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Biomedical subjects

M A Espeland

Publications and source records attributed to M A Espeland.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources
PubMed2003

Baseline experience with Modified Mini Mental State Exam: The Women's Health Initiative Memory Study (WHIMS).

The Modified Mini Mental State Exam (3MS) is widely used for screening global cognitive functioning, however little is known about its performance in clinical trials. We report the distribution of 3MS scores among women enrolled in the Women's Health Initiative Memory Study (WHIMS) and describe differences in these scores associated with age, education, and ethnicity. The 3MS exams were administered to 7,480 women aged 65-80 who had volunteered for and were eligible for a clinical trial on postmenopausal hormone therapy. General linear models were used to describe demographic differences among scores. Factor analysis was used to characterize the correlational structure of exam subscales.The distribution of 3MS scores at baseline was compressed in WHIMS compared to population-based data. Mean 3MS scores (overall 95.1) tended to decrease with age and increase with education, however these associations varied among ethnic groups (p< 0.0001) even after adjustment for health, physical disability and occupation attainment. Four factors accounted for 37% of the total variance. Each varied with education and ethnicity; the two most prominent factors also varied with age. Despite relatively narrow distributions in WHIMS, baseline 3MS scores retained associations with age and education. These associations varied among ethnic groups, so that care must be taken in comparing data across populations.

Aged↗
PubMed2001

Group comparisons involving missing data in clinical trials: a comparison of estimates and power (size) for some simple approaches.

When using 'intent-to-treat' approaches to compare outcomes between groups in clinical trials, analysts face a decision regarding how to account for missing observations. Most model-based approaches can be summarized as a process whereby the analyst makes assumptions about the distribution of the missing data in an attempt to obtain unbiased estimates that are based on functions of the observed data. Although pointed out by Rubin as often leading to biased estimates of variances, an alternative approach that continues to appear in the applied literature is to use fixed-value imputation of means for missing observations. The purpose of this paper is to provide illustrations of how several fixed-value mean imputation schemes can be formulated in terms of general linear models that characterize the means of distributions of missing observations in terms of the means of the distributions of observed data. We show that several fixed-value imputation strategies will result in estimated intervention effects that correspond to maximum likelihood estimates obtained under analogous assumptions. If the missing data process has been correctly characterized, hypothesis tests based on variances estimated using maximum likelihood techniques asymptotically have the correct size. In contrast, hypothesis tests performed using the uncorrected variance, obtained by applying standard complete data formula to singly imputed data, can provide either conservative or anticonservative results. Surprisingly, under several non-ignorable non-response scenarios, maximum likelihood based analyses can yield equivalent hypothesis tests to those obtained when analysing only the observed data.

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PubMed2001

Statistical issues in analyzing 24-hour dietary recall and 24-hour urine collection data for sodium and potassium intakes.

Dietary recalls and urine assays provide different metrics for assessing sodium and potassium intakes. Means, variances, and correlations of data obtained from these two modes of measurement differ. Pooling of these data is not straightforward, and results from studies employing the different modes may not be comparable. To explore differences between these metrics, the authors used data from the Trial of Nonpharmacologic Intervention in the Elderly (TONE), which included repeated standardized 24-hour dietary recalls and 24-hour urine collections administered over 3 years of follow-up, to estimate sodium and potassium intakes. The authors examined data from 341 control participants assigned to usual care that were collected between August 1992 and December 1995. Dietary recalls yielded estimates of sodium intake that averaged 22% less than those from urine assays and estimates of potassium intake that averaged 16% greater than those from urine assays. Sodium intake estimates were less repeatable (r = 0.22 for diet; r = 0.30 for urine) than potassium intake estimates (r = 0.49 for diet; r = 0.50 for urine), making relations with outcomes more difficult to characterize. Overall, the performance of the two measurement modes was fairly similar across demographic subgroups. Errors in separate estimations of long term sodium and potassium intakes using short term data were strongly correlated, more strongly than the underlying long term intakes of these electrolytes. Because of the correlated measurement error, estimated regression coefficients for linear models including both electrolytes as predictors may be confounded such that the separate relations between these nutrients and outcomes such as blood pressure cannot be reliably estimated by common analytical strategies.

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PubMed2001

Effects of reduced sodium intake on hypertension control in older individuals: results from the Trial of Nonpharmacologic Interventions in the Elderly (TONE).

