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M Saez

Publications and source records attributed to M Saez.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources
PubMed2006

Air pollution and cardiovascular admissions association in Spain: results within the EMECAS project.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the short term effect of air pollution on cardiovascular admissions in 14 Spanish cities METHODS: The period under study was from 1995 to 1999. Daily emergency admissions for all cardiovascular diseases (CVD) and heart diseases (HD) were obtained from hospital records, and the corresponding daily levels of particulates, SO2, NO2, CO, and ozone were recorded. The magnitude of association was estimated using Poisson generalised additive models controlling for confounding and overdispersion. For each cause, lagged effects, up to three days, of each pollutant were examined and combined estimates were obtained. For ozone the analyses were restricted to the warm period. One and two pollutant models were performed. RESULTS: Associations were more consistent in lag 0 (concurrent day) and 1 (lag 0-1), except in the case of ozone where there was a more delayed relation (lag 2-3). For combined estimates an increase of 10 microg/m3 in the PM10 levels in lag 0-1 was associated with an increase of 0.9% (95% CI: 0.4 to 1.5%) in the number of hospital admissions for CVD, and 1.6% (0.8 to 2.3%) for HD. For ozone the corresponding estimates for lag 2-3 were 0.7% (0.3 to 1.0) for CVD, and 0.7% (0.1 to 1.2) for HD. An increase of 1 mg/m3 in CO levels was associated with an increase of 2.1% (0.7 to 3.5%) in CVD admissions, and 4.2% (1.3 to 7.1%) in HD admissions. SO2 and NO2 estimates were more sensitive in two pollutant models CONCLUSIONS: A short term association between increases in daily levels of air pollutants and the number of daily admissions for cardiovascular diseases, with specificity for heart diseases, has been described in Spanish cities.

Aged↗
PubMed2003

Investigating the dose-response relation between air pollution and total mortality in the APHEA-2 multicity project.

BACKGROUND: Several recent studies have reported significant health effects of air pollution even at low levels of air pollutants, but in most of these studies linear non-threshold relations were assumed. AIMS: To investigate the NO2 mortality dose-response association in nine cities participating in the APHEA-2 project using two different methods: the meta-smooth and the cubic spline method. METHODS: The meta-smooth method developed by Schwartz and Zanobetti is based on combining individual city non-parametric smooth curves; the cubic spline method developed within the APHEA-2 project combines individual city estimates of cubic spline shaped dose-response relations. The meta-smooth method is easier and faster to implement, but the cubic spline method is more flexible for further investigation of possible heterogeneity in the dose-response curves among cities. RESULTS: In the range of the pollutant common to all cities the two methods gave similar and comparable curves. Using the cubic spline method it was found that smoking prevalence acts as an effect modifier with larger NO2 effects on mortality at lower smoking prevalence. CONCLUSIONS: The NO2-mortality association in the cities included in the present analysis, could be adequately estimated using the linear model. However, investigation of the city specific dose-response curves should precede the application of linear models.

Air Pollutants↗
PubMed2001

[Body mass index (BMI) and percent fat mass. A BMI > 27.5 kg/m2 could be indicative of obesity in the Spanish population].

BACKGROUND: The World Health Organization (WHO) defines obesity as a condition of excessive fat accumulation to the extent that health and well-being are affected. For population studies, the measurement of weight, corrected for height, is still the method of choice (BMI). In Caucasian populations, the BMI cut-off point for obesity (30 kg/m2) corresponds with a percent body fat (PFM) of over 25% in young adult males and 35% in young adult females. However, the relation between BMI and PFM is not uniform among populations. It is important to define in each population the threshold of BMI which corresponds to the definition of obesity. PATIENTS AND METHOD: BMI was calculated in 282 subjects. PFM was analyzed using Bio-electrical impedance. Blood pressure, serum glucose and insulin, and the fasting insulin resistance index were also determined in all subjects to analyze the metabolic impact. RESULTS: The PFM of 25% in males and 35% in females corresponded to a BMI of 27.5 and 27.4 kg/m2, respectively. The slope of the relationship between the degree of obesity and comorbilities (insulinemia, fasting insulin resistance index and blood pressure) was strengthened above 26 kg/m2 in men and 24 kg/m2 in women. CONCLUSIONS: BMI that corresponds to a PFM previously defined as obesity is lower in our population in comparison with other Caucasian populations. Our results confirm that is impossible to compare the prevalence of obesity among populations using exclusively the BMI. It will be important to define, using reference methods, whether these findings have physiological impact or not, and if this cut-off of BMI determines an increment in cardiovascular and overall mortality using epidemiological approaches.

