Predicting outcomes of therapy for prostate carcinoma patients.
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Biomedical subjects
Publications and source records attributed to M K Brawer.
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CONTEXT: The percentage of free prostate-specific antigen (PSA) in serum has been shown to enhance the specificity of PSA testing for prostate cancer detection, but earlier studies provided only preliminary cutoffs for clinical use. OBJECTIVE: To develop risk assessment guidelines and a cutoff value for defining abnormal percentage of free PSA in a population of men to whom the test would be applied. DESIGN: Prospective blinded study using the Tandem PSA and free PSA assays (Hybritech Inc, San Diego, Calif). SETTING: Seven nationwide university medical centers. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 773 men (379 with prostate cancer, 394 with benign prostatic disease) 50 to 75 years of age with a palpably benign prostate gland, PSA level of 4.0 to 10.0 ng/mL, and histologically confirmed diagnosis. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: A percentage of free PSA cutoff that maintained 95% sensitivity for prostate cancer detection, and probability of cancer for individual patients. RESULTS: The percentage of free PSA may be used in 2 ways: as a single cut-off (ie, perform a biopsy for all patients at or below a cutoff of 25% free PSA) or as an individual patient risk assessment (ie, base biopsy decisions on each patient's risk of cancer). The 25% free PSA cutoff detected 95% of cancers while avoiding 20% of unnecessary biopsies. The cancers associated with greater than 25% free PSA were more prevalent in older patients, and generally were less threatening in terms of tumor grade and volume. For individual patients, a lower percentage of free PSA was associated with a higher risk of cancer (range, 8%-56%). In the multivariate model used, the percentage of free PSA was an independent predictor of prostate cancer (odds ratio [OR], 3.2; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.5-4.1; P < .001) and contributed significantly more than age (OR, 1.2; 95% CI, 0.92-1.55) or total PSA level (OR, 1.0; 95% CI, 0.92-1.11) in this cohort of subjects with total PSA values between 4.0 and 10.0 ng/mL. CONCLUSIONS: Use of the percentage of free PSA can reduce unnecessary biopsies in patients undergoing evaluation for prostate cancer, with a minimal loss in sensitivity in detecting cancer. A cutoff of 25% or less free PSA is recommended for patients with PSA values between 4.0 and 10.0 ng/mL and a palpably benign gland, regardless of patient age or prostate size. To our knowledge, this study is the largest series to date evaluating the percentage of free PSA in a population representative of patients in whom the test would be used in clinical practice.
PURPOSE: Despite being the most useful tumor marker for the diagnosis of patients with prostate cancer, serum prostate specific antigen (PSA) is still hampered by lack of specificity. A negative prostate biopsy is associated with a 20 to 40% incidence of positive repeat biopsy in men with persistently elevated serum PSA levels. We determine whether the free-to-total PSA ratio could be predictive of prostate cancer in men undergoing repeat biopsy. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Archival sera, drawn before the first biopsy, were gathered from 51 men with a total serum PSA of 2 to 15 ng./ml. who underwent repeat prostate needle biopsy for various indications. The percent free PSA was calculated using the Hybritech Tandem-Rt free and total PSA as well as Dianon Systems freet and Hybritech total PSA assays. The free-to-total PSA ratio results between the cancer and noncancer groups were compared using Student's t test. RESULTS: The median Hybritech free-to-total PSA ratio was significantly lower in patients with positive repeat prostate needle biopsy compared to those with negative biopsy (14.9 versus 19.4%, p=0.05). Total PSA as well as the percent Dianon free-to-Hybritech total PSA ratio were not significantly different between the 2 groups of men. CONCLUSIONS: For total PSA in the range of 2 to 15 ng./ml. Hybritech free-to-total PSA ratio appeared to aid in the prediction of cancer on repeat biopsy.
