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J W Ellis

Publications and source records attributed to J W Ellis.

18 recordsLinked to original sources
PubMed1989

Bayesian derived predictions for twice daily theophylline under outpatient conditions and an assessment of optimal sampling times.

1. The accuracy of a computerised method of pharmacokinetic interpretation of a single serum theophylline concentration, employing the statistical technique of Bayesian analysis, has been evaluated for an oral slow release form of theophylline using twice daily dosing. 2. Twenty-four hour steady state serum theophylline concentration-time profiles of one Uniphyllin Continus 400 mg tablet (Napp Laboratories) every 12 h were measured in 15 patients. These profiles demonstrated a diurnal variation of theophylline absorption which was faster during the day. 3. Revised predictions of the profiles were generated by Bayesian analysis using a single serum theophylline concentration taken during a previous outpatient appointment. Comparing the predicted and measured profiles, the accuracy of the Bayesian method is considered more than adequate for clinical purposes. 4. The predictions produced by the revised estimates were statistically less biased and more precise than those derived by a theophylline algorithm using population data. 5. The mean prediction errors of the revised estimates of the day and night-peak drug concentrations were -0.55 mg l-1 and -0.21 mg l-1 whilst those of the evening and morning troughs were 1.17 mg l-1 and 0.41 mg l-1, respectively. 6. Analysis of the predictive and relative performance of the samples drawn during the profile revealed that the sample taken prior to a morning dose produced the most accurate predictions. 7. There was no statistical difference in the relative predictive performance of samples drawn up to 4 h before or 2 h after the morning dose. It is, therefore, recommended that all serum theophylline concentrations to be used in Bayesian analysis, should be drawn within this period.

Administration, Oral↗
PubMed1988

The accuracy and stability of Bayesian theophylline predictions.

Pharmacokinetic parameters for theophylline were determined in 33 patients (3 women), mean age 61.2 years and weight 74.6 kg using the following three methods: (a) standard one-compartmental model calculations, assuming 100% bioavailability, after a single dose of theophylline syrup (mean dose 413 mg); (b) drug nomogram; and (c) Bayesian analysis. Patients entered a randomised study of three two-monthly dosage regimens using low, medium, and high theophylline twice daily doses. These doses produced mean (+/- SE) steady-state serum theophylline concentrations of 6.3 (+/- 0.4), 12.1 (+/- 0.3) and 18.3 (+/- 0.5) mg/L, respectively. A fourth period of placebo (2-month duration) was also included. At the end of each treatment period the measured serum theophylline concentration of each patient was compared with those predicted by each of the above three methods. The revised estimates derived from Bayesian analysis produced the least biased [mean prediction error (ME)] and most precise (mean squared prediction error) predictions for all three dosage periods. Statistical analysis of relative performance demonstrated that the difference in precision between the revised estimates and those of the other two methods was significant (p less than 0.05) with the magnitude of the difference increasing with dose. The revised estimates were also found to be less biased (p less than 0.05) than those of the nomogram. The ME (+/- SE) of the revised estimates for the low, medium, and high dosage periods was 0.34 (+/- 0.30), -0.02 (+/- 0.22) and -0.48 (+/- 0.31) mg/L, respectively.

Bayes Theorem↗
PubMed1987

Multiphasic oral contraceptives. Efficacy and metabolic impact.

The new multiphasic oral contraceptives represent an attempt to maximize contraceptive efficacy while minimizing physical and metabolic side effects. By varying the dose of progestin during the cycle, the total steroid dose per month has been reduced as compared to most fixed-dose preparations. Lowering the progestin dose appears to reduce the incidence of certain cardiovascular complications. Different oral contraceptive formulations may selectively alter lipid and carbohydrate metabolism. Norethindrone-containing multiphasics appear to have the greatest efficacy and the smallest metabolic impact.

Adolescent↗
PubMed1979

Cerebral accident subsequent to G-force loading: a case report.

A case review of a CVA in a 57-year-old general officer due to positive G-force loading is presented, which is apparently the first such documented episode recorded in the literature. This case reflects the concern about high G-force loading seen in newer high-performance aircraft and has significance in the assignment of older individuals to high G-force environments.

Aerospace Medicine↗
PubMed1976

Law.

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Community Mental Health Services↗
PubMed1975

Law.

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Civil Rights↗
PubMed1975

Law.

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Commitment of Persons with Psychiatric Disorders↗
PubMed1972

Synthetic foods.

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Developing Countries↗