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Biomedical subjects

Liam Smeeth

Publications and source records attributed to Liam Smeeth.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Endothelial nitric oxide synthase gene polymorphisms and cardiovascular disease: a HuGE review.

This review examines the association of a subset of endothelial nitric oxide synthase gene (NOS3) polymorphisms (Glu298Asp, intron 4, and -786T>C) with cardiovascular disease. The Glu298Asp polymorphism within exon 7 is the only common nonsynonymous variant. The variants have been associated with low plasma nitric oxide concentrations and reduced vascular reactivity; difficulties in measuring those phenotypes means that their functional role remains unclear. A large meta-analysis of NOS3 polymorphisms in coronary heart disease revealed per-allele odds ratios of 1.17 (95% confidence interval: 1.07, 1.28) for Glu298Asp, 1.17 (95% confidence interval: 1.07, 1.28) for -786T>C, and 1.12 (95% confidence interval: 1.01, 1.24) for intron 4. However, there was evidence that small studies with more striking results could affect the associations of the Glu298Asp and -786T>C polymorphisms with coronary heart disease. Associations of NOS3 polymorphisms with hypertension, preeclampsia, stroke, and diabetes remain uncertain. To date, no reliable gene-gene or gene-environmental interactions have been described. Use of these variants in predictive testing is unlikely to be useful, although the population attributable fraction could be substantial if the modest associations are causal. The need for large-scale genetic association studies using tagging polymorphisms is warranted to confirm or refute a role of the NOS3 gene in coronary heart disease.

Cardiovascular Diseases↗

The use of primary care databases: case-control and case-only designs.

Study designs based on the identification of cases are frequently utilized when undertaking epidemiological research. Traditionally these have been mainly based on identification of cases from hospital records. This paper discusses the use of study designs based on the identification of cases focusing on their application to research data derived from primary care. The designs are discussed in the context of using computerized clinical data derived from primary care. The traditional case-control design is considered, with emphasis on the identification of cases and the selection of controls. A common problem when using primary care research databases is that information about potential confounding variables is often limited. Case-only designs, specifically the case-crossover and the within-person case-series, offer alternative designs that aim to overcome problems with confounding. The principles underlying these case-only designs are presented along with examples of their use. The advantages and limitations of the different designs are discussed.

Ambulatory Care Information Systems↗

Is the NEI-VFQ-25 a useful tool in identifying visual impairment in an elderly population?

BACKGROUND: The use of self-report questionnaires to substitute for visual acuity measurement has been limited. We examined the association between visual impairment and self reported visual function in a population sample of older people in the UK. METHODS: Cross sectional study of people aged more than 75 years who initially participated in a trial of health screening. The association between 25-item National Eye Institute Visual Function Questionnaire (NEI-VFQ) scores and visual impairment (defined as an acuity of less than 6/18 in the better eye) was examined using logistic regression. RESULTS: Visual acuity and NEI-VFQ scores were obtained from 1807 participants (aged 77 to 101 years, 36% male), from 20 general practices throughout the UK. After adjustment for age, gender, practice and NEI-VFQ sub-scale scores, those complaining of poor vision in general were 4.77 times (95% CI 3.03 to 7.53) more likely to be visually impaired compared to those who did not report difficulty. Self-reported limitations with social functioning and dependency on others due to poor vision were also associated with visual impairment (odds ratios, 2.52, 95% CI 1.55 to 4.11; 1.73, 95% CI 1.05 to 2.86 respectively). Those reporting difficulties with near vision and colour vision were more likely to be visually impaired (odds ratios, 2.32, 95% CI 1.30 to 4.15; 2.25, 95% CI 1.35 to 3.73 respectively). Other NEI-VFQ sub-scale scores were unrelated to measures of acuity. Similar but weaker odds ratios were found with reduced visual acuity (defined as less than 6/12 in the better eye). Although differences in NEI-VFQ scores were small, scores were strongly associated with visual acuity, binocular status, and difference in acuity between eyes. CONCLUSION: NEI-VFQ questions regarding the quality of general vision, social functioning, visual dependency, near vision and colour vision are strongly and independently associated with an objective measure of visual impairment in an elderly population.

Aged↗

Estimation of bias in nongenetic observational studies using "mendelian triangulation".

