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Biomedical subjects

M Frischer

Publications and source records attributed to M Frischer.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

A comparison of different methods for estimating the prevalence of problematic drug misuse in Great Britain.

AIMS: The European Monitoring Centre for Drugs and Drug Addiction (EMCDDA) has produced methodological guidelines for national drug prevalence estimation. This paper pilots the methods to estimate prevalence for Great Britain and provides a commentary on the methods and resulting estimates. DESIGN: Three types of methodology were used to estimate prevalence: (a) the multiple indicator (MI) method, (b) multipliers applied to (i) drug-treatment records (ii) HIV estimates and (iii) mortality statistics and (c) the British/Scottish Crime Surveys. SETTING: England, Scotland and Wales. PARTICIPANTS: Aggregated data on people recorded on databases and respondents in household surveys. MEASUREMENTS: Prevalence estimates of different forms of problematic drug use. FINDINGS: The estimates are 161,133 (range: 120,850-241,700) for people at risk of mortality due to drug overdose; 161,000-169,000 for people who have ever injected drugs; 202,000 (range: 162,000-244,000) problem opiate users and 268,000 problem drug users (all types). CONCLUSIONS: The multiple indicator method offers a comprehensive approach to estimating the prevalence of problematic drug use in the United Kingdom. Simple multiplier methods and household surveys also provide a range of estimates corresponding to different types of drug use in the United Kingdom. The current study suggests that previous national estimates of 100,000-200,000 were conservative. The new estimate of 161,000-266,000 should enable a more focused response. For further development of this method, reliable and timely estimates of anchor points are required for specific geographical areas such as cities or Drug Action Teams (DAT), as well as routine aggregation of drug indicators for these areas.

Epidemiologic Methods↗

Computerized projection of future heroin epidemics: a necessity for the 21st century?

Although U.K. has seen significant advances in knowledge since the onset of its last major heroin epidemic in the early 1980s, it is still the case that most assessments of the extent of drug misuse are based on old data. Recognition of this problem is evidenced by the many attempts elsewhere to reduce the lag between data collection and data use in such programs as DAWN, ADAM, and PULSE CHECK. Such programs are an improvement, but they are nevertheless still estimates of unknown reliability, and still about the past rather than about the future. Building on the pioneering work of Hunt and Chambers in the 1970s, the authors present the output of a computerized model that attempts to forecast the heroin epidemics of the future.

Electronic Data Processing↗

Trends in antibiotic prescribing and associated indications in primary care from 1993 to 1997.

BACKGROUND: Recent concerns that evidence on the appropriate use of antibiotics is not having an impact on prescribing trends are based on UK prescribing data relating to 1980-1991. The aim of this paper is to determine trends in antibiotic prescribing from 1993 to 1997 and link antibiotic prescriptions to diagnostic categories. METHODS: A retrospective analysis of antibiotic prescriptions linked to diagnostic codes was carried out using the West Midlands General Practice Research Database. RESULTS: The prescribing rate for antibiotics fell from 963 prescriptions/1,000 patients in 1993 to 807 prescriptions/1,000 patients in 1997 (p < 0.001). The proportion of antibiotic prescribing for respiratory conditions fell from 65 per cent in 1993 to 59 per cent in 1997 (p < 0.001). The main decreases in antibiotic prescribing are accounted for by non-specific lower respiratory tract infections (-22 prescriptions/1,000 patients), non-specific upper respiratory tract infections (-21/1,000 patients) and throat infections (-20/1,000 patients). There was increased prescribing for non-respiratory miscellaneous conditions (+6 prescriptions/1,000 patients). CONCLUSIONS: Overall antibiotic prescribing declined by 16 per cent between 1993 and 1997, primarily for respiratory conditions. These results of the current study are in marked contrast to an earlier review, which found an increase of 46 per cent between 1980 and 1991 in England. The level of antibiotic prescribing for conditions which may not be bacterial in origin is still high and there is scope for further reductions in antibiotic prescribing. This study highlights the need for regular epidemiological data to inform the debate on antibiotic prescribing.

Anti-Bacterial Agents↗

Siblings, multiple births, and the incidence of allergic disease: a birth cohort study using the West Midlands general practice research database.

