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M Joffe

Publications and source records attributed to M Joffe.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

A framework for the evidence base to support Health Impact Assessment.

OBJECTIVE: To introduce a conceptual structure that can be used to organise the evidence base for Health Impact Assessment (HIA). BACKGROUND: HIA can be used to judge the potential health effects of a policy, programme or project on a population, and the distribution of those effects. Progress has been made in incorporating HIA into routine practice, especially (in the UK) at local level. However, these advances have mainly been restricted to process issues, including policy engagement and community involvement, while the evidence base has been relatively neglected. RELATING POLICIES TO THEIR IMPACT ON HEALTH: The key distinctive feature of HIA is that determinants of health are not taken as given, but rather as factors that themselves have determinants. Nine ways are distinguished in which evidence on health and its determinants can be related to policy, and examples are given from the literature. The most complete of these is an analysis of health effects in the context of a comparison of options. A simple model, the policy/risk assessment model (PRAM), is introduced as a framework that relates changes in levels of exposures or other risk factors to changes in health status. This approach allows a distinction to be made between the technical process of HIA and the political process of decision making, which involves lines of accountability. Extension of the PRAM model to complex policy areas and its adaptation to non-quantitative examples are discussed. ISSUES FOR THE FUTURE: A sound evidence base is essential to the long term reputation of HIA. Research gaps are discussed, especially the need for evidence connecting policy options with changes in determinants of health. It is proposed that policy options could be considered as "exposure" variables in research. The methodology needs to be developed in the course of work on specific issues, concentrated in policy areas that are relatively tractable. CONCLUSIONS: A system of coordination needs to be established, at national or supranational level, building on existing initiatives. The framework suggested in this paper can be used to collate and evaluate what is already known, both to identify gaps where research is required and to enable an informed judgement to be made about the potential health impacts of policy options. These judgements should be made widely available for policy makers and for those undertaking health impact assessment.

Evidence-Based Medicine↗

Sperm count and chromatin structure in men exposed to inorganic lead: lowest adverse effect levels.

OBJECTIVES: To obtain knowledge on male reproductive toxicity of inorganic lead at current European exposure levels and to establish lowest adverse effect levels, if any. METHODS: A cross sectional survey of the semen of 503 men employed by 10 companies was conducted in the United Kingdom, Italy, and Belgium. The mean blood lead concentration was 31.0 microg/dl (range 4.6-64.5) in 362 workers exposed to lead and 4.4 microg/dl (range below the detection limit of 19.8) in 141 reference workers. Semen volume and sperm concentration were determined in a fresh semen sample according to an agreed protocol subject to quality assurance. The sperm chromatin structure assay (SCSA) was performed at a centralised laboratory. Extraneous determinants including centre, period of sexual abstinence, and age were taken into account in the statistical analysis. If appropriate, possible thresholds were examined by iterative threshold slope linear regression. RESULTS: The median sperm concentration was reduced by 49% in men with blood lead concentration above 50 microg/dl. There was no indication of a linear trend of lower sperm concentration with increasing blood lead values, but threshold slope least square regression identified a blood lead concentration of 44 microg/dl (beta=-0.037, F=4.35, p=0.038) as a likely threshold. Abnormal sperm chromatin structure was not related to blood lead concentration, but some indications of deterioration of sperm chromatin was found in men with the highest concentrations of lead within spermatozoa. Biological monitoring data did not indicate long term effects of lead on semen quantity or sperm chromatin. CONCLUSION: Adverse effects of lead on sperm concentration and susceptibility to acid induced denaturation of sperm chromatin are unlikely at blood lead concentrations below 45 microg/dl. Effects of low level exposure to lead on other measures of testicular function cannot be ruled out.

