Marta Bonotto | PubMed Health

PubMed2026

Time-varying hazard rates reveal patterns of progression in HR+/HER2- metastatic breast cancer: Towards risk-adapted monitoring.

BACKGROUND: optimal imaging intervals for patients with hormone receptor-positive/HER2-negative metastatic breast cancer (MBC) remains undefined. Aim of this study was to analyze the temporal patterns of disease progression to identify high risk subgroups that may benefit from intensified monitoring. METHODS: we analyzed 149 hormone receptor-positive/HER2-negative MBC patients prospectively enrolled in the MAGNETIC.1 trial (NCT05814224) and treated with first line endocrine therapy. Hazard rates (HR) for disease progression were determined according to clinico-pathological and liquid biopsy features. RESULTS: in the overall population, two distinct progression-risk peaks emerged at 2-3 months (32.9/1000 person-months) and at 24 months (28.0/1000). Higher risk of progression was observed in lobular carcinoma (61.1) [HR 61.12 per 1000 person month (pm)], progesterone receptor-negative status (HR 39.07), fulvestrant-based treatment (HR 46.88), liver metastases (HR 59.00), and presence of ≥ 3 metastatic sites (HR 40.10). CONCLUSIONS: Hazard distribution in hormone receptor-positive/HER2-negative MBC is biphasic and modulated by readily available clinical variables. High-risk subgroups may benefit from intensified radiologic and liquid-biopsy surveillance during the first three months and around two years after treatment start.

Breast cancer↗

PubMed2026

Prognostic and predictive value of HRD in early triple negative breast cancer (TNBC).

This review explores the emerging role of homologous recombination deficiency (HRD) as both a prognostic and predictive biomarker in early-stage triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC). HRD arises from the defective repair of DNA double-strand breaks through homologous recombination, resulting in genomic instability and increased sensitivity to DNA-damaging agents such as platinum compounds. The review outlines the biological basis of HRD, including genomic signatures such as loss of heterozygosity, telomeric allelic imbalance, and large-scale state transitions, and highlights its prevalence in TNBC compared with other breast cancer subtypes. Clinical trials have shown that HRD-positive patients often achieve higher pathological complete response rates and improved disease-free survival when treated with chemotherapy. However, conflicting evidence across trials underscores the need for more reliable and standardized methods for HRD assessment. The review also explores the therapeutic potential of poly(ADP-ribose) polymerase inhibitors in TNBC, particularly in BRCA-mutated or HRD-positive tumors. Agents such as olaparib, talazoparib, and niraparib have demonstrated promising efficacy in both neoadjuvant and adjuvant settings with some trials suggesting that selected patients may avoid chemotherapy. Furthermore, HRD-positive tumors are characterized by increased genomic instability and a higher neoantigen burden, promoting immune cell infiltration, particularly of tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes, which may enhance responsiveness to immune checkpoint inhibitors. Overall, current evidence supports the role of HRD as a promising biomarker in TNBC. However, further research is required to refine its clinical utility and to integrate HRD testing into personalized treatment strategies, especially in combination with emerging therapies such as immunotherapy.

Humans↗