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Markus Graefen

Publications and source records attributed to Markus Graefen.

At least 55 records · Page 3Linked to original sources
PubMed2004

Comparison of accuracy between the Partin tables of 1997 and 2001 to predict final pathological stage in clinically localized prostate cancer.

PURPOSE: We validated externally the predictive accuracy of the 2001 Partin tables and compared the 1997 and 2001 versions. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We used ROC derived AUC to test the predictive accuracy of organ confinement (OC), extraprostatic extension (ECE), seminal vesicle invasion (SVI) and lymph node involvement (LNI) of 1997 and 2001 Partin tables derived probabilities. These probabilities were defined by the pretreatment clinical stage, serum prostate specific antigen and biopsy Gleason grade of 2,139 patients treated with radical prostatectomy for clinically localized prostate cancer. RESULTS: OC, ECE, SVI and LNI were noted in 63.5%, 23.1%, 10.5% and 2.9% of cases, respectively. AUC of the 2001 tables was 0.787, 0.766, 0.775 and 0.790, for OC, ECE, SVI and LNI, respectively. These values were virtually the same as the respective 1997 Partin table AUC values, namely 0.784, 0.728, 0.791 and 0.799. CONCLUSIONS: This external validation of the 2001 Partin tables confirms good predictive accuracy of the updated tables. However, predictive accuracy in this external validation data set of 2,139 European men is virtually the same as that of the original 1997 tables. Therefore, a transition from the 1997 tables to the updated 2001 version does not appear warranted unless superior accuracy is demonstrated in other external cohorts.

Adult↗
PubMed2004

Is year of radical prostatectomy a predictor of outcome in prostate cancer?

PURPOSE: We examined whether the year in which radical prostatectomy (RP) was performed is a predictor of treatment outcome after controlling for standard prognostic factors. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We examined the association between RP year and outcome in 6,556 patients from 7 centers using preoperative and pathological features. Patients underwent surgery between 1985 and 2000. The variables analyzed were RP year, clinical stage, pretreatment prostate specific antigen, biopsy Gleason sum, RP Gleason sum, margin status, level of extracapsular extension, seminal vesicle status, lymph node status, neoadjuvant hormones and adjuvant therapy. Median followup was 23 months (maximum 166). Separate Cox multivariate regression analyses were performed to analyze preoperative and postoperative factors. RESULTS: RP year was a predictor of outcome on preoperative analysis (p = 0.006) but not on postoperative analysis (p = 0.130). Patient outcome steadily improved with surgery through the mid 1990s and then it appeared to level off. CONCLUSIONS: When controlling for preoperative features, the year in which RP was performed is a predictor of outcome on multivariate analysis. This effect could not be explained by stage migration.

Adult↗
PubMed2003

Characterisation of biomolecular profiles in primary high-grade prostate cancer treated by radical prostatectomy.

PURPOSE: The aim of this study was to compare the biomolecular profile of high-grade (HG) with low-grade (LG) prostate cancers matched by preoperative serum prostate-specific antigen (PSA) levels. METHODS: From 2,560 patients undergoing radical prostatectomy for localised disease, 24 men with HG cancer (Gleason score > or =9) were eligible. Their clinical data were compared with those of 24 LG tumours (Gleason score < or =6), matched by PSA values. The expression of Ki-67, p53, Bcl-2, chromogranin A, alpha-catenin, and PSA were analysed and compared between both groups. RESULTS: The expression of Ki-67 (P=0.031), p53 (P=0.008), Bcl-2 (P=0.002), and chromogranin A (P=0.042) were expressed significantly higher, and alpha-catenin (P=0.020) and PSA (P<0.001) significantly lower in HG tumours. Cancer volumes of HG and LG differed significantly (10.6 cm3 vs 5.3 cm3; P=0.006). Overall, cancer volume correlated with increased expression of p53 (r=0.52; P<0.001) and chromogranin A (r=0.46; P<0.001), and with decreased expression of PSA (r=0.41; P<0.004). CONCLUSIONS: According to our data, tumour grade is clearly associated with a change in the biomolecular profile, even between patients with similar serum PSA levels. As the prognosis of HG prostate cancer is poor, these tumours should be analysed by immunohistochemical staining to identify specific tumour features for an appropriate selection of adjuvant therapy.

