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L B Shepardson

Publications and source records attributed to L B Shepardson.

9 recordsLinked to original sources

Racial variation in the use of do-not-resuscitate orders.

OBJECTIVE: To compare the use of do-not-resuscitate (DNR) orders in African-American and white patients using a large, multisite, community-based sample. MEASUREMENTS: Our sample included 90,821 consecutive admissions to 30 hospitals in a large metropolitan region with six nonsurgical conditions from 1993 through 1995. Demographic and clinical data were abstracted from medical records. Admission severity of illness was measured using multivariate risk-adjustment models with excellent discrimination (receiver-operating characteristic curve areas, 0.82-0.88). Multiple logistic regression analysis was used to determine the independent association between race and use of DNR orders, adjusting for age, admission severity, and other covariates. MAIN RESULTS: In all patients, the rate of DNR orders was lower in African Americans than whites (9% vs 18%; p <.001). Rates of orders were also lower ( p <. 001) among African Americans in analyses stratified by age, gender, diagnosis, severity of illness, and in-hospital death. After adjusting for severity and other important covariates, the odds of a DNR order remained lower ( p <.001) for African-Americans relative to whites for all diagnoses, ranging from 0.38 for obstructive airway disease to 0.71 for gastrointestinal hemorrhage. Results were similar in analyses limited to orders written by the first, second, or seventh hospital day. Finally, among patients with DNR orders, African Americans were less likely to have orders written on the first hospital day and more likely to have orders written on subsequent days. CONCLUSIONS: The use of DNR orders was substantially lower in African Americans than in whites, even after adjusting for severity of illness and other covariates. Identification of factors underlying such differences will improve our understanding of the degree to which expectations for care differ in African American and white patients.

Adult↗

Are readmissions to the intensive care unit a useful measure of hospital performance?

BACKGROUND: Although patients readmitted to intensive care units (ICUs) typically have poor outcomes, ICU readmission rates have not been studied as a measure of hospital performance. OBJECTIVES: To determine variation in ICU readmission rates across hospitals and associations of readmission rates with other ICU-based measures of hospital performance. RESEARCH DESIGN: Observational cohort study. SUBJECTS: One hundred three thousand nine hundred eighty four consecutive ICU patients who were admitted to twenty eight hospitals who were then transferred to a hospital ward in those 28 hospitals. MEASURES: Predicted risk of in-hospital death and ICU length of stay (LOS) were determined by a validated method based on age, ICU admission source, diagnosis, comorbidity, and physiologic abnormalities. Severity-adjusted mortality rates, LOS, and readmission rates were determined for each hospital. RESULTS: One or more ICU readmissions occurred in 5.8% patients who were initially classified as postoperative and in 6.4% patients who were initially classified as nonoperative. In-hospital mortality rate was 24.7% in patients who were readmitted as compared with 4.0% in other patients (P < 0.001). After adjusting for predicted risk of death, the odds of death remained 7.5 times higher (OR 7.5, 95% CI, 6.8-8.3). Readmitted patients also had longer (P < 0.001) ICU LOS (5.2 vs. 3.7 days) and hospital LOS (29.3 vs. 11.7 days). Severity-adjusted readmission rates varied across hospitals from 4.2% to 7.6%. Readmission rates were not correlated with severity-adjusted hospital mortality, ICU LOS, or hospital LOS. CONCLUSIONS: ICU patients who were subsequently readmitted have a higher risk of death and longer LOS after adjusting for severity of illness. However, readmission rates were not associated with severity-adjusted mortality or LOS. Those data indicate that ICU readmission may capture other aspects of hospital performance and may be complementary to these measures.

Female↗

Increased risk of death in patients with do-not-resuscitate orders.