Adult↗

Maternal obesity and pregnancy outcome: a study of 287,213 pregnancies in London.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the maternal and foetal risks of adverse pregnancy outcome in relation to maternal obesity, expressed as body mass index (BMI, kg/m(2)) in a large unselected geographical population. DESIGN: Retrospective analysis of data from a validated maternity database system which includes all but one of the maternity units in the North West Thames Region. A comparison of pregnancy outcomes was made on the basis of maternal BMI at booking. SUBJECTS: A total of 287,213 completed singleton pregnancies were studied including 176,923 (61.6%) normal weight (BMI 20--24.9), 79 014 (27.5%) moderately obese (BMI 25--29.9) and 31,276 (10.9%) very obese (BMI> or =30) women. MEASUREMENTS: Ante-natal complications, intervention in labour, maternal morbidity and neonatal outcome were examined and data presented as raw frequencies and adjusted odds ratios with 99% confidence intervals following logistic regression analysis to account for confounding variables. RESULTS: Compared to women with normal BMI, the following outcomes were significantly more common in obese pregnant women (odds ratio (99% confidence interval) for BMI 25--30 and BMI> or =30 respectively): gestational diabetes mellitus (1.68 (1.53--1.84), 3.6 (3.25--3.98)); proteinuric pre-eclampsia (1.44 (1.28--1.62), 2.14 (1.85--2.47)); induction of labour (2.14 (1.85--2.47), 1.70 (1.64--1.76)); delivery by emergency caesarian section (1.30 (1.25--1.34), 1.83 (1.74--1.93)); postpartum haemorrhage (1.16 (1.12--1.21), 1.39 (1.32--1.46)); genital tract infection (1.24 (1.09--1.41), 1.30 (1.07--1.56)); urinary tract infection (1.17 (1.04-1.33), 1.39 (1.18--1.63)); wound infection (1.27 (1.09--1.48), 2.24 (1.91--2.64)); birthweight above the 90th centile (1.57 (1.50--1.64), 2.36 (2.23--2.50)), and intrauterine death (1.10 (0.94--1.28), 1.40 (1.14--1.71)). However, delivery before 32 weeks' gestation (0.73 (0.65--0.82), 0.81 (0.69--0.95)) and breastfeeding at discharge (0.86 (0.84--0.88), 0.58 (0.56--0.60)) were significantly less likely in the overweight groups. In all cases, increasing maternal BMI was associated with increased magnitude of risk. CONCLUSION: Maternal obesity carries significant risks for the mother and foetus. The risk increases with the degree of obesity and persists after accounting for other confounding demographic factors. The basis of many of the complications is likely to be related to the altered metabolic state associated with morbid obesity.

Adult↗

Prevalence and determinants of erectile dysfunction in hemodialysis patients.

BACKGROUND: The prevalence of erectile dysfunction (ED) among patients with end-stage renal disease (ESRD) is not known. METHODS: A cross-sectional study was conducted to determine the prevalence of ED among a community-based hemodialysis (HD) population using a two-stage cluster random sampling design. The presence and severity of ED were assessed among 302 ESRD patients using the self-administered International Index of Erectile Function-5 (IIEF-5). Logistic regression was used to examine and test associations between ED and other medical conditions. RESULTS: The prevalence of any level of ED was 82% (95% CI, 76 to 87%) for all HD subjects. The prevalence of severe ED was 45% (CI, 36 to 55%). Subjects younger than 50 years had a prevalence of ED of 63% (CI, 53 to 71%), while in subjects 50 years or older, it was 90% (CI, 84 to 94%). A multivariable analysis demonstrated increasing age (50 to 59, OR = 2.04, 95% CI, 1.3 to 3.1; 60 to 69, OR = 5.5, 95% CI, 1.9 to 15.6) and diabetes (OR = 2.0, 95% CI, 1.2 to 3.3) to be independently associated with the presence of any level of ED. However, neither the subjects' age nor history of diabetes predicted the severity of ED among subjects with ED. The use of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEIs) was inversely associated with ED (OR = 0.41, 95% CI, 0.17 to 0.98). Poor functional status (Karnofsky score or the Index of Physical Impairment) was not associated with ED. CONCLUSIONS: ED is extremely prevalent among HD patients. Increasing age, diabetes, and nonuse of ACEIs were associated with higher prevalence of ED. The high prevalence of ED was seen even among patients with good functional status.

Adult↗

The potential contribution of increased vegetable and fruit consumption to health gain in the European Union.

BACKGROUND: The risk of many important diseases can be reduced by consuming a diet rich in vegetables and fruit. For this reason the World Health Organization (WHO) recommends a daily intake of more than 400 g person(-1). The pattern of both the supply and intake of vegetables and fruit and the potential health gain achieved by increasing intake in the European Union (EU) and three accession countries are presented in this paper. METHODS: Patterns of supply and dietary intake were assessed using (1) FAO food balance sheets, which allow comparison between the levels of supply in countries but do not reflect actual intake; and (2) survey data reflecting dietary intake. Using WHO mortality data for coronary heart and cerebrovascular disease and major cancers up to age 65 years, the number of preventable deaths is estimated, assuming vegetable and fruit consumption were levelled up to that of the highest consuming group, and assuming relative risks of 0.5, 0.7 or 0.9. RESULTS: Vegetable and fruit consumption varies considerably between EU Member States. The populations of about half (seven) of the EU Member States have a mean daily intake of less than 275 g. Using the best current estimates of relative risk, over 26,000 deaths before the age of 65 years would be prevented annually in the EU if intake was levelled up to the highest consumption levels (and about double this number of deaths before the age of 75 years). CONCLUSION: Increasing the intake of vegetables and fruit is feasible and could result in considerable improvements in public health within the EU. Priority should be given to developing methods that demonstrate the burden of disease caused by too low intakes of vegetables and fruit. This would enable the appropriate social, cultural and economic policies to be developed within the EU.

