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J W Vaupel

Publications and source records attributed to J W Vaupel.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

The influences on human longevity by HUMTHO1.STR polymorphism (Tyrosine Hydroxylase gene). A relative risk approach.

A new method based on the recently developed relative risk approach is introduced, and applied to data from Italian centenarian study (965 subjects aged from 13 to 109 years old) for investigating influences on longevity by Tyrosine Hydroxylase (TH) gene variability. The strategic parameterization enables the model to disentangle the various ways by which HUMTHO1.STR alleles (alleles 6, 7, 8, 9, 10*, 10, as defined according to the number of repeats) may contribute in reducing or increasing the hazard of death with different patterns of influences. Among all the alleles, we have found that allele 10* (10 imperfect repeats) shows a remarkable dominant and beneficial effect that reduces the log hazard of death in an additive manner. The results confirm that HUMTHO1.STR polymorphism is involved in the modulation of human longevity.

Adolescent↗

Frequency and heritability of depression symptomatology in the second half of life: evidence from Danish twins over 45.

BACKGROUND: Self-reported depressive symptoms among the elderly have generated considerable interest because they are readily available measures of overall well-being in a population often thought to be at special risk for mental disorder. METHOD: The heritability of depression symptoms was investigated in a sample of 2169 pairs of Danish twins (1033 MZ and 1136 same sex DZ) ranging in age from 45 to over 95. Twins completed an interview assessment that identified symptoms of depression, which were scored on Affective, Somatic and Total scales. RESULTS: Overall heritability estimates (a2) for the Affective (a2 = 0.27, (95% CI 0.22-0.32)). Somatic (a2 = 0.26, (0.21-0.32)), and Total (a2 = 0.29, (0.22-0.34)) scales were all moderate, statistically significant and similar to results from other studies. To assess possible variations in heritability across the wide age span, the sample was stratified into age groups in increments of 10 years. The magnitude of heritable influence did not vary significantly with age or sex. Somatic scale heritability tended to be greater for females than for males, though this difference was not statistically significant. The genetic correlation between the Affective and Somatic scales was 0.71, suggesting substantial common genetic origins. CONCLUSIONS: Though the frequency of self-reported depressive symptoms increased with age in this sample, their heritability did not.

Aged↗

Recent advances in human gene-longevity association studies.

This paper reviews the recent literature on genes and longevity. The influence of genes on human life span has been confirmed in studies of life span correlation between related individuals based on family and twin data. Results from major twin studies indicate that approximately 25% of the variation in life span is genetically determined. Taking advantage of recent developments in molecular biology, researchers are now searching for candidate genes that might have an influence on life span. The data on unrelated individuals emerging from an ever-increasing number of centenarian studies makes this possible. This paper summarizes the rich literature dealing with the various aspects of the influence of genes on individual survival. Common phenomena affecting the development of disease and longevity are discussed. The major methodological difficulty one is confronted with when studying the epidemiology of longevity involves the complexity of the phenomenon, which arises from the polygenic nature of life span and historical mortality change. We discuss this issue and suggest new methodological approaches.

Humans↗

Reproductive potential predicts longevity of female Mediterranean fruitflies.

Reproduction exacts a price in terms of decreased survival. Our analysis of the interplay between age patterns of fecundity and mortality for individual female medflies (Ceratitis capitata) revealed that individual mortality is associated with the time-dynamics of the egg-laying trajectory. In a sample of 531 medflies, we found that each individual has a characteristic rate of decline in egg laying with age. This defines an individual's rate of reproductive exhaustion. This rate was shown to predict subsequent mortality The larger the remaining reproductive potential, the lower the subsequent mortality An increased mortality risk was seen in flies for which egg production declined rapidly early on, irrespective of the level of egg production. Thus, reproductive potential and lifetime are coupled in such a way that those flies which are able to profit most from an extended life span in terms of increased egg output are indeed likely to live longer.

Animals↗

Lifespan depends on month of birth.

Month of birth influences adult life expectancy at ages 50+. Why? In two countries of the Northern Hemisphere-Austria and Denmark-people born in autumn (October-December) live longer than those born in spring (April-June). Data for Australia show that, in the Southern Hemisphere, the pattern is shifted by half a year. The lifespan pattern of British immigrants to Australia is similar to that of Austrians and Danes and significantly different from that of Australians. These findings are based on population data with more than a million observations and little or no selectivity. The differences in lifespan are independent of the seasonal distribution of deaths and the social differences in the seasonal distribution of births. In the Northern Hemisphere, the excess mortality in the first year of life of infants born in spring does not support the explanation of selective infant survival. Instead, remaining life expectancy at age 50 appears to depend on factors that arise in utero or early in infancy and that increase susceptibility to diseases later in life. This result is consistent with the finding that, at the turn of the last century, infants born in autumn had higher birth weights than those born in other seasons. Furthermore, differences in adult lifespan by month of birth decrease over time and are significantly smaller in more recent cohorts, which benefited from substantial improvements in maternal and infant health.