BACKGROUND: Whereas studies have shown higher mortality rates in patients with do-not-resuscitate (DNR) orders, most have not accounted for confounding factors related to the use of DNR orders and/or factors related to the risk of death. OBJECTIVE: To determine the relationship between the use of DNR orders and in-hospital mortality, adjusting for severity of illness and other covariates. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. PATIENTS: There were 13,337 consecutive stroke admissions to 30 hospitals in 1991 to 1994. MEASURES: To decrease selection bias, propensity scores reflecting the likelihood of a DNR order were developed. Scores were based on nine demographic and clinical variables independently related to use of DNR orders. The odds of death in patients with DNR orders were then determined using logistic regression, adjustment for propensity scores, severity of illness, and other factors. RESULTS: DNR orders were used in 22% (n = 2,898) of patients. In analyses examining DNR orders written at any time during hospitalization, unadjusted in-hospital mortality rates were higher in patients with DNR orders than in patients without orders (40% vs. 2%, P<0.001); the adjusted odds of death was 33.9 (95% CI, 27.4-42.0). The adjusted odds of death remained higher in analyses that only considered orders written during the first 2 days (OR 3.7; 95% CI, 3.2-4.4) or the first day (OR 2.4; 95% CI, 2.0-2.9). In stratified analyses, adjusted odds of death tended to be higher in patients with lower propensity scores. CONCLUSION: The risk of death was substantially higher in patients with DNR orders after adjusting for propensity scores and other covariates. Whereas the increased risk may reflect patient preferences for less intensive care or unmeasured prognostic factors, the current findings highlight the need for more direct evaluations of the quality and appropriateness of care of patients with DNR orders.

Aged↗

Community-wide assessment of intensive care outcomes using a physiologically based prognostic measure: implications for critical care delivery from Cleveland Health Quality Choice.

STUDY OBJECTIVES: To examine the applicability of a previously developed intensive care prognostic measure to a community-based sample of hospitals, and assess variations in severity-adjusted mortality across a major metropolitan region. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Twenty-eight hospitals with 38 ICUs participating in a community-wide initiative to measure performance supported by the business community, hospitals, and physicians. PATIENTS: Included in the study were 116,340 consecutive eligible patients admitted to medical, surgical, neurologic, and mixed medical/surgical ICUs between March 1, 1991, and March 31, 1995. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The risk of hospital mortality was assessed using a previous risk prediction equation that was developed in a national sample, and a reestimated logistic regression model fit to the current sample. The standardized mortality ratio (SMR) (actual/predicted mortality) was used to describe hospital performance. RESULTS: Although discrimination of the previous national risk equation in the current sample was high (receiver operating characteristic [ROC] curve area = 0.90), the equation systematically overestimated the risk of death and was not as well calibrated (Hosmer-Lemeshow statistic, 2407.6, 8 df, p < 0.001). The locally derived equation had similar discrimination (ROC curve area = 0.91), but had improved calibration across all ranges of severity (Hosmer-Lemeshow statistic = 13.5, 8 df, p = 0.10). Hospital SMRs ranged from 0.85 to 1.21, and four hospitals had SMRs that were higher or lower (p < 0.01) than 1.0. Variation in SMRs tended to be greatest during the first year of data collection. SMRs also tended to decline over the 4 years (1.06, 1.02, 0.98, and 0.94 in years 1 to 4, respectively), as did mean hospital length of stay (13.0, 12.4, 11.6, and 11.1 days in years 1 to 4; p < 0.001). However, excluding the increasing (p < 0.001) number of patients discharged to skilled nursing facilities attenuated much of the decline in standardized mortality over time. CONCLUSIONS: A previously validated physiologically based prognostic measure successfully stratified patients in a large community-based sample by their risk of death. However, such methods may require recalibration when applied to new samples and to reflect changes in practice over time. Moreover, although significant variations in hospital standardized mortality were observed, changing hospital discharge practices suggest that in-hospital mortality may no longer be an adequate measure of ICU performance. Community-wide efforts with broad-based support from business, hospitals, and physicians can be sustained over time to assess outcomes associated with ICU care. Such efforts may provide important information about variations in patient outcomes and changes in practice patterns over time. Future efforts should assess the impact of such community-wide initiatives on health-care purchasing and institutional quality improvement programs.

APACHE↗

Impact of risk-adjusting cesarean delivery rates when reporting hospital performance.

