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Biomedical subjects

K G M Moons

Publications and source records attributed to K G M Moons.

24 records · Page 2Linked to original sources
PubMed2002

Early prediction of neurological sequelae or death after bacterial meningitis.

UNLABELLED: This study determined independent predictors of the occurrence of permanent neurological sequelae or death after childhood bacterial meningitis. Data were used from a large study on children (aged 1 mo to 15 y) initially presenting with meningeal irritation. A nested case-control study was performed on children with (n = 23) and without (n = 70) permanent neurological sequelae (hearing impairment, locomotor dysfunction, mental retardation or epilepsy) or death after bacterial meningitis. Predictors obtained from clinical evaluation and laboratory tests at presentation and during the clinical course were identified by multivariate logistic regression and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analyses. The study population comprised 23 cases and 70 controls (52% boys, median age 2.8 y). Independent predictors for an adverse outcome after bacterial meningitis were male gender, atypical convulsions in history, low body temperature at admission and the pathogen Streptococcus pneumoniae. The area under the ROC curve of this prediction rule was 0.87 (95% confidence interval: 0.78-0.96), which was not improved by adding other characteristics. A score including these independent predictors could classify patients into categories with increasing risk for an adverse outcome. CONCLUSION: Clinical characteristics available early in the clinical course, such as gender, atypical convulsions in history, low body temperature at admission and the pathogen, are predictive for the occurrence of permanent neurological sequelae or death after bacterial meningitis in childhood. The pathogen type, in particular, is the main prognostic determinant of childhood bacterial meningitis.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2002

Predictive performance of a physiological model for enflurane closed-circuit anaesthesia: effects of continuous cardiac output measurements and age-related solubility data.

BACKGROUND: The disposition of inhalation anaesthetics is governed by the factors described in the Fick principle. METHODS: We have recalibrated a previously validated physiological model for enflurane closed-circuit inhalation anaesthesia, using individual continuous cardiac output measurements as well as age-related enflurane solubility coefficients as inputs to the model. Two model versions using 'calculated' (Brody's formula) or 'measured' (thoracic electrical bioimpedance) cardiac output values, and two versions with 'standard' (fixed) or 'age-related' solubility coefficients were formulated. RESULTS: Data from 62 ophthalmic surgical patients were used to validate the predictive performance of the four model versions. The root mean squared errors (total error) and scatters (error variation) were similar with the extended model versions, but the group biases (systematic error component) were significantly less with the model versions that included age-related solubility compared with the versions using standard solubility coefficients (bias -0.76/-0.78% vs -3.44/-3.60%). CONCLUSION: The inclusion of age-related solubility coefficients but not of continuous cardiac output measurements improves the predictive performance of the physiological model for closed-circuit inhalation anaesthetic conditions in routine clinical practice.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2002

Validation of a clinical prediction rule to reduce preoperative type and screen procedures.

BACKGROUND: We have developed a prediction rule for the occurrence of perioperative red blood cell transfusion to help to reduce the number of unnecessary preoperative type and screen procedures. We evaluated the robustness of this prediction rule in patients from another hospital. METHODS: The rule was retrospectively applied to 1282 consecutive patients ('validation set') who underwent similar surgical procedures to the patients in the derivation study. The outcome was similarly defined as any allogeneic transfusion on the day of surgery or during the first postoperative day. The predictive value of the rule was assessed using a Receiver Operating Characteristic curve (ROC) and compared with the results of the derivation study. Subsequently, the number of correctly predicted transfusions was compared. RESULTS: The patient characteristics did not differ between the two sets, except for the incidence of transfusion (derivation study: 18%; present study: 8%). In the validation set, the ROC area of the prediction rule was 0.78 (95% confidence intervals [CI]: 0.73-0.82), which was within the CI of the ROC area found in the derivation study (0.75; 95% CI: 0.72-0.79). In total, 35% of the type and screen procedures could be omitted (derivation study: 50%), with 13% missed transfused patients (derivation study: 20%). CONCLUSIONS: After comparing the results of this validation study with that of the derivation study, the prediction rule was robust and may work in other clinics as well.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2002

Prediction of stroke in the general population in Europe (EUROSTROKE): Is there a role for fibrinogen and electrocardiography?

BACKGROUND: To decide whether a person with certain characteristics should be given any kind of intervention to prevent a cardiovascular event, it would be helpful to classify subjects in low, medium and high risk categories. The study evaluated which well known cerebrovascular and cardiovascular correlates, in particular fibrinogen level and ECG characteristics, are able to predict the occurrence of stroke in men of the general population using data from three European cohorts participating in EUROSTROKE. METHODS: EUROSTROKE is a collaborative project among ongoing European population based cohort studies and designed as a prospective nested case-control study. For each stroke case two controls were sampled. Strokes were classified according to MONICA criteria or reviewed by a panel of four neurologists. Complete data were available of 698 men (219 stroke events) from cohorts in Cardiff (84 cases/200 controls), Kuopio (74/148) and Rotterdam (61/131). Multivariable logistic regression modeling was used to evaluate which information from history, physical examination (for example, blood pressure), blood lipids, and fibrinogen and ECG measurements independently contributed to the prediction of stroke. The area under receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC area) was used to estimate the predictive ability of models. RESULTS: Independent predictors from medical history and physical examination were age, stroke history, medically treated hypertension, smoking, diabetes mellitus and diastolic blood pressure. The ROC area of this model was 0.69. After validating and transforming this model to an easy applicable rule, 40% of all future stroke cases could be predicted. Adding pulse rate, body mass index, blood lipids, fibrinogen level and ECG parameters did not improve the classification of subjects in low, medium and high risk. Results were similar when fibrinogen was dichotomised at the upper tertile or quintile. CONCLUSION: In the general male population the future occurrence of stroke may be predicted using easy obtainable information from medical history and physical examination. Measurement of pulse rate, body mass index, blood lipids, fibrinogen level and ECG characteristics do not contribute to the risk stratification of stroke and have no value in the screening for stroke in the general male population.

Adult↗
PubMed2002

Dementia: predictors of diagnostic accuracy and the contribution of diagnostic recommendations.

OBJECTIVES: To explore and quantify the relative contribution of guideline recommendations and other determinants in the family physicianamprsquos diagnostic work-up of patients suspected of dementia. STUDY DESIGN: We prospectively studied 64 family physicians in an Eastern district in the Netherlands who diagnosed dementia according to the national Dutch guidelines in primary care. Their diagnoses were compared with the reference standard embodied by the memory clinic team of the University Medical Center Nijmegen. POPULATION: The physicians evaluated 107 patients older than 55 years suspected of having dementia. OUTCOMES MEASURED: Predictive values of various clinical and demographic parameters were measured in both univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses. RESULTS: Activities of daily living (ADL) dependency (odds ratio [OR] = 5.3, P =.03), years since symptoms first started (OR = 1.84, P =.03), and the presence of somatic comorbidity (OR = 0.48, P =.02) independently contributed to the prediction of the presence or absence of dementia. The area under the receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve for these 3 variables together was 0.79. The ROC area of the family physiciansamprsquo diagnosis to determine the final diagnosis was 0.74. The number of recommendations applied did not additionally contribute to the assessment of the final diagnosis. CONCLUSIONS: The diagnostic accuracy of the family physician was reasonable. For family physicians, ADL dependency is a better predictor of dementia than cognitive impairment. Family physicians should be aware of diagnostic difficulties in patients with somatic comorbidity. We were unable to confirm the diagnostic value of many of the recommendations of dementia guidelines.

Activities of Daily Living↗