Aged↗

What do we need for robust, quantitative health impact assessment?

Health impact assessment (HIA) aims to make the health consequences of decisions explicit. Decision-makers need to know that the conclusions of HIA are robust. Quantified estimates of potential health impacts may be more influential but there are a number of concerns. First, not everything that can be quantified is important. Second, not everything that is being quantified at present should be, if this cannot be done robustly. Finally, not everything that is important can be quantified: rigorous qualitative HIA will still be needed for a thorough assessment. This paper presents the first published attempt to provide practical guidance on what is required to perform robust, quantitative HIA. Initial steps include profiling the affected populations, obtaining evidence for postulated impacts, and determining how differences in subgroups' exposures and susceptibilities affect impacts. Using epidemiological evidence for HIA is different from carrying out a new study. Key steps in quantifying impacts are mapping the causal pathway, selecting appropriate outcome measures and selecting or developing a statistical model. Evidence from different sources is needed. For many health impacts, evidence of an effect may be scarce and estimates of the size and nature of the relationship may be inadequate. Assumptions and uncertainties must therefore be explicit. Modelled data can sometimes be tested against empirical data but sensitivity analyses are crucial. When scientific problems occur, discontinuing the study is not an option, as HIA is usually intended to inform real decisions. Both qualitative and quantitative elements of HIA must be performed robustly to be of value.

Guidelines as Topic↗

[Drug abuse among patients requiring psychiatric hospitalization].

We assessed the incidence of drug abuse among patients requiring psychiatric hospitalization, and characterized the population at risk. The data on drug abuse were obtained from self-reports and urine tests in 103 patients, aged 18-65, hospitalized in the Kfar Shaul Psychiatric Hospital (autumn 1998). There was close correspondence between the self-reports and the results obtained from urine tests. 1/3 admitted to having used illegal drugs and signs of drug abuse were found in about 1/4 of the urine tests. The most prevalent drugs were cannabis products (hashish and/or marijuana) and in 15 patients opiates. Drug users were younger than non-users. With regard to psychiatric symptomatology, fewer negative symptoms were recorded among cannabis abusers with schizophrenia, compared to schizophrenic patients with no history, past or present, of cannabis abuse. The present findings confirm the clinical impression that there has been an increase in drug abuse among mental patients, parallel to that found in society at large. Confirmatory surveys are necessary. Our findings clearly suggest that a change in attitude has occurred in Israel to what has been considered a marginal problem. Hospitalized mentally-ill patients, the younger in particular, should be considered at risk for drug abuse.

Adolescent↗

Time trends in biological fertility in Britain.

BACKGROUND: There is evidence of a decline in semen quality in some countries, including Britain, in recent decades. This retrospective cohort study examined the hypothesis that biological fertility had also declined. The trend in couple fertility was assessed by means of time to pregnancy (TTP--a sensitive and validated measure of fertility. METHODS: A representative sample of the British population aged 16-59 years was surveyed. TTP was obtained for all births conceived after unprotected intercourse that began during 1961-93, excluding contraceptive failures. The sample size was 1540. FINDINGS: In contrast to the original hypothesis, this study found that fertility has increased; the rising trend was accompanied by slight dips during 1976-80 and 1986-90. These results were consistent between male and female respondents, and undiminished by adjustment for possible confounding factors. A stronger and more consistent relation was found with the year when unprotected intercourse started (a period effect) than with the year of birth of either partner (a birth cohort effect). INTERPRETATION: The findings could not be explained by trends in age at first birth, increased treatment of subfertility, or changes in oral contraceptive use. If a decline in male fertility has occurred, it has been more than compensated for by a countervailing increase in couple fertility.

Adolescent↗

Arterial hypertension and renal allograft survival.