Adenocarcinoma↗
PubMed2003

Prognostic significance of visible lesions on transrectal ultrasound in impalpable prostate cancers: implications for staging.

PURPOSE: The current tumor-node metastasis (TNM) staging system classifies impalpable prostate cancers identified by needle biopsy and invisible by imaging as T1c and those visible as T2. Palpable cancers are classified as at least T2. However, most urologists consider impalpable prostate cancers T1c tumors, irrespective of findings on transrectal ultrasound (TRUS). The aim of this article is to provide a differentiated view of the significance of TRUS findings for staging purposes in impalpable prostate cancers. PATIENTS AND METHODS: A consecutive series of 1670 patients with impalpable tumors and palpable T2 cancers after radical prostatectomy were evaluated. Tumor characteristics and 5-year biochemical cure rates of cancers invisible and visible on TRUS were compared, as well as the rates of impalpable but visible and palpable T2 cancers. RESULTS: Impalpable cancers invisible on TRUS presented significantly more favorable pathologic stages and lower cancer volumes than those visible on TRUS (P =.002, P =.010). In the latter, these clinical features were more favorable compared with T2 cancers (P <.001, P <.001). Progression-free probability of impalpable cancers invisible on TRUS was 86.8%; progression-free probability for impalpable cancers visible on TRUS was 85.4% (log-rank test P =.2060). The corresponding rate for T2 tumors was 73.9%, significantly lower when compared to those of visible and impalpable cancers (log-rank test P =.0001). CONCLUSION: Impalpable prostate cancers invisible on TRUS present more favorable cancer features than those that are visible on TRUS. However, these differences are not as pronounced as those between impalpable but visible cancers and palpable T2 tumors. Thus, based on our data, it seems inappropriate to classify impalpable prostate cancers visible on TRUS as T2 cancers.

Chi-Square Distribution↗
PubMed2003

Biochemical recurrence following radical prostatectomy: a comparison between prostate cancers located in different anatomical zones.

BACKGROUND: To assess whether differences of biochemical recurrence after radical prostatectomy exist between prostate cancers located in the transition zone (TZ) and peripheral zone (PZ). METHODS: The 5-year biochemical recurrence rate of 307 patients was evaluated. A serum prostate specific antigen (PSA) level > or =0.1 ng/ml was defined as biochemical failure. Cancers were characterized by the location of the largest tumor area as TZ or PZ cancers. Pure PZ cancers were matched to TZ cancers by comparable pathological tumor stage, Gleason score, and surgical margin status. RESULTS: In 63 (20.5%) patients the largest tumor area was located in the TZ. A Kaplan-Meier analysis of the matched pairs calculated an 80% actuarial cure rate of TZ cancers compared to 89% of pure PZ cancers (log-rank test P = 0.742). CONCLUSIONS: TZ and pure PZ cancers matched by comparable pathological tumor stage, Gleason score, and surgical margin status showed no statistical difference in regard to biochemical cure following radical prostatectomy.

Adult↗
PubMed2003

Quantitative biopsy pathology for the prediction of pathologically organ-confined prostate carcinoma: a multiinstitutional validation study.