BACKGROUND: Few trials have evaluated the effects of reduced sodium intake in older individuals, and no trial has examined the effects in relevant subgroups such as African Americans. PATIENTS AND METHODS: The effects of sodium reduction on blood pressure (BP) and hypertension control were evaluated in 681 patients with hypertension, aged 60 to 80 years, randomly assigned to a reduced sodium intervention or control group. Participants (47% women, 23% African Americans) had systolic BP less than 145 mm Hg and diastolic BP less than 85 mm Hg while taking 1 antihypertensive medication. Three months after the start of intervention, medication was withdrawn. The primary end point was occurrence of an average systolic BP of 150 mm Hg or more, an average diastolic BP of 90 mm Hg or more, the resumption of medication, or a cardiovascular event during follow-up (mean, 27.8 months). RESULTS: Compared with control, mean urinary sodium excretion was 40 mmol/d less in the reduced sodium intervention group (P<.001); significant reductions in sodium excretion occurred in subgroups defined by sex, race, age, and obesity. Prior to medication withdrawal, mean reductions in systolic and diastolic BPs from the reduced sodium intervention, net of control, were 4.3 mm Hg (P<.001) and 2.0 mm Hg (P =.001). During follow-up, an end point occurred in 59% of reduced sodium and 73% of control group participants (relative hazard ratio = 0.68, P<.001). In African Americans, the corresponding relative hazard ratio was 0.56 (P =.005); results were similar in other subgroups. In dose-response analyses, end points were progressively less frequent with greater sodium reduction (P for trend =.002). CONCLUSION: A reduced sodium intake is a broadly effective, nonpharmacologic therapy that can lower BP and control hypertension in older individuals.

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PubMed2001

Lifestyle interventions influence relative errors in self-reported diet intake of sodium and potassium.

PURPOSE: To characterize the distribution of errors in self-reported sodium and potassium dietary intakes relative to more objective urine measures among participants receiving lifestyle interventions. METHODS: We analyzed longitudinal data from 900 individuals with hypertension who had been enrolled in a randomized controlled clinical trial to establish whether usual care or three lifestyle interventions (weight loss, sodium reduction, and combined weight loss and sodium reduction) could effectively substitute for phamacotherapy. Repeated standardized 24-hour diet recalls and 24-hour urine collections were collected over up to three years of follow-up to estimate sodium and potassium intakes. By contrasting self-reported and urine-based sodium and potassium data collected before and during interventions, we examined the relative impact of intervention assignment on estimated intakes, repeatability, and multivariate measurement error. RESULTS: Relative to urine-based measures, mean self-reported sodium intakes were biased about 10% lower among participants assigned to combined weight loss and sodium reduction, but were unaffected by the other interventions. The repeatability of self-report measures increased slightly with time, particularly among participants assigned to sodium interventions. Errors in self-reported sodium and potassium intakes were correlated before the start of the intervention, but became uncorrelated among individuals assigned to sodium restriction interventions. CONCLUSIONS: Lifestyle interventions may influence not only diet intake, but also the measurement of diet intake.

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PubMed2001

Estrogen replacement and brachial artery flow-mediated vasodilation in older women.

It remains unclear whether estrogen therapy (with or without progestin) improves endothelial function in older postmenopausal women with or at risk for coronary heart disease. To address this issue, we analyzed brachial artery flow-mediated vasodilation in the Cardiovascular Health Study, a longitudinal study of cardiovascular risk factors in subjects over 65 years of age. At the tenth annual Cardiovascular Health Study examination, 1662 women returned for follow-up. Eighteen percent (n=291) were current users of estrogen replacement, most of whom (75.9%, n=221) took unopposed estrogen. Brachial artery ultrasound examinations measuring vasodilation in response to a flow stimulus (hyperemia) were performed on 1636 women. There were no statistical differences in brachial flow-mediated vasodilator responses between users and nonusers, even after adjustment for potential confounders. Absence of an effect was most notable in women over 80 years old and in those with established cardiovascular disease. However, among women without clinical or subclinical cardiovascular disease or its risk factors, there was a significant association between hormone replacement therapy use and flow-mediated vasodilator responses (P=0.01). Among older postmenopausal women, favorable vascular effects of estrogen may be limited to those who have not yet developed atherosclerotic vascular disease. These data emphasize the importance of ongoing efforts to determine the role of hormone replacement therapy for primary prevention of cardiovascular disease.

Aged↗
PubMed2001

Brachial flow-mediated vasodilator responses in population-based research: methods, reproducibility and effects of age, gender and baseline diameter.

