PubMed HealthSearch

Biomedical subjects

L M James

Publications and source records attributed to L M James.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

The return of thalidomide: are birth defects surveillance systems ready?

In the 1960s, thalidomide caused limb deficiencies in thousands of infants worldwide. The limb deficiencies were frequently of the intercalary type. As a result, numerous countries started birth defect surveillance programs. In 1967, the Centers for Disease Control (CDC) started the Metropolitan Atlanta Congenital Defects Program (MACDP), a population-based surveillance system, to provide early warning against new teratogens. Recent studies have shown that thalidomide may be beneficial for a range of conditions, including cancer and AIDS, and it may once again become widely available. Here, we examine the ability of MACDP to detect an increase in the birth prevalence of limb deficiency as an early warning of fetal exposure to thalidomide. We calculated base rates for all limb deficiencies, for bilateral nonsyndromic intercalary or preaxial deficiencies, and for all nonsyndromic intercalary limb deficiencies among Atlanta infants born from 1968 through 1993. We used relative risk estimates from previous studies and a range of pregnancy exposure rates for thalidomide. We tested the statistical power of MACDP to detect subtle changes in the birth prevalence of these defects using Poisson and cumulative sum (CUSUM) techniques. The base rates for all limb deficiencies, for bilateral intercalary or preaxial deficiencies, and for all intercalary limb deficiencies, were 0.53, 0.035, and 0.022/1,000, and the estimated relative risks were 175, 4,570, and 8,180, respectively. We varied the assumed rate of exposure to thalidomide from 1/10,000 to 5/100. With a 1/1,000 exposure rate, both Poisson and CUSUM techniques will detect a rate change in intercalary limb deficiency in about 6 months of monitoring, and a rate change in bilateral intercalary or preaxial deficiencies in about 12 months of monitoring. When monitoring all limb deficiencies, a pregnancy exposure rate of 3.5% or less would go unnoticed by the Poisson method and would take more than 50 years for the CUSUM method to signal an alarm with a 1/1,000 exposure rate. However, for rates of exposure less than 1/1,000, a progressively longer period of time or larger sample are needed to detect a rate change by both methods. Our findings highlight the importance of enlarging the monitored population and correct case classification in birth defects surveillance.

Abnormalities, Drug-Induced

Epidemiology of biliary atresia: a population-based study.

OBJECTIVE: Biliary atresia is the leading cause of extrahepatic obstructive jaundice in the newborn and is the single most frequent indication for liver transplantation in children. The cause of biliary atresia is unknown, although several mechanisms have been postulated to explain the inflammatory process that obliterates the bile ducts. Most interest has been directed toward viral infections. Information about the epidemiologic characteristics of biliary atresia in well-defined populations is lacking but is essential for developing and addressing hypotheses of causation for the disease. METHODS: Infants with biliary atresia were identified in metropolitan Atlanta from 1968 through 1993 by a population-based birth defects surveillance system that ascertains infants with serious birth defects in the first year of life using active case ascertainment. Birth prevalence rates were analyzed for spatial and temporal clustering and effects attributable to county of residence, sex, race, maternal age, parity, and birth weight. Logistic regression was used to study the independent effects of the risk factors and to look for interactions. RESULTS: Fifty-seven infants with biliary atresia were identified, for a rate of 0.73 per 10,000 live births. There was significant seasonal clustering of the disease, with rates three times higher from December through March compared with rates from April through July. Rates were significantly higher among nonwhite infants compared with white infants (0.96 vs 0.44 per 10,000 live births) and infants born at term with low birth weights (<2500 g) compared with infants born at term with normal birth weights (> or = 2500 g) (2.62 vs 0.75 per 10,000 live births). CONCLUSIONS: Our study is the first in the United States to describe the epidemiologic characteristics of biliary atresia using a population-based approach. The demonstration of significant seasonal clustering provides support for theories that biliary atresia may be caused by environmental exposure (consistent with a viral cause) during the perinatal period.

Biliary Atresia

Prevention of folic acid-preventable spina bifida and anencephaly.

The results of the British Medical Research Council's randomized controlled trial proved that folic acid can prevent spina bifida and anencephaly. The trial provided critical scientific data upon which to base public health policy for preventing folic acid-preventable spina bifida and anencephaly. Within weeks of publication of the results, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention in the US developed and issued guidelines for women who had had a pregnancy affected by spina bifida or anencephaly. A year later, the US Public Health Service issued the recommendation that all women of child-bearing age who are capable of becoming pregnant should consume 0.4 mg of folic acid per day. The Public Health Service needed a year to make inferential judgements about dose, target groups, safety, timing of ingestion, and existing and proposed vitamin and drug policies and regulations. Current policy discussions concern whether to permit manufacturers of vitamins or food products to claim that folic acid will prevent folic acid-preventable spina bifida and anencephaly and whether to allow a food staple to be fortified with folic acid.

