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M Kot

Publications and source records attributed to M Kot.

8 recordsLinked to original sources

Discrete-time travelling waves: ecological examples.

Integrodifference equations are discrete-time models that possess many of the attributes of continuous-time reaction-diffusion equations. They arise naturally in population biology as models for organisms with discrete nonoverlapping generations and well-defined growth and dispersal stages. I examined the varied travelling waves that arise in some simple ecologically-interesting integro-difference equations. For a scalar equation with compensatory growth, I observed only simple travelling waves. For carefully chosen redistribution kernels, one may derive the speed and approximate the shape of the observed waveforms. A model with overcompensation exhibited flip bifurcations and travelling cycles in addition to simple travelling waves. Finally, a simple predator-prey system possessed periodic wave trains and a variety of travelling waves.

Ecology

The subcritical collapse of predator populations in discrete-time predator-prey models.

Many discrete-time predator-prey models possess three equilibria, corresponding to (1) extinction of both species, (2) extinction of the predator and survival of the prey at its carrying capacity, or (3) coexistence of both species. For a variety of such models, the equilibrium corresponding to coexistence may lose stability via a Hopf bifurcation, in which case trajectories approach an invariant circle. Alternatively, the equilibrium may undergo a subcritical flip bifurcation with a concomitant crash in the predator's population. We review a technique for distinguishing between subcritical and supercritical flip bifurcations and provide examples of predator-prey systems with a subcritical flip bifurcation.

Animals

Diffusion-driven period-doubling bifurcations.

Discrete-time growth-dispersal models readily exhibit diffusive instability. In some instances, this diffusive instability parallels that found in continuous-time reaction-diffusion equations. However, if a sufficiently eruptive prey is held in check by a predator, predator overdispersal may also lead to one or a series of diffusion-driven period-doubling bifurcations. Quite common discrete-time predator-prey models exhibit this new brand of diffusive instability.

Ecology

Effects of noise on some dynamical models in ecology.

We investigate effects of random perturbations on the dynamics of one-dimensional maps (single species difference equations) and of finite dimensional flows (differential equations for n species). In particular, we study the effects of noise on the invariant measure, on the "correlation" dimension of the attractor, and on the possibility of detecting the nonlinear deterministic component by applying reconstruction techniques to the time series of population abundances. We conclude that adding noise to maps with a stable fixed-point obscures the underlying determinism. This turns out not to be the case for systems exhibiting complex periodic or chaotic motion, whose essential properties are more robust. In some cases, adding noise reveals deterministic structure which otherwise could not be observed. Simulations suggest that similar results hold for flows whose attractor is almost two-dimensional.

Animals

Nearly one dimensional dynamics in an epidemic.

The incidence of measles in New York City and Baltimore was studied using recently developed techniques in nonlinear dynamics. The data, monthly case reports for the years 1928-1963, suggest almost two dimensional, chaotic flows whose essential attributes are captured by one dimensional, unimodal maps. The effects of noise, inevitable in ecological and epidemiological systems are discussed.

Chickenpox