Re: "when is baseline adjustment useful in analyses of change? An example with education and cognitive change".
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Age Factors↗
Biomedical subjects
John B Cologne
Publications and source records attributed to John B Cologne.
Individual variation of somatic gene mutability in relation to cancer susceptibility: prospective study on erythrocyte glycophorin a gene mutations of atomic bomb survivors.
It has previously been reported that hemizygous mutant fraction (Mf) at the glycophorin A (GPA) locus in erythrocytes increased with radiation dose in heterozygotes among Hiroshima and Nagasaki atomic bomb survivors. In the present study, we analyzed the relationship between GPA Mf and cancer risk using newly developed cancers among previously cancer-free subjects whose GPA Mf had been measured between 1988 and 1996. Among 1,723 survivors (1,117 in Hiroshima and 606 in Nagasaki), we identified 186 subjects who developed a first cancer by the end of 2000. We compared the radiation dose responses of GPA Mf between cancer and cancer-free groups using a linear-quadratic model fit by multiple regression analysis in combination with age, sex, and city. The slope of the GPA Mf dose-response curve was significantly higher in the cancer group than in the cancer-free group among Hiroshima subjects. Moreover, no significant difference of GPA Mf between cancer and cancer-free groups was found in unexposed controls in the two cities. The same conclusions were obtained using a linear dose-response model and by further analysis using Cox regression of cancer incidence. These findings suggest that there might be interindividual variation in mutability of somatic genes and that Hiroshima survivors who have higher mutability in response to radiation exposure would be expected to have a higher probability of suffering radiation-related cancer.
Aged↗
Improving the efficiency of nested case-control studies of interaction by selecting controls using counter matching on exposure.
BACKGROUND: Studies of the effect of exposure to a risk factor measured in an entire cohort may be augmented by nested case-control subsets to investigate confounding or effect modification by additional factors not practically assessed on all cohort members. We compared three control-selection strategies-matching on exposure, counter matching on exposure, and random sampling-to determine which was most efficient in a situation where exposure is a known, continuous variable and high doses are rare. METHODS: We estimated the power to detect interaction using four control-to-case ratios (1:1, 2:1, 4:1, and 8:1) in a planned case-control study of the joint effect of atomic bomb radiation exposure and serum oestradiol levels on breast cancer. Radiation dose is measured in the entire cohort, but because neither serum oestradiol level nor the true degree of interaction was known, we simulated values of oestradiol and hypothetical levels of oestradiol-radiation interaction. RESULTS: Compared with random sampling, power to detect interaction was similarly higher with either matching or counter matching with two or more controls. CONCLUSIONS: Because counter matching is generally at least as efficient as random sampling, whereas matching on exposure can result in loss of efficiency and precludes estimation of exposure risk, we recommend counter matching for selecting controls in nested case-control studies of the joint effects of multiple risk factors when one is previously measured in the full cohort.
Breast Neoplasms↗
Uncertainty in estimating probability of causation in a cross-sectional study: joint effects of radiation and hepatitis-C virus on chronic liver disease.
Exposure to other risk factors is an important consideration in assessing the role played by radiation in producing disease. A cross-sectional study of atomic-bomb survivors suggested an interaction between whole-body radiation exposure and chronic hepatitis-C viral (HCV) infection in the etiology of chronic liver disease (chronic hepatitis and cirrhosis), but did not allow determination of the joint-effect mechanism. Different estimates of probability of causation (POC) conditional on HCV status resulted from additive and multiplicative models. We therefore estimated the risk for radiation conditional on HCV status using a more general, mixture model that does not require choosing between additivity or multiplicativity, or deciding whether there is interaction, in the face of the large uncertainty. The results support the conclusion that POC increases with radiation dose in persons without HCV infection, but are inconclusive regarding individuals with HCV infection, the lower confidence bound on estimated POC for radiation with HCV infection being zero over the entire dose range. Although the mixture model may not reflect the true joint-effect mechanism, it avoids restrictive model assumptions that cannot be validated using the available data yet have a profound influence on estimated POC. These considerations apply more generally, given that the additive and multiplicative models are often used in POC related work. We therefore consider that an empirical approach may be preferable to assuming a specific mechanistic model for estimating POC in epidemiological studies where the joint-effect mechanism is in doubt.