PURPOSE: Among the new approaches to enhance the performance of prostate specific antigen (PSA) testing in a biopsy population is the use of the free-to-total PSA as well as the transition zone density, which is calculated by dividing the PSA by the transition zone volume. We compare these manipulations of the PSA to PSA alone in a biopsy population. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We evaluated 917 consecutive men who underwent ultrasound guided biopsy for an elevation in serum PSA or abnormality on digital rectal examination. Total PSA was measured using the Tandem-E or Tandem-R method. Prostate gland volume and transition zone were measured with ultrasound and calculated using the prolate ellipsoid formula. RESULTS: In the overall PSA range 276 men had carcinoma (30.0% of the population), while in the PSA 4.0 to 10.0 ng./ml. range 141 of 477 had cancer (29.6%). Receiver operating characteristics analysis and analysis of variance were performed. In the overall PSA series the Tandem total PSA performed as well as any PSA index to predict carcinoma. In the restricted range of total PSA 4.0 to 10.0 ng./ml. total PSA density as well as transition zone density were more predictive than PSA alone. In both PSA ranges the volume of benign glands was significantly larger than in the prostates exhibiting carcinoma. There was no statistically significant difference in outcomes of analyses between different investigators or different sites of investigation (Veterans Affairs versus university based hospitals). CONCLUSIONS: In this biopsy population transition zone PSA density did not add to the information available with total PSA and gland volume. Neither investigator nor site bias contributed to the failure of transition zone PSA density or PSA density to predict prostatic carcinoma.
PURPOSE: We reviewed the use of percent free prostate specific antigen (PSA) to enhance specificity of PSA testing and aid in the discrimination of benign and malignant prostate disease. We present proposed percent free PSA cut points and probability factors, and discuss factors that are believed to affect study outcomes and conclusions. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We reviewed the literature with respect to PSA and free PSA with particular emphasis on clinical use of percent free PSA and factors that may affect study outcomes. RESULTS: Percent free PSA may increase the specificity of PSA testing without sacrificing the cancer detection rate. Differences in study designs and subject populations may account for the confusion in the current literature. Specific factors that may influence study outcomes include sample size, PSA range, age, race, digital rectal examination findings, prostate size, tumor size and pathology, as well as treatment history, sample collection and storage conditions, and the particular assays used to determine free and total PSA values. CONCLUSIONS: The use of percent free PSA to enhance the specificity of prostate cancer screening is thought to provide useful information to aid in the differentiation of benign and malignant prostate diseases. There is evidence to suggest a benefit cost advantage to a tailored biopsy approach based on percent free PSA. However, statistically valid multisite clinical trials that take into account influencing factors are needed to set assay specific cut points and probability determinations.
OBJECTIVES: Prostate-specific antigen (PSA) is the most useful of all tumor markers. Although the sensitivity is impressive, low specificity results in a lack of cancer detection in a significant proportion of patients undergoing prostate biopsy. Several recent studies have addressed the need for improved specificity. Of all these approaches, the free/total PSA ratio appears to be the most promising. Given that most circulating PSA is complexed to alpha1-antichymotrypsin, and that this moiety represents a greater proportion of the total PSA in those men with carcinoma, we set out to determine whether complexed PSA would improve specificity in the detection of men with prostate cancer. METHODS: Archival sera were obtained from 300 men, 75 of whom had biopsy-proved prostate cancer. All sera had been previously stored at -70 degrees C for variable periods. An investigative assay for complexed PSA (Bayer) was used. The Tandem-R free and total PSA assays (Hybritech) were used according to the manufacturer's recommendations. RESULTS: Among all patients, specificities for the total PSA, free/total PSA, and complexed PSA alone were 21.8%, 15.6%, and 26.7%, respectively, at cutoffs yielding 95% sensitivity. Similar equivalence or superior performance, in terms of specificity relative to the free/total PSA ratio, was seen at other sensitivity thresholds and other total PSA ranges. CONCLUSIONS: Complexed PSA alone performs better than total PSA or the free/total PSA ratio and obviates the need for a second analyte determination. We believe this marker may offer significant enhancement in PSA testing with significant economic advantages.