PURPOSE: Phenotype-disease odds ratios calculated from the effect of a genotype on its phenotype and on disease risk ("Mendelian triangulation") can be used as a standard to assess bias on the corresponding odds ratio from nongenetic studies. Statistical tests are commonly used to compare these odds ratios. We propose a method to estimate the magnitude of the bias and judge the validity of the phenotype-disease association. METHODS: For four published examples, we obtained 10,000 random values from distributions of the odds ratios from both genetic and nongenetic studies. A range of values compatible with an unbiased odds ratio was then calculated from the empirical distribution of the differences between both odds ratios. RESULTS: We show that estimating a range of likely values for an unbiased odds ratio is useful to judge the effect of the phenotype and identify cases for which information from genetic studies adds little to the evaluation of the phenotype-disease association. Conversely, statistical tests could be misleading. CONCLUSIONS: Estimating a range of values for an unbiased odds ratio is more informative and appropriate than statistical tests when using the Mendelian triangulation approach for assessment of bias in phenotype-disease association studies.

Bias↗

Risk of deep vein thrombosis and pulmonary embolism after acute infection in a community setting.

BACKGROUND: Acute infection increases the risk of arterial cardiovascular events, but effects on venous thromboembolic disease are less well established. Our aim was to investigate whether acute infections transiently increase the risk of venous thromboembolism. METHODS: We used the self-controlled case-series method to study the risk of first deep vein thrombosis (DVT) (n=7278) and first pulmonary embolism (PE) (n=3755) after acute respiratory and urinary tract infections. Data were obtained from records from general practices who had registered patients with the UK's Health Improvement Network database between 1987 and 2004. FINDINGS: The risks of DVT and PE were significantly raised, and were highest in the first two weeks, after urinary tract infection. The incidence ratio for DVT was 2.10 (95% CI 1.56-2.82), and that for PE 2.11 (1.38-3.23). The risk gradually fell over the subsequent months, returning to the baseline value after 1 year. The risk of DVT was also higher after respiratory tract infection, but possible diagnostic misclassification precluded a reliable estimate of the risk of PE after respiratory infection. INTERPRETATION: Acute infections are associated with a transient increased risk of venous thromboembolic events in a community setting. Our results confirm that infection should be added to the list of precipitants for venous thromboembolism, and suggest a causal relation.

Acute Disease↗

Limits to causal inference based on Mendelian randomization: a comparison with randomized controlled trials.

"Mendelian randomization" refers to the random assortment of genes transferred from parent to offspring at the time of gamete formation. This process has been compared to a randomized controlled trial of genetic variants. This could greatly aid observational epidemiology by potentially allowing an unbiased estimate of the effects of gene products on disease outcomes. However, studies utilizing Mendelian randomization to estimate effects of gene products on outcomes should be interpreted with caution. In this paper, the authors discuss some of the challenges facing epidemiologists in the analysis and interpretation of Mendelian randomization studies, particularly those that become apparent when the analogy with randomized controlled trials is closely examined. The authors conclude that Mendelian randomization is a powerful addition to etiologic research tools. However, care must be taken, because drawing valid causal inferences from its application depends upon more extensive assumptions than are required in randomized controlled trials.

Causality↗

Hormone replacement therapy and acute myocardial infarction: a large observational study exploring the influence of age.

BACKGROUND: We examined whether the discrepancy between observational studies and randomized clinical trials (RCTs) on the effect of hormone replacement therapy (HRT) on myocardial infarction (MI) could be explained by differences in age of participants at the time of either HRT initiation or the MI event. METHODS: A matched case-control study was performed using the General Practice Research Database. Cases (n = 22 225) had a first diagnosis of MI between 1987 and 2001; up to six controls (n = 144 085) were matched to each case based on age, sex, and practice. Conditional logistic regression was performed adjusting for traditional cardiovascular risk factors, as well as, cardiovascular drug use and consultation rate. RESULTS: HRT users had a lower overall risk of MI compared with never users [odds ratio (OR): 0.76; 95% confidence interval (95% CI) 0.68-0.86); results were similar for opposed (OR: 0.73; 95% CI 0.68-0.86) and unopposed (OR: 0.79; 95% CI 0.66-0.96) therapy. This apparent benefit increased with older age at HRT initiation(18-44 years: OR = 0.99; 95% CI 0.74-1.33; 45-54 years: OR = 0.84; 95% CI 0.71-1.00; 55-64 years: OR = 0.67; 95% CI 0.54-0.82; 65-74 years: OR = 0.50; 95% CI 0.34-0.74; >75 years: OR = 0.55; 95% CI 0.23-1.32). Moreover, the cardioprotective effect was greater for MIs occurring at older ages (P-value for interaction = 0.003). CONCLUSION: The effect of HRT on MI becomes more pronounced with older age at initiation and at older ages at the time of an MI event. These findings contradict the hypothesis that the apparent protection seen in observational studies was due to the inclusion of younger participants.