BACKGROUND: Quantitative biopsy pathology with prostate specific antigen significantly improves the prediction of pathologic stage in patients with clinically localized prostate carcinoma (PCa). The authors recently reported a computational model for predicting patient specific likelihood of organ confinement of PCa using biopsy pathology and clinical data. The current study validates the initial models and presents an new, improved tool for clinical decision making. METHODS: The authors assessed 10 biopsy pathologic parameters and 2 clinical parameters using data from two institutions. Of 1287 patients, 798 men had pathologically organ confined (OC) PCa, 282 men had nonorgan-confined disease with capsular penetration (NOC-CP) only, and 207 men showed seminal vesicle or lymph node invasion (NOC-AD) after undergoing pelvic lymphadenectomy and radical prostatectomy. Patient input data were evaluated by ordinal logistic (OLOGIT) and neural network (NN) models; and the likelihood of developing OC, NOC-CP, or NOC-AD disease was calculated for the combined and separate data sets and was compared with the results from original presentation. In addition, a new two-output model was constructed (OC/NOC-CP vs. NOC-AD). RESULTS: The three-output OLOGIT and NN models predicted OC disease with 95.0% and 98.6% accuracy, respectively, for the combined data set and with 93.0% and 98.6% accuracy, respectively, on subset analysis. The combined accuracy for predicting OC, NOC-CP, and NOC-AD disease in the entire validation set was 66.7% for OLOGIT model and 66.0% for the NN model. The two-output OLOGIT and NN models correctly predicted 94.9% and 100.0% of all OC/NOC-CP disease, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Both computation models predicted OC PCa with an accuracy of 93.0-98.6% when they were validated with two different data sets. The OLOGIT and NN-based, two-output model permitted an appropriate treatment decision for 85.2-90.2% of patients. These data support the use of quantitative pathology and clinical data-based decision modeling to manage patients with clinically localized PCa.

Biopsy↗
PubMed2003

The role of human glandular kallikrein 2 for prediction of pathologically organ confined prostate cancer.

BACKGROUND: In recent studies serum levels of human glandular kallikrein 2 (hK2) demonstrated significant differences in pathologically organ-confined versus non-organ-confined prostate cancer (PCa). In this study we investigated whether hK2 adds independent information when considered together with traditionally used parameters to predict organ confined (pT2a/b) PCa. METHODS: Serum levels of hK2, total and free prostate-specific antigens (PSA) were obtained one day before radical prostatectomy in 245 consecutive men. These were included with clinical stage and biopsy Gleason grade into univariate analysis and multivariate logistic regression models. RESULTS: pT2a/b PCa was found in n = 148 patients. In univariate analysis all preoperative parameters demonstrated significant association with the presence of pT2a/b PCa. Using multivariate logistic regression model hK2 (P = 0.022), clinical stage (P < 0.0001), and Gleason grade (P < 0.0001) were independent predictors of pT2a/b PCa whereas PSA (P = 0.3) was not. In bootstrap corrected logistic regression based nomograms the addition of hK2 density marginally enhanced predictive accuracy when PSA, PSA density, clinical stage, and Gleason grade were considered (AUC = 0.879 without hK2 density and 0.883 with hK2 density). CONCLUSIONS: hK2 and hK2 density could independently predict pT2a/b PCa. However, improvement in predictive accuracy was marginal when nomograms based on traditional variables were complemented with this serum marker.

Area Under Curve↗
PubMed2003

Age and PSA predict likelihood of organ-confined disease in men presenting with PSA less than 10 ng/mL: implications for screening.

OBJECTIVES: To examine age and pretreatment prostate-specific antigen (PSA) level as predictors of organ-confined disease in a large multinational database of men with pretreatment PSA levels less than 10 ng/mL who were treated with radical prostatectomy. The optimal PSA and age cutoffs for triggering prostate biopsy are controversial. Although a PSA level greater than 4.0 ng/mL is generally accepted, recent observations suggest that PSA values between 2.5 and 4.0 ng/mL are associated with a 20% detection rate. Furthermore, age has been shown to represent an independent predictor of outcome after radical prostatectomy. METHODS: We analyzed a cohort of 3198 patients from five institutions, who underwent radical prostatectomy between 1985 and 2001 for clinically localized prostate cancer. All presented with a pretreatment PSA level of less than 10 ng/mL. Multivariate analyses addressed age, preoperative PSA, year of treatment, biopsy Gleason sum, and clinical stage as independent predictors of non-organ-confined disease (NOCD). RESULTS: Twenty-nine percent of patients had NOCD. All tested variables were independent, multivariate predictors of NOCD (age, P = 0.004; year of treatment, P <0.0001; PSA, P <0.0001; Gleason sum, P <0.0001; clinical stage, P <0.0001). A linear relationship between age and the risk of NOCD was noted. The likelihood of NOCD remained constant for PSA levels between 0.1 and 4.0 ng/mL and rose substantially for PSA levels greater than 4.0 ng/mL. CONCLUSIONS: After controlling for other covariates, the rate of NOCD increased in proportion to age and pretreatment PSA level in men initially diagnosed with a serum PSA level less than 10 ng/mL. These observations suggest that younger men with a lower PSA are more likely to have organ-confined and curable disease at diagnosis. This information has important implications for counseling and screening.