BACKGROUND: Brachial artery ultrasound has been proposed as an inexpensive, accurate way to assess cardiovascular risk in populations. However, analysis and interpretation of these data are not uniform. METHODS: We analysed the relationship between relative and absolute changes in brachial artery diameter in response to flow-mediated dilation and age, gender and baseline diameter among 4,040 ultrasound examinations from subjects aged 14 to 98 years. RESULTS: Reproducibility studies demonstrated intra- and interreader and intrasubject correlations from 0.67 to 0.84 for repeated measures of per cent change in diameter. Per cent change in diameter after flow stimulus was 3.58 +/- 0.10% (mean +/- standard deviation). Corresponding values for baseline diameter and absolute change in diameter were 4.43 +/- 0.87 mm and 0.15 +/- 0.01 mm, respectively. Baseline diameter and its variance were inversely related to per cent change in diameter (P< 0.001). In contrast, absolute change in diameter was more uniform throughout the range of baseline diameters. Baseline diameter was directly related, and per cent change in diameter inversely related, to age (P < 0.001 for all three measures). Time to maximum vasodilator response increased with age (P < 0.001). Women (n=2,315) had significantly larger per cent change in diameter than men (n=1,725) (P < 0.001). However, after adjustment for age and baseline diameter, per cent and absolute change were 5% smaller in women than men (P < 0.05 for both). In multivariate analysis, age was overwhelmingly the most important determinant of absolute change in diameter (P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Automated analysis of brachial flow-mediated vasodilator responses is both feasible and reproducible in large-scale clinical and population-based research.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2001

Validation of virtual colonoscopy in the detection of colorectal polyps and masses: rationale for proper study design.

BACKGROUND: Colorectal cancer, the second-leading cause of cancer-related mortality, is a preventable malignancy in many cases. Despite the availability of several screening modalities, compliance with screening recommendations remains unacceptably low. Virtual colonoscopy is a novel, minimally-invasive technique with the potential to increase colorectal cancer screening rates, but its effectiveness must first be validated. Published studies comparing virtual colonoscopy to conventional colonoscopy have reported varying results. These discrepancies may be attributed to differences in bowel preparation and scanning techniques, as well as errors in endoscopic lesion measurement, endoscopic colonic segmental localization, and the ability of conventional colonoscopy to actually detect lesions. These methodological issues can affect scientific results and ultimately affect the public's perception of this emerging technique. AIM: The goal of this report is to expose existing methodological shortcomings and propose solutions incorporated in this study design. This article describes the rationale, study design, and outcome definitions of a single-center, blinded, direct comparative trial aiming at assessing the ability of virtual colonoscopy to detect colorectal polyps and masses relative to the criterion standard, conventional colonoscopy. DESIGN FEATURES: Bowel preparation was standardized using oral sodium phosphate lavage, orally administered iodinated contrast, and controlled colonic insufflation. Segmental unblinding allowed a second-look when results were discrepant and polyp matching was performed using an algorithm based on segmental localization and lesion size determination. CONCLUSIONS: This methodology could be applied to other studies assessing the accuracy of virtual colonoscopy in order to have uniformity of results.

Colonic Polyps↗
PubMed2000

Effect of voluntary weight loss on bone mineral density in older overweight women.

OBJECTIVES: To examine the effect of diet and exercise-induced weight loss on bone mineral density in overweight postmenopausal women DESIGN: A 1-year prospective, randomized clinical trial. SETTING: Two university medical school research centers. PARTICIPANTS: Sixty-seven overweight postmenopausal women, a subset of the women who participated in the Trial of Nonpharmacological Interventions in the Elderly (TONE) to control hypertension. The participants were assigned randomly to one of four groups: usual care, weight loss only, sodium restriction only, or combined weight loss/sodium restriction. INTERVENTION: All TONE participants in the treatment groups attended regular dietary intervention sessions to lose weight, reduce sodium intake, or both that they might refrain from using antihypertensive medications for a period of 15 to 36 months (median = 29 months). MEASUREMENTS: Bone mineral density (BMD) assessed by dual energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA), serum and urine markers of bone metabolism, and other demographic and clinical data were collected at baseline, 6 months, and 12 months. RESULTS: Women assigned to the weight loss interventions lost 9.2 +/- 1.2 lbs (mean +/- SE) at 6 months and 7.7 +/- 2.0 lbs at 12 months compared with 1.8 +/- 1.0 lbs at 6 months and 1.9 +/- 1.6 lbs at 12 months for those assigned to no weight loss intervention (P < .0001). Weight loss was correlated with a decrease in total body BMD (P = .004) and an increase in osteocalcin (P = .004) after controlling for baseline bone measures, intervention assignment, and other baseline covariates. Regression analyses indicated that total body BMD decreased by 6.25 +/- 2.06 g/cm2 x 10-4 for each pound of weight loss. CONCLUSIONS: Voluntary weight loss in overweight postmenopausal women is associated with modest decrease in total body BMD. Clinicians recommending weight loss for older postmenopausal women may need to include recommendations for reducing the risk of bone loss.