Adipose Tissue↗
PubMed2001

Use of poisson regression and box-jenkins models to evaluate the short-term effects of environmental noise levels on daily emergency admissions in Madrid, Spain.

The relationship between environmental factors and hospital admissions has usually been analysed without taking into account the influence of a factor closely related to traffic in big cities, that is, environmental noise levels. We analysed the relationship between environmental noise and emergency admissions, for all causes and specific causes in Madrid (Spain), for the study period 1995-1997, using two statistical methods for the analysis of epidemiological time series data: Poisson autoregressive models and Box Jenkins (ARIMA) methodology. Both methods produce a clear association between emergency admissions for all and specific causes and environmental noise levels. We found very similar results from both methods for all and circulatory causes, but slightly different for respiratory causes. Around 5% of all emergency admissions can be attributed to high noise levels, with a lower figure for specific causes. Current levels of environmental noise have a considerable epidemiological impact on emergency admissions in Madrid. A reduction of environmental noise levels could be accompanied by a possible reduction in the number of emergency admissions.

Air Pollutants↗
PubMed2001

Comparing meta-analysis and ecological-longitudinal analysis in time-series studies. A case study of the effects of air pollution on mortality in three Spanish cities.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: The objective of this paper is to introduce a different approach, called the ecological-longitudinal, to carrying out pooled analysis in time series ecological studies. Because it gives a larger number of data points and, hence, increases the statistical power of the analysis, this approach, unlike conventional ones, allows the complementation of aspects such as accommodation of random effect models, of lags, of interaction between pollutants and between pollutants and meteorological variables, that are hardly implemented in conventional approaches. DESIGN: The approach is illustrated by providing quantitative estimates of the short-term effects of air pollution on mortality in three Spanish cities, Barcelona, Valencia and Vigo, for the period 1992-1994. Because the dependent variable was a count, a Poisson generalised linear model was first specified. Several modelling issues are worth mentioning. Firstly, because the relations between mortality and explanatory variables were non-linear, cubic splines were used for covariate control, leading to a generalised additive model, GAM. Secondly, the effects of the predictors on the response were allowed to occur with some lag. Thirdly, the residual autocorrelation, because of imperfect control, was controlled for by means of an autoregressive Poisson GAM. Finally, the longitudinal design demanded the consideration of the existence of individual heterogeneity, requiring the consideration of mixed models. MAIN RESULTS: The estimates of the relative risks obtained from the individual analyses varied across cities, particularly those associated with sulphur dioxide. The highest relative risks corresponded to black smoke in Valencia. These estimates were higher than those obtained from the ecological-longitudinal analysis. Relative risks estimated from this latter analysis were practically identical across cities, 1.00638 (95% confidence intervals 1.0002, 1.0011) for a black smoke increase of 10 microg/m(3) and 1.00415 (95% CI 1.0001, 1.0007) for a increase of 10 microg/m(3) of sulphur dioxide. Because the statistical power is higher than in the individual analysis more interactions were statistically significant, especially those among air pollutants and meteorological variables. CONCLUSIONS: Air pollutant levels were related to mortality in the three cities of the study, Barcelona, Valencia and Vigo. These results were consistent with similar studies in other cities, with other multicentric studies and coherent with both, previous individual, for each city, and multicentric studies for all three cities.

Air Pollutants↗
PubMed2001

The concentration-response relation between air pollution and daily deaths.

Studies on three continents have reported associations between various measures of airborne particles and daily deaths. Sulfur dioxide has also been associated with daily deaths, particularly in Europe. Questions remain about the shape of those associations, particularly whether there are thresholds at low levels. We examined the association of daily concentrations of black smoke and SO(2) with daily deaths in eight Spanish cities (Barcelona, Bilbao, Castellón, Gijón, Oviedo, Valencia, Vitoria, and Zaragoza) with different climates and different environmental and social characteristics. We used nonparametric smoothing to estimate the shape of the concentration-response curve in each city and combined those results using a metasmoothing technique developed by Schwartz and Zanobetti. We extended their method to incorporate random variance components. Black smoke had a nearly linear association with daily deaths, with no evidence of a threshold. A 10 microg/m(3) increase in black smoke was associated with a 0.88% increase in daily deaths (95% confidence interval, 0.56%-1.20%). SO(2) had a less plausible association: Daily deaths increased at very low concentrations, but leveled off and then decreased at higher concentrations. These findings held in both one- and two-pollutant models and held whether we optimized our weather and seasonal model in each city or used the same smoothing parameters in each city. We conclude that the association with particle levels is more convincing than for SO(2), and without a threshold. Linear models provide an adequate estimation of the effect of particulate air pollution on mortality at low to moderate concentrations.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2001

Restoration of a fractured primary incisor.

