Atlas of cancer incidence in the former German Democratic Republic 1978-1982.
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Biomedical subjects
Publications and source records attributed to M Smans.
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A summary of smoking and cancer in various European countries is presented Important points are the tobacco/alcohol interaction in the elevated mortality rates from upper digestive and respiratory tract neoplasms in France and other southern European countries, the delay in the lung cancer epidemic in females compared with the situation in North America (with the major exception of the United Kingdom) and the different pattern of lung cancer rates in younger compared with older generations (which suggests that eastern and southern European countries will have the highest lung cancer rates at the beginning of the next century in the absence of urgent intervention). The efficacy of anti-smoking policies in Scandinavian countries which now have the lowest lung cancer rates in Europe and the persisting importance of high-tar dark-tobacco cigarettes in eastern and southern Europe in enhancing the risk not only of cancer of the lung but also of upper digestive and respiratory and bladder neoplasms are also discussed.
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While cancer maps are a convenient way of conveying quickly such information as the presence of clusters of areas at high or low risk, the level of statistical significance of these occurrences cannot be easily derived. A method of measuring the "spatial aggregation," based on rank, was presented in the Atlas of Cancer in Scotland (Kemp et al. 1985) and further expanded in the Atlas of Cancer Mortality in Italy (Cislaghi et al. 1986). A refined version of this method is presented and compared with others.
The purpose of this report is to present the descriptive epidemiology of colorectal cancer using the most recent data available to highlight two characteristics of the disease. First is the great variation which takes place in the frequency of this disease over geographic areas of all sizes. Colorectal cancer is common in most countries of North America and Europe, is rare in Asia and is particularly uncommon in Africa. Internationally, the variation in colon cancer is 60-fold, and within Europe there is a 4-fold difference in the incidence of colon cancer between areas with the highest and lowest rates. For cancer of the rectum, variation internationally is 18-fold and within Europe it is 3-fold. Within the United Kingdom, colon cancer is uniformly higher in the 5 Scottish Cancer Registry Regions than in their counterparts in England and Wales. Even within Scotland there is a 4-fold range of colon cancer incidence in rates, with the North and South clearly demarcated by a striking difference in colon cancer incidence in both sexes. Secondly, examination of international mortality rates for colorectal cancer demonstrates remarkable differences in trends over time between countries. In countries where colorectal cancer mortality rates were initially low, rates have increased substantially. In many countries where rates circa 1950 were moderately high, they have increased slightly or become stabilized. However, in countries such as Scotland, Canada, England and Wales and the United States, where rates were initially high, there have been gradual falls in mortality over time.
The most recent data available demonstrate a 120-fold difference between the lowest and highest incidence rates of prostatic cancer, the disease being very common in North America, particularly among Blacks, and in Scandinavia, while it is rare in Japan and other oriental countries. The highest mortality for prostatic cancer is reported from St. Vincent and Grenadines, Martinique and Bermuda, from countries where the morbidity statistics are not available; the mortality rates reported from the United States and Canada are considerably lower. The incidence of and mortality from prostatic cancer have increased in most countries, in particular in areas with an initially low frequency of this disease. The ratio of mortality to incidence for prostatic cancer varies rather widely, being low in North America, Hawaii and Scandinavia. It is suggested that the observed variation in the mortality to incidence ratio for prostatic cancer could be due to differences in diagnostic practices between countries. This could explain, at least in part, the fact that the increasing trends of prostatic cancer incidence in North America are not accompanied by an increase in mortality from this tumour. This notion, however, does not exclude advances in treatment as possible determinants of the improved survival rate from prostatic cancer in this part of the world. The available statistics on prostatic cancer are based on the sum of clinically diagnosed carcinomas and those latent tumours found unexpectedly at prostatectomy and autopsy. The proportion of latent carcinomas among all prostatic cancer cases depends on the detection rate and varies from country to country, thus casting uncertainty on the comparability of prostatic cancer statistics from different areas. To avoid confusion in the statistics of prostatic cancer, it would be useful to consider introducing latent prostatic cancer as a separate entity in the next revision of the International Classification of Diseases (ICD).
Cancer mortality and morbidity data are usually collected and published by calendar time period and by age class. Transformation of the age-specific incidence or mortality rates into those for birth cohorts is readily undertaken when one age class of each time period corresponds to a given cohort: a requirement that is often not satisfied. The authors propose a method for the computation of birth cohort age-specific incidence rates given irregular cross-sectional data. The procedure is based on a cross-sectional interpolation of cumulated population and case figures, from which cohort rates can be derived. Using the method several examples of trends in cancer incidence by birth cohort are discussed.
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