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M Martuzzi

Publications and source records attributed to M Martuzzi.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Health impact assessment of air pollution: providing further evidence for public health action.

Many epidemiological studies have demonstrated the importance of air pollution as a risk factor and characterised dose-response relationships between health endpoints and pollutants. The association between particulate matter (PM) and health is generally regarded as causal, and a nonthreshold linear relationship with, for example, mortality and hospital admission has been observed in several settings. The ubiquitous PM air pollution is likely to have a large overall impact on human health, even if risks are relatively small. There have recently been a large number of papers reporting quantitative estimations of the health impact of PM on health, as measured by the proportion of excess events that are attributable to PM exposures in the general population, mainly in industrialised countries. For example, in the eight largest Italian cities it has been estimated that concentrations beyond 30 microg x m(-3) are responsible for about 3,500 extra deaths per year. A similar study has been carried out for France, Austria and Switzerland. These evaluations fill a knowledge gap between the laboratory and clinical studies on the pathophysiological mechanisms, the epidemiological research on the nature and strength of the association at the population level, and the risk management needs for developing appropriate preventive policies. Some limitations in the methodology deserve further research, however health impact assessment type studies are informative and effective tools of communication with the general public and policy makers.

Aged↗

Methodological problems and the role of statistics in cluster response studies: a framework.

More and more citizens urge public health authorities to investigate reports of disease excess in their neighbourhood. These environmental concerns are legitimate and it is part of good public health practice to respond to these complaints. However, the methodological and practical problems are severe and a lot of controversy exists about the usefulness of these investigations. To clarify the possibilities and limitations in this situation, this paper proposes a typology of cluster studies. According to this framework, cluster response is distinguished from two other types of cluster studies: Cluster monitoring. screening proactively for clusters to act as an early warning system, and cluster research, scrutinizing clustering to generate and test aetiological hypotheses. To each of these three types of cluster studies corresponds a different public health context; respectively public health action, public health surveillance and public health research. Probably, part of the controversy mentioned stems from not acknowledging sufficiently the corresponding intrinsic differences in rationality and practical constraints. Cluster response is crisis management and not scientific research. In a relatively short time, an informed decision should be taken by a multidisciplinary team of experts using readily available information and knowledge. In accordance with this point of view, cluster reports should be handled stepwise and the role of statistics is to quantify a cluster exploring different points of view as an input to the decision process.

Cluster Analysis↗

Asbestos-related lung cancer mortality in Piedmont, Italy.

This study investigates the association between pleural neoplasm mortality, a possible proxy for asbestos exposure, and lung cancer mortality among males resident in Piedmont (northwestern Italy). Pleural neoplasm mortality was estimated in the 1,209 municipalities of the region for the period 1980-1992, applying Bayesian methods. The association with lung cancer mortality for municipalities was studied using Poisson regression. Urban/rural indicators and altitude were also included in the analysis. A positive, statistically significant association was found between pleural neoplasm and lung cancer mortality (beta = 0.025, P < 0.001); lung cancer risk was associated also with urban status (vs. rural, beta = 0.223, P < 0.001) and altitude (P = 0.01). The proportion of lung cancer deaths attributable to living in municipalities with increased pleural neoplasm mortality was 3.9% (95% confidence interval, 2.1-5.7%). The observed association and the presence of a dose-response relationship at the municipality level underscore the dangers of asbestos for human health.

Adult↗

Estimating the incidence rate ratio in cross-sectional studies using a simple alternative to logistic regression.

PURPOSE: Logistic regression is often used for the analysis of cross-sectional studies, and prevalence odds and odds ratios are obtained. Other methods have been proposed for estimating prevalence ratios. An alternative regression method is also available for estimating rate ratios. Its application to cross-sectional studies is discussed. METHODS: When dealing with chronic conditions, it is possible to model binomial data using the complementary log-log link function log(-log(1-pi)), where pi is the prevalence, an option available on many statistical software packages. In effect, these are models for the disease incidence rate lambda, which is assumed to be constant over the underlying follow-up period t. This approach is based on the well-known relationship 1-pi-exp(-lambda t). The cumulative effect of age on prevalence (effectively "time of follow up") can be accounted for in the model, by specifying it as an offset. RESULTS: The regression coefficients associated with the covariates included in the model estimate rate ratios, rather than odds or prevalence ratios. The method is applied to the analysis of the prevalence of respiratory symptoms in 4395 children aged 7-9 years who are residents of Huddersfield (northern England), surveyed in the framework of the SAVIAH (Small Area Variations of Air Quality and Health) study. CONCLUSIONS: By considering saturated models including only sex as a covariate, direct comparison of crude and fitted parameters (odds, prevalence, and rate ratios) shows that, for short follow-up periods, the complementary log-log model is a valid alternative to logistic regression. More complex models including other covariates are also discussed.