PURPOSE: Measuring percent free/total prostate specific antigen (PSA) versus total PSA alone has been shown to enhance the stratification of cases with and without prostate cancer. We compared the diagnostic performance of 3 free PSA assays when values were interchanged over a common total PSA denominator. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Archival sera from 123 consecutively accrued patients (25 with prostate cancer, 98 with no evidence of malignancy) who had pre-biopsy total PSA levels from 2.0 to 20.0 ng./ml. were obtained from our specimen bank. Serum specimens were analyzed using the Hybritech Tandem R, Dianon Systems and Chiron ACS 180 free PSA assays. Total PSA was measured using the Hybritech Tandem R total PSA assay. Linear regression was performed to evaluate the correlation and agreement among assays. Sensitivity and specificity of cancer detection were calculated to compare diagnostic performance. RESULTS: The required percent free PSA cutoffs were different among the 3 free PSA assays. The cutoffs to ensure a 95% sensitivity of cancer detection were 22, 34 and 34%, and the number of negative biopsies that were prevented at these cutoffs (specificity) was 38, 19 and 33% for the Hybritech, Dianon, and Chiron assays, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The results among the different assays were not interchangeable. Clinicians should be aware that different percent free PSA cutoffs need to be used based on the type of free and total PSA assays, and that not all assays diagnostically perform the same.
PURPOSE: Early diagnosis of prostate carcinoma has undergone significant evolution mainly due to the widespread use of serum prostate specific antigen, transrectal ultrasonography and spring loaded biopsy devices. A common dilemma faced by clinicians arises when a negative biopsy is obtained in a patient and there is a high suspicion for prostate carcinoma. The literature reveals a 20 to 40% positive repeat biopsy rate in men with elevated prostate specific antigen who had an initial negative biopsy. We determined the yield of 6 systematic sector biopsies as a function of total gland and peripheral zone volumes. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The database of transrectal ultrasound guided prostate needle biopsies performed at the Department of Urology, University of Washington Medical Center and Veterans Affairs Puget Sound Health Care System was reviewed. The yield of the 6 biopsies was determined as a function of the total gland and peripheral zone volumes. RESULTS: A total of 1,057 men who underwent transrectal ultrasound guided prostate needle biopsies were investigated in our study. Of the men 326 were diagnosed with prostate cancer for a positive biopsy rate of 30.8%. No relationship between gland size and cancer yield was seen using total gland volume compared to the first quartile until the largest quartile when a significantly lower cancer detection rate was noted (odds ratio 1.5). CONCLUSIONS: The positive yield of the systematic 6-sector biopsy decreases significantly when the total gland volume is greater than 55.6 cc or peripheral zone volume is greater than 33.61 cc. In men with smaller prostates 6 systematic sector biopsies should be adequate.
BACKGROUND: This investigation sought to determine morphologic differences between Chinese and Americans with symptomatic benign prostatic hyperplasia (BPH), in an admixture of stroma, epithelium, and luminal spaces. METHODS: Adjacent sections of simple prostatectomy specimens from China and the U.S. were stained to highlight the stroma and epithelium. Image analysis was performed on random fields. RESULTS: Chinese tissue had higher glandular densities (mean = 12.5 acini/mm2 vs. 6.2 acini/mm2; P < 0.0001), while American samples had higher percent stroma (mean = 66% vs. 51%; P = 0.0003). Mean luminal cell heights in the Chinese and American prostate acini were 11.7 and 19.0 microns, respectively (P < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: These data indicate significant histologic variation in BPH between Chinese and American men undergoing simple prostatectomy. These differences may provide a focus for investigating the epidemiological variation in clinical BPH and carcinoma between our two countries, and could have applications in clinical management of symptomatic BPH.
BACKGROUND: Consistency in prostate-specific antigen (PSA) quantitation by different PSA test manufacturers would minimize potential clinical confusion. The Ciba Corning ACS PSA2 calibration has been adjusted for alignment with a proposed international standard and clinical concordance with the Hybritech Tandem R assay. Herein we evaluate the clinical effectiveness of this recalibrated PSA test by comparing it with the IMx (Abbott Laboratories) and Tandem R (Hybritech) assays. METHODS: Archival serum was used that had been stored at -70 degrees C from men who underwent ultrasound-guided prostate needle biopsy. Assays were run according to each manufacturer's specifications in singlicate on a single thaw. RESULTS: The study included sera of 191 patients; 44 of the patients had carcinoma. There were 151 men with PSA (Tandem R) in the range of 0-10.0 ng/ml, 28 of whom had cancer. The correlation coefficients for Tandem R versus ACS, Tandem R versus IMx, and ACS versus IMx were 0.958, 0.955, 0.979 for benign patients and 0.960, 0.954, and 0.985 for those with cancer, respectively. The corresponding slopes were 1.029, 0.855, and 0.824 for men without and 1.044, 0.830, and 0.790, respectively, for those with malignancy. CONCLUSIONS: These data demonstrate substantial equivalence of the restandardized ACS assay and of the Hybritech method. Significant bias exists between these methods and the IMx assay with lower results being identified with the latter. These findings have significant implication, particularly in screening when results of an IMx assay are compared to other assays.
