The issue of risk in complex adaptive systems: the case of low-dose radiation induced cancer.
Living systems exist in hierarchical levels of biological organization, ascending from the basic atomic-molecular level, to the cellular level, the tissue-organ level, and the whole organism. All levels and elements at each level communicate with each other though intricate intra- and intercellular signaling through many specified molecular interactions. These regulate homeostasis between the system levels and their individual elements. The probability of a defined effect at the basic atomic-molecular level per impact increment of a toxic agent, such as ionizing radiation, at that level appears constant at low doses, even if the probability constant may change as a consequence of a previous exposure. Thus, at a given state of the system, the incidence of effect at the atomic-molecular level increases linearly with the number of impact increments in terms of energy deposition events. Primary effects may amplify to damage and there are immediate attempts at repairing the damage from an effect. Amplification and propagation of damage at, and from, the basic to higher levels of biological organization meets resistance, the degree of which per impact increment is not constant. It changes with the number of impact increments. This resistance encompasses both physico-chemical and biochemical reactions. The corresponding biochemical reactions express the physiological system's capacity to respond to perturbations of homeostasis at and between the various levels. Types and degrees of these responses depend on the system and the degree of homeostatic perturbation. At relatively mild to moderate degrees of perturbation, protective responses appear with a delay of hours and may last for months, shield also against endogenous non-radiogenic damage, and in doing so may prevail over radiogenic damage. With increasing degrees of homeostatic perturbation, damage eventually overwhelms adaptive protection. Thus, systems do not respond in a linear function of impact increments at the lowest level of biological organization. For assessing the probability of radiation damage per absorbed dose, i.e., risk, in complex adaptive systems, both damaging and protecting responses need attention, and to exclude one for the other is scientifically unjustified and misleading.