BACKGROUND: The presence of older siblings reduces the risk of developing hay fever, eczema and atopy, but findings for asthma have been inconsistent. Whether twins have a reduced risk of allergic disease is also unclear. We have investigated these questions in a birth cohort analysis of the West Midlands General Practice Research Database (GPRD). METHODS: Our birth cohort included 29,238 children. The incidence of allergic disease was examined according to the number of siblings, multiple births, and parental allergic disease and smoking habit using Cox regression. RESULTS: There was a dose related decrease in the incidence of eczema and hay fever with increasing number of older siblings (hazard ratio for children with three or more older siblings compared with none 0.70 (95% CI 0.64 to 0.76) for eczema and 0.67 (95% CI 0.52 to 0.86) for hay fever). In contrast, the presence of older siblings increased the incidence of asthma (HR 1.17, 95% CI 1.06 to 1.29), although this effect was strongly dependent on age of diagnosis. For children diagnosed over the age of 2 years the presence of older siblings was protective (HR 0.66, 95% CI 0.52 to 0.82), while below this age the reverse was true (HR 1.38, 95% CI 1.24 to 1.54). Members of a multiple birth had a reduced incidence of all three allergic diseases. Birth order and multiple birth effects were independent of sex, maternal age, consulting behaviour, and parental allergy and smoking habit. CONCLUSIONS: The presence of older siblings and being a member of a multiple birth appears to protect against the development of eczema, hay fever, and asthma diagnosed after the age of 2. In contrast, the presence of older siblings increases the incidence of early asthma.

Adolescent↗

A comparison of trends in problematic drug misuse from two reporting systems.

BACKGROUND: Regional Drug Misuse Databases (RDMDs) are considered the main source of intelligence on problem drug takers in England. Originally intended to provide trend data on visible drug use, a recent strategic review concluded that their purpose should be to monitor treatment targets for the Government's latest 10 year strategy to tackle drug misuse. The aim of this analysis was to explore whether the General Practice Research Database (GPRD) could supplement RDMDs. METHODS: A retrospective analysis was carried out using the GPRD and the RDMD in the West Midlands from 1993 to 1997. RESULTS: Extrapolation of GPRD data indicates 6,574 drug misusing or dependent diagnosed patients in primary care in 1997 compared with 3,643 clients reported by all agencies including general practitioners (GPs) to the RDMD. From 1993 to 1997, the RDMD notification rate fluctuated whereas the GPRD rate has increased steadily since 1995. Half of all drug misusing or dependent patients recorded on the GPRD had psychiatric co-morbidity and 10 per cent had been referred to hospital for a drug overdose. CONCLUSIONS: As the GPRD has been unaffected by the demise of statutory notification of drug dependence in 1997, interpretation of trends may be more reliable than on the RDMD. There is also considerable potential for analysis of prescribing patterns, co-morbidity and drug-related hospitalization. As the Department of Health's Strategic Review of RDMDs recommends GPs as 'core reporters' for providing data to the national system, there is a need for a strategy to ensure valid and comprehensive reporting from GPs.

Data Collection↗

Are triptans with enhanced lipophilicity used for the acute treatment of migraine associated with an increased consulting rate for depressive illness?

1997, sumatriptan-treated migraineurs had significantly higher depression PCRs (22.3%) compared with non-triptan users (19.3%), a difference of 6.4% (95% confidence interval (CI) 4.6-8.4%, P < 0.001). In the year (April 1997 to March 1998) following the launch of the TELs, depression PCRs were significantly higher among patients using these compounds compared with sumatriptan-treated patients (5.1%, CI 1.8-12.0%, P < 0.05). However, after taking account of prior depression (odds ratio (OR) 6.45, 95% CI 3.63-11.43), TELs were not significantly associated with depression (OR 0.27, 95% CI 0.03-2.13). Furthermore, rates of newly diagnosed depression after treatment were similar in the two triptan groups (sumatriptan 4.2%; TELs 3.9%). Although, the TELs are being prescribed to patients with higher pre-existing rates of depression, they are not associated with subsequently increased consulting for depressive illness compared with patients taking sumatriptan. This study highlights the potential to use GPRD to test targeted hypotheses exploring pharmacovigilance issues for patients using new medicines.

Cohort Studies↗

Extent and contributing factors of drug expenditure of injectors in Glasgow. Multi-site city-wide cross-sectional study.

BACKGROUND: Recent concern about drug use has focused attention on the illegal income generated by users. AIMS: To investigate factors associated with drugs expenditure and to estimate the cost of illegal acquisitions used to pay for drugs. METHOD: We collected self-report data from 954 current injectors, interviewed at multiple street, needle/syringe exchange and drug treatment sites throughout Glasgow. RESULTS: Injectors' mean weekly drug spending was 324 Pounds. The mean annual illegal drugs spend was estimated to be 11,000 Pounds per injector. We provide a central estimate--194 million Pounds per annum--of the retail value of goods acquired illegally by injectors in Glasgow in order to pay for drugs. Higher drug spends were associated with having been imprisoned more often and with those reporting acquisitive crime, drug dealing and prostitution. Treatment with methadone, among individuals who injected in the previous two months, was associated with a 20% reduction in a typical spend on drugs. CONCLUSIONS: Treatment effectiveness needs to be measured both in terms of health benefit and in terms of reduction in drugs expenditure and recidivism.