PURPOSE: We examined the temporal trends in prostate cancer incidence and mortality rates in the Seattle-Puget Sound region. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Prostate cancer incidence and treatment data collected by the Cancer Surveillance System, part of the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program, were analyzed for temporal trends in disease and treatment. Analyses were restricted to white and African-American men 35 years or older residing in the 13-county area of northwestern Washington state and diagnosed between 1974 and 1994. Data for the treatment analyses were limited to the time period 1983 through 1992. RESULTS: Incidence of prostate cancer increased slowly from 1974 (169/100,000) to 1984 (230/100,000) and then rapidly to a peak in 1991 (486/100,000) before declining (293/100,000 in 1994). Mortality increased from 49/100,000 in 1974 to 67/100,000 in 1994. All stages of prostate cancer followed the same incidence trend peaking in 1991, except distant stage disease, which peaked in 1986 and subsequently declined by over 60% (p <0.001). Proportions of men undergoing radical prostatectomy increased from 1983 to 1992 with the biggest increase in men under 65 years old. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence rate of prostate cancer in the Seattle-Puget Sound region is higher than the rate in some other regions of the country. This is likely due to widespread, more intense prostate specific antigen screening of the population in this region compared to other areas of the country. The incidence rate of prostate cancer in the Seattle-Puget Sound region has peaked and is now declining.
PURPOSE: We evaluated the daily biological variation of serum prostate specific antigen (PSA) concentrations to determine the critical difference required between 2 consecutive PSA measurements that would indicate a significant elevation. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A total of 24 men, grouped according to clinical diagnosis and PSA, underwent phlebotomy for 10 consecutive weekdays. Duplicate serum samples were measured using 3 separate lots of Tandem-E and IMx PSA assays. The biological variation was calculated and the 2 PSA assay systems were compared. The critical difference was examined to determine the percent elevation necessary to indicate (with 95% confidence) that PSA had increased beyond what would be expected from biological and analytical variation. RESULTS: The biological variation, defined in terms of percent coefficient of variation, had a log-normal distribution with a geometric mean of 7.3% coefficient of variation and a 95th percentile value of 19.2% coefficient of variation using the Tandem-E PSA assay. Assuming an analytical variation of 5% coefficient of variation, the median critical difference was 20.5% and the 95th percentile critical difference was 45.8%. There was no significant difference between the 2 PSA assay systems in biological variation. However, PSA concentrations measured by the IMx assay were consistently lower compared to values measured by the Tandem-E assay. CONCLUSIONS: Characterizing the biological variation of serum PSA assists in evaluating the significance of changes in serial PSA measurements. The degree of biological variation differs among patients, such that an increase between 2 consecutive PSA levels that is less than 20 to 46% may be due to biological and analytical variation. These data influence interpretation of repeated measurements of serum PSA with time.
