Biomedical subjects

Michael G Hudgens

Publications and source records attributed to Michael G Hudgens.

14 recordsLinked to original sources

PubMed2006

Chemoprophylaxis with tenofovir disoproxil fumarate provided partial protection against infection with simian human immunodeficiency virus in macaques given multiple virus challenges.

We examined the efficacy of tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) in blocking simian human immunodeficiency virus (SHIV) infection in Chinese rhesus macaques. Once weekly for 14 weeks or until a macaque became infected, 12 male macaques were inoculated intrarectally with amounts of SHIV(SF162P3) (10 median tissue culture infective doses; 3.8 x 10(5) virus particles) that were approximately 5-fold higher than the human immunodeficiency virus type 1 RNA levels noted in human semen during an acute infection. Of the 12 macaques, 4 received oral TDF daily, 4 received oral TDF once weekly, and 4 (control animals) received no TDF. The control animals became infected after receiving a median of 1.5 virus inoculations; macaques receiving TDF daily (1 macaque remained uninfected after 14 inoculations) and those receiving TDF weekly became infected after a median duration of 6.0 and 7.0 weeks, respectively. Although infection was delayed in treated macaques, compared with control macaques, the differences were not statistically significant (P=.315); however, the study was limited by the small numbers of animals evaluated and the variability in blood levels of TDF that resulted from oral dosing. These data demonstrate that treatment with oral TDF provided partial protection against SHIV infection but ultimately did not protect all TDF treated animals against multiple virus challenges.

Adenine↗

PubMed2006

HIV-1 DNA/MVA vaccination reduces the per exposure probability of infection during repeated mucosal SHIV challenges.

Historically, HIV vaccines specifically designed to raise cellular immunity resulted in protection from disease progression but not infection when tested in monkeys challenged with a single high virus exposure. An alternative approach, more analogous to human sexual exposures, is to repetitively challenge immunized monkeys with a much lower dose of virus until systemic infection is documented. Using these conditions to mimic human sexual transmission, we found that a multi-protein DNA/MVA HIV-1 vaccine is indeed capable of protecting rhesus monkeys against systemic infection when repeatedly challenged with a highly heterologous immunodeficiency virus (SHIV). Furthermore, this repetitive challenge approach allowed us to calculate per-exposure probability of infection, an observed vaccine efficacy of 64%, and undertake a systematic analysis for correlates of protection based on exposures needed to achieve infection. Therefore, improved non-human primate models for vaccine efficacy can provide novel insight and perhaps renew expectations for positive outcomes of human HIV clinical trials.

AIDS Vaccines↗

PubMed2006

Statistical evaluation of HIV vaccines in early clinical trials.

The HIV pandemic is a pressing threat to global public health; HIV vaccine development is critical. Clinical evaluation of HIV vaccine candidates differs from the standard therapeutics trial framework primarily due to the fact that healthy individuals are studied. We present an early stage evaluation program developed for the HIV Vaccine Trials Network (HVTN) motivated by characteristics unique to the vaccine setting. The program consists of 3 prototypical stages (Phase I, Ib, II) that provide a unified yet flexible approach to the safety and immunogenicity evaluation of diverse vaccine regimens. The goal of these early trials is to narrow the number of candidate vaccines to the most promising candidates worthy of further study in efficacy trials.

AIDS Vaccines↗

PubMed2005

Participant retention in clinical trials of candidate HIV vaccines.

OBJECTIVE: : To determine predictors of loss to follow-up (LTFU) in trials of candidate HIV vaccines. METHODS: : Data were obtained from trials of candidate preventive HIV vaccines conducted by the AIDS Vaccine Evaluation Group (AVEG) and HIV Network for Prevention Trials (HIVNET) that enrolled HIV-negative volunteers. Analytic models included multiple logistic regression and generalized estimating equations. RESULTS: : Of 3033 volunteers enrolled in 48 trials, 282 (9.3%) persons did not complete follow-up. In univariate analyses, age, trial duration, and number of immunizations were associated with LTFU. In a multivariate logistic model, age (per year) (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] = 0.96, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.95, 0.98) and study duration (per month) (AOR = 1.04, 95% CI: 1.01, 1.08) remained significantly associated with LTFU. CONCLUSIONS: : Younger age and increasing trial duration predicted LTFU. Limiting enrollment in trials of novel products to those less than 40 years of age may exclude participants shown to have improved retention. Trials should be designed to last only as long as required to address the scientific question. Retention efforts in future trials should especially address younger persons.