Air Pollution↗

Perinatal mortality in an English health region: geographical distribution and association with socio-economic factors.

Although the international and regional variability of perinatal mortality rates have been widely studied, less is known about the variability at the small-area level. The geographical distribution of perinatal mortality in the former North-West Thames Health Region, England, during 1981-90, and its association with small-area socio-economic factors, as measured by the Carstairs index of deprivation, were studied. Recently developed methods of analysis, including use of Bayesian statistics, were applied to obtain descriptive results and maps, and for fitting regression models that allowed for the presence of unmeasured risk factors. Significant heterogeneity (P < 0.001) of perinatal mortality across census wards and districts was found. The 5% of wards with the highest mortality experienced a risk more than 1.7 times that of the 5% with lowest mortality. Significant, positive association between deprivation and perinatal mortality was also found. Assuming causality, social differentials at the small-area level accounted for between 1.3% and 14.1% of all perinatal deaths, depending on which level of the Carstairs index was selected as reference. Although a proportion of such variability might be explained by social characteristics, a better understanding of the nature of the association is necessary.

England↗

Ecological and individual predictors of birthweight in a northern Finland birth cohort 1986.

This multilevel study of spatial variability in, and determinants of, birthweight was conducted using individual and ecological data in a geographically defined prospective birth cohort for 1986 in northern Finland. The study area comprises three large areas defined by latitude: Northern Lapland (NL), Southern Lapland (SL) and Oulu province (OP), comprising 74 localities with a total study population of 9216 singleton births. The mean birthweight was 3482 g for NL, 3537 g for SL and 3587 g for OP (NL vs. OP and SL vs. OP: P < 0.05). The crude rate for stillbirths was highest in NL. The women in the northernmost area were socially less privileged and the localities less prosperous compared with those in the southernmost area. Significant spatial clustering of mean birthweights was found (P = 0.0016), with highest birthweight in the south-western part of the study area. A variable expressing the wealth of each locality, the financial capacity category (FCC), had its lowest mean value in NL, with a range of one to six for the localities studied here. A multilevel multiple regression model showed that, after allowing for sex, gestational age, mother's age, height and hypertensive disorders, parity, body mass index, previous low birthweight child and smoking as individual determinants of birthweight, part of the residual variation could be explained by the locality wealth parameter. Using the multilevel model, the differences in mean birthweight across the three latitude areas persisted but were reduced (difference OP vs. NL reduced from 105 g to 86.5 g). The relationship between birthweight and FCC was inverse U-shaped with the highest mean birthweight estimated for localities occurring in the middle of the range (FCC = 3). The wealthiest urban localities (FCC = 6) and the most deprived localities (FCC = 1) both had a predicted birthweight about 60 g below the maximum at FCC = 3, if all other factors were held constant. This result, taken together with the spatial clustering of birthweights, suggests that there may be important social and environmental determinants of birthweight that have yet to be identified.

Adult↗

Cluster analysis and disease mapping--why, when, and how? A step by step guide.

Growing public awareness of environmental hazards has led to an increased demand for public health authorities to investigate geographical clustering of diseases. Although such cluster analysis is nearly always ineffective in identifying causes of disease, it often has to be used to address public concern about environmental hazards. Interpreting the resulting data is not straightforward, however, and this paper presents a guide for the non-specialist. The pitfalls include the fact that cluster analyses are usually done post hoc, and not as a result of a prior hypothesis. This is particularly true for investigations prompted by reported clusters, which have the inherent danger of overestimating the disease rate through "boundary shrinkage" of the population from which the cases are assumed to have arisen. In disease surveillance the problem of making multiple comparisons can be overcome by testing for clustering and autocorrelation. When rates of disease are illustrated in disease maps undue focus on areas where random fluctuation is greatest can be minimised by smoothing techniques. Despite the fact that cluster analyses rarely prove fruitful in identifying causation, they may-like single case reports-have the potential to generate new knowledge.

