[Physicians and scientific research: slight decline of the numbers of physicians with a doctoral degree].
OBJECTIVE: To establish whether the number of physicians interested in a career in academia (i.e. research) is declining. DESIGN: Descriptive. METHOD: The researchers analysed the pre- and post-doctoral careers of PhD students at 3 university medical centres (VU Amsterdam, Nijmegen and Maastricht) in 4 separate reference years (1989, 1994, 1999 and 2003), using information from doctoral dissertations and the Dutch medical address book. The researchers recorded the gender of the students and the timing of the doctorate in relation to specialist training, university education and employment, as applicable. RESULTS: The total number of dissertations produced at the 3 medical faculties in the 4 reference years increased gradually by nearly a factor of 2 (1989: 112; 1994: 152; 1999: 198; 2003: 213). In terms of absolute numbers, the number of dissertations authored by physicians increased from 1989 to 1994 and again in 1999 (64, 90 and 105), but decreased slightly in 2003 (96). The percentage of female physicians obtaining a doctorate doubled during this period (1989: 9/64 (14); 2003: 28/96 (29)). Increasingly, physicians prepared their dissertation before or during their training as specialists or general practitioners (1989: 15/64 (23%); 2003: 51/96 (53%)). Ofthe clinical specialists who had received their doctorate, approximately half continued to work in an academic setting after obtaining their degree. This percentage remained approximately the same in all reference years (1989: 13/26 (50); 1994:19/35 (54); 1999: 21/45 (47); 2003: 21/40 (53)). CONCLUSION: Although the number of physicians performing scientific research as part of their doctoral degree project declined slightly in 2003 following an initial rise, our data indicate no cause for major concern. One reason may be increased interest in Clinical Research Fellow programmes. However, the future of medical research would look brighter if young physicians with doctorates had better career prospects within academic centres. To follow the academic careers of clinicians in The Netherlands, a national registry is needed to collect the type of data analysed in this study continually.