Adult↗

Supercentenarians: slower ageing individuals or senile elderly?

Although the increase in the number of centenarians is well documented today, at least in some countries, this is still not the case for people having reached the age of 110 years or more: the supercentenarians. The supercentenarians emerged in the mid-1960s. Their numbers have regularly increased since the mid-1970s. The current prevalence of known supercentenarians in countries involved in the database is approximately five to six times more than in the mid-1970s. In roughly 20 years the maximum age observed has increased by about 10 years from 112 to 122 years. The annual probability of death at age 110 is as low as 0.52 with the validated data (n=106) or with the exhaustive and validated data (n=73). The probabilities of death stagnate between 110 and 115 years, and all the computed probabilities fall below the ceiling of 0.6. Our results are compatible with the last extrapolations of mortality trajectories using a logistic or a quadratic model.

Aged↗

Variations of cardiovascular disease associated genes exhibit sex-dependent influence on human longevity.

This article investigates the relationship between the polymorphic variations in genes associated with cardiovascular disease and longevity in the Danish population. A new procedure that combines both demographic and the individual genetic information in determining the relative risks of the observed genetic variations is applied. The sex-dependent influences can be found by introducing sex-specific population survival and incorporating the risk of gene-sex interaction. Three genetic polymorphisms, angiotensinogen M/T235, blood coagulation factor VII (FVII) R/Q353 and FVII-323ins10, manifest significant influences on survival in males, with reduced hazards of death for carriers of the angiotensinogen M235 allele, the F VII Q353 allele, and the FVII-323P10 allele. The results show that some of these genotypes associated with lower risk of CVD could also reduce the carrier's death rate and contribute to longevity. However, the presence of sex-dependent effects and the fact that major CVD-associated genes failed to impose detrimental influence on longevity lead us to concur that the aging process is highly complicated.

Alleles↗

Measuring the genetic influence in modulating the human life span: gene-environment interaction and the sex-specific genetic effect.

New approaches are needed to explore the different ways in which genes affect the human life span. One needs to assess the genetic effects themselves, as well as gene-environment interactions and sex dependency. In this paper, we present a new model that combines both genotypic and demographic information in the estimation of the genetic influence on life spans. Based on Cox's proportional hazard assumption, the model measures the risks for each gene as well as for gene-environment and gene-sex interactions, while controlling for confounding factors. A two-step MLE is introduced to obtain a non-parametric form of the baseline hazard function. The model is applied to genotypic data from Italian centenarian studies to estimate relative risks of candidate genes, risks due to interactions and initial frequencies of different genes in the population. Results from models that either do or do not take into consideration individual heterogeneity are compared. It is shown that ignoring the existence of heterogeneity can lead to a systematic underestimation of genetic effects and effects due to interactions.

Alleles↗

A logistic regression model for measuring gene-longevity associations.

The logistic regression model is a popular model for data analysis in epidemiological research. In this paper, we use this model to analyze genetic data collected from gene-longevity association studies. This new approach models the probability of observing one genotype as a function of the age of investigated individuals. Applying the model to genotype data on the TH and 3'ApoB-VNTR loci collected from an Italian centenarian study, we show how it can be used to model the different ways that genes affect survival, including sex- and age-specific influences. We highlight the advantages of this application over other available models. The application of the model to empirical data indicates that it is an efficient and easily applicable approach for determining the influences of genes on human longevity.

Adolescent↗

Functional status and self-rated health in 2,262 nonagenarians: the Danish 1905 Cohort Survey.