Cross-Sectional Studies↗
Radiosensitivity of peripheral blood lymphocytes obtained from patients with cancers of the breast, head and neck or cervix as determined with a micronucleus assay.
The in vitro radiation sensitivities of peripheral blood lymphocytes obtained from 48 normal females and 168 female cancer patients were measured with the cytokinesis-blocking micronucleus assay. Cancer patients group had significantly higher mean baseline micronucleus frequency than normal healthy controls. Breast cancer patients were more radiosensitive than normal individuals. Cervical cancer cases were less radiation sensitive than normal subjects. The relative lack of radiation sensitivity in cervical-cancer cases could be due to modification of the radiosensitivity of patients' immune-responsible cells by human papillomaviruses infection. Normal individuals and cancer patients were classified according to their radiation sensitivity which was evaluated with the radiation-induced micronucleus frequencies. Such a classification will be an important initial step to characterize the radiosensitive, radioresistant, or cancer-prone individuals using specific SNP typing.
Adult↗
Hepatocellular carcinoma among atomic bomb survivors: significant interaction of radiation with hepatitis C virus infections.
We conducted a nested case-control study within the cohort of Japanese survivors of the 1945 atomic bombings to study the joint effects of HBV and HCV with radiation on the risk of HCC. Among subjects who received autopsies during 1954-1988, we analyzed archival tissue samples for 238 pathologically confirmed HCC cases and 894 controls who died from diseases other than liver cancer. Using logistic regression and adjusting for potential confounders and other factors, we found a statistically significant, supermultiplicative interaction between A bomb radiation and HCV in the etiology of HCC. Compared to subjects who were negative for HCV and radiation, ORs of HCC for HCV-positive subjects showed a statistically significant, greater than multiplicative increase for liver irradiation exposures in the second (>0.018-0.186 Sv, p = 0.04) and third (>0.186 Sv, p = 0.05) tertiles of non-zero radiation exposure but not for first tertile exposure (>0-0.018 Sv, p = 0.86). Limiting analysis to subjects without cirrhosis, HCV-infected subjects were at 58.0-fold (95% CI 1.99- infinity ) increased risk of HCC per Sv of radiation exposure (p = 0.017), a supermultiplicative interaction between radiation and HCV that was not found among subjects with cirrhosis (p = 0.67). We found no evidence of interaction between HBV infection and radiation exposure in the etiology of HCC, regardless of cirrhosis status (p = 0.58). We conclude that among survivors of the nuclear bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki, subjects who were both HCV-positive and radiation-exposed were at a significantly, supermultiplicatively increased risk of HCC without concurrent cirrhosis.
Adult↗
Prevalence of hepatitis B virus infection among atomic bomb survivors.
The aim of this study was to determine whether the prevalence of hepatitis B virus (HBV) carriers increased with atomic bomb radiation dose, and whether radiation decreased the ability to clear HBV among the atomic bomb survivors. The study subjects were 6,121 participants in the Adult Health Study of atomic bomb survivors in Hiroshima and Nagasaki. After adjustment for age, sex, city and potential confounders, the rates of seropositivity for hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg), indicating current HBV infections, and anti-hepatitis B core antibody, indicating either cured or current infections, increased with radiation dose. However, no relationship was observed between radiation and anti-hepatitis B surface antibody (indicating cured infection). The proportion of persons who were unable to clear the virus, as the proportion of HBsAg-positive persons among those ever infected by HBV (positive for HBsAg or surface or core hepatitis B antibody), increased significantly with radiation dose among those receiving blood transfusions. This proportion was not related to dose among those who reported no such transfusions. The findings may suggest a lower likelihood of clearance after HBV infection among those who were more likely to have been infected with HBV as adults after atomic bomb irradiation rather than as infants or adults prior to irradiation.
Adult↗