CONTEXT: Hospitals and health plans are often ranked on rates of cesarean delivery, under the assumption that lower rates reflect more appropriate, more efficient care. However, most rankings do not account for patient factors that affect the likelihood of cesarean delivery. OBJECTIVE: To compare hospital cesarean delivery rates before and after adjusting for clinical risk factors that increase the likelihood of cesarean delivery. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Twenty-one hospitals in northeast Ohio. PATIENTS: A total of 26127 women without prior cesarean deliveries admitted for labor and delivery from January 1993 through June 1995. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Hospital rankings based on observed and risk-adjusted cesarean delivery rates. RESULTS: The overall cesarean delivery rate was 15.9% and varied (P<.001) from 6.3% to 26.5% in individual hospitals. Adjusted rates varied from 8.4% to 22.0%. The correlation between unadjusted and adjusted hospital rankings (ie, 1-21) was only modest (R=0.35, P=.12). Whereas 7 hospitals were classified as outliers (ie, had rates higher or lower [P<.05] than overall rate) on the basis of both unadjusted and adjusted rates, outlier status changed for 5 hospitals (24%), including 2 that changed from outliers to nonoutliers, 2 that changed from nonoutliers to outliers, and 1 that changed from a high outlier to a low outlier. CONCLUSIONS: Cesarean delivery rates varied across hospitals in a single metropolitan region. However, rankings that fail to account for clinical factors that increase the risk of cesarean delivery may be methodologically biased and misleading to the public.

Adolescent↗

Use of intensive care units for patients with low severity of illness.

OBJECTIVE: To determine variations among hospitals in use of intensive care units (ICUs) for patients with low severity of illness. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Twenty-eight hospitals with 44 ICUs in a large metropolitan region. PATIENTS: Consecutive eligible patients (N=104,487) admitted to medical, surgical, neurological, or mixed medical-surgical ICUs from March 1, 1991, to March 31, 1995. OUTCOME MEASURES: The predicted risk of in-hospital death for each patient was assessed using a validated method that is based on age, ICU admission source, diagnosis, severe comorbid conditions, and abnormalities in 17 physiologic variables. Admissions were classified as low severity if the patient's predicted risk of death was less than 1%. In a subset of 12,929 consecutive patients, use of 19 specific interventions typically delivered in ICUs was examined. RESULTS: Twenty thousand four hundred fifty-one admissions (19.6%) were categorized as low severity, including 23.6% of postoperative and 16.9% of nonoperative admissions. Alcohol and other drug overdoses accounted for 40.2% of nonoperative low-severity admissions; laminectomy and carotid endarterectomy accounted for 52.3% of postoperative low-severity admissions. Mortality among patients with low-severity illness was 0.3%, and only 28.6% received an ICU-specific intervention during the first ICU day. Although mean ICU length of stay was shorter (P<.001) in low-severity admissions (2.2 vs 4.7 days in nonoperative and 2.4 vs 4.2 days in postoperative admissions), low-severity admissions accounted for 11.1% of total ICU bed days. Rates of low-severity admissions varied (P<.001) across hospitals, ranging from 5% to 27% for nonoperative and 9% to 68% for postoperative admissions. CONCLUSIONS: A large proportion of patients admitted to the ICU have a low probability of death and do not receive ICU-specific interventions. Rates of low-severity admissions varied among hospitals. The development and implementation of protocols to target ICU care to patients most likely to benefit may decrease the number of low-severity ICU admissions and improve the cost-effectiveness of ICU care.

Adult↗

Associations between the use of do-not-resuscitate orders and length of stay in patients with stroke.

OBJECTIVES: The study sought to describe the association between do-not-resuscitate (DNR) orders and length of hospital stay (LOS), and how the association varies according to in-hospital mortality, timing of the DNR order, and admission severity of illness. METHODS: The authors conducted a retrospective cohort analysis involving standardized review of patients' medical records. The study was performed at 30 acute care hospitals in a large metropolitan area. The authors studied the data of 13,337 consecutive patients with a primary diagnosis of stroke discharged in 1991 through 1994. RESULTS: Do-not-resuscitate orders were written for 22% (n = 2,898) of the sample. In all patients, mean LOS was longer in patients with DNR orders than in patients without orders (12.0 versus 9.5 days; P < 0.001). A series of Cox regression analyses were performed to adjust LOS for admission severity of illness and other covariates. In analyses of patients discharged alive (n = 12,011), LOS was similar in patients with DNR orders written on days 1 to 2 compared with patients without DNR orders. However, LOS was longer in patients with DNR orders written on days 3 to 7 (Hazard Ratio [HR], 1.59; 95% CI, 1.43-1.77) and on day 8 or later (HR, 2.72; 95% CI, 2.34-3.16). In analyses of patients who died (n = 1,326), LOS was shorter for patients with DNR orders written on days 1 and 2 (HR, 0.59; 95% CI, 0.49-0.71) than for patients without DNR orders but was longer among patients with DNR orders written on day 8 or later (HR, 2.58; 95% CI, 2.06-3.22). In analyses stratified by admission severity, the relative effect of a DNR order tended to be less in patients with higher severity. CONCLUSIONS: The relationship between DNR orders and LOS is complex and varies according to in-hospital mortality, the timing of the DNR order, and admission severity of illness. These findings highlight the importance of explicitly accounting for such factors in studies evaluating the implications of DNR orders on the costs of hospital care.