OBJECTIVES: To describe the functional capacity and self-rated health of a large cohort of nonagenarians. DESIGN: A cross-sectional survey of all Danes born in 1905 (92-93 years of age), carried out August to October 1998. SETTING: Participants' homes. PARTICIPANTS: Two thousand two hundred and sixty-two nonagenarians, corresponding to a participation rate of 63% (of these, 20% participated by proxy). MEASUREMENTS: Activities of daily living (ADLs) and self-rated health were assessed by interview. Five items from Katz's ADLs (bathing, dressing, transfer, toileting, and eating) were used to construct a three-level five-item ADL scale (not disabled (no disabilities), moderately disabled (1-2 disabilities), severely disabled (3-5 disabilities)). From responses to a more extensive list of questions on ADLs (26 items), we identified scales of strength and agility by means of factor analysis. Furthermore, a 26-item ADL scale was made. Physical performance tests (chair stand, timed walk, lifting a 2.7 kg box, maximum grip-strength, and flexibility tests) were performed among nonproxy responders. RESULTS: According to the five-item ADL scale, 50% of the men and 41% of the women were categorized as not disabled, while 19% and 22%, respectively, were categorized as severely disabled. The five-item ADL scale correlated highly with the 26-item ADL scale (r = 0.83). The ADL scales showed moderate-to-good correlation with each other (r = 0.74-0.83), and with the physical performance tests (r = 0.31-0.58). Only 3.7% of the women and 6.3% of the men walked (normal pace) with a speed of at least 1 meter per second, which is the minimum walking speed required to cross signaled intersections in Denmark. A total of 56% considered their health to be excellent or good. Of the participants, 74% were always or almost always satisfied with their lives, even though only 45% reported that they "felt well enough to do what they wanted." The analyses showed that no single ADL item seemed to be of particular importance for how the participants rated their health. CONCLUSION: The Danish 1905 cohort survey is the largest and the only nationwide survey of a whole birth-cohort of nonagenarians. A total of 2,262 fairly nonselected nonagenarians participated. The level of both self-reported disability and functional limitations measured by physical performance tests among nonagenarians was high. Despite their lower mortality, women were more disabled than men and did not perform as well as men in the physical performance tests. Nevertheless, the majority of the participants considered their health to be good and were satisfied with their lives.

Activities of Daily Living↗

Age-specific demographic profiles of longevity mutants in Caenorhabditis elegans show segmental effects.

Demographic profiles of several single-gene longevity mutants of the nematode Caenorhabditis elegans reveal segmental (age-specific) effects on mortality. The mortality profiles of wild-type worms were examined across multiple replicate cultures containing 100,000 or more nematodes and found to be quite replicable, although clear environmental effects are routinely found. The combined profile of wild type was compared with those of three long-lived mutants to determine how age-specific mortality is altered by mutations in age-1, clk-1, or spe-26. In all four genotypes, death rates fit a two-stage Gompertz model better than a one-stage Gompertz; that is, mortality levels off at later ages. The largest genetic effect on mortality was that of an age-1 mutation, which lowered mortality more than fivefold at most later ages. In contrast, a spe-26 mutant had a tenfold lower mortality until approximately 2 weeks of age but ultimately achieved a higher mortality, whereas clk-1 mutants show slightly higher mortality than wild type during the fertile period, early in life, but ultimately level off at lower mortality. Each mutant thus has a distinctive profile of age-specific mortalities that could suggest the time of action of each gene.

Aging↗

The Danish 1905 cohort: a genetic-epidemiological nationwide survey.

OBJECTIVES: The authors studied nonagenarians, a rapidly growing age group whose cognitive and physical abilities have yet to be investigated systematically. METHODS: All Danes born in 1905 were invited to participate in a home-based 2-hour multidimensional interview, including cognitive and physical performance tests and collection of DNA, carried out by lay interviewers. Population-based registers were used to evaluate representativeness. RESULTS: There were 2,262 participants. A total of 1,632 (72%) gave a DNA sample. Participants and nonparticipants were highly comparable with regard to marital status, institutionalization, and hospitalization patterns, but men and rural area residents were more likely to participate. Six months after the survey began, 7.2% of the participants and 11.8% of the nonparticipants had died. DISCUSSION: Despite the known difficulties of conducting surveys among the extremely old, it was possible to conduct a nationwide survey, including collection of DNA, among more than 2,000 fairly nonselected nonagenarians using lay interviewers.

Aged↗

Cardiovascular mortality in twins and the fetal origins hypothesis.

The intrauterine growth patterns for twins are characterized by normal development during the first two trimesters and reduced growth during the third trimester. According to the fetal origins hypothesis this growth pattern is associated with risk factors for cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. We studied cause-specific mortality of 19,986 Danish twin individuals from the birth cohorts 1870-1930 followed from 1952 through 1993. Despite the large sample size and follow-up period we were not able to detect any difference between twins and the general population with regard to all-cause mortality or cardiovascular mortality. Hence, the intrauterine growth retardation experienced by twins does not result in any "fetal programming" of cardiovascular diseases. There is still an important role for twins (and other sibs) to play in the testing of the fetal origins hypothesis, namely in studies of intra-pair differences, which can assess the role of genetic confounding in the association between fetal growth and later health outcome.

Aged↗

The X chromosome and the female survival advantage: an example of the intersection between genetics, epidemiology and demography.

Despite differences in research traditions, the disciplines of genetics, epidemiology, and demography are becoming increasingly integrated in health-related research. The enormous development within genetic technology, with the possibility of genotyping thousands of variants from small samples of biological material obtained by non-invasive methods, now makes it feasible to include genetic information in epidemiologic and demographic studies. Simultaneously, new insight can be obtained from hybrids of methods and data from the three disciplines. This paper illustrates how a genetic observation combined with demographic insight and a modified genetic-epidemiologic design (a twin study) provides evidence that part of the sex difference in survival can be attributed to the fact that females have two X chromosomes and males have only one, a result that is of potential interest for genetics, epidemiology, and demography.