Adenocarcinoma↗
PubMed2003

Zonal location of prostate cancer: significance for disease-free survival after radical prostatectomy?

OBJECTIVES: To analyze the zonal location of prostate cancer as a possible predictive feature of progression-free survival after radical prostatectomy. METHODS: Prostate cancers were divided into three groups according to the percentage of cancer volume (70% or more, 31% to 69%, and 30% or less) located in the transition zone (TZ). In a total of 307 patients, 5-year progression-free probabilities were estimated for different clinical and pathologic tumor characteristics using the Kaplan-Meier method. With emphasis on the percentage of cancer volume located in the TZ, univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to calculate their prognostic significance in predicting progression-free probability. RESULTS: Prostate cancer with 70% or more, 31% to 69%, and 30% or less of the cancer volume in the TZ was found in 17.3%, 6.8%, and 75.9% of the patients, respectively. Patients with tumors with 70% or more of the cancer volume in the TZ had a significantly (log-rank P = 0.0402) greater rate of biochemical cure than those with 30% or less (82.1% versus 66.2%). The increasing percentage of cancer volume located in the TZ was significantly (P = 0.0258) associated with a greater progression-free probability in univariate analysis, but did not retain independent significance (P = 0.5748) in multivariate analysis. Instead, pathologic stage (P <0.0001), lymph node involvement (P = 0.0189), and Gleason score on prostatectomy specimen (P = 0.0023) were independent prognosticators. CONCLUSIONS: The location of prostate cancer in the TZ was associated with a greater overall biochemical cure rate after radical prostatectomy. However, it was not an independent prognosticator on multivariate analysis. Therefore, the knowledge about zonal location of prostate cancer offers no advantage over the well-established prognostic factors in predicting disease recurrence.

Adenocarcinoma↗
PubMed2003

Intraoperative and perioperative morbidity of contemporary radical retropubic prostatectomy in a consecutive series of 1243 patients: results of a single center between 1999 and 2002.

OBJECTIVES: To up date counselling of patients in an experienced center, we assessed intraoperative and perioperative complications in a consecutive series of contemporary radical retropubic prostatectomy for localized prostate cancer. METHODS: In a prospective study, we analyzed all intraoperative and perioperative complications within 30 days in a consecutive series of 1243 patients undergoing radical prostatectomy between January 1999 and February 2002. All adverse events were graduated in major and minor complications by their severity and sequel. RESULTS: There were no deaths. Overall, 996 patients (80.2%) were not affected by any complication. Major complications were observed in 50 patients (4.0%), minor complications in 197 (15.8%). Pelvic lymphadenectomy was performed in 861 (69.3%) patients. This procedure was associated with a significantly higher rate of lymphoceles requiring a drainage, 4.2% versus 0.3% (p<0.006) and a higher rate of deep venous thrombosis, 1.4% versus 0.5% (p<0.2), respectively. CONCLUSION: Radical retropubic prostatectomy is a safe surgical procedure. Postoperatively the majority of our patients was not compromised by any complication within 30 days. Furthermore, due to a higher rate of lymphoceles and thromboembolic events the indication for pelvic lymphadenectomy should be considered carefully.

Adult↗
PubMed2003

Can predictive models for prostate cancer patients derived in the United States of America be utilized in European patients? A validation study of the Partin tables.

