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Kyle T Bernstein

Publications and source records attributed to Kyle T Bernstein.

8 recordsLinked to original sources

Television watching and the risk of incident probable posttraumatic stress disorder: a prospective evaluation.

The relation between viewing television coverage of a mass disaster and the development of posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD) is poorly understood. A cohort of New Yorkers without baseline probable PTSD (N=1787) was assessed 1 year following the September 11, 2001, attacks. The primary outcome was new-onset probable PTSD assessed through a validated scale, and the primary exposure was number of hours of September 11 anniversary news coverage viewed. A total of 99 (5.6%) of participants had developed probable PTSD at the 1-year follow-up. Watching 12 or more hours of September 11 attack anniversary news coverage was associated with a 3.4-fold increased risk of new-onset probable PTSD (p=0.004). Exposure to television coverage of the September 11 anniversary was associated with new-onset probable PTSD among a cohort of New Yorkers with no probable PTSD at baseline.

Adult↗

Modeling a syphilis outbreak through space and time using the Bayesian maximum entropy approach.

PURPOSE: The aim of the study is to describe changes in the spatial distribution of syphilis before, during, and after an outbreak in Baltimore, MD, by using Bayesian maximum entropy (BME), a modern geostatistical technique for space-time analysis and mapping. METHODS: BME was used to conduct simple and composite space-time analyses of the density of syphilis infection based on primary, secondary and early latent syphilis cases reported to the Baltimore City Health Department between January 1, 1994, and December 31, 2002. RESULTS: Spatiotemporal covariance plots indicated that the distribution of the density of syphilis cases showed both spatial and temporal dependence. Temporally dependent disease maps suggested that syphilis increased within two geographic core areas of infection and spread outward. A new core area of infection was established to the northwest. As the outbreak waned, density diminished and receded in all core areas. Morbidity remained elevated in the two original central and new northwestern core areas after the outbreak. CONCLUSIONS: Density of syphilis infection was a simple informative measure easily compared across years. The BME approach was useful for quantitatively and qualitatively describing the spatial development and spread of syphilis. Our results are specific to Baltimore; however, the BME approach is generalizable to other settings and diseases.

Baltimore↗

Cost-effectiveness of screening strategies for Gonorrhea among females in private sector care.

OBJECTIVE: To identify the optimal screening algorithm for gonorrhea infection among females in private sector care, using cost-effectiveness analysis. METHODS: We compared 6 strategies using decision analysis for urine nucleic acid amplification testing for gonorrhea testing in a theoretical cohort of 10,000 females aged 15-35 years: 1) screen women aged younger than 25 years; 2) screen women aged younger than 30 years; 3) screen women aged younger than 25 years who report any risk (pregnant, drug use, new sexual partner < 30 days); 4) screen women aged younger than 30 years who report any risk; 5) screen women aged younger than 25 years or those who report any risk; and 6) screen women aged younger than 30 years or those who report any risk. Infection prevalence and sensitivity and specificity were by direct observation from a retrospective cohort of females attending the Baltimore City Sexually Transmitted Disease Clinics between 1999 and 2002. The main outcome measures were untreated gonorrhea cases and their sequelae in women, transmission to a male partner, congenital outcomes, and cost to prevent a case. RESULTS: Prevalence of gonorrhea was 3.0%. Not screening would result in 300 untreated cases. Not screening was cost-saving over all screening strategies. Strategy 6 resulted in the fewest cases of untreated infection (82), although Strategy 3 was the most cost-effective of the screening strategies. Univariate sensitivity analysis identified a threshold of 4.75% gonorrhea prevalence, more than which Strategy 3 became cost-saving over not screening. CONCLUSION: Screening is recommended for females aged younger than 25 years with specific risks in populations with a gonorrhea prevalence of 4.75% or greater. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: II-2.

Adolescent↗

Gonorrhea reinfection among sexually transmitted disease clinic attendees in Baltimore, Maryland.

OBJECTIVES: We hypothesized that an active follow-up program to assess for reinfection after gonorrhea treatment could be a useful disease control strategy. GOAL: We evaluated an active follow-up and repeat testing program for all Baltimore sexually transmitted disease clinic patients diagnosed with gonorrhea. STUDY DESIGN: From September 2003 to May 2004, all clients with a treated gonorrhea infection were advised to return 3 months later for repeat testing. If clients did not return as scheduled, field outreach was attempted. At follow-up visits, urine was tested for gonorrhea and consenting participants completed a behavioral survey. In addition, we reviewed morbidity records for any intercurrent gonorrhea infections reported during the project period. RESULTS: Of the 667 participants diagnosed with gonorrhea at baseline, 54 had a gonorrhea reinfection diagnosed for an incidence of 13.8 per 100 person-years. One hundred seventy-eight (27%) either presented for a follow-up visit or were located through field efforts, and of these, 5 (2.8%) had gonorrhea detected on follow-up urine testing. No measured factors had predictive value in identifying gonorrhea reinfection. CONCLUSIONS: Although reinfection rates were high, we found that field staff intervention to increase follow-up testing rates did not identify a significant amount of repeat infections compared with passive surveillance.