Adolescent↗

A road map for efficient and reliable human genome epidemiology.

Networks of investigators have begun sharing best practices, tools and methods for analysis of associations between genetic variation and common diseases. A Network of Investigator Networks has been set up to drive the process, sponsored by the Human Genome Epidemiology Network. A workshop is planned to develop consensus guidelines for reporting results of genetic association studies. Published literature databases will be integrated, and unpublished data, including 'negative' studies, will be captured by online journals and through investigator networks. Systematic reviews will be expanded to include more meta-analyses of individual-level data and prospective meta-analyses. Field synopses will offer regularly updated overviews.

Databases, Factual↗

Autoimmune diseases co-occurring within individuals and within families: a systematic review.

BACKGROUND: Autoimmune diseases have been observed to coexist both within individuals and within families. It is unclear whether clinical reports of comorbid autoimmune diseases represent chance findings or true associations. This systematic review evaluates the current level of evidence on the coexistence of selected autoimmune diseases within individuals and families. We reviewed the associations among 4 TH1-associated autoimmune diseases: insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus, autoimmune (Hashimoto) thyroiditis, rheumatoid arthritis, and multiple sclerosis. METHODS: Studies quantifying the coexistence between the selected diseases, published through March 2004, were identified from Medline and Embase searches. Study eligibility was determined on the basis of preestablished criteria, and relevant data were extracted according to a fixed protocol. We determined the prevalence of comorbid autoimmune disease according to index disease and then compiled summary statistics. Heterogeneity among studies was assessed by exact likelihood ratio tests and Monte Carlo inference. RESULTS: We found 54 studies that met the eligibility criteria. Of these, 52 studies examined the coexistence of disease within individuals and 9 studies examined within-family associations. The majority of studies were uncontrolled and did not account for confounding factors. There was substantial evidence for heterogeneity among studies. Although inconclusive, the data appear to support an increased prevalence of autoimmune thyroiditis among patients with rheumatoid arthritis and those with insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus, and an inverse association between rheumatoid arthritis and multiple sclerosis. CONCLUSION: Although the available evidence does not permit firm conclusions regarding comorbidities among the selected autoimmune diseases, results are sufficiently suggestive to warrant further study.

Arthritis, Rheumatoid↗

Angiotensin-converting enzyme I/D polymorphism and preeclampsia risk: evidence of small-study bias.

BACKGROUND: Inappropriate activation of the renin-angiotensin system may play a part in the development of preeclampsia. An insertion/deletion polymorphism within the angiotensin-I converting enzyme gene (ACE-I/D) has shown to be reliably associated with differences in angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE) activity. However, previous studies of the ACE-I/D variant and preeclampsia have been individually underpowered to detect plausible genotypic risks. METHODS AND FINDINGS: A prospective case-control study was conducted in 1,711 unrelated young pregnant women (665 preeclamptic and 1,046 healthy pregnant controls) recruited from five Colombian cities. Maternal blood was obtained to genotype for the ACE-I/D polymorphism. Crude and adjusted odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) using logistic regression models were obtained to evaluate the strength of the association between ACE-I/D variant and preeclampsia risk. A meta-analysis was then undertaken of all published studies to February 2006 evaluating the ACE-I/D variant in preeclampsia. An additive model (per-D-allele) revealed a null association between the ACE-I/D variant and preeclampsia risk (crude OR = 0.95 [95% CI, 0.81-1.10]) in the new case-control study. Similar results were obtained after adjusting for confounders (adjusted per-allele OR = 0.90 [95% CI, 0.77-1.06]) and using other genetic models of inheritance. A meta-analysis (2,596 cases and 3,828 controls from 22 studies) showed a per-allele OR of 1.26 (95% CI, 1.07-1.49). An analysis stratified by study size showed an attenuated OR toward the null as study size increased. CONCLUSIONS: It is highly likely that the observed small nominal increase in risk of preeclampsia associated with the ACE D-allele is due to small-study bias, similar to that observed in cardiovascular disease. Reliable assessment of the origins of preeclampsia using a genetic approach may require the establishment of a collaborating consortium to generate a dataset of adequate size.