Esthetic restoration on primary teeth has been a special challenge to pediatric dentists. Composite restorations are the most often used treatment for decay and fractures of primary teeth, however, there are other possible alternatives. We present a case in which we have used an acrylic crown to treat a fractured primary incisor in a 1.8 years old child.

Acrylic Resins↗
PubMed2000

Modelling and forecasting antimicrobial resistance and its dynamic relationship to antimicrobial use: a time series analysis.

To investigate the relationship between antimicrobial use and resistance in our hospital, we collected antimicrobial susceptibility and use data from existing microbiology laboratory and pharmacy databases for the period July 1st, 1991-December 31, 1998. The data was analyzed as time series and autoregressive integrated moving average (Box-Jenkins) and transfer function models were built. By using this method, we were able to demonstrate a temporal relationship between antimicrobial use and resistance, to quantify the effect of use on resistance and to estimate the delay between variations of use and subsequent variations in resistance. The results obtained for two antimicrobial-microorganism combinations: ceftazidime-gram-negative bacilli and imipenem-Pseudomonas aeruginosa, are shown as examples.

Anti-Bacterial Agents↗
PubMed2000

Comparative study of tumor angiogenesis and immunohistochemistry for p53, c-ErbB2, c-myc and EGFr as prognostic factors in gastric cancer.

Gastric cancer (GC) continues to be a highly aggressive malignancy with poor prognosis and low survival rates. The survival of patients with GC depends mainly on the stage of the disease, with early GC having a 5 year survival of 90-100% and advanced tumors a 5 year survival of 15-25%. The role of other prognostic factors in these tumors is still under investigation. 28 gastric dysplasia, 45 Early GC and 98 Advanced Gastric Cancers were evaluated for expression of the oncogenes p53, c-ErbB2, c-myc and the EGFr in paraffin-embedded material utilizing Avidin-Biotin immunohistochemistry techniques. In 34 cases of GC microvessel density (MVD) was determined in CD34 stained sections. Statistical correlations with stage, histologic type, differentiation degree, location, size, ploidy patterns and overall survival were done. The Mantel-Cox test was performed to evaluate which factors had an independent prognostic value. Both, tumor angiogenesis and p53 protein expression were statistically associated (95% confidence intervals) with overall survival in patients with GC. p53 protein expression was also correlated with cardial location, nodal involvement and tumor stage. c-ErbB2 may recognize a group of highly aggressive well differentiated adenocarcinomas with worse prognosis. c-myc was also significantly enhanced in well differentiated tumors. EGFr showed no significant associations. Mantel-Cox was performed to compare the prognostic value of tumor stage, p53 protein expression and tumor angiogenesis. Tumor angiogenesis was the most important prognostic indicator to predict overall survival in our series. p53 expression was not independent and did not provide additional prognostic information to tumor stage. Our study suggests that angiogenesis as demonstrated by microvessel counts in CD34 stained sections is a significantly important prognostic factor for predicting survival in gastric cancer.

Adult↗
PubMed1999

A GEE moving average analysis of the relationship between air pollution and mortality for asthma in Barcelona, Spain.

Several studies have assessed the association between air pollution and hospital admissions or emergency room visits for asthma. Because of both the presence of missing data and the small number of observations, the relationship between air pollution and mortality for respiratory causes has been rarely analysed, and when it has, the results are very inconclusive or even inconsistent. The objective of this study is to assess the relation between levels of air pollutants (black smoke, sulphur dioxide, nitrogen dioxide and ozone), meteorological variables (24th average temperature and relative humidity) and daily mortality for asthma (ICD-9 493, 2 to 45 years old) in Barcelona, Spain, during the period 1986-1989. Since the range of daily mortality for asthma (2 to 45 years old) during the period 1986-1989 was 0-1), we have preferred to consider this variable as dichotomous. First, the relationship between air pollutants, meteorological variables and daily mortality (controlled for the occurrence of asthma epidemics) was estimated using logistic regression models. As was expected, the residuals from this regression were autocorrelated, showing a complex moving average (MA) structure. If covariates were not time dependent the so-called generalized linear mixed models, could be applied. In our case the covariates vary. As a consequence the likelihood is numerically intractable because it involves the evaluation of n-fold integral. An alternative method that avoids these numerical problems is the generalized estimating equations method (GEE). It is a multivariate analogue of quasi-likelihood estimation. In the absence of a likelihood function the parameters can be estimated by solving a multivariate analogue of the quasi score function. We have modified the GEE method in this paper, allowing for a different structure in the error covariance matrix (MA). Both air pollutants and meteorological variables are related with the occurrence of a death for asthma. In this sense, nitrogen dioxide, NO(2) (ss=0.037, p<0. 05), ozone, O(3) (ss=0.021, p<0.06) and high temperature (the ss's were in the range (0.098-0.182), p<0.05) increased the probability of dying for asthma in Barcelona during the period 1986-1989.