Absorptiometry, Photon↗
PubMed1999

Effects of lovastatin and warfarin on early carotid atherosclerosis: sex-specific analyses. Asymptomatic Carotid Artery Progression Study (ACAPS) Research Group.

BACKGROUND: Few clinical trials have documented the efficacy of preventive treatment in asymptomatic women. METHODS AND RESULTS: Lovastatin and minidose warfarin were evaluated in a factorially designed, placebo-controlled, randomized trial. The primary outcome was 3-year change in the mean maximum intimal-medial thickness of the carotid arteries as measured by B-mode ultrasonography. Participants (n=919) were randomized to 1 of 4 treatment groups: lovastatin alone, warfarin alone, lovastatin+warfarin combination, or a double-placebo group. Eligible participants were asymptomatic for cardiovascular disease, with evidence of early carotid atherosclerosis and moderately elevated LDL cholesterol level. Almost half (n=445) of the participants were women. To avoid confounding, 117 women taking estrogen were excluded from analysis. Both sexes experienced reductions in disease progression with lovastatin; there was no evidence of an overall sex x treatment interaction (P=0.72). When estimates of the sex-specific results were examined post hoc, women experienced disease regression to the greatest extent with the lovastatin + warfarin combination (P=0.02), although the women on lovastatin alone also had a reduction in progression (P=0.09). Men experienced the greatest reduction with lovastatin alone (P=0.02), although there is a suggestion that warfarin may also reduce progression to some extent. CONCLUSIONS: Lovastatin is beneficial in reducing disease progression in women and men. Warfarin has no effect in women, although it may reduce progression in men. In men, warfarin does not add to the benefit of lovastatin and has no advantage over lovastatin alone.

Adult↗
PubMed1999

1996 Remington lecture: modeling multivariate longitudinal data that are incomplete.

PURPOSE: We describe the impact that missing data may have on model selection for longitudinal multivariate data. METHODS: Maximum likelihood was used to fit several models to ultrasonographic measurements from the Asymptomatic Carotid Artery Progression Study (ACAPS). Graphical techniques were used to examine evidence concerning the underlying missing data mechanisms associated with each model. RESULTS: Using statistical methodology that addressed missing data substantially increased the statistical efficiency of our analysis of ultrasonographic data. Only complex models that included segment-specific parameterizations for longitudinal correlations appeared to allow missing data to be assumed to occur at random. CONCLUSION: Ignoring the nature of missing data in conducting statistical analyses can have serious consequences when missingness is not rare. It may be necessary to fit models of high dimension with maximum likelihood techniques to address missing data appropriately, however these approaches may improve statistical efficiency.

Carotid Stenosis↗
PubMed1999

Associations of risk factors with segment-specific intimal-medial thickness of the extracranial carotid artery.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: It is generally assumed that risk factors affect extracranial carotid intimal-medial thickness similarly among all arterial segments. This assumption underlies use of single segments or walls of segments as outcome variables for risk factor studies and clinical trials. However, if the impact of risk factors was unequal for various segments or circumferentially asymmetrical within segments, then inferences drawn from a single segment or wall might not be generalizable; furthermore, since individual segments and walls have unique histological characteristics and are differentially exposed to turbulent flow, risk factor relationships with a particular segment or wall may provide inferences regarding pathogenesis of atherosclerosis. METHODS: We evaluated associations of risk factors with intimal-medial thickness at the near and far walls of the common carotid artery, bifurcation, and internal carotid artery in 280 individuals older than 45 years equally divided between coronary artery disease cases and controls and between men and women. RESULTS: The patterns of differences in mean intimal-medial thickness among segments vary, depending on age, history of hypertension, body mass index in women, and coronary (case-control) status. The asymmetry of disease depended on blood glucose concentrations, prior history of diabetes, smoking, and coronary status. Sex, postmenopausal status, LDL cholesterol, systolic blood pressure, and history of myocardial infarction all had statistically significant relationships with intimal-medial thickness that were fairly homogeneous among arterial sites. CONCLUSIONS: Focus on an individual segments or walls of the extracranial carotid arteries may lead to overestimation or underestimation of associations of risk factors with extracranial carotid intimal-medial thickness.