Adolescent↗

Should the corticosteroid to bronchodilator ratio be promoted as a quality prescribing marker?

In recent years the ratio of inhaled corticosteroid:bronchodilator (C:B) prescribing has been promoted as a quality marker for asthma treatment and cross-sectional data indicate an association with hospital admissions. If prescribing advice has been followed then it can be hypothesised that the C:B ratio will have increased and hospitalisation decreased. The West Midlands General Practice Research Database was used to monitor changes in the C:B ratio and hospital referrals for asthma between 1993 and 1996. The C:B ratio increased from 0.5 to 0.6 (P<0.001) and hospital referrals decreased from 7% to 4% per annum (P<0.001). Overall, 38% of the variation in hospital referrals was explained by the C:B ratio. This is higher than previous studies, perhaps because the study was longitudinal and the ratio assessed accurately in terms of volume rather than prescription items. When measured in defined daily doses, the C:B ratio does appear to have validity as an indicator of good prescribing in primary care. The General Practice Research Database offers an opportunity for assessing the validity of prescribing indicators before they are considered for wider use by Primary Care Groups and Health Authorities.

Administration, Inhalation↗

Estimating the prevalence of problem drug use in inner London: a discussion of three capture-recapture studies.

AIMS: To provide an evidence base of estimates of the prevalence of problem drug use in inner London. DESIGN: Re-analysis of three capture-recapture studies using subjects aged 15-49 years, that aim to estimate the hidden population from analysing the overlaps between three data sources. SETTING: Newham (1995) Camden and Islington (C&I) (1993/4) and Lambeth, Southwark and Lewisham (LSL) (1992). PARTICIPANTS: Each study collected data from three sources of problem drug users including: the Regional Drug Misuse Database, specialist drug agencies, HIV tests, social services, police arrests and court records. In LSL opiate users were analysed separately. The studies identified 1832 individuals in LSL, 543 in Newham, and 1321 in C&I. MEASUREMENTS: Poisson models were fitted to the data testing different interactions between the data sources representing potential dependencies. The simplest model was selected on the basis of its AIC score and log-likelihood ratio tests. FINDINGS: The number of hidden problem drug users were estimated to be 12,500 (95% CI 9600-16,100) in LSL with 4400 (3200-6100) opiate users; 7000 (5000-10,000) in C&I and 3800 (2000-7200) in Newham. The prevalence of problem drug use in those aged 15-49 was estimated to be 3.1% (2.5-3.9%) in LSL with 1.3% (1.0-1.6%) opiate users; and 3.6% (2.7-4.9%) and 3.3% (1.9-5.7%) in C&I and Newham, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Despite the inherent problems with capture-recapture methods, our three studies establish an evidence base for estimates of problem drug use in London. It is important that a larger study is carried out in London.

Adolescent↗

Mortality and survival among a cohort of drug injectors in Glasgow, 1982-1994.

There has been much speculation about the nature and extent of mortality among drug injectors in Glasgow. In order to determine injectors' mortality rate and compare this rate to the general population, identifier information from 459 drug injectors who received treatment for drug misuse in Glasgow between 1982 and 1994 was linked to the Scottish Mortality Register. The average duration of follow-up from cohort entry was 5.5 years and 10.2 years from commencement of drug injection. By the end of 1994, 53 cohort members had died. The average annual mortality rate of 1.8% was the same as that observed in a London cohort followed-up from 1969 to 1991. However, the excess mortality ratio (EMR) of 22.0 was almost double the London rate (11.9) because of the much lower average age of mortality (26.3 vs. 38.2 years). There was no significant time trend in EMR. Kaplan-Meier hazard analyzes show that younger patients and those who were HIV positive had significantly elevated mortality rates. The main cause of death was overdose, although it is unclear how many were accidental and how many intentional. Three of the six fatalities among HIV positive injectors were AIDS related. This study enables the first realistic assessment of the hypothesis that drug-related deaths in Glasgow are especially high. In relation to other populations of drug injectors, the annual mortality rate is comparable, although the average age of mortality is much lower in Glasgow. Consequently, in comparison to the general population, the mortality rate of drug injectors is higher in Glasgow compared to other cities.

Adolescent↗

Maintaining low HIV seroprevalence in populations of injecting drug users.

