Glossary ... managed care.
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Biomedical subjects
Publications and source records attributed to K Coltin.
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OBJECTIVES: This study developed a new acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) severity system by including diagnostic, physiological, functional, and sociodemographic factors predictive of survival. METHODS: Three-hundred five persons with AIDS in Boston were interviewed; their medical records were reviewed and vital status ascertained. RESULTS: Overall median (+/- SD) survival for the cohort from the first interview until death was 560 +/- 14.4 days. The best model for predicting survival, the Boston AIDS Survival Score, included the Justice score (stage 2 relative hazard [RH] = 1.25, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.80, 1.96; stage 3 RH = 1.76, 95% CI = 1.15, 2.70), a newly developed opportunistic disease score (Boston Opportunistic Disease Survival Score; stage 2 RH = 1.35, 95% CI = 0.90, 2.02; stage 3 RH = 2.10, 95% CI = 1.38, 3.18), and measures of activities of daily living (any intermediate limitations, RH = 1.84, 95% CI = 1.05, 3.21; any basic limitations, RH = 2.60, 95% CI = 1.44, 4.69). This model had substantially greater predictive power (R2 = .17, C statistic = .68) than the Justice score alone (R2 = .09, C statistic = .61). CONCLUSIONS: Incorporating data on clinically important events and functional status into a physiologically based system can improve the prediction of survival with AIDS.
We examined the cost of health care and out-of-pocket medical expenditures for 189 persons with AIDS at three sites in Massachusetts: an HMO; a public hospital immunodeficiency clinic; and a group practice at a major teaching hospital. The mean cost of care during a four-month reference period was $9,093 +/- $12,683 (mean +/- standard deviation) per patient. Thirty-six percent of the cost was due to hospital care and 40% was due to home health care. Mean out-of-pocket expenditures were $429 +/- $991 (mean +/- standard deviation). Studies that focus on the cost of hospital care may seriously underestimate the medical costs of AIDS.
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We compared staffing patterns in primary care specialties in three large health maintenance organizations (HMOs) with the national requirements for physicians in 1990 projected by the Graduate Medical Education National Advisory Committee (GMENAC). The HMOs varied in their use of nonphysician providers, family practice specialists, and subspecialists in internal medicine. Nevertheless, projections based on the average experience of these HMOs suggest that 20 percent fewer primary care physicians for children and 50 percent fewer primary care physicians for adults will be needed to meet national primary care needs in 1990 than projected by the GMENAC. As enrollment in HMOs continues to grow, their impact on national requirements for medical personnel will increase. The variety of staffing patterns found among HMOs operating in highly competitive markets suggests the importance of considering alternative configurations for meeting national requirements for primary care.
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