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Lex M Bouter

Publications and source records attributed to Lex M Bouter.

At least 37 records · Page 2Linked to original sources
PubMed2006

Chronic non-specific abdominal complaints in general practice: a prospective study on management, patient health status and course of complaints.

BACKGROUND: While in general practice chronic non-specific abdominal complaints are common, there is insufficient data on the clinical course and the management of these complaints. Aim of this study was to present a primary care based profile of these chronic complaints including health care involvement, health status and clinical course. METHODS: Thirty general practitioners (GPs) and patients from their practices participated in a prospective follow-up study. All patients and GPs were asked to complete questionnaires at baseline and at 6, 12 and 18 months of follow-up. The GPs provided information on diagnostic and therapeutic management and on referral concerning 619 patients with chronic non-specific abdominal complaints, while 291 patients provided information about health status and clinical course of the complaints. RESULTS: When asked after 18 months of follow-up, 51,7% of the patients reported an equal or worsened severity of complaints. General health perception was impaired and patients had high scores on SCL-anxiety and SCL-depression scales. Diagnostic tests other than physical examination and laboratory tests were not frequently used. Medication was the most frequent type of treatment. The persistence of chronic non-specific abdominal complaints was quite stable. CONCLUSION: Once non-specific chronic abdominal complaints have become labelled as chronic by the attending physician, little improvement can be expected. The impact on patients' physiological and psychological well-being is large. GPs use a variety of diagnostic and therapeutic strategies. Research into the evidence base of currently applied management strategies is recommended.

Abdominal Pain↗
PubMed2006

Endothelial dysfunction and low-grade inflammation explain much of the excess cardiovascular mortality in individuals with type 2 diabetes: the Hoorn Study.

OBJECTIVE: The mechanisms responsible for the increased cardiovascular disease risk that accompanies type 2 diabetes (T2D) remain poorly understood. It is commonly held that endothelial dysfunction and low-grade inflammation can explain, at least in part, why deteriorating glucose tolerance is associated with cardiovascular disease. However, there is no direct evidence for this contention. METHODS AND RESULTS: In this population-based study (n=631), T2D was cross-sectionally associated with both endothelial dysfunction and low-grade inflammation, whereas impaired glucose metabolism (IGM) was associated only with low-grade inflammation. These findings were independent of other risk factors that accompany T2D or IGM. During a follow-up of 11.7 years (median; range 0.5 to 13.2 years), low-grade inflammation was associated with a greater risk of cardiovascular mortality (hazard ratio, 1.43 [95% CI, 1.17 to 1.77] per 1 SD difference). For endothelial dysfunction, the association with cardiovascular mortality was stronger in diabetic (hazard ratio, 1.87 [95% CI, 1.43 to 2.45]) than in nondiabetic individuals (hazard ratio, 1.23 [95% CI, 0.86 to 1.75]; P interaction=0.06). Finally, T2D-associated endothelial dysfunction and low-grade inflammation explained approximately 43% of the increase in cardiovascular mortality risk conferred by T2D. CONCLUSIONS: These data emphasize the necessity of randomized controlled trials of strategies that aim to decrease cardiovascular disease risk by improving endothelial function and decreasing low-grade inflammation, especially for T2D patients.

Aged↗
PubMed2006

Clinical prediction rules for the prognosis of shoulder pain in general practice.

Shoulder pain is common in primary care and has an unfavourable outcome in many patients. Information about predictors of outcome is scarce and inconsistent. The objective of this study was to develop clinical prediction rules for calculating the absolute risk of persistent shoulder symptoms for individual patients, 6 weeks and 6 month after the first consultation in general practice. A prospective cohort study with 6 months follow-up was carried out in three geographic areas in The Netherlands. In this study, 587 patients with a new episode of shoulder pain were included. The main outcome measure was persistent symptoms at 6 weeks and 6 months, perceived by the patient. Potential predictors included the results of a physical examination, sociodemographic variables, disease characteristics (duration of symptoms, pain intensity, disability and comorbidity), physical activity, physical workload and psychosocial factors. Response rates to the follow-up questionnaires were 83% at 6 weeks and 92% at 6 months. A longer duration of symptoms, gradual onset of pain and high pain severity at presentation were consistently associated with persistent symptoms at 6 weeks and 6 months. The discriminative validity of our prediction rules was satisfactory with area under the curves of 0.74 (95% CI 0.70, 0.79) at 6 weeks and 0.67 (95% CI 0.63, 0.71) at 6 months. The performance of our rules needs to be tested in other populations of patients with shoulder pain to enable valid and reliable use of the rules in everyday clinical practice.