Adolescent↗
PubMed1999

The impact of teaching status on average costs in Spanish hospitals.

In this paper, the observed systematic differences in costs for teaching hospitals (TH) in Spain are examined. Concern has been voiced regarding the existence of a bias in the financing of TH once prospective budgets are introduced for hospital finance. Claims for adjustment to take into account the 'legitimate' extra costs of teaching on hospital expenditure may be well grounded. Focus is on the estimation of the impact of teaching status on average cost, using a version of a multi-product hospital cost function, taking into account some relevant factors from which to derive the observed differences. It is assumed that the relationship between the explanatory and the dependent variables follows a flexible form for each of the explanatory variables. Also, the underlying covariance structure of the data is modelled. Two qualitatively different sources of variation are assumed: random effects and serial correlation. Random variation refers to both general level variation (through the random intercept) and the variation specifically related to teaching status. It is postulated that the impact of the random effects is dominant over the impact of the serial correlation effects. The model is estimated by restricted maximum likelihood. The results show that costs are 9% higher (15% in the case of median costs) in teaching than in non-teaching hospitals. That is, teaching status legitimately explains no more than half of the observed difference in actual costs. The impact on costs of the teaching factor depends on the number of residents, with an increase of 51.11% per resident for hospitals with fewer than 204 residents (third quartile of the number of residents) and 41.84% for hospitals with more than 204 residents. In addition, the estimated dispersion is higher among teaching hospitals. As a result, due to the considerable observed heterogeneity, results should be interpreted with caution. From a policy making point of view, it is concluded that since a higher relative burden for medical training falls on public hospitals, an explicit adjustment for the extra costs that the teaching factor imposes on hospital finance is needed, before hospital competition for inpatient services takes place.

Education, Medical, Graduate↗
PubMed1999

Pancreatic-phase versus portal vein-phase helical CT of the pancreas: optimal temporal window for evaluation of pancreatic adenocarcinoma.

OBJECTIVE: Our objective was to use helical CT to compare the enhancement attenuation values of pancreatic adenocarcinoma, adjacent normal pancreas, and critical vascular structures during the pancreatic phase and portal vein phase. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: Forty-one patients with pathologically proven pancreatic adenocarcinoma underwent dual-phase thin-section dynamic helical CT using a pancreatic-phase and portal vein-phase protocol. The scan delay after initiation of the contrast bolus was 40 sec for the pancreatic phase and 70 sec for the portal vein phase. Attenuation values after i.v. contrast administration were calculated during both phases of scanning for normal pancreas, pancreatic tumor, celiac axis, superior mesenteric artery, superior mesenteric vein, splenic vein, and portal vein. Quantitative values were assessed using regions of interest. RESULTS: Mean differences of enhancement between tumor and normal pancreas were significantly greater in the pancreatic phase (57 H) than the portal vein phase (35 H) (p = .0001). Enhancement values of all the critical vascular structures were also significantly greater in the pancreatic phase than the portal vein phase (p < .001). CONCLUSION: With dynamic thin-section helical CT, pancreatic-phase scanning provides greater differences in contrast enhancement between normal pancreas and pancreatic tumor and between pancreatic tumors and surrounding critical vascular structures than does portal vein-phase scanning.

Adenocarcinoma↗
PubMed1998

Why do patients prefer hospital emergency visits? A nested multinomial logit analysis for patient-initiated contacts.