Aged↗
PubMed1998

Does withdrawal of antihypertensive medication increase the risk of cardiovascular events? Trial of Nonpharmacologic Interventions in the Elderly (TONE) Cooperative Research Group.

The Fifth Report of the Joint National Committee on Detection, Evaluation, and Treatment of High Blood Pressure recommends that attempts to discontinue antihypertensive drug therapy be considered after blood pressure (BP) has been controlled for 1 year. However, discontinuation of drug therapy could unmask underlying conditions and precipitate clinical cardiovascular events. The Trial of Nonpharmacologic Interventions in the Elderly (TONE) was a clinical trial of the efficacy of weight loss and/or sodium reduction in controlling BP after withdrawal of drug therapy in patients with a BP< 145/85 mm Hg on 1 antihypertensive medication. Of 975 participants, 886 entered the drug withdrawal phase of the trial and 774 were successfully withdrawn from their medications. Thirty-three events (stroke, transient ischemic attack, myocardial infarction, arrhythmia, congestive heart failure, angina, other) occurred between randomization and the onset of drug withdrawal (median time 3.6 months), 57 events occurred either during or after drug withdrawal (14.0 months), and 36 events occurred after resumption of antihypertensive therapy (15.9 months). Event rates per 100 person-years were 5.5, 5.5, and 6.8 for the 3 time periods (p=0.84) in the nonoverweight group and 7.2, 5.2, and 5.6 (p=0.08) in the overweight group. The study shows that antihypertensive medication can be safely withdrawn in older persons without clinical evidence of cardiovascular disease who do not have diastolic pressure > or = 150/90 mm Hg at withdrawal, providing that good BP control can be maintained with nonpharmacologic therapy.

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PubMed1998

Sodium reduction and weight loss in the treatment of hypertension in older persons: a randomized controlled trial of nonpharmacologic interventions in the elderly (TONE). TONE Collaborative Research Group.

CONTEXT: Nonpharmacologic interventions are frequently recommended for treatment of hypertension in the elderly, but there is a paucity of evidence from randomized controlled trials in support of this recommendation. OBJECTIVE: To determine whether weight loss or reduced sodium intake is effective in the treatment of older persons with hypertension. DESIGN: Randomized controlled trial. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 975 [corrected] men and women aged 60 to 80 years with systolic blood pressure lower than 145 mm Hg and diastolic blood pressure lower than 85 mm Hg while receiving treatment with a single antihypertensive medication. SETTING: Four academic health centers. INTERVENTION: The 585 obese participants were randomized to reduced sodium intake, weight loss, both, or usual care, and the 390 nonobese participants were randomized to reduced sodium intake or usual care. Withdrawal of antihypertensive medication was attempted after 3 months of intervention. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Diagnosis of high blood pressure at 1 or more follow-up visits, or treatment with antihypertensive medication, or a cardiovascular event during follow-up (range, 15-36 months; median, 29 months). RESULTS: The combined outcome measure was less frequent among those assigned vs not assigned to reduced sodium intake (relative hazard ratio, 0.69; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.59-0.81; P<.001) and, in obese participants, among those assigned vs not assigned to weight loss (relative hazard ratio, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.57-0.87; P<.001). Relative to usual care, hazard ratios among the obese participants were 0.60 (95% CI, 0.45-0.80; P<.001) for reduced sodium intake alone, 0.64 (95% CI, 0.49-0.85; P=.002) for weight loss alone, and 0.47 (95% CI, 0.35-0.64; P<.001) for reduced sodium intake and weight loss combined. The frequency of cardiovascular events during follow-up was similar in each of the 6 treatment groups. CONCLUSION: Reduced sodium intake and weight loss constitute a feasible, effective, and safe nonpharmacologic therapy of hypertension in older persons.

Aged↗
PubMed1998

Effect of postmenopausal hormone therapy on lipoprotein(a) concentration. PEPI Investigators. Postmenopausal Estrogen/Progestin Interventions.