Algorithms↗
PubMed2006

Are retinal microvascular abnormalities associated with large artery endothelial dysfunction and intima-media thickness? The Hoorn Study.

It has been hypothesized that microvascular dysfunction affects endothelial dysfunction of the large arteries, which may explain the relationship of microvascular disease with macrovascular disease. The aim of the present study was to investigate the relationship of retinal microvascular disorders with endothelium-dependent FMD (flow-mediated vasodilatation) and carotid IMT (intima-media thickness). A total of 256 participants, aged 60-85 years, 70 with normal glucose metabolism, 69 with impaired glucose metabolism and 109 with Type II diabetes, were included in this study. All participants were ophthalmologically examined, including funduscopy and two field 45 degrees fundus photography, and were graded for retinal sclerotic vessel abnormalities and retinopathy. Retinal arteriolar and venular diameters were measured with a computer-assisted method. Brachial artery, endothelium-dependent FMD and carotid IMT were assessed ultrasonically as measurements of endothelial function and early atherosclerosis respectively. After adjustment for age, sex and glucose tolerance status, retinal vessel diameters, retinal sclerotic vessel abnormalities and retinopathy were not significantly associated with FMD. In contrast with other retinal microvascular abnormalities, retinal venular dilatation was associated with increased IMT [standardized beta value (95% confidence interval), 0.14 (0.005-0.25)]. This association was attenuated and lost statistical significance after adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors, in particular after correction for fasting insulin. In the present study, retinal microvascular disorders are not independently associated with impaired FMD. In addition, retinal venular dilatation is associated with increased IMT, although non-significantly after multivariable adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors. Therefore our data provide evidence that retinal microvascular disease is of limited value in risk stratification for future cardiovascular events.

Aged↗
PubMed2006

Sagittal abdominal diameter: no advantage compared with other anthropometric measures as a correlate of components of the metabolic syndrome in elderly from the Hoorn Study.

BACKGROUND: The sagittal abdominal diameter has been proposed as a useful measure by which to estimate abdominal obesity and as being more strongly related to components of the metabolic syndrome than are other anthropometric measures. OBJECTIVE: The objective was to study which anthropometric measure (ie, sagittal abdominal diameter, waist circumference, waist-to-hip ratio, waist-to-height ratio, or body mass index) is the strongest correlate of components of the metabolic syndrome (ie, glucose and lipid concentrations and blood pressure) in the elderly. DESIGN: The Hoorn Study is a population-based cohort study in older Dutch men and women. Cross-sectional data were analyzed. Age-adjusted Pearson correlations of anthropometric measures with components of the metabolic syndrome were calculated in 826 subjects (389 men, 437 women) aged 56-83 y. Analyses were performed with adjustment for age and stratification for sex and age (<65 or >/=65 y). RESULTS: No single anthropometric measure was consistently correlated more strongly with components of the metabolic syndrome than were the other measures in either men or women. The associations were generally stronger in younger subjects than in older subjects and in women than in men. For example, the correlation between sagittal abdominal diameter and postload glucose was 0.35 (P < 0.001) in younger and 0.14 (P = 0.051) in older men, and the correlation between waist circumference and postload glucose was 0.33 (P < 0.001) in older women and 0.14 (P = 0.062) in older men. CONCLUSION: The use of sagittal abdominal diameter has no advantages over simpler and more commonly used anthropometric measures such as the waist circumference in older men and women.

Abdominal Fat↗
PubMed2006

Manual therapy, physical therapy, or continued care by the general practitioner for patients with neck pain: long-term results from a pragmatic randomized clinical trial.

OBJECTIVES: The authors' goals were to compare the effectiveness of manual therapy (MT; mainly spinal mobilization), physical therapy (PT; mainly exercise therapy), and continued care by the general practitioner (GP; analgesics, counseling and education) over a period of 1 year. METHODS: One hundred eighty-three patients suffering for at least 2 weeks from nonspecific neck pain were randomized to receive a 6-week treatment strategy of MT once a week, PT twice a week, or GP care once every 2 weeks. The primary outcome measures were perceived recovery, severity of physical dysfunctioning, pain intensity, and functional disability. RESULTS: The differences between groups considered over 1 year were statistically significant (repeated measurements analyses P<0.001 to P=0.02) for all outcomes but borderline for the Neck Disability Index (P=0.06). Higher improvement scores were observed for MT for all outcomes, followed by PT and GP care. The success rate, based on perceived recovery after 13 weeks, was 72% for MT, which was significantly higher than the success rate for continued GP care (42%, P=0.001) but not significantly higher compared with PT treatment (59%, P=0.16). The difference between PT and GP approached statistical significance (P=0.06). After 1 year the success rates were 75%, 63%, and 56%, respectively, and no longer significantly different. CONCLUSIONS: Short-term results (at 7 weeks) have shown that MT speeded recovery compared with GP care and, to a lesser extent, also compared with PT. In the long-term, GP treatment and PT caught up with MT, and differences between the three treatment groups decreased and lost statistical significance at the 13-week and 52-week follow-up.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2006

