Virtual Tumors Enable Prediction of Personalized Therapeutic Combinations for Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer.
UNLABELLED: The disease burden from non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) adenocarcinoma is substantial, with a million new cases diagnosed globally each year and a 5-year survival rate of less than 20%. The lack of therapeutic options personalized to individual patients leads to high variation in survival. The combination of patient stratification with personalized treatment has the potential to improve outcomes; however, the variation in mutations found in patients with NSCLC adenocarcinoma makes experimentally determining treatment combinations time-consuming and expensive. In this study, we developed an interpretable mechanistic model to decipher complex signaling interplay and guide personalized therapy in NSCLC adenocarcinoma. This "virtual tumor" model encompassed key tumor-intrinsic oncogenic signaling pathways for efficiently predicting rational drug-drug and drug-radiotherapy combination therapies in NSCLC. Diverse genetic profiles were simulated for testing more than 10,000 therapeutic strategies to identify optimal approaches to overcome resistance mechanisms specific to genetic profiles and p53 status. The virtual tumor model reproduced drug additivity screens, predicted radiosensitizing genes validated in a CRISPR screen, and identified 53BP1 as a potential drug target that improved the therapeutic window during radiotherapy. A 19-gene signature derived from the virtual tumor framework stratified patients most likely to benefit from radiotherapy, which was validated using The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) data. These results show the utility of virtual tumors to predict effective therapeutic combinations and present a computational resource for large-scale screening of personalized therapies to guide clinical decision-making in patients with NSCLC. SIGNIFICANCE: A computational framework that simulates thousands of personalized treatment strategies offers a scalable, cost-effective way to tailor therapies and improve outcomes for patients with genetically diverse NSCLC.