Anencephaly

On the use of affected controls to address recall bias in case-control studies of birth defects.

Inferences regarding causes of birth defects in humans are often based on results of case-control studies conducted after birth. To address bias in these studies caused by potential differential recall of past exposures between case and control mothers, many investigators have advocated the use of affected controls (babies with birth defects other than the one of interest). To evaluate whether the use of affected controls is warranted for a wide range of scenarios, we analyzed data from a population-based case-control study of birth defects in Atlanta, in which there were 4,918 babies with serious defects ascertained in the first year of life and 3,029 babies without defects. We compared the magnitude of the odds ratios for 10 specific defects--risk factor associations between normal and affected controls. These associations included demographic factors (e.g., advanced maternal age and Down syndrome), chronic maternal illnesses (e.g., diabetes and cardiac defects), chronic exposures (e.g., multivitamins and neural tube defects), and acute exposures (e.g., flu and neural tube defects). In all instances, the use of affected controls did not change etiologic inferences derived from using normal controls and there were only moderate changes in odds ratios. On the basis of theoretical considerations, we show that recall bias can lead to spurious inferences only under extreme conditions. We conclude that concerns about recall bias are overrated in birth defects studies and that the use of normal controls is acceptable unless evidence of substantial recall bias exists.

Case-Control Studies

Population and familial relative risks of disease associated with environmental factors in the presence of gene-environment interaction.

With increasing availability of polymorphic DNA markers, family studies can be used to identify linked susceptibility genes for chronic diseases. Nevertheless, in the presence of gene-environment interaction, the ability of family studies to detect associations between exposures and diseases has not been adequately compared with population studies. The authors derive and compare exposure relative risk measures obtained from population studies with those obtained from studying siblings of affected individuals. For multiplicative joint effects on disease risk between the gene and the exposure, it can be shown that exposure relative risks in siblings are identical to those obtained from the population. For less than multiplicative joint effects (e.g., additive) sibling relative risks are less than population relative risks. However, in the presence of more than multiplicative joint effects, it can be shown that sibling relative risks could be much higher than population relative risks, more so for dominant susceptibility genes than recessive ones, and depend on the model of gene-environment interaction. Under these conditions of strong gene-environment interaction, family studies can be useful in searching for exposure-disease associations, in addition to detecting underlying genetic mechanisms.

Alleles

The changing epidemiology of neural tube defects. United States, 1968-1989.

OBJECTIVE: To describe the recent trends and epidemiologic characteristics of neural tube defects in the United States. RESEARCH DESIGN: Ongoing surveillance data. SETTING: Two birth defect surveillance systems: the nationwide Birth Defects Monitoring Program and the Metropolitan Atlanta (Ga) Congenital Defects Program for 1970 through 1989 and 1968 through 1989, respectively. PARTICIPANTS: Between 1970 and 1989, using discharge diagnoses of approximately 1 million live-born and stillborn infants per year, the Birth Defects Monitoring Program identified 15,503 cases of spina bifida and anencephaly. Between 1968 and 1989, using discharge diagnoses and clinical records until age 1 year of 38,000 infants per year, the Metropolitan Atlanta Congenital Defects Program identified 800 cases of spina bifida and anencephaly. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS/MAIN RESULTS: Nationwide, neural tube defect rates have declined from 1.3 per 1000 births in 1970 to 0.6 per 1000 births in 1989. In Atlanta, neural tube defect rates have declined from 2.0 per 1000 births in 1968 to 0.6 per 1000 births in 1989. Several changes in the epidemiologic characteristics of neural tube defects were observed: (1) the proportion of spina bifida cases has increased; (2) the proportion of neural tube defect cases compared with the proportion of other unrelated defects has increased; (3) the race ratio of whites to other races for isolated neural tube defect cases has declined in Atlanta; and (4) the rate of isolated neural tube defects in females has also decreased. CONCLUSIONS: The declining rates of neural tube defects can be partially explained by increased widespread prenatal diagnostic techniques, strongly suggesting the role of environmental factors in neural tube defects. In particular, the use of multivitamins and folic acid to prevent the occurrence of neural tube defects needs further evaluation. Nevertheless, the changing clinical and epidemiologic characteristics of cases over time points to the etiologic heterogeneity of these conditions.

Anencephaly

Interpretation of recurring weak associations obtained from epidemiologic studies of suspected human teratogens.