OBJECTIVES: Prostate cancer patients in the US and Europe differ due to selection and treatment differences. Accuracy of predictive tools derived in the US might therefore suffer when applied to European patients. We tested the validity of the widely accepted Partin tables for their ability to predict pathologic stage in German patients. METHODS: Clinical and pathological characteristics were obtained from 1,298 consecutive men with clinically localized prostate cancer undergoing radical prostatectomy at the University Hospital Hamburg between January 1992 and February 2000. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed to compare observed and predicted Partin rates for each pathologic stage. RESULTS: The rate for organ confinement was 56% in Hamburg patients compared to 48% in the Partin study. The rates of Hamburg patients for extracapsular extension without seminal vesicle or lymph node involvement were 25%, for seminal vesicle without lymph node involvement 14% and for lymph node metastases 5%. The corresponding rates of the Partin study were 40, 7 and 5%, respectively. The accuracy of Partin table derived probability was high with an area under the ROC curve of 0.817 (95% CI, 0.757-0.876) for organ confinement and 0.807 (95% CI, 0.781-0.833) for lymph node involvement. CONCLUSION: Our study demonstrated that predictive tools for prostate cancer developed in the US could be applied to European patients with comparable accuracy to that reported for validation studies performed with US patients.

Europe↗
PubMed2003

Insignificant prostate cancer in radical prostatectomy specimen: time trends and preoperative prediction.

OBJECTIVES: We analysed systematically a consecutive series of radical prostatectomy specimens performed between January 1992 and June 2002 with emphasis to time trends, tumour characteristics and preoperative prediction of insignificant prostate cancers (cancer volume < or =0.5 cm(3) and Gleason pattern < or =6). METHODS: In a total of 1254 patients, prostate cancers (PC) were divided by a cancer volume of 0.5 cm(3). The two groups were compared in their clinical and pathological tumour characteristics. Correlation was determined between yearly incidence rates of T1c and insignificant PC. Furthermore, a logistic regression analysis was performed to calculate the ability to predict insignificant PC and a statistical model was established. RESULTS: Overall, 73 (5.8%) of 1254 men presented with insignificant PC. The incidence of insignificant PC showed no significant linear correlation with that of T1c PC (p<0.61). PSA density and percentage of cancer per biopsy set were assessed as independent prognosticators predicting insignificant PC. Using a threshold of 1% of cancer per biopsy set and a PSA density < or =0.10, positive and negative predictive values were 45.0% and 93.3%, respectively. CONCLUSION: In our series, only few men undergoing radical prostatectomy were affected by insignificant PC. Their incidence showed no statistically significant correlation with that of T1c tumours. Furthermore, insignificant PC was predictable by PSA density and percentage of cancer per biopsy set. Mainly elderly patients facing different treatment options for localized PC may benefit from this information.

Humans↗
PubMed2003

A preoperative nomogram identifying decreased risk of positive pelvic lymph nodes in patients with prostate cancer.

PURPOSE: We developed a preoperative nomogram for prediction of lymph node metastases in patients with clinically localized prostate cancer. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The study was a retrospective, nonrandomized analysis of 7,014 patients treated with radical prostatectomy at 6 institutions between 1985 and 2000. Exclusion criteria consisted of preoperative androgen ablation therapy, salvage radical prostatectomy and pretreatment prostate specific antigen (PSA) greater than 50 ng/ml. Preoperative predictors of lymph node metastases consisted of pretreatment PSA, clinical stage (1992 TNM) and biopsy Gleason sum. These predictors were used in logistic regression analysis based nomograms to predict the probability of lymph node metastases. RESULTS: Overall 5,510 patients with complete clinical and pathological information were included in the study. Lymph nodes metastases were present in 206 patients (3.7%). Pretreatment PSA, biopsy Gleason sum, clinical stage and institution represented predictors of lymph node status (p <0.001). Bootstrap corrected predictive accuracy of the 3-variable nomogram (clinical stage, Gleason sum and PSA) was 0.76. Inclusion of a fourth variable, which accounts for institutional differences in lymph node metastases, yielded an area under the receiver operating characteristics curve of 0.78. The negative predictive value of our nomograms was 0.99 when they predicted 3% or less chance of positive lymph nodes. CONCLUSIONS: Using clinical information, we produced 2 calibrated and validated nomograms, which accurately predict pathologically negative lymph nodes in men with localized prostate cancer who are candidates for radical prostatectomy.