Cluster Analysis↗

Estimating the degree of heterogeneity between event rates using likelihood.

The observed variability between mortality or morbidity rates in epidemiologic studies is partly due to random fluctuations. The same is true for rate ratios relative to reference rates. A method for estimating the distribution of true rate ratios is applied to a data set of perinatal mortality in 515 small areas in the North West Thames Health Region, England, in the period 1986-1990. Combining the random Poisson variability with the assumption that the true rate ratios are drawn from a gamma distribution (a family of positive unimodal distributions) produces a negative binomial log-likelihood for the dispersion parameter of the gamma. The maximum likelihood estimate of this parameter and its confidence interval are then found via direct numerical methods; alternatively, the hypothesis of no heterogeneity is tested by a likelihood ratio. The standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) for the data have an empirical distribution with 5th percentile at 0 and 95th percentile at 1.92, but their true variability, as described by the 5th to 95th percentiles of the fitted gamma distribution, is from 0.72 to 1.32. The likelihood ratio test confirmed this result, rejecting the hypothesis that the true rates are homogeneous (p = 0.015). The method requires only modest computing resources and is useful when assessing the need for more detailed study.

England↗

Spatial statistical methods in environmental epidemiology: a critique.

Despite recent advances in the available statistical methods for geographical analysis, there are many constraints to their application in environmental epidemiology. These include problems of data availability and quality, especially the lack in most situations of environmental exposure measurements. Methods for disease 'cluster' investigation, point source exposures, small-area disease mapping and ecological correlation studies are critically reviewed, with the emphasis on practical applications and epidemiological interpretation. It is shown that, unless dealing with rare diseases, high specificity exposures and high relative risks, cluster investigation is unlikely to be fruitful, and is often complicated by the post hoc nature of such studies. However, it is recognized that in these circumstances proper assessment of the available data is often required as part of the public health response. Newly available methods, particularly in Bayesian statistics, offer an appropriate framework for geographical analysis and disease mapping. Again, it is uncertain whether they will give important clues as to aetiology, although they do give valuable description. Perhaps the most satisfactory approach is to test a priori hypotheses using a geographical database, although problems of interpretation remain.

Adult↗

[Territorial distribution of mortality from malignant tumors of the pleura in Italy].

Mortality from malignant pleural neoplasms in Italy, 1980-87, was studied in order to detect areas at risk. The number of observed deaths occurring in each of the 8000 Italian municipalities was contrasted to the expected figure obtained from regional and/or national rates; whenever a significant increase, based on at least three observed cases, was detected, the municipality was included in the study. The main findings in Piedmont concern the city of Casale Monferrato, where an important asbestos cement factory is located, and some areas characterized by the presence of the textile industry. Genoa and other harbours of the northwestern coast, where important shipyards are located, were detected. In Lombardy an increased in risk concerning women was observed in several municipalities. Major increases in risk were seen in Venice. Trieste and Monfalcone, where important shipyards are located. In Tuscany, the highest risk was reported in Leghorn and surrounding areas; naval industry and chemical industries should be considered. In southern Italy, several cities with industrial harbours were shown to be at risk.

Cause of Death↗

Acute phase proteins in chronic and malignant liver diseases.

Six acute phase proteins (haptoglobin, alpha 1-acid glycoprotein, alpha 1-antitrypsin, alpha 2-macroglobulin, C reactive protein and transferrin) have been measured in the sera of chronic liver disease (CLD) patients with different aetiology (viral, autoimmune and alcoholic) and histology (steatosis, chronic persistent hepatitis, chronic active hepatitis, cirrhosis), and in patients with liver cancer. 1) The most striking changes concerned alpha 2-macroglobulin (increased) and haptoglobin (decreased) levels. 2) Transferrin was lower in alcoholic liver disease than in viral CLD, CRP was lower in autoimmune than in viral or alcoholic CLD, and alpha 1-acid glycoprotein was lower in viral and alcoholic CLD than in autoimmune CLD. Acute phase protein assay may prove useful in differential diagnosis, particularly when specific markers are not available (autoimmune, non A, non B, alcoholic liver diseases). 3) No significant differences related to aetiology (B, non A non B, D viruses) were observed in viral CLD. 4) Patients who progressed to CLD after acute viral hepatitis type B or non A non B did not show different APP levels from those who had recovered when tested 8-12 months after the acute phase. 5) The pattern of APP changes observed in primary liver cell carcinoma was different from both the cirrhotic pattern and the pattern presented by other tumours with or without liver metastasis.