CONTEXT: Several observational studies have investigated the significance of hypertension in renal allograft failure; however, these studies have been complicated by the lack of adjustment for baseline renal function, leaving the role of elevated blood pressure in allograft failure unclear. OBJECTIVE: To examine the relationship between blood pressure adjusted for renal function and survival after cadaveric allograft transplantation. DESIGN: Nonconcurrent historical cohort study conducted from 1985 through 1997. SETTING: University teaching hospital. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 277 patients aged 18 years or older who underwent cadaveric renal transplantation without another simultaneous organ transplantation and whose allograft was functioning for a minimum of 1 year. Follow-up continued through 1997 (mean follow-up, 5.7 years). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Time to allograft failure (defined as death, return to dialysis, or retransplantation) by systolic, diastolic, and mean arterial blood pressure measurements at 1 year after transplantation. RESULTS: Multivariate Cox proportional hazards modeling demonstrated that nonwhite ethnicity, history of acute rejection, and nondiabetic kidney disease were significant predictors of failure (P = .01 for all). In addition, the calculated creatinine clearance at 1 year had an adjusted rate ratio (RR) for allograft failure per 10 mL/min (0.17 mL/s) of 0.74 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.62-0.88). The RR per 10-mm Hg increase in blood pressure measured at 1 year after transplantation, after adjustment for creatinine clearance, was 1.15 (95% CI, 1.02-1.30) for systolic pressure, 1.27 (95% CI, 1.01-1.60) for diastolic pressure, and 1.30 (95% CI, 1.05-1.61) for mean arterial pressure. Supplemental analyses that did not include death as a failure event or reduce the minimum allograft survival time for study subjects to 6 months yielded results consistent with the primary analysis. There was no evidence of modification of the blood pressure-allograft failure relationship by ethnicity or diabetes mellitus. CONCLUSIONS: Systolic, diastolic, and mean arterial blood pressures at 1 year posttransplantation strongly predict allograft survival adjusted for baseline renal function. More aggressive control of blood pressure may prolong cadaveric allograft survival.

Adult↗

Do parental factors affect male and female fertility?

There is little published evidence on parental characteristics and the fertility of their offspring of either sex. Maternal smoking has been reported to reduce fertility in both sexes and was also suggested to be relevant to the health of the male reproductive system on the basis of descriptive epidemiology. We undertook a cohort study based on a sample representative of the British population born in 1958 who have been followed up since birth. The outcome variable was time to pregnancy measured in months, up to age 33 years. Antecedent variables were the age of both parents; maternal smoking, height, prepregnancy body mass index, and parity; and paternal social class (manual/nonmanual labor). First births to cohort members were analyzed using a Cox logistic model for discrete "survival" times. A total of 1,714 and 2,587 values of time to pregnancy were available, respectively, for male and female cohort members. In the unadjusted analyses, all odds ratios were in the range 0.9-1.1, apart from the father's social class. In the adjusted analyses, this effect also disappeared. We conclude that the observed heterogeneity in biological fertility is unrelated to those characteristics of parents that we were able to analyze.

Adult↗

Forensic evidence findings in prepubertal victims of sexual assault.

OBJECTIVE: The American Academy of Pediatrics recommends forensic evidence collection when sexual abuse has occurred within 72 hours, or when there is bleeding or acute injury. It is not known whether these recommendations are appropriate for prepubertal children, because few data exist regarding the utility of forensic evidence collection in cases of child sexual assault. This study describes the epidemiology of forensic evidence findings in prepubertal victims of sexual assault. METHODS: The medical records of 273 children <10 years old who were evaluated in hospital emergency departments in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, and had forensic evidence processed by the Philadelphia Police Criminalistics Laboratory were retrospectively reviewed for history, physical examination findings, forensic evidence collection, and forensic results. RESULTS: Some form of forensic evidence was identified in 24.9% of children, all of whom were examined within 44 hours of their assault. Over 90% of children with positive forensic evidence findings were seen within 24 hours of their assault. The majority of forensic evidence (64%) was found on clothing and linens, yet only 35% of children had clothing collected for analysis. After 24 hours, all evidence, with the exception of 1 pubic hair, was recovered from clothing or linens. No swabs taken from the child's body were positive for blood after 13 hours or sperm/semen after 9 hours. A minority of children (23%) had genital injuries. Genital injury and a history of ejaculation provided by the child were associated with an increased likelihood of identifying forensic evidence, but several children had forensic evidence found that was unanticipated by the child's history. CONCLUSIONS: The general guidelines for forensic evidence collection in cases of acute sexual assault are not well-suited for prepubertal victims. The decision to collect evidence is best made by the timing of the examination. Swabbing the child's body for evidence is unnecessary after 24 hours. Clothing and linens yield the majority of evidence and should be pursued vigorously for analysis.