The course and prognosis of hip complaints in general practice.

BACKGROUND: The general practitioner needs to discriminate complaints with need of specialist care from those that can be managed in primary care. However, no previous research has studied prognostic indicators for the course of hip complaints in a primary care population. PURPOSE: The purpose of this study was to investigate the course of hip complaints presented in general practice and to identify relevant prognostic indicators of outcome. METHODS: Data were collected by means of self-administered questionnaires containing questions about sociodemographic variables, characteristics of the complaints, and several intraindividual and extraindividual factors, including several psychosocial variables (e.g., pain coping, distress, and kinesiophobia). After 3 and 12 months of follow-up perceived recovery, change in pain intensity and change in functioning were assessed. Multiple regression analyses were performed to investigate the association between the potential prognostic indicators and the 3 outcome measures. RESULTS: We included 139 patients with hip complaints, presented in general practice. Only 24% reported recovery after 3 months, increasing to 37% after 12 months. A history of hip complaints, a longer duration of the current episode of hip complaints, or more severe complaints, were associated with a less favorable prognosis. Furthermore, more vital patients and patients who met the Norm for Healthy Activity had a higher probability of a favorable outcome. Pain transformation and worrying were significant associated with recovery and changes in functioning after 3 months. CONCLUSIONS: Different prognostic indicators were found to be associated with perceived recovery, changes in pain intensity, and changes in functioning. Future research should aim at investigating the mechanisms that can underlie these associations.

Adaptation, Psychological↗
PubMed2006

Associations of adiponectin levels with incident impaired glucose metabolism and type 2 diabetes in older men and women: the hoorn study.

OBJECTIVE: Adiponectin is an adipose tissue-derived protein. Low levels are associated with obesity, insulin resistance, and type 2 diabetes. Our objective was to investigate the prospective association between adiponectin levels and the 6.4-year risk of type 2 diabetes and of impaired glucose metabolism (IGM). RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: The Hoorn Study is a cohort study among Caucasians, aged 50-75 years. BMI, waist-to-hip ratio (WHR), fasting glucose, 2-h glucose, triglycerides, HDL cholesterol, LDL cholesterol, alanine aminotransferase, leptin, and adiponectin were measured at baseline. Lifestyle (alcohol intake, smoking, and physical activity) was assessed by questionnaires. After a mean follow-up of 6.4 years, glucose tolerance was assessed by a 75-g oral glucose tolerance test. Analyses were performed in 1,264 subjects (584 men and 680 women) without type 2 diabetes at baseline. For analyses of incident IGM, 239 subjects with IGM at baseline and/or type 2 diabetes at follow-up were excluded. RESULTS: Age- and lifestyle-adjusted odds ratios and 95% CIs comparing highest with lowest adiponectin quartile were 0.52 (0.23-1.18) in men and 0.15 (0.06-0.39) in women for type 2 diabetes and 0.90 (0.51-1.61) and 0.28 (0.16-0.48) for IGM, respectively. The risks were only slightly reduced after adjustment for WHR and leptin as markers of (abdominal) adiposity. Adjustment for baseline fasting and postload glucose levels (potential mediators) substantially diminished these inverse associations with type 2 diabetes (0.79 [0.32-1.91] and 0.62 [0.21-1.81]) and with IGM (1.20 [0.61-2.35] and 0.48 [0.26-0.90]), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: A high adiponectin level was strongly associated with a lower risk of IGM and type 2 diabetes, particularly in women. These results suggest that adiponectin is involved in the pathophysiology linking obesity to type 2 diabetes.

Adiponectin↗
PubMed2005

Endothelial dysfunction contributes to renal function-associated cardiovascular mortality in a population with mild renal insufficiency: the Hoorn study.