This paper analyzes the nature of health care provider choice in the case of patient-initiated contacts, with special reference to a National Health Service setting, where monetary prices are zero and general practitioners act as gatekeepers to publicly financed specialized care. We focus our attention on the factors that may explain the continuously increasing use of hospital emergency visits as opposed to other provider alternatives. An extended version of a discrete choice model of demand for patient-initiated contacts is presented, allowing for individual and town residence size differences in perceived quality (preferences) between alternative providers and including travel and waiting time as non-monetary costs. Results of a nested multinomial logit model of provider choice are presented. Individual choice between alternatives considers, in a repeated nested structure, self-care, primary care, hospital and clinic emergency services. Welfare implications and income effects are analyzed by computing compensating variations, and by simulating the effects of user fees by levels of income. Results indicate that compensating variation per visit is higher than the direct marginal cost of emergency visits, and consequently, emergency visits do not appear as an inefficient alternative even for non-urgent conditions.

Choice Behavior↗
PubMed1998

References values for forced spirometry. Group of the European Community Respiratory Health Survey.

The European Coal and Steel Community (ECSC) prediction equations exemplify a significant effort carried out approximately 15 yrs ago to provide uniform standards for lung function testing, but this set of equations has not been properly validated as yet. The present study evaluates the ECSC reference values and four other sets of prediction equations, using spirometric data collected in 12,900 nonasthmatic subjects (43% lifetime nonsmokers and 36% active smokers) aged 20-44 yrs from the European Community Respiratory Health Survey (ECRHS). Standardized spirometric measurements were obtained using a common protocol in 34 centres in 14 countries. For each prediction equation, the prediction deviations (i.e. observed minus predicted value) for forced vital capacity (FVC) and forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV1) were examined for the whole study population and for each centre. For the age range included, the errors about the ECSC equations showed the most prominent underestimation of both predicted FVC (+355 and +360 mL on average in males and females, respectively) and predicted FEV1 (+211 and +200 mL, respectively) among the five studies examined. As expected, FVC and FEV1 in active smokers from the ECRHS were significantly lower than in lifetime nonsmokers (each p<0.01). We conclude that the present European recommendations on lung function reference values should be reconsidered, but further data for nonsymptomatic subjects above the age of 44 yrs are needed.

Adult↗
PubMed1998

Time-series analysis of air pollution and cause-specific mortality.

Ten large European cities provided data on daily air pollution as well as mortality from respiratory and cardiovascular mortality. We used Poisson autoregressive models that controlled for trend, season, influenza epidemics, and meteorologic influences to assess the short-term effects of air pollution at each city. We then compared and pooled the city-specific results in a meta-analysis. The pooled relative risks of daily deaths from cardiovascular conditions were 1.02 [95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.01-1.04] for a 50 microg/m3 increment in the concentration of black smoke and 1.04 (95% CI = 1.01-1.06) for an increase in sulfur dioxide levels in western European cities. For respiratory diseases, these figures were 1.04 (95% CI = 1.02-1.07) and 1.05 (95% CI = 1.03-1.07), respectively. These associations were not found in the five central European cities. Eight-hour averages of ozone were also moderately associated with daily mortality in western European cities (relative risk = 1.02; 95% CI = 1.00-1.03 for cardiovascular conditions and relative risk = 1.06; 95% CI = 1.02-1.10 for respiratory conditions). Nitrogen dioxide did not show consistent relations with daily mortality. These results are similar to previously published data and add credence to the causal interpretation of these associations at levels of air pollution close to or lower than current European standards.

Aged↗
PubMed1996

Methodological issues in studies of air pollution and daily counts of deaths or hospital admissions.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: To review the issues and methodologies in epidemiologic time series studies of daily counts of mortality and hospital admissions and illustrate some of the methodologies. DESIGN: This is a review paper with an example drawn from hospital admissions of the elderly in Cleveland, Ohio, USA. MAIN RESULTS: The central issue is control for seasonality. Both over and under control are possible, and the use of diagnostics, including plots, is necessary. Weather dependence is probably non-linear, and adequate methods are necessary to adjust for this. In Cleveland, the use of categorical variables for weather and sinusoidal terms for filtering season are illustrated. After control for season, weather, and day of the week effects, hospital admission of persons aged 65 and older in Cleveland for respiratory illness was associated with ozone (RR = 1.09, 95% CI 1.02, 1.16) and particulates (PM10 (RR = 1.12, 95% CI 1.01, 1.24), and marginally associated with sulphur dioxide (SO2) (RR = 1.03, 95% CI = 0.99, 1.06). All of the relative risks are for a 100 micrograms/m3 increase in the pollutant. CONCLUSIONS: Several adequate methods exist to control for weather and seasonality while examining the associations between air pollution and daily counts of mortality and morbidity. In each case, care and judgement are required.

Aged↗