Child↗

Time to pregnancy among male workers of the reinforced plastics industry in Denmark, Italy and The Netherlands. ASCLEPIOS.

OBJECTIVES: The relationship between occupational styrene exposure and male fecundity was examined. METHODS: Among 1560 Danish, Italian, and Dutch reinforced plastics workers, 220 styrene-exposed workers and 382 unexposed referents who had fathered a child were identified. A total of 768 historical styrene measurements conducted in 1970-1996 in the study companies formed the basis for semiquantitative exposure assessment in combination with measurements of urinary styrene metabolite levels. All the subjects were interviewed about work conditions and other factors potentially related to reduced fecundity. Fecundity was measured as the reported time to pregnancy (number of months a couple needed to conceive their youngest child). RESULTS: A statistically nonsignificantly reduced fecundity was observed for the styrene-exposed workers [fecundity ratio 0.79, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) 0.59-1.05]. But no consistent pattern of a detrimental effect on fecundity was found when time to pregnancy was related to worktasks indicating higher styrene exposure levels or semiquantitative or quantitative measures of styrene exposure. The workers with high exposure showed a fecundity ratio of 1.09 (95% CI 0.69-1.72). CONCLUSIONS: It is unlikely that styrene exposure has a strong effect on male fecundity.

Adult↗

[Pesticides and time to pregnancy among Danish farmers].

The aim of this study was to examine time to pregnancy among farmers who used pesticides (traditional farmers) and farmers who did not (organic farmers). A total of 904 men, selected from the Danish Ministry of Agriculture lists of traditional and organic farmers, participated in telephone interviews. The participation rate was 84%. Information was collected on "time to pregnancy" for the youngest child, exposure to pesticides and potential confounders. Using the discrete analogue of the Cox Regression Model (including potential confounders: male and female smoking, female age, parity and contraceptive method), the fecundability ratio between traditional farmers using pesticides and organic farmers was 1.03 (95% CI: 0.75-1.40). In the group of farmers who sprayed with pesticides, none of the characteristics related to the use of pesticides could account for the variation in time to pregnancy. No overall effect of pesticides on male fecundability could be demonstrated in this retrospective study among Danish farmers.

Adult↗

Effects of pesticide exposure on time to pregnancy: results of a multicenter study in France and Denmark. ASCLEPIOS Study Group.

The aim of this study was to determine whether there was a relation between male exposure to pesticides and the amount of time needed to conceive (time to pregnancy) for farmers and agricultural workers in France and Denmark. The authors used retrospective studies to compare the time to pregnancy of couples in which the man was exposed to pesticides during the year before the birth of their youngest child with that of couples in which the man was not exposed. In 1995 and 1996, the authors studied 362 French rural workers (142 exposed to pesticides and 220 not exposed), 449 Danish farmers (326 conventional farmers exposed to pesticides and 123 nonexposed organic farmers), and 121 Danish greenhouse workers exposed to pesticides. The fecundability ratio for exposure to pesticides (Cox model, before and after adjustment for confounding factors) did not differ from 1 in any of the three populations. In France, the adjusted fecundability ratio was 1.17 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.89-1.55) for exposed and nonexposed agricultural workers. In Denmark, it was 1.09 (95% CI 0.82-1.43) for exposed and nonexposed farmers and 0.83 (95% CI 0.69-1.18) for greenhouse workers and nonexposed farmers. Thus, this study found no relation between fertility (time to pregnancy) and male exposure to pesticides.

Adult↗

Objectives, designs and populations of the European Asclepios study on occupational hazards to male reproductive capability.

The main objective of the Asclepios program was to examine occupational risk factors for the male reproductive system. The program focused on occupational exposure to fungicides (farmers, greenhouse workers, and vineyard workers), styrene (laminators in the reinforced plastics industry) and inorganic lead (battery workers, foundry workers, and lead smelters). Questionnaire studies of time to pregnancy were combined with longitudinal and cross-sectional studies of semen quality. The 8 data-collecting centers addressed 6553 male workers and contributed time-to-pregnancy values on the 3077 most recent pregnancies. Data collection was by interview or self-collection. The average response rate across all exposures and centers was 69.8%. The Asclepios project is the first international multicenter research project on environmental risks to male reproductive function. A protocol for epidemiologic research on occupational risk factors to the male reproductive system was developed, and links between epidemiologic and experimental units were established. The majority, but not all, of the studies was completed within the given time frame.

Adult↗