Adult↗

X-linked genetic factors regulate hematopoietic stem-cell kinetics in females.

X inactivation makes females mosaics for 2 cell populations, usually with an approximate 1:1 distribution. Skewing of this distribution in peripheral blood cells is more common among elderly women. The depletion of hematopoietic stem cells followed by random differentiation may explain the acquired skewing with age. However, an animal model suggests that selection processes based on X-linked genetic factors are involved. We studied peripheral blood cells from 71 monozygotic twin pairs aged 73 to 93 years and from 33 centenarians, and we found that with age, 1 of the cell populations becomes predominant for most women. We also observed a strong tendency for the same cell line to become predominant in 2 co-twins. This suggests that X-linked genetic factors influence human hematopoietic stem cell kinetics. The fact that females have 2 cell lines with different potentials could be one of the reasons women live longer than men.

Aged↗

Estimation of apolipoprotein E genotype-specific relative mortality risks from the distribution of genotypes in centenarians and middle-aged men: apolipoprotein E gene is a "frailty gene," not a "longevity gene".

We developed a method to estimate genotype-specific average relative mortality risk, R, from genotype distributions in cross-sectional studies of people belonging to different age-groups, and applied the method to new data from a study of apolipoprotein E genotypes (apoE) in 177 Danish centenarians and data from a study of 40-year-old Danish men. Twenty-one percent of the centenarians were epsilon 2-carriers (genotypes epsilon 2 epsilon 2 and epsilon 3 epsilon 2) and 15% were epsilon 4-carriers (genotypes epsilon 4 epsilon 4 and epsilon 4 epsilon 3) compared to 13 and 29%, respectively, of the young men. The R-values were 0.95 (95% CI 0.88 to 1.02) for epsilon 2-carriers and 1.13 (95% CI 1.05 to 1.22) for epsilon 4-carriers, using epsilon 3 epsilon 3- and epsilon 4 epsilon 2 genotypes as reference. Corresponding values for epsilon 4-carriers were obtained by using published data from a French and a Finnish study of centenarians, whereas the values for epsilon 2-carriers were about 0.90 with these data. The method to estimate mortality risk and the results associate with the view that the apoE gene is a "frailty gene." On the other hand, if odds ratios are used to summarize data from studies of this kind, they are more impressive and may propagate the misconception that apoE is a "longevity gene".

Adult↗

Genes and longevity: lessons from studies of centenarians.

In population studies of aging, the data on genetic markers are often collected for individuals from different age groups. The idea of such studies is to identify "longevity" or "frailty" genes by comparing the frequencies of genotypes in the oldest and in the younger groups of individuals. In this paper we discuss a new approach to the analysis of such data. This approach, based on the maximum likelihood method, combines data on genetic markers with survival information obtained from standard demographic life tables. This method allows us to evaluate survival characteristics for individuals carrying respective candidate genes. It can also be used in the estimation of the effects of allele-area and allele-allele interaction, either in the presence or absence of hidden heterogeneity. We apply this method to the analysis of Italian data on genetic markers for five autosomal loci and mitochondrial genomes. Then we discuss basic assumptions used in this analysis and directions of further research.

Aged↗

Genetic and environmental influences on functional abilities in Danish twins aged 75 years and older.

BACKGROUND: Functional abilities vary widely among elderly persons. The determinants of this variation are probably multiple and include normal aging processes as well as disease expression. This study estimates the relative importance of genetic and environmental factors to variation in functional abilities in elderly persons. METHODS: We conducted a survey among all Danish twins aged 75 years and older who were identified in the population-based Danish Twin Registry. Interviews were conducted with 77% (7% by proxy responders) of the 3099 individuals in the study population. Functional abilities were assessed by validated Danish survey instruments and were scored on three scales. Heritability (proportion of the population variance attributable to genetic variation) was estimated using structural equation analyses. RESULTS: Structural equation analyses revealed a substantial heritability (34%-47%) for the three functional ability scores among the women aged 80 years and older compared with a more modest heritability (15%-34%) among the women aged 75-79 years. The remaining variation could be attributed to individuals' nonfamilial environments. Comparisons of the functional abilities of twins with living versus deceased co-twins also suggested a difference in the genetic influence for the two age groups. Although heritability estimates were uniformly low in the male participant sample, the size of the sample was not sufficiently large to allow for precise estimates of heritability. CONCLUSION: For women we found that the effect of genetic factors on functional abilities increases with age and accounts for one third to one half of the variation among individuals aged 80 years and older. An understanding of the genetic mechanisms underlying functional abilities in the oldest individuals may enhance the possibilities for improving health in the elderly population by modifying environmental factors.

Activities of Daily Living↗