Epidemiological studies of suspected human teratogens not infrequently lead to recurring weak or moderate associations (relative risks or odds ratios ranging from greater than 1 to 3 for adverse effects and from 1/3 to less than 1 for protective effects) between specific defects and prenatal exposures. Examples of such associations include cigarette smoking and oral clefts (odds ratios between 1 and 2) and periconceptional multivitamin/folic acid supplementation and neural tube defects (odds ratios from 1/3 to 1). In this paper, we illustrate that low relative risk recurring in well-designed studies may reflect underlying biologic mechanisms and should not be readily dismissed. Low relative risks could be the result of a combination of the following factors: 1) unmeasured confounding, 2) exposure misclassification (often related to the inability to pinpoint relevant dose and timing), 3) outcome misclassification (related to the etiologic heterogeneity of birth defects), 4) biologic interactions (related to teratogenic effects in population subgroups defined by genetic susceptibility or the presence of other exposures), and 5) differential prenatal survival (related to the combined impact of the exposure and the defect on prenatal survival). These issues can be addressed in epidemiologic studies by using biological markers of exposure and susceptibility, dysmorphologic evaluation of affected infants, subgroup analysis for etiologic heterogeneity, a search for biologic interactions, and the use of prospective cohort studies. Finally, low relative risks in the face of common exposures can reflect an important public health contribution of the exposure to the occurrence of the defect in the population.

Abnormalities, Drug-Induced

Quantitative analysis of associations between birth defects and suspected human teratogens.

Case series of infants with certain birth defect patterns and putative teratogenic exposures should be interpreted with caution since the presence of birth defects and the exposure among the same infants could be entirely due to chance. In the absence of other epidemiologic data, the plausibility for a causal association is strengthened by 1) rarity of the defect pattern, 2) rarity of the exposure in the population, 3) small source population, 4) short time period for the study, and 5) biologic plausibility for the association. These concepts are illustrated using case reports of putative teratogenicity of cocaine and etretinate. In the presence of epidemiologic data, the concept of attributable fraction in exposed (AFE) can be used to evaluate the likelihood that the defect pattern among infants with a particular exposure is attributable to the exposure. This quantity is related to the strength of the epidemiologic association between the defect pattern and the exposure, as measured in terms of relative risk R (or odds ratio), and is equal to (R-1)/R. Even for strong teratogens such as maternal diabetes and isotretinoin, where R is about 7, in more than 14% (1-AFE) of exposed infants with birth defects, the pattern of defects is not attributable to the exposure. Furthermore, AFE can be used to "correct" crude measures of sensitivity (the proportion of exposed malformed infants with a defect pattern attributable to the exposure) and positive predictive value (the proportion of malformed infants who have the exposure and have the defect pattern attributable to the exposure).(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

Abnormalities, Drug-Induced

On the measurement and interpretation of birth defect associations in epidemiologic studies.

The extent of clustering of 2 or more defects in the same infant can be expressed as the ratio of the observed number of infants with the defects (O) over the expected number of such infants (E). The expected is usually derived from the product of population rates of individual defects. Because large O/E ratios are obtained for many defect combinations, it has been suggested that clustering of defects is generalized and nonspecific. To control for the tendency of nonspecific clustering of defects, an alternative method is to perform the same calculations among multimalformed infants only. A main limitation of this method is that it adjusts for the clustering tendency of all defects rather than the ones of interest, often resulting in spuriously low O/E ratios. We present a new method to adjust for the tendency for nonspecific clustering between defects that overcomes this limitation. With this method, adjusted O/E ratios are inversely related to the proportion of infants who are multimalformed and have one or more of the defects being examined. Using data from the Metropolitan Atlanta Congenital Defects Program, we apply this method to the previously described associations among VACTERL defects and midline or "schisis" defects. We show that adjusted O/E ratios obtained are greater than those obtained by using multimalformed infants. For midline defects, many of the adjusted ratios were close to one, indicating nonspecific clustering of these defects. Finally, using the example of isotretinoin embryopathy, we show that O/E ratios depend highly on the frequency of exposure in the population, and thus, they should be interpreted with caution.

Abnormalities, Drug-Induced

Temporal trends in the prevalence of congenital malformations at birth based on the birth defects monitoring program, United States, 1979-1987.

The Birth Defects Monitoring Program (BDMP) is a national program that monitors congenital malformations by using hospital discharge data concerning newborns. BDMP data for 38 selected malformations were examined for temporal trends. The prevalence at birth of these malformations for the two periods 1979-1980 and 1986-1987 was compared and then grouped into three time-trend categories: increasing greater than or equal to 2% annually, decreasing greater than or equal to 2% annually, and remaining stable. Results showed that 29 malformations had increasing trends, two had decreasing trends and seven remained stable. Follow-up studies are needed to evaluate whether these trends are real or due to improved ascertainment of the respective malformations.

Anencephaly

The use of attributable fraction in the design and interpretation of epidemiologic studies.