OBJECTIVES: To describe prevention activities and risk behavior in cities where human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) was introduced into the local population of injecting drug users (IDUs), but where seroprevalence has nevertheless remained low (< 5%) during at least 5 years. DESIGN AND SETTING: A literature search identified five such cities: Glasgow, Scotland; Lund, Sweden; Sydney, New South Wales, Australia; Tacoma, Wash; and Toronto, Ontario. Case histories were prepared for each city, including data on prevention activities and current levels of risk behavior among IDUs. PARTICIPANTS: Injecting drug users recruited from both drug treatment and non-treatment settings in each city. INTERVENTIONS: A variety of HIV prevention activities for IDUs had been implemented in each of the five cities. RESULTS: There were three common prevention components present in all five cities: (1) implementation of prevention activities when HIV seroprevalence was still low, (2) provision of sterile injection equipment, and (3) community outreach to IDUs. Moderate levels of risk behavior continued with one third or more of the IDUs reporting recent unsafe injections. CONCLUSIONS: In low-seroprevalence areas, it appears possible to severely limit transmission of HIV among populations of IDUs, despite continuing risk behavior among a substantial proportion of the population. Pending further studies, the common prevention components (beginning early, community outreach, and access to sterile injection equipment) should be implemented wherever populations of IDUs are at risk for rapid spread of HIV.

HIV Infections↗

The preparedness to share injecting equipment: an analysis using vignettes.

This paper reports on the use of vignettes to study drug injectors' preparedness to share injecting equipment. Separate vignettes referring to borrowing and passing on injecting equipment have been submitted to 505 injecting drug users in Glasgow. Injectors were asked to identify their own likely response in each of the situations described within the vignettes. It was shown that even among those injectors not reporting any actual sharing in the last 6 months a significant proportion would still be prepared to share injecting equipment within certain situations. The preparedness to share injecting equipment was seen to be influenced by such factors as social distance, sex and length of time injecting. It is suggested that even in situations where drug injectors may have modified their behaviour in the direction of lower levels of reported sharing, a propensity to share may remain. This suggests the continuing need to provide injectors with easy access to sterile injecting equipment; in addition, services working with injecting drug users may need to focus not only upon actual sharing behaviour but also upon what we have described here as the preparedness to share. Indeed, the latter dimension should stand as a warning to services of the potential for sharing injecting equipment to increase in the future.

Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome↗

HIV/AIDS-related behavior change among injecting drug users in different national settings.

OBJECTIVES: To identify factors associated with effective AIDS behavior change among injecting drug users (IDU) in different national settings. DESIGN: Cross-sectional surveys of IDU, with determination of HIV status. Trends in city HIV seroprevalence among IDU also used to validate effectiveness of behavior change. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: Subjects recruited from drug-use treatment programs and outreach efforts in Bangkok, Thailand (n = 601), Glasgow, Scotland (n = 919), New York City, USA (n = 2539), and Rio de Janeiro, Brazil (n = 466). RESULTS: Evidence for the effectiveness of self-reported risk reduction was available for all cities. Univariate followed by multiple logistic regression analyses were used to identify factors associated with self-reported AIDS behavior change. Separate analyses were conducted for each city. Talking about AIDS with drug-using friends was significantly associated with behavior change in all four cities. Talking with sex partners about AIDS, educational level, knowing that someone can be HIV-infected and still look healthy, and having been tested previously for HIV were each significantly associated with behavior change in three of the four cities. CONCLUSIONS: Despite the substantial differences in these national settings, there were common factors associated with effective risk reduction. In particular, risk reduction appears to occur through social processes rather than through individual attitude change. HIV prevention programs need to explicitly incorporate social processes into their work.

Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome↗

Mobility of Scottish injecting drug users and risk of HIV infection.

Nine hundred and nineteen injecting drug users (IDUs) were interviewed in Glasgow, Scotland during 1990 and 1991, as part of a wider study of HIV risk behaviour, about their injecting and sexual behaviour outside the city in the previous two years. Forty-five percent of respondents injected outside Glasgow, 6% shared needles and syringes (n/s) and 20% had sexual intercourse. Much activity occurred outside Scotland but mainly within the UK, particularly London. Predictors of n/s sharing outside Glasgow during the previous two years included current injecting with and passing on of used n/s and sexual intercourse with casual partners. Predictors of sexual behaviour outside Glasgow included passing on used n/s, having sexual intercourse with casual partners and, for females, engaging in prostitution. Glasgow IDUs are a highly mobile group and although HIV prevalence remains low within this population, considerable potential for importation/exportation of HIV and other bloodborne and sexually transmitted infections exists. Further work is required to establish why IDUs travel to, and engage in high-risk activities in locations outside their home environment, and detailed data about activities such as frequency of condom usage and n/s cleaning practices need to obtained. While there is a widespread network of services for IDUs in the UK, information provided usually relates to local services and may not fully address the needs of this mobile population. Therefore, we recommend that IDUs be provided with details of facilities such as n/s exchange schemes and drug-treatment establishments in centres to where they most commonly travel.

Blood-Borne Pathogens↗