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Jane Molofsky

Publications and source records attributed to Jane Molofsky.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

Extinction dynamics in experimental metapopulations.

Metapopulation theory provides a framework for understanding population persistence in fragmented landscapes and as such has been widely used in conservation biology to inform management of fragmented populations. However, classical metapopulation theory [Levins, R. (1970) Lect. Notes Math. 2, 75-107] ignores metapopulation structure and local population dynamics, both of which may affect extinction dynamics. Here, we investigate metapopulation dynamics in populations that are subject to different migration rates by using experimental metapopulations of the annual plant Cardamine pensylvanica. As predicted by classical metapopulation theory, connected populations persisted longer than did isolated populations, but the relationship between migration and persistence time was nonlinear. Extinction risk sharply increased as the distance between local populations increased above a threshold value that was consistent with stochastic simulations and calculation of metapopulation capacity [Hanski, I. & Ovaskainen, O. (2000) Nature 404, 755-758]. In addition, the most connected metapopulations did not have the highest persistence levels. Stochastic simulations indicated an increase in extinction risk with the highest migration rates. Moreover, calculation of population coherence [Earn, D. J. D., Levin, S. A. & Rohani, P. (2000) Science 290, 1360-1364], a metric that predicts synchronous cycles, indicated that continuous populations should cycle in phase, resulting in an increased extinction risk. Determining empirically the optimal migration level to improve survival chances will be challenging for any natural population. Migration rates that would not increase migration above the threshold value would be ineffectual, but migration rates that would homogenize local densities could increase the risk of coherent oscillations and enhance extinction risk.

Ecology↗

A novel theory to explain species diversity in landscapes: positive frequency dependence and habitat suitability.

Theories to explain the diversity of species have required that individual species occupy unique niches and/or vary in their response to environmental factors. Positive interactions within a species, although common in communities, have not been thought to maintain species diversity because in non-spatial models the more abundant species always outcompetes the rarer species. Here, we show, using a stochastic spatial model, that positive intraspecific interactions such as those caused by positive frequency dependence and/or priority effects, can maintain species diversity if interactions between individuals are primarily local and the habitat contains areas that cannot be colonized by any species, such as boulders or other physical obstructions. When intraspecific interactions are primarily neutral, species diversity will eventually erode to a single species. When the landscape is homogeneous (i.e. does not contain areas that cannot be colonized by any species), the presence of strong intraspecific interactions will not maintain diversity.

Ecosystem↗

Allee effect, spatial structure and species coexistence.

Both positive and negative interactions among species are common in communities. Until recently, attention has focused on negative interactions such as competition. However, the importance of positive interactions such as the Allee effect has recently been recognized. We construct a single-patch model that incorporates both an Allee effect and competition between two species. A species that experiences an Allee effect cannot establish in a patch which is already occupied by a competitor unless its density is over a critical value. This effect, when translated into a metapopulation, makes migrants of a species unable to colonize patches where another species has established. This interaction between the Allee effect and inter-specific competition creates and stabilizes spatial segregation of species. Therefore, under circumstances in which competition would preclude local coexistence, the presence of an Allee effect can allow coexistence at a metapopulation scale. Furthermore, we found that a species can resist displacement if stronger competitors experience an Allee effect.

Animals↗