Bias↗

Use of inhaled corticosteroids and the risk of fracture.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have found an association between the use of inhaled corticosteroids and fracture, but the extent to which this association is due to inhaled corticosteroids or to related factors, such as the severity of airflow obstruction, is disputed. We report a new approach in which we combine data on people with airflow obstruction from a large Medical Research Council study of the assessment and management of older people in the community with longitudinal data from their computerized general practice records. METHODS: Our cohort includes 1,671 study participants with a diagnosis of asthma or COPD (mean age, 80.6 years). We determined the dose-response relationship between inhaled corticosteroid exposure and time to first fracture using Cox regression, allowing for a wide range of potential confounding factors. RESULTS: During a mean follow-up period of 9.4 years, 982 patients (59%) received a prescription for an inhaled corticosteroid and 187 patients had a fracture. After adjusting for the effects of age and gender, we found a dose-related increase in fracture risk with exposure to inhaled corticosteroids (rate ratio for mean daily dose > 601 mug, 2.53; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.65 to 3.89; overall trend p < 0.0001). The results were similar after adjusting for oral corticosteroid exposure, airflow obstruction diagnosis, historical fracture, and bronchodilator use (rate ratio, 4.21; 95% CI, 2.19 to 8.13), and also in the subset of people with no exposure to oral corticosteroids (rate ratio, 4.54; 95% CI, 1.23 to 16.74). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings provide further evidence that inhaled corticosteroid use is an independent risk factor for fracture.

Administration, Inhalation↗

Effect of inhibitors of the renin-angiotensin system and other antihypertensive drugs on renal outcomes: systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: A consensus has emerged that angiotensin-converting-enzyme (ACE) inhibitors and angiotensin-II receptor blockers (ARBs) have specific renoprotective effects. Guidelines specify that these are the drugs of choice for the treatment of hypertension in patients with renal disease. We sought to determine to what extent this consensus is supported by the available evidence. METHODS: Electronic databases were searched up to January, 2005, for randomised trials assessing antihypertensive drugs and progression of renal disease. Effects on primary discrete endpoints (doubling of creatinine and end-stage renal disease) and secondary continuous markers of renal outcomes (creatinine, albuminuria, and glomerular filtration rate) were calculated with random-effect models. The effects of ACE inhibitors or ARBs in placebo-controlled trials were compared with the effects seen in trials that used an active comparator drug. FINDINGS: Comparisons of ACE inhibitors or ARBs with other antihypertensive drugs yielded a relative risk of 0.71 (95% CI 0.49-1.04) for doubling of creatinine and a small benefit on end-stage renal disease (relative risk 0.87, 0.75-0.99). Analyses of the results by study size showed a smaller benefit in large studies. In patients with diabetic nephropathy, no benefit was seen in comparative trials of ACE inhibitors or ARBs on the doubling of creatinine (1.09, 0.55-2.15), end-stage renal disease (0.89, 0.74-1.07), glomerular filtration rate, or creatinine amounts. Placebo-controlled trials of ACE inhibitors or ARBs showed greater benefits than comparative trials on all renal outcomes, but were accompanied by substantial reductions in blood pressure in favour of ACE inhibitors or ARBs. INTERPRETATION: The benefits of ACE inhibitors or ARBs on renal outcomes in placebo-controlled trials probably result from a blood-pressure-lowering effect. In patients with diabetes, additional renoprotective actions of these substances beyond lowering blood pressure remain unproven, and there is uncertainty about the greater renoprotection seen in non-diabetic renal disease.

Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme Inhibitors↗

Cause-specific visual impairment and mortality: results from a population-based study of older people in the United Kingdom.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the association between mortality and cause-specific visual impairment in older people. METHODS: Visual acuity and causes of visual impairment were collected in 13 569 participants 75 years and older participating in a randomized trial of health screening. Participants were followed up for mortality for a median of 6.1 years. RESULTS: Compared with those with 6/6 (or 20/20 Snellen) or better visual acuity, the age- and sex-adjusted rate ratio for visually impaired people (binocular visual acuity <6/18 or <20/60 Snellen) was 1.60 (95% confidence interval, 1.47-1.74), which was markedly attenuated (rate ratio, 1.17; 95% confidence interval, 1.07-1.27) after adjustment for confounding factors. People whose visual impairment was due to cataract or age-related macular degeneration had excess risks of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, which disappeared after adjustment. People with refractive error remained at small risk, despite adjustment, probably owing to residual confounding from factors associated with minimal use of eye services rather than underlying eye disease. There were no associations with cancer mortality. CONCLUSION: Associations reported for visual impairment and mortality or for specific causes of visual impairment reflect confounding by comorbidities, risk factors, and other factors related to susceptibility to death rather than an independent biological association of vision problems or specific eye diseases.

Aged↗

Prevalence of cognitive impairment: results from the MRC trial of assessment and management of older people in the community.

BACKGROUND: cognitive impairment is an important part of the diagnostic criteria for dementia. The Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) is recommended to test for cognitive impairment and to monitor medication response. OBJECTIVES: we examined the prevalence of cognitive impairment in the UK and assessed associations with cognitive impairment. DESIGN: cross-sectional survey as part of a cluster randomised trial. SUBJECTS: representative sample of people aged 75 years and over. METHODS: all subjects had a detailed baseline health assessment including the MMSE. RESULTS: a total of 15,051 subjects completed the assessment (71.9%). Almost two-thirds of subjects were female (61.5%) and almost half were aged between 75 and 79 years (47.0%). The prevalence of cognitive impairment was 18.3% (95% confidence intervals (CI) = 16.0-20.9) at a cut-off of 23/24, and 3.3% (95% CI = 2.8-4.0) at 17/18. Those with impairment (MMSE 23/24) were significantly more likely to have hearing (odds ratio (OR) 1.7), vision (OR 1.7) and urinary incontinence problems (OR 1.3), have two or more falls in the previous 6 months (OR 1.4), and report poorer health (OR 1.9). Almost half the participants lived alone (n = 7,073; 47.0%) and of these almost one-fifth were impaired (MMSE 23/24; 19.4%). CONCLUSIONS: there was a high prevalence of cognitive impairment. This representative sample demonstrates the potential burden of disease and service demands. It supports the need for a broader assessment of functioning as recommended by the National Service Framework for Older People, particularly in people with cognitive impairment.

Age Factors↗

Risk of myocardial infarction and stroke after acute infection or vaccination.

BACKGROUND: There is evidence that chronic inflammation may promote atherosclerotic disease. We tested the hypothesis that acute infection and vaccination increase the short-term risk of vascular events. METHODS: We undertook within-person comparisons, using the case-series method, to study the risks of myocardial infarction and stroke after common vaccinations and naturally occurring infections. The study was based on the United Kingdom General Practice Research Database, which contains computerized medical records of more than 5 million patients. RESULTS: A total of 20,486 persons with a first myocardial infarction and 19,063 persons with a first stroke who received influenza vaccine were included in the analysis. There was no increase in the risk of myocardial infarction or stroke in the period after influenza, tetanus, or pneumococcal vaccination. However, the risks of both events were substantially higher after a diagnosis of systemic respiratory tract infection and were highest during the first three days (incidence ratio for myocardial infarction, 4.95; 95 percent confidence interval, 4.43 to 5.53; incidence ratio for stroke, 3.19; 95 percent confidence interval, 2.81 to 3.62). The risks then gradually fell during the following weeks. The risks were raised significantly but to a lesser degree after a diagnosis of urinary tract infection. The findings for recurrent myocardial infarctions and stroke were similar to those for first events. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings provide support for the concept that acute infections are associated with a transient increase in the risk of vascular events. By contrast, influenza, tetanus, and pneumococcal vaccinations do not produce a detectable increase in the risk of vascular events.

Acute Disease↗