Because of the etiologic heterogeneity present in many diseases and the interaction among causal factors in the development of disease, relative risks relating any one exposure to a disease may be low, especially in the presence of common exposures. Nevertheless, in the design of epidemiologic studies, arbitrary values of relative risks are often used to determine the sample size required to detect an association between a particular exposure and a disease outcome. Such an approach may not yield adequate statistical power to detect an association. In this commentary, the authors point out the value of using the attributable fraction to determine an appropriate value of relative risk to use for sample size calculations. The approach is particularly useful in cluster investigations where the magnitude of the expected attributable fraction can be readily estimated from the observed and expected rates of disease. Specification of an attributable fraction is also useful in the design of case-control studies of etiologically heterogeneous diseases, especially when common exposures are suspected. Finally, the relationship among attributable fraction, relative risk and exposure frequency is valuable in interpreting results of an epidemiologic study and gaining insight into the differences in relative risk estimates found in various studies.

Epidemiologic Methods

Human teratogens, prenatal mortality, and selection bias.

Etiologic inferences on human teratogens are usually derived from case-control studies conducted either at birth or in spontaneous abortion series. Because both teratogens and defects may be associated with an increased risk of prenatal mortality, the possibility exists that selection bias may affect etiologic inferences. The authors derive relations between the true odds ratio (OR) relating a teratogen and a defect at the time of the occurrence of the defect and the apparent odds ratios observed in spontaneous abortion series and at birth, as functions of prenatal mortality. Depending on the pattern of interaction between the teratogen and the defect in affecting the rate of prenatal mortality, selection bias may lead to overestimation or underestimation of the true odds ratio. With increasing multiplicative effects on prenatal mortality, changes in selection bias tend to increase the observed odds ratio in spontaneous abortion series but to decrease the observed odds ratio at birth. For a range of rates of prenatal mortality, weak associations between exposures and defects (OR = 0.3-3) may well be due to selection bias; conversely, weak teratogens (OR less than 3) may be missed in case-control studies of defects conducted at birth. Selection bias due to prenatal mortality must be considered in the interpretation of etiologic studies of birth defects.

Abortion, Spontaneous

Laser balloon angioplasty: effect of exposure duration on shear strength of welded layers of postmortem human aorta.

Laser Balloon Angioplasty (LBA) is a technique that may improve the results of balloon angioplasty by thermally sealing arterial dissections and reducing elastic recoil. To define the relationship between laser-exposure duration and the strength of thermal welds made between separated layers of arterial wall, 360 1-cm discs of human postmortem aorta were lased for six different exposure intervals at three different temperature ranges, comparing shear strength of thermal welds in the different groups. Twenty discs were lased to achieve plateau adventitial temperatures of 95 degrees C-104 degrees C (group A), 105 degrees C-114 degrees C (group B), or 115 degrees C-124 degrees C (group C) at each of the exposure periods (5, 10, 15, 20, 25, and 30 sec). A 400-micron fiberoptic coupled to a 1.06 micron continuous wave neodymium:YAG laser was placed perpendicularly 8 mm above the luminal surface of each disc, which had been split midway between the intimal and adventitial surface and reapposed. Mean laser energy ranged 78-378 J delivered in a decremental stepwise fashion to achieve quickly and maintain the target plateau tissue temperature. Mean weld strength increased in relation to both achieved tissue temperature and laser-exposure duration, with at least 10 sec necessary, at temperatures greater than 95 degrees C, for reliable thermal welding. Laser exposure for greater than 20 sec provided no statistical increment in weld strength. In the anticipated clinical performance of LBA, these data suggest that when thermal fusion of disrupted arterial tissues is desired, a laser-exposure duration of 10-20 sec is optimal.

Angioplasty, Balloon

Plaque-media rewelding with reversible tissue optical property changes during receptive cw Nd:YAG laser exposure.

Laser dosimetry for thermal fusion of plaque-wall separations during laser balloon angioplasty (LBA) is dependent upon the optical properties of the atheromatous arterial wall during one or more exposures to cw Nd:YAG laser radiation. An integrating sphere technique was used to measure relative transmission and reflection continuously during irradiation of human postmortem atheromatous aortic sections. Tissue luminal surface temperature was recorded continuously with a thermographic video imager during repetitive 20-30-sec, 8-15-watt exposure of a 3-mm nominal spot. In all specimens, transmission fell progressively during each exposure by 10-70% of baseline values. This effect was reversible with normalization of transmission during the initial phase of each subsequent exposure. Changes in transmission were inversely related to temperature over a 50-170 degrees C range, whereas relative reflection remained constant. Accompanying reversible transmission changes was the observation that the weld strength of plaque-aortic wall separations was unchanged by repetitive laser welding and tissue separation of individual sections. In conclusion, temperature-dependent reversible optical and physical properties of plaque occur during exposure to 1.06 microns cw laser radiation.

Angioplasty, Balloon