Adult↗
PubMed2003

Counseling men with prostate cancer: a nomogram for predicting the presence of small, moderately differentiated, confined tumors.

PURPOSE: Men diagnosed with clinically localized prostate cancer have a number of treatment options available, including watchful waiting, radical prostatectomy and radiation therapy. With the widespread use of serum prostate specific antigen (PSA) testing, prostate cancers are being diagnosed earlier in their natural history, with many tumors being small and of little health risk to the patient, at least in the short term. To better counsel men diagnosed with prostate cancer, we developed a statistical model that accurately predicts the presence of small moderately differentiated, confined cancer based on clinical variables (serum PSA, clinical stage, prostate biopsy Gleason grade and ultrasound volume) and variables derived from the analysis of systematic biopsies. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The analysis included 409 patients diagnosed by systematic needle biopsy with clinical stages T1c or T2a N0 or NX and M0 or MX prostate cancer who were treated solely with radical prostatectomy at 1 of 2 institutions. Additional biopsy features included number and percentage of biopsy cores involved with cancer and high grade cancer, in addition to total length of biopsy cores involved. Indolent cancer was defined as pathologically organ confined cancer 0.5 cc or less in volume and without poorly differentiated elements. Logistic regression was used to construct several prediction models and the resulting nomograms. RESULTS: Overall 80 (20%) of the patients had indolent cancer. The nomogram predicted the presence of an indolent cancer with discrimination (area under the receiver operating characteristics curves) for various models ranging from 0.64 to 0.79. Calibration of the models appeared good. CONCLUSIONS: Nomograms incorporating pretreatment variables (clinical stage, Gleason grade, PSA and the amount of cancer in a systematic biopsy specimen) can predict the probability that a man with prostate cancer has an indolent tumor. These nomograms have good discriminatory ability and calibration, and may benefit the patient and clinician when the various treatment options for prostate cancer are being considered.

Biomarkers, Tumor↗
PubMed2003

Total and Gleason grade 4/5 cancer volumes are major contributors of human kallikrein 2, whereas free prostate specific antigen is largely contributed by benign gland volume in serum from patients with prostate cancer or benign prostatic biopsies.

PURPOSE: We measured concentrations of human glandular kallikrein 2 (hK2), total prostate specific antigen (tPSA), free PSA (fPSA) and percent fPSA to evaluate their relationship to total prostate gland volume, benign prostatic hyperplasia (BPH) volume, total prostate cancer (PCa) volume (CaVol) and the volume of Gleason grades 4/5 cancer (CaVolGl4) in the serum of 256 patients with PCa undergoing radical retropubic prostatectomy and 185 with negative systematic sextant biopsies. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Free and total PSA was measured using the Delfia Prostatus (Perkin-Elmer, Turku, Finland) total/free PSA assay and hK2 was measured using a research immunofluorometric assay. Transrectal ultrasound was used to determine total prostate and BPH volume. Total CaVol and CaVolGl4/5 were calculated using a volumetric program in specimens from 158 men with pT2a/b and 98 with pT3a or greater PCa. The Pearson correlation was performed after logarithmic conversion of PSA and hK2 levels. Benign gland, and pT2a/b and pT3a or greater PCa cases were subdivided into small vs large prostate gland volumes (42 cc or less vs greater than 42 cc). RESULTS: Total prostate and BPH volumes correlated closely with free PSA (r = 0.64 to 0.65, p <0.0001) in 143 patients with negative biopsy and a prostate of greater than 42 cc. Correlations of hK2 and tPSA with total prostate and BPH volumes were weaker (r = 0.35 to 0.36 and 0.45 to 0.46, respectively). In pT2a/b and pT3a or greater PCa cases hK2 most closely correlated with CaVol (range 0.31 to 0.62, p = 0.0072 and <0.0001) and with CaVolGl4/5 (range 0.26 to 0.56, p = 0.021 and <0.0001, respectively). The tPSA level correlated significantly with CaVol and CaVolGl4/5 except in glands 42 cc or greater harboring pT2a/b PCa (p = 0.08). Free PSA correlated significantly with CaVolGl4/5 only in pT3a or greater PCa (p <0.05), and with CaVol in pT3a or greater PCa and in small prostates harboring pT2a/b PCa. CONCLUSIONS: Large benign prostate gland volume affects fPSA more than tPSA in serum. In PCa hK2 more closely correlates with total cancer volume and high grade PCa volume compared with tPSA or fPSA.