Mildly impaired renal function is associated with cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. There are indications that endothelial dysfunction and/or chronic inflammation, which play an important role in atherothrombosis, are present in early stages of renal insufficiency. This study investigated whether and to which extent endothelial dysfunction and inflammation were related to renal function and contributed to renal function-associated cardiovascular mortality in a population-based cohort (n = 613), aged 50 to 75 yr, that was followed with a median duration of 12.5 yr. During follow-up, 192 individuals died (67 of cardiovascular causes). At baseline, renal function was estimated with serum creatinine, the Cockcroft-Gault formula, and the Modification of Diet in Renal Disease equation of GFR (eGFR). Endothelial function was estimated by plasma von Willebrand factor, soluble vascular cell adhesion molecule-1, and the urinary albumin-creatinine ratio. Inflammatory activity was estimated by plasma C-reactive protein and soluble intercellular adhesion molecule-1. Renal function was mildly impaired (mean eGFR 68 +/- 12 ml/min per 1.73 m(2)) and independently associated with von Willebrand factor (standardized beta -0.09; 95% confidence interval [CI] -0.18 to -0.002; P < 0.05), soluble vascular cell adhesion molecule-1 (standardized beta -0.14; 95% CI -0.22 to -0.05; P < 0.01), and albumin-creatinine ratio (standardized beta -0.15; 95% CI -0.23 to -0.08; P < 0.001) but not with markers of inflammatory activity. Renal function was inversely associated with cardiovascular and all-cause mortality. The relative risk for cardiovascular mortality but not all-cause mortality associated with renal function decreased from 1.22 to 1.12 per 5 ml/min per 1.73 m(2) decrease of eGFR after adjustment for markers of endothelial dysfunction. In conclusion, endothelial dysfunction was related to renal function and contributed to the excess in cardiovascular mortality in this population-based cohort with mild renal insufficiency.

Aged↗
PubMed2005

Comparison of the effectiveness of a behavioural graded activity program and manual therapy in patients with sub-acute neck pain: design of a randomized clinical trial.

The objective is to present the design of a randomized clinical trial (RCT) on the effectiveness and cost effectiveness of a behavioural graded activity programme compared with manual therapy in patients with sub-acute neck pain. Sub-acute is defined as pain existing for 4-12 weeks. The behavioural graded activity programme is a time-contingent increase in activities from baseline towards pre-determined goals. Manual therapy consists mainly of specific spinal mobilization techniques and exercises. The primary outcomes are global perceived effect and functional status. Secondary outcomes are kinesiophobia, distress, coping, depression and somatization. The intensity and persistence of the pain and its interference with activities are also assessed. Direct and indirect costs are measured by means of cost diaries. Measurements take place at baseline and 6 and 12 weeks after randomization. To assess the long-term effect, measurements will also take place after 6 and 12 months. Finally some challenges are discussed concerning the use of a behavioural graded activity programme, manual therapy and outcomes.

Behavior↗
PubMed2005

Course and prognosis of knee complaints in general practice.

OBJECTIVE: Patients frequently present with knee complaints in general practice. Information about the course and prognosis of knee complaints is needed to inform patients and facilitate decisions on referral and treatment. The objective of the study was to assess the course of knee complaints and to identify predictors of outcome in patients visiting their general practitioner with a new episode of knee complaints. METHODS: Data were collected by means of self-administered questionnaires. After 3 and 12 months of followup, the following outcomes were assessed: perceived recovery, change in pain, and change in physical functioning. As potential predictors of outcome, several sociodemographic variables, characteristics of the symptom, baseline scores of the outcome measures, and intra- and extra-individual variables were analyzed using multiple regression analyses. RESULTS: We included 251 patients with a new episode of knee complaints presented in general practice. Only 25% reported recovery after 3 months, increasing to 44% after 12 months. A history of knee complaints, a longer duration of the current episode of knee complaints, other coexisting musculoskeletal complaints, and a higher level of distress were associated with a worse prognosis. In the linear regression models, 41-53% of the variance in pain reduction and improvement in functioning could be explained by the predictors. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curves, estimating the predictive accuracy of the Cox regression models concerning perceived recovery, was 0.77 after 3 months and 0.72 after 12 months. CONCLUSION: Many patients did not recover after 12 months. Distress was found to be strongly associated with less pain reduction and less improvement in functioning.

Cohort Studies↗
PubMed2005

Reproducibility of cervical range of motion in patients with neck pain.