Adult↗

Chlamydia trachomatis and Neisseria gonorrhoeae infections among men and women entering California prisons.

OBJECTIVE: We estimated the prevalence of Chlamydia trachomatis and Neisseria gonorrhoeae infection among newly arriving inmates at 6 California prisons. METHODS: In this cross-sectional study in 1999, urine specimens collected from 698 men aged 18 to 25 years and 572 women aged 18 years or older were tested at intake for C trachomatis and N gonorrhoeae using ligase chain reaction. An analysis of demographic and arrest-related correlates of C trachomatis and N gonorrhoeae infection was performed. RESULTS: The overall C trachomatis prevalence was 9.9% (95% CI=7.8%, 12.3%) among men aged 18 to 25 years, 8.9% (95% CI = 2.9%, 22.1%) among women aged 18 to 25 years, and 3.3% (95% CI=2.0%, 5.1%) among women overall. Three N gonorrhoeae cases were detected with an overall prevalence of 0.24% (95% CI=0.05%, 0.69%). CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of C trachomatis infection at entry to California prisons, especially among young female and male inmates, was high, which supports routine screening at entry into prison. In addition, screening in a jail setting where most detainees are incarcerated before entry into the prison setting may provide an excellent earlier opportunity to identify these infections and treat disease to prevent complications and burden of infection in this high-risk population.

Adolescent↗

Reassessing a large-scale syphilis epidemic using an estimated infection date.

OBJECTIVES: Timely ascertainment of syphilis cases is critical to initiating disease-control measures. Epidemic curves typically use the report date and may introduce lag-time bias into assessment. GOAL: To reassess a large syphilis epidemic using an imputed infection date. STUDY: We compared 2 types of epidemic curves-1 based on report date and 1 on estimated infection date-using the large 1993-2003 Baltimore epidemic as our model. RESULTS: In general, the shape of the report curves did not accurately reflect the shape of the corresponding infection curves during the growth period (period of largest increase in incidence); during the hyperendemic period (period of highest incidence), peaks in report curves did not follow peaks in the infection curve by the appropriate lag time. There was a tendency for reporting data to underestimate infections during the growth period and overestimate infections during the hyperendemic period. A sensitivity analysis showed similar trends regardless of the length of stage-specific incubation period used. CONCLUSIONS: Lag-time bias may be present when using epidemic curves based on report dates. Health departments should consider using an estimated infection date.

Bias↗

Defining core gonorrhea transmission utilizing spatial data.

Spatial distribution of repeat and singly occurring gonorrhea in Baltimore, Maryland, was examined to identify clusters of core transmitters. Gonorrhea reported between 2001 and 2002 was geocoded and mapped. Those with more than one gonorrhea infection separated by more than 14 days during the 2-year period were considered repeaters. Other cases were treated as isolated events. Six definitions of core transmission were examined by census tracts with the highest quintiles of 1) cases for 2001, 2) cases for 2002, 3) rates for 2001, 4) rates for 2002, 5) counts of repeaters over the 2-year period, and 6) proportion of total cases that were repeaters. Of the 6,108 gonorrhea cases analyzed, 9% were repeaters. Repeaters were more likely to be female and younger. Core areas identified by definitions based on overall disease burden agreed well with each other but had poor agreement with definitions based upon repeat infections. Repeaters clustered to a greater extent at smaller distances than did singly occurring gonorrhea cases. Repeat gonorrhea infections are prevalent in Baltimore and likely represent behavior consistent with core transmission. Census tracts of core transmission defined by geographic distribution of repeat infections may indicate foci of highest risk sexual behaviors and high transmission.

Adolescent↗

Factors associated with human herpesvirus type 8 infection in an injecting drug user cohort.

BACKGROUND: Human herpesvirus type 8 (HHV-8) has been infrequently studied in injecting drug user (IDU) populations. GOAL: To estimate the seroprevalence of HHV-8 and risk factors for infection in a cohort of 2,946 IDUs. STUDY DESIGN: In this nested cross-sectional study of 390 IDUs, lytic HHV-8 indirect immunofluorescence assay (IFA) was utilized to estimate the HHV-8 seroprevalence. Multivariate logistic regression was used to assess risk factors for infection. RESULTS: The HHV-8 seroprevalence among the IDUs examined in 1988 was 11.5% (95% confidence interval, 8.5-15.13). HHV-8 seroprevalence in this population was associated with being female (OR = 2.2; = 0.080), having a larger body mass index (OR = 3.0; = 0.053), and history of genital warts (OR = 4.0; = 0.023). Injection of any drug more than daily exhibited an inverse effect on HHV-8 seropositivity (OR = 0.5; = 0.085). CONCLUSION: The seroprevalence of HHV-8 in this population is similar to that seen in the general population, with risk factors being more consistent with sexual behaviors than injection drug use.

Adult↗