BACKGROUND: Postmenopausal hormone therapy has been reported to decrease levels of lipoprotein (Lp)(a) in cross-sectional studies and small or short-term longitudinal studies. We report findings from a large, prospective, placebo-controlled clinical trial that allows a broad characterization of these effects for four regimens of hormone therapy. METHODS AND RESULT: The Postmenopausal Estrogen/Progestin Interventions study was a 3-year, placebo-controlled, randomized clinical trial to assess the effect of hormone regimens on cardiovascular disease risk factors in postmenopausal women 45 to 65 years of age. The active regimens were conjugated equine estrogens therapy at 0.625 mg daily, alone or in combination with each of three regimens of progestational agents: medroxyprogesterone acetate (MPA) at 2.5 mg daily (ie, continuous MPA), MPA at 10 mg days 1 to 12 (ie, cyclical MPA), and micronized progesterone at 200 mg days 1 to 12. Plasma levels of Lp(a) were measured at baseline (n = 366), 12 months (n = 354), and 36 months (n = 342). Assignment to hormone therapy resulted in a 17% to 23% average drop in Lp(a) concentrations relative to placebo (P<.0001), which was maintained across 3 years of follow-up. No significant differences were observed among the four active arms. Changes in Lp(a) associated with hormone therapy were positively correlated with changes in LDL cholesterol, total cholesterol, apolipoprotein B, and fibrinogen levels and were similar across subgroups defined by age, weight, ethnicity, and prior hormone use. CONCLUSIONS: Postmenopausal estrogen therapy, with or without concomitant progestin regimens, produces consistent and sustained reductions in plasma Lp(a) concentrations.

Aged↗
PubMed1998

The Women's Health Initiative Memory Study (WHIMS): a trial of the effect of estrogen therapy in preventing and slowing the progression of dementia.

Evidence from animal, human cross-sectional, case-control, and prospective studies indicate that hormone replacement therapy (HRT) is a promising treatment to delay the onset of symptoms of dementia. The Women's Health Initiative Memory Study (WHIMS) is the first double-masked, randomized, placebo-controlled, long-term clinical trial designed to test the hypothesis that HRT reduces the incidence of all-cause dementia in women aged 65 and older. WHIMS, an ancillary study to the Women's Health Initiative (WHI) funded by the National Institutes of Health, will recruit a subgroup of women aged 65 and older from among those enrolling in the HRT trial of the WHI. The WHI clinical centers and 10 affiliated satellites plan to enroll approximately 8300 women into WHIMS over a 2-year period. Participants will be followed annually for 6 years, receiving cognitive assessments via the Modified Mini-Mental State (3MS) Examination. Women who screen positively for cognitive impairment on the basis of an educational and age-adjusted 3MS cutpoint proceed to more extensive neuropsychological testing and neurologic evaluation. Each woman suspected to have dementia then undergoes a series of laboratory tests that confirm the clinical diagnosis and classify the type of dementia. WHIMS is designed to provide more than 80% statistical power to detect a 40% reduction in the rate of all-cause dementia, an effect that could have profound public health implications for older women's health and functioning.

Aged↗
PubMed1998

Agreement in assessing endometrial pathology: the Postmenopausal Estrogen/Progestin Interventions (PEPI) Trial.

We report on agreement in interpreting endometrial biopsy specimens between the local and central pathologists of the Postmenopausal Estrogen/Progestin Interventions (PEPI) trial. This trial was a 3-year, multicenter, randomized, double-masked, placebo-controlled trial of four groups taking estrogen or estrogen/progestin combinations. A total of 1804 follow-up biopsies were performed in 596 subjects. Relative sensitivity and relative specificity using the diagnosis from the central pathologist as the gold standard and overall agreement are presented. Almost 90% of the diagnoses were reported normal by both readers. There were significant differences in agreement among clinics and treatment arms (p < 0.0001). The visit at which the biopsy specimen was obtained, age at baseline, prior postmenopausal estrogen use, parity, and drug adherence were not associated with agreement between the two readers. Higher proportions of disagreement were seen in two clinics (13% and 11%) compared with the other five clinics (2%-5%). Biopsy specimens from participants who were taking conjugated equine estrogens (CEE) only were more likely to be diagnosed differently by both readers (11%) than biopsy specimens from women taking a placebo (2%) or CEE combined with progestins (5%). Relative specificity varied from 86.4% to 98.9% among the clinics (p < 0.0001). Relative sensitivity was based on a small number of diagnoses, as few biopsy specimens were classified abnormal by the central pathologist. In patients assigned to CEE combined with progestin, 5 of the 7 biopsy specimens that were recorded abnormal by the central pathologist received a normal diagnosis locally. Our findings show that sample size requirements for study designs in which a central reader is used can be at least threefold lower than the requirements for designs relying on local diagnoses. Centralized protocols for endometrial histopathology reading and staff training are highly desirable in multicenter trials.

Biopsy↗