of group B streptococcus (GBS) as a cause of serious infectious disease among adults is not widely appreciated. In adults, the modes of acquisition and transmission are unknown. Since most hospital-based studies of GBS bacteremia in adults consist of small numbers of patients, the clinical spectrum of disease is not well described. Our retrospective study reviews the clinical features, antimicrobial therapy, and risk factors for mortality of 32 adult patients (18 women and 14 men) with GBS bacteremia and compares the proportion of isolates from the different beta-hemolytic streptococci sero-groups. We found that 39% of isolates from adult blood cultures were group B, a frequency nearly identical to that of group A streptococcal bacteremia. Most (66%) adult patients were more than 50 years old. Primary bacteremia was the most frequent clinical diagnosis, occurring in 7 (22%) of 32 patients. Nonhematologic cancer was the most frequently associated condition (25%). Nineteen percent of the patients had diabetes mellitus. The overall mortality rate was 31% and was significantly associated with increasing age. Our results are compared to those obtained by a review of all 5 previous comparable studies and demonstrate that GBS bacteremia is a serious infection in adults with increased mortality related to advancing age.

Adolescent↗
PubMed1994

Cat scratch disease.

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Case-Control Studies↗
PubMed1994

Factors associated with survival in human immunodeficiency virus-infected patients with very low CD4 counts.

The authors examined the survival experience of 289 human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected men to identify factors independently associated with survival in patients with very low CD4 counts (< or = 100/mm3). All subjects were HIV-infected men cared for at the San Francisco Veterans' Affairs Medical Center between January 1988 and November 1991. Survival was measured from the date on which a patient was first known to have a CD4 count < or = 100/mm3 until death or censoring. Factors potentially associated with survival were examined initially using the product limit (Kaplan-Meier) method; a multivariate model of survival was constructed using a proportional hazards (Cox) regression. Four variables were identified as independently associated with survival (p < 0.05) in the Cox proportional hazards model: CD4 count, hematocrit, azidothymidine use, and clinical stage (prior history of acquired immunodeficiency syndrome vs. no prior history). All 16 possible combinations of these four (dichotomized) variables were examined; eight different patterns of survival were detected. Identification of survival patterns that can be described by data obtained as part of routine clinical care has implications for patient care, the design of clinical trials, the study of mechanisms of progression of HIV-related immunosuppression, and planning of health care resource needs for populations of patients with very low CD4 counts.

Adult↗