Fluoroimmunoassay↗
PubMed2002

International validation of a preoperative nomogram for prostate cancer recurrence after radical prostatectomy.

PURPOSE: We evaluated the predictive accuracy of a recently published preoperative nomogram for prostate cancer that predicts 5-year freedom from recurrence. We applied this nomogram to patients from seven different institutions spanning three continents. METHODS: Clinical data of 6,754 patients were supplied for validation, and 6,232 complete records were used. Nomogram-predicted probabilities of 60-month freedom from recurrence were compared with actual follow-up in two ways. First, areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs) were determined for the entire data set according to several variables, including the institution where treatment was delivered. Second, nomogram classification-based risk quadrants were compared with actual Kaplan-Meier plots. RESULTS: The AUC for all institutions combined was 0.75, with individual institution AUCs ranging from 0.67 to 0.83. Nomogram predictions for each risk quadrant were similar to actual freedom from recurrence rates: predicted probabilities of 87% (low-risk group), 64% (intermediate-low-risk group), 39% (intermediate-high-risk group), and 14% (high-risk group) corresponded to actual rates of 86%, 64%, 42%, and 17%, respectively. The use of neoadjuvant therapy, variation in the prostate-specific antigen recurrence definitions between institutions, and minor differences in the way the Gleason grade was reported did not substantially affect the predictive accuracy of the nomogram. CONCLUSION: The nomogram is accurate when applied at international treatment institutions with similar patient selection and management strategies. Despite the potential for heterogeneity in patient selection and management, most predictions demonstrated high concordance with actual observations. Our results demonstrate that accurate predictions may be expected across different patient populations.

Adult↗
PubMed2002

Analysis of clinical stage T2 prostate cancer: do current subclassifications represent an improvement?

PURPOSE: The purpose of this study was to determine whether the extent of palpable cancer within the prostate predicts outcome after radical prostatectomy. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We combined prospectively collected data on 1,755 consecutive clinical stage T2 patients treated with radical prostatectomy alone at four institutions. According to the 1992 American Joint Committee on Cancer tumor-node-metastasis system, 645 (37%) were T2a, 758 (43%) were T2b, and 352 (20%) were T2c. Kaplan-Meier and proportional hazards regression analyses were performed on the 1992 and 1997 T2 subclassifications. After controlling for the effects of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) and biopsy Gleason sum, the two staging systems were compared for their ability to predict recurrence-free survival (RFS). Adjusted RFS curves were constructed using the corrected group prognosis method. RESULTS: Follow-up ranged from 1 to 166 months (median, 26 months). Cancer recurred in 417 (24%) of the T2 patients. The 1992 (P =.005) but not the 1997 (P =.100) T2 subclassification predicted outcome after controlling for PSA and Gleason sum. After covariate adjustment, RFS was 7% higher at 5 years in the 1992 T2a subcategory relative to the T2b subcategory. CONCLUSION: The 1992 American Joint Committee on Cancer system is superior to the 1997 system, and the former adds prognostic information to a model containing pretreatment PSA and Gleason sum. These results suggest that 1992 T2 subclassification derived from palpable findings improves prognostication over the 1997 subclassification.

Humans↗