Acute-Phase Proteins↗

A clinical-immunological evaluation of AIDS cases and related syndromes.

The clinical features of our cases demonstrated some of the already known characteristics of the variable spectrum of HIV infection. DA are the most important risk category in Italy. 10% of the ARC cases evolved into AIDS during a 12-month follow-up, on average. The most frequent OI in our AIDS cases were PCP, C. albicans esophagitis and chronic mucocutaneous ulcers. An high percentage of neurologic involvement from HIV was observed, and malignancies were encountered in AIDS (3 KS and 1 undifferentiated B lymphoma) as well as in ARC (1 Hodgkin's lymphoma). Statistically, significant worsening of the immunologic situation is evident as the disease progresses from LAS to AIDS. Activated B lymphocytes represent most of the cells of the germinal center during the hyperplastic stage of lymphadenopathy. Reversal of the T4/T8 ratio appears early during the initial stage of lymphadenopathy and is due to a decrease of CD4 and a relative increase of CD8. Also, destruction of the follicular dendritic cells is an early feature which becomes more evident as the disease advances and the lymph node evolves toward progressive involution. Activated B-lymphocyte augmentation with polyclonal Ig secretion appears to be related to T-independent B stimulation by coinfection such as CMV, EBV and HBV. The increase of cytotoxic/suppressor lymphocytes seems to be partly related to the excessive activation of B lymphocytes and partially directed to the cells infected by HIV or coated with its proteins (6,7,8,9). The destruction of follicular dendritic cells has been interpreted not only as a killer effect of the virus but also as a result of the intervention of CTL sensitized to the cells containing the virus (10,11). Their destruction may contribute to the impaired recognition of soluble antigen which is one of the main features of the immune deficiency of HIV infection (9,13,16).

AIDS-Related Complex↗

The value of lymph node biopsy in patients with the acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) and the AIDS-related complex (ARC): a morphological and immunohistochemical study of 90 cases.

The morphological and immunohistochemical findings in lymph nodes of nine patients with the acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) and 81 patients with the AIDS-related complex (ARC) are presented. Three basic histological patterns were observed: follicular hyperplasia (29 cases), mixed hyperplasia (49 cases) and lymphocyte depletion (12 cases). While the first two variants were detected in typical ARC patients, lymphocyte depletion was always associated with AIDS. Immunohistochemistry on frozen sections showed that the number of B-cells varied throughout the series, being higher in the follicular type and significantly lower in the lymphocyte depletion nodes. The content of T-lymphocytes of the helper/inducer (T4) phenotype was reduced in all instances; this reduction was more pronounced in the germinal centres in follicular hyperplasia, while it involved all compartments of the node in the mixed and lymphocyte depletion types. In contrast the cytotoxic/suppressor (T8) subset was increased in the follicular and mixed hyperplasias only. Partial disintegration of the dendritic network in at least some of the follicles could be demonstrated in all lymph nodes. In the follicular and mixed hyperplasias there was a high number of proliferating B-cells in the germinal centres. Our data indicate the usefulness of grading the changes occurring in lymph nodes of patients with ARC and AIDS, and allow speculation as to the pathophysiology of these conditions.

AIDS-Related Complex↗

[Nosology of contraceptives: hematological and ultrastructural observations after experimental administration of low dosage contraceptives (author's transl)].

A further experimental study on changes produced in rabbits by low dosage contraceptives is presented. The administration has been continued for six months. Serum biochemical and hepatic ultrastructural findings are in agreements with literature data. On the contrary the early changes of cardiac microcirculation and chiefly renal glomerular tuft seem to be rather unusual. The weight to be attached to the knowledges descending from the presented data in assessing allowance of contraceptive treatments in human subjects and aiming preventive medicine purposes is emphasized.

Animals↗