OBJECTIVES: To provide a simple and reliable clinical prediction for an individual patient's overall risk of cancer at biopsy by deriving an easily implemented test based on a generalizable model. Four variables are analyzed for inclusion in the model: prostate-specific antigen (PSA) level, digital rectal examination (DRE) results, race, and age. METHODS: Two populations were used to develop and validate the test: a model (n = 633) and an independent, geographically separate, external population (n = 766). Pathology records for patients who underwent prostate biopsy between 1991 and 1995 were reviewed and screened for the presence of PSA and DRE results. Records where age and race could be determined were extracted. Multiple logistic regression was used with an iterative approach to optimize each test factor. The Wald chi-square test, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, and Hosmer-Lemingshaw test were used to evaluate the model's predictive capability in the two populations. RESULTS: The model and external populations were significantly different for racial mix, PSA level, age, and biopsy detection rate, providing diverse populations to validate the test. Within a combined model, PSA, DRE, race, and age all demonstrated independent capability to predict cancer at biopsy. Predictive power of the overall test was high within the model population (ROC 80.8%), with minimal loss of power in the external population. The test demonstrated no significant lack of fit in either population. CONCLUSIONS: Within a combined test, PSA, DRE, race, and age all contribute significantly to prediction of prostate cancer at biopsy in an individual patient. The test depicts individual risk in an easily understood, visually provocative manner and should assist the clinician and patient in reaching a decision as to whether biopsy is appropriate.
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The Prostate Cancer Intervention Versus Observation Trial (PIVOT) is a randomized trial designed to determine whether radical prostatectomy or expectant management provides superior length and quality of life for men with clinically localized prostate cancer. Conducted at Department of Veterans Affairs and National Cancer Institute medical centers, PIVOT will enroll over 1,000 individuals < 75 years of age. The primary study end point is all-cause mortality. Secondary outcomes include prostate cancer- and treatment-specific morbidity and mortality, health status, predictors of disease-specific outcomes, and cost-effectiveness. Within the first 3 years of enrollment, over 400 men have been randomized. Early analysis of participants' baseline characteristics indicate that enrollees are representative of men diagnosed with clinically localized prostate cancer throughout the United States. Therefore, results of PIVOT will be generalizable. These results are necessary in order to determine the preferred therapy for clinically localized prostate cancer.
A case-control study was conducted within Group Health Cooperative of Puget Sound to evaluate the relation between prior vasectomy and the risk of prostate cancer. Cases consisted of 175 men newly diagnosed with histologically confirmed prostate cancer during 1989-1991. A total of 258 controls, matched to cases on birth year and membership status, were randomly selected from the general membership of the plan. Information was collected from mailed questionnaires and medical records on medical history, including prior vasectomy, anthropometric measures, family history of prostate cancer, personal habits, and medical care utilization, and demographic factors. Conditional logistic regression analyses showed that the odds ratio for prostate cancer associated with vasectomy was 0.86 (95% confidence interval 0.57-1.32) after adjustment for confounders. The odds ratio estimate did not differ substantially by age at vasectomy or time since vasectomy. However, the odds ratio estimate for prostate cancer associated with vasectomy tended to be increased among men who had a father or brother with prostate cancer. Nevertheless, the increased risk may be related to detection bias or differential participation rates due to both vasectomy status and a family history of prostate cancer. These results suggest no overall association between vasectomy and prostate cancer.
BACKGROUND: Men with benign prostatic hyperplasia can be treated with alpha 1-adrenergic-antagonist drugs that relax prostatic smooth muscle or with drugs that inhibit 5 alpha-reductase and therefore reduce tissue androgen concentrations. However, the effects of the two types of drugs have not been compared. METHODS: We compared the safety and efficacy of placebo, terazosin (10 mg daily), finasteride (5 mg daily), and the combination of both drugs in 1229 men with benign prostatic hyperplasia. American Urological Association symptom scores and peak urinary-flow rates were determined at base line and periodically for one year. RESULTS: The mean changes from base line in the symptom scores in the placebo, finasteride, terazosin, and combination-therapy groups at one year were decreases of 2.6, 3.2, 6.1, and 6.2 points, respectively (P<0.001 for the comparisons of both terazosin and combination therapy with finasteride and with placebo). The mean changes at one year in the peak urinary-flow rates were increases of 1.4, 1.6, 2.7, and 3.2 ml per second, respectively (P<0.001 for the comparisons of both terazosin and combination therapy with finasteride and with placebo). Finasteride had no more effect on either measure than placebo. In the placebo group, 1.6 percent of the men discontinued the study because of adverse effects, as did 4.8 to 7.8 percent of the men in the other three groups. CONCLUSIONS: In men with benign prostatic hyperplasia, terazosin was effective therapy, whereas finasteride was not, and the combination of terazosin and finasteride was no more effective than terazosin alone.