Association of extracranial carotid arterial disease and chronic atrial fibrillation with the incidence of new thromboembolic stroke in 1,846 older persons.
In a prospective study of 1,846 persons, mean age 81 +/- 8 years, 281 persons (15%) had 40% to 100% extracranial carotid arterial disease and 253 persons (14%) had chronic atrial fibrillation. The Cox regression model showed that significant independent risk factors for new thromboembolic stroke were atrial fibrillation (p = 0.0001, risk ratio 3.3), 40% to 100% extracranial carotid arterial disease (p = 0.0001, risk ratio 2.5), prior stroke (p = 0.0001, risk ratio 2.1), and male gender (p = 0.045, risk ratio 1.2).