BACKGROUND: Reproducibility measurements of the range of motion are an important prerequisite for the interpretation of study results. The aim of the study is to assess the intra-rater and inter-rater reproducibility of the measurement of active Range of Motion (ROM) in patients with neck pain using the Cybex Electronic Digital Inclinometer-320 (EDI-320). METHODS: In an outpatient clinic in a primary care setting 32 patients with at least 2 weeks of pain and/or stiffness in the neck were randomly assessed, in a test- retest design with blinded raters using a standardized measurement protocol. Cervical flexion-extension, lateral flexion and rotation were assessed. RESULTS: Reliability expressed by the Intraclass Correlation Coefficient (ICC) was 0.93 (lateral flexion) or higher for intra-rater reliability and 0.89 (lateral flexion) or higher for inter-rater reliability. The 95% limits of agreement for intra-rater agreement, expressing the range of the differences between two ratings were -2.5 +/- 11.1 degrees for flexion-extension, -0.1 +/- 10.4 degrees for lateral flexion and -5.9 +/- 13.5 degrees for rotation. For inter-rater agreement the limits of agreement were 3.3 +/- 17.0 degrees for flexion-extension, 0.5 +/- 17.0 degrees for lateral flexion and -1.3 +/- 24.6 degrees for rotation. CONCLUSION: In general, the intra-rater reproducibility and the inter-rater reproducibility were good. We recommend to compare the reproducibility and clinical applicability of the EDI-320 inclinometer with other cervical ROM measures in symptomatic patients.

Adult↗
PubMed2005

Why is a treatment aimed at psychosocial factors not effective in patients with (sub)acute low back pain?

Psychosocial factors have been shown to play an important role in the development of chronic low back pain (LBP). In our recently completed cluster-randomized trial we found, however, no evidence of an effect of our minimal intervention strategy (MIS) aimed at psychosocial factors, over usual care (UC) in patients with (sub)acute LBP. To explore the reasons why, this paper presents an evaluation of the processes presumably underlying the effectiveness of MIS. General practitioner (GP) attitude was evaluated by the Pain Attitudes and Beliefs Scale and two additional questions. GP behaviour was evaluated by analysing treatment registration forms and patients' responses to items regarding treatment content. Patients also scored items on satisfaction and compliance. Modification of psychosocial measures was evaluated by analysing changes after 6 and 52 weeks on the Fear Avoidance and Beliefs Questionnaire, the Coping Strategies Questionnaire and the 4-Dimensional Symptom Questionnaire. A total of 60 GPs and 314 patients participated in the study. GPs in the MIS-group adopted a less biomedical orientated attitude than in the UC-group, but were only moderately successful in identification of psychosocial factors. Treatment contents as perceived by the patient and patient satisfaction differed significantly between both groups. Changes on psychosocial measures, however, did not differ between groups. The suboptimal identification of psychosocial factors in the MIS-group and the absence of a relevant impact on psychosocial factors may explain why MIS was not more effective than UC.

Acute Disease↗
PubMed2005

Scope for improvement in the quality of reporting of systematic reviews. From the Cochrane Musculoskeletal Group.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the quality of reporting in Cochrane musculoskeletal systematic reviews (excluding back and injury reviews). METHODS: This study assessed all the Cochrane Musculoskeletal Group's systematic reviews from Issue 4, 2002, of the Cochrane Library Database of Systematic Reviews. Two reviewers independently extracted data and assessed quality. Two assessment tools were used, including an 18 item checklist and flow chart developed by the Quality of Reporting of Meta-analysis (QUOROM) consensus group, and a 10 item scale, the Oxman-Guyatt Overview Quality Assessment Questionnaire (OQAQ). One question on the latter scale (item 10) scores overall quality on a 7 point scale, with high scores indicating superior quality. Data were analyzed using univariate approaches. RESULTS: The 57 systematic reviews assessed were found to have good overall quality, with scores on individual items revealing only minor flaws. Documenting the flow of included and excluded studies and summarizing the results are 2 areas needing improvement in reporting. According to the Oxman-Guyatt scale the overall scientific quality of the Cochrane musculoskeletal reviews was good [mean 5.02 (95% CI 3.71-6.32)]. CONCLUSION: Our study found that the reporting quality of Cochrane musculoskeletal systematic reviews was generally good, although there was room for improvement. For example, it might be feasible to develop specific guidelines for reporting protocols. Certainly more work is needed in reporting search results, documentation of the flow of studies, identification of the type of studies, and summarization of the key findings.