Aged↗

Variation in the use of do-not-resuscitate orders in patients with stroke.

OBJECTIVES: To identify sociodemographic and clinical characteristics associated with the use of do-not-resuscitate (DNR) orders in hospitalized patients with stroke. To examine whether the use of DNR orders varies across hospitals. METHODS: This observational cohort study used data collected for 13337 consecutive eligible patients with a primary diagnosis of stroke. These patients were discharged in 1991 through 1994 from 30 hospitals in a large metropolitan area. Study data were abstracted from patients' hospital records using standard forms. Admission severity of illness was measured using a validated multivariable model. Sociodemographic and clinical factors independently associated with the use of DNR orders were identified using stepwise logistic regression. RESULTS: Do-not-resuscitate orders were written for 2898 patients (22%). Patient characteristics independently (P < .01) associated with increased use of DNR orders included increasing age (odds ratio [OR], 1.06 per year); admission from a skilled nursing facility (OR, 2.44) or through the emergency department (OR, 1.49); cancer (OR, 2.73), intracerebral hemorrhage (OR, 2.12), coma (OR, 7.47), or lethargy or stupor on admission neurological assessment (OR, 3.38); and increasing admission severity (OR; 1.29 per decile). In contrast, African American race was associated with lower use of DNR orders (OR, 0.54). Although substantial variation in the use of DNR orders was observed across hospitals, with rates ranging from 12% to 32%, adjusting for the above patient characteristics eliminated much of this variation, including differences between major teaching and other hospitals and between hospitals with and without religious affiliations. CONCLUSIONS: In our community-based analysis of patients with stroke, the use of DNR orders was common and was strongly related to several patient characteristics. These factors explained much of the variation across hospitals. While our analysis did not account for differences in patient preferences for treatment, the differences we observed in the use of DNR orders across sociodemographic groups are suggestive of variations in care and may have important implications for the cost and quality of hospital care.

Aged↗

Pediatric bone marrow cellularity: are we expecting too much?

PURPOSE: Accurate assessment of marrow cellularity is necessary for establishing diagnoses and monitoring the effects of treatment in a large number of malignant and nonmalignant pediatric illnesses, and for evaluating sibling donors for transplantation. However, normal values for age-related bone marrow cellularity in pediatric patients have not been well established. This study was designed to better define pediatric normal values for bone marrow cellularity. PATIENTS AND METHODS: A retrospective review of 448 bone marrow core biopsy or clot specimens, including 45 samples from healthy donors, were taken from the posterior iliac crest of patients aged from younger than 1 to 18 years (55% male). All samples were collected and fixed in a standardized fashion. Patients with hematopoietic malignancies and other systemic conditions known to impact marrow cellularity were excluded. RESULTS: The mean cellularity of the entire sample was 65.4%. Cellularity was similar in boys and girls, but varied (p < 0.001) with age. Cellularity was highest in patients younger than 2 years (79.8%), and declined in patients 2 to 4 years old (68.6%) and 5 to 9 years old (59.1%). Cellularity remained stable in older patients (60.1% and 61.1%, respectively, in patients 10 to 14 and 15 to 18 years of age). Adjusting for age and gender, mean cellularity was similar in patients with an underlying nonhematologic malignancy compared to health donors but was roughly 6% higher in patients with hematopoietic disorders. CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrates that average cellularity during the first two decades of life, using current techniques of marrow collection and standardized analysis, is lower than previously estimated. In addition, cellularity declined with age until the age of 5 years, but was similar thereafter. After adjusting for age, differences according to diagnosis were relatively small.

Adolescent↗