Biomedical subjects

Mahan Ghafari

Publications and source records attributed to Mahan Ghafari.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

PubMed2026

Global vaccine readiness: equity-by-design in pandemic preparedness and response.

INTRODUCTION: COVID-19 showed that rapid vaccine development and roll-out, while lifesaving, can still yield large, avoidable harms when equity is not considered from the outset. Disparities in vaccine timing and coverage, especially in low-resource settings, amplified health and economic burdens, highlighting the need for preparedness frameworks that combine speed with fairness. AREAS COVERED: We synthesize evidence from literature and policy reports regarding global vaccine roll-out, focusing on avertable mortality under alternative sharing scenarios, procurement design, pooled mechanisms such as COVAX, and the role of distributed manufacturing and delivery capacity. We also examine how transparent data-sharing, effective public communication, genomic surveillance, adaptive trial designs, and modeling hubs can support more responsive and equitable vaccine deployment. Across six reflection points, we translate these lessons into practical priorities for future pandemic readiness, including strengthening healthcare infrastructure, equitable procurement, data transparency, and safeguarding public health decision-making from political and commercial distortion. EXPERT OPINION: We argue that equity-by-design is essential if vaccine innovation is to deliver equitable public health impact. This requires geographically distributed manufacturing, transparency, equity-conditioned advance purchase agreements, and pre-agreed, epidemiology-triggered allocation of vaccines. We recommend institutionalizing disaggregated reporting, standardized data-sharing, greater pathogen genomic sequencing capacity, and communication strategies that support public health protection while countering misinformation.

Humans↗

PubMed2025

SARS-CoV-2 genomic diversity and within-host evolution in individuals with persistent infection in the UK: an observational, longitudinal, population-based surveillance study.

BACKGROUND: Persistent SARS-CoV-2 infections in hospitalised immunocompromised individuals are known to facilitate accelerated within-host viral evolution, potentially contributing to the emergence of highly divergent variants. However, little is known about the evolutionary dynamics and transmission risks of persistent infections in the general population. We aimed to characterise the within-host evolution of SARS-CoV-2 during persistent infections identified through a large community surveillance study. METHODS: We used data from the Office for National Statistics COVID-19 Infection Survey (ONS-CIS), a large-scale, longitudinal, population-based surveillance study conducted in the UK from April, 2020, to March, 2023. For this analysis, we focused on infections with high viral load (cycle threshold ≤30) and available genome sequences, from seven major SARS-CoV-2 lineages (alpha, delta, BA.1, BA.2, BA.4, BA.5, and XBB). ONS-CIS participants were randomly selected from the general population and tested regularly by RT-PCR, regardless of symptoms. We defined persistent infections as those with sustained or rebounding high viral RNA titres for 26 days or longer. We examined associated host characteristics and used raw sequence data to identify de novo mutations and estimate within-host synonymous and non-synonymous evolutionary rates across the SARS-CoV-2 genome. FINDINGS: Between Nov 2, 2020, and March 21, 2023, we identified 576 persistent infections with at least two sequences, including 11 alpha, 106 delta, 102 BA.1, 204 BA.2, 16 BA.4, 133 BA.5, and 4 XBB. Persistent infections were more common in males than females (p<0·0001) and individuals older than 60 years (p=0·0027). The median within-host genome-wide evolutionary rate was 7·9 × 10-4 substitutions per site per year (IQR 7·0-9·0 × 10-4), with high inter-individual variability driven largely by non-synonymous mutations, particularly in the N-terminal and receptor-binding domains of the spike protein. Longer infection duration was associated with higher evolutionary rates, while no associations were found with age, sex, vaccination status, previous infection, or virus lineage. We found no clear evidence of transmission beyond the first month of infection in any of the 84 persistent infections lasting 56 days or longer. In total, we identified 379 recurrent mutations, including many with known or predicted negative fitness effects and low prevalence at the population level, as well as de novo reversions to the Wuhan-Hu-1 reference sequence, which were likely under positive selection within those individuals. INTERPRETATION: This study highlights the heterogeneous nature of within-host SARS-CoV-2 evolution in individuals with persistent infection in the community. Notably, a small subset of persistent infections with high viral loads underwent accelerated viral evolution or recurrently acquired hallmark mutations found in novel variants. In addition, onward transmission from a persistent infection during the later stages of infection is likely to be rare. These insights have important implications for prioritising genomic surveillance and managing patients with persistent infections. FUNDING: Department of Health and Social Care.

Humans↗

PubMed2025

Genetically distinct within-host subpopulations of hepatitis C virus persist after Direct-Acting Antiviral treatment failure.

Analysis of viral genetic data has previously revealed distinct within-host population structures in both untreated and interferon-treated chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infections. While multiple subpopulations persisted during the infection, each subpopulation was observed only intermittently. However, it was unknown whether similar patterns were also present after Direct-Acting Antiviral (DAA) treatment, where viral populations were often assumed to go through narrow bottlenecks. Here we tested for the maintenance of population structure after DAA treatment failure, and whether there were different evolutionary rates along distinct lineages where they were observed. We analysed whole-genome next-generation sequencing data generated from a randomised study using DAAs (the BOSON study). We focused on samples collected from patients (N=84) who did not achieve sustained virological response (i.e., treatment failure) and had sequenced virus from multiple timepoints. Given the short-read nature of the data, we used a number of methods to identify distinct within-host lineages including tracking concordance in intra-host nucleotide variant (iSNV) frequencies, applying sequenced-based and tree-based clustering algorithms to sliding windows along the genome, and haplotype reconstruction. Distinct viral subpopulations were maintained among a high proportion of individuals post DAA treatment failure. Using maximum likelihood modelling and model comparison, we found an overdispersion of viral evolutionary rates among individuals, and significant differences in evolutionary rates between lineages within individuals. These results suggest the virus is compartmentalised within individuals, with the varying evolutionary rates due to different viral replication rates and/or different selection pressures. We endorse lineage awareness in future analyses of HCV evolution and infections to avoid conflating patterns from distinct lineages, and to recognise the likely existence of unsampled subpopulations.

Humans↗