Evidence-Based Medicine↗
PubMed2005

Prognostic factors for low back pain in patients referred for physiotherapy: comparing outcomes and varying modeling techniques.

STUDY DESIGN: Data were derived from a randomized controlled trial on the (cost-) effectiveness of the implementation of the clinical guidelines on physiotherapy for low back pain in primary care. OBJECTIVES: To describe the course of low back pain in patients who are referred to physiotherapy, to identify clinically important prognostic factors on different outcomes, and to evaluate the influence of different statistical techniques in developing a prognostic model. SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA: Several studies have aimed to identify prognostic factors for low back pain in primary care. These studies focused on different outcome measures and used various statistical techniques. METHODS: Primary outcomes were perceived recovery, improvement in pain, improvement in functioning, and presence of disabling low back pain at 3 and 12 months follow-up. Multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed for each outcome variable. Two cut-off points were used to determine significance with respect to the univariate analysis, and two selection methods were used to build the final multivariate models. The resulting prognostic models were compared. RESULTS: A total of 500 patients were included. Pain and disability reduced considerably in the first 3 months, but further reduction was only modest. Prognostic factors varied for different outcomes, but the duration of the current episode was included in all models generated. Varying the statistical techniques also resulted in a different prognostic model with some change to the amount of variance explained. CONCLUSIONS: A substantial proportion of patients still experienced some pain and disability at 12 months follow-up. The most stable predictor of prognosis in low back pain was the duration of the current episode. The choice of statistical method influenced the final model; however, changes in the explained variance were small.

Adult↗
PubMed2005

Predictors of outcome in neck and shoulder symptoms: a cohort study in general practice.

STUDY DESIGN: An observational prospective cohort study in general practice. OBJECTIVES: To describe the clinical course and to identify predictors of recovery, changes in pain intensity, and changes in functional disability in patients with neck or shoulder symptoms at 3- and 12-month follow-up. SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA: Knowledge on the clinical course and predictors of outcome in neck and shoulder symptoms is limited. Such knowledge would facilitate treatment decisions and may help to inform patients about their prognosis. METHODS: Four hundred and forty-three patients who consulted their general practitioner with neck or shoulder symptoms participated in the study. Baseline scores of pain and disability, symptom characteristics, sociodemographic and psychological factors, social support, physical activity, general health, and comorbidity were investigated as possible predictors of recovery, changes in pain intensity, and changes in functional disability using multiple regression analyses. RESULTS: The recovery rate was low; 24% of the patients reported recovery at 3 months and 32% reported recovery at 12-month follow-up. Duration of the symptoms before consulting the GP and a history of neck or shoulder symptoms increased the probability of an unfavorable outcome. Furthermore, less vitality and more worrying were consistently associated with poorer outcome after 3 and 12 months. The area under the receiver-operator characteristic curve for the model predicting recovery was 0.8 at 3 months and 0.75 at 12 months. The explained variance of the models on pain and functional disability ranged from 43 to 54%. CONCLUSIONS: The results found in this study indicate that besides clinical characteristics, psychological factors also predict the outcome of neck and shoulder symptoms.

Adult↗
PubMed2005

An exploratory analysis of criteria for the metabolic syndrome and its prediction of long-term cardiovascular outcomes: the Hoorn study.

Studies have shown an increased risk of cardiovascular outcomes with the metabolic syndrome, but information on predictive properties of the National Cholesterol Education Program Adult Treatment Panel 3 (NCEP) criteria is sparse. The authors used data from the Hoorn population-based study in the Netherlands including 2,484 participants aged 50-75 years examined in 1989 and followed for cardiovascular morbidity and mortality through 2000 to assess NCEP criteria, excluding known diabetes or cardiovascular disease. Cluster analyses explored whether NCEP identifies a mixture of heterogeneous groups. For each gender, participants meeting NCEP criteria seemed to be divided into clusters distinguished primarily by triglycerides or high density lipoprotein cholesterol. Cutpoints for components predicting cardiovascular events using classification and survival tree methodology varied by endpoint and gender, but Cox model hazards ratios were relatively comparable regardless of cutpoints (range: 1.3-2.5). Clear gradation in risk of cardiovascular outcomes was evident with increasing number of components, with statistically elevated risk for >or=3 (NCEP) components in men but for >or=2 components in women. Exploratory analyses of alternative metabolic syndrome criteria suggest cardiovascular risk estimates comparable to those derived by using NCEP, but criteria evaluating risk on more of a continuum would potentially allow consideration of alternative definitions by gender or for patients with other risk factors.

Aged↗