AIDS Vaccines↗

PubMed2005

Correlation between immunologic responses to a recombinant glycoprotein 120 vaccine and incidence of HIV-1 infection in a phase 3 HIV-1 preventive vaccine trial.

BACKGROUND: An objective of the first efficacy trial of a candidate vaccine containing recombinant human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) type 1 envelope glycoprotein 120 (rgp120) antigens was to assess correlations between antibody responses to rgp120 and the incidence of HIV-1 infection. METHODS: Within the randomized trial (for vaccinees, n=3598; for placebo recipients, n=1805), binding and neutralizing antibody responses to rgp120 were quantitated. A case-cohort design was used to study correlations between antibody levels and HIV-1 incidence. RESULTS: Peak antibody levels were significantly inversely correlated with HIV-1 incidence. The relative risk (RR) of infection was 0.63 (95% confidence interval, 0.45-0.89) per log(10) higher neutralization titer against HIV-1(MN), and the RRs of infection for second-, third-, and fourth-quartile responses of antibody blocking of gp120 binding to soluble CD4 versus first-quartile responses (the lowest responses) were 0.35, 0.28, and 0.22, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Despite inducing a complex, robust immune response, the vaccine was unable to reduce the incidence of HIV-1. Two interpretations of the correlative results are that the levels of antibodies (i) caused both an increased (low responders) and decreased (high responders) risk of HIV-1 acquisition or (ii) represented a correlate of susceptibility to HIV-1 but had no causal effect on susceptibility. Although the data cannot definitively discriminate between these 2 explanations, (ii) appears to be more likely.

AIDS Vaccines↗

PubMed2004

Statistical considerations for the design and analysis of the ELISpot assay in HIV-1 vaccine trials.

Effector T lymphocyte responses are considered critical for controlling human immunodeficiency virus type-1 (HIV-1) infection. The enzyme-linked immunospot (ELISpot) assay has emerged as a primary means of assessing HIV-specific T cell responses, and the development of objective methods that distinguish positive and negative ELISpot responses while properly controlling the rate of false positives is critical. In this paper, we consider several statistical methods that are helpful in defining such a positive criterion. Simulation results under a variety of scenarios suggest that a permutation-based criterion using a resampling adjustment for multiple comparisons yields the desired false positive rate while remaining competitive with other potential criteria in terms of sensitivity. These results also provide guidance on the effect of the number of experimental and negative control replicate wells on assay sensitivity. Application of different potential positive criteria using ELISpot assay results from IFN-gamma-secreting T cells of HIV-1 seropositive and seronegative donors confirmed several of the results obtained under simulation. Our findings support the application of statistically-based positive criteria such as the permutation-based resampling approach in assessing HIV vaccine-induced T cell responses. Moreover, the proposed methods have potential utility in related HIV immunopathogenesis studies and in non-HIV clinical vaccine trials.

AIDS Serodiagnosis↗

PubMed2004

Endpoints in vaccine trials.

In this paper we discuss statistical considerations regarding endpoints in preventive vaccine trials. Brief discussion is given to preclinical, Phase I, and Phase II trials, with the bulk of attention paid to endpoint choice and analysis in Phase III efficacy trials. In addition to traditional efficacy measures of vaccine effects for immunized individuals, consideration is given to waning, strain specific efficacy, correlates of protective immunity, postinfection endpoints, and cluster randomized trials.

Clinical Trials as Topic↗

PubMed2003

On the analysis of viral load endpoints in HIV vaccine trials.

First generation HIV vaccines are not likely to provide complete protection from HIV-1 infection. Therefore, it is important to assess a vaccine's effect on disease progression and infectiousness of infected vaccinees in an efficacy trial; however, direct assessment of such vaccine effects is not feasible within current trial designs. Viral load in HIV-infected individuals correlates with infectiousness and disease progression in a natural history setting, and thus is a reasonable candidate for a surrogate outcome in vaccine efficacy trials. We consider comparisons of viral load of infected vaccinees to that of infected trial participants in the control group. Dramatic differences in viral loads between these groups would suggest a vaccine effect on disease progression. However, modest differences, even if statistically significant, could be consistent with an imperfect vaccine effect on susceptibility to infection and not an effect on disease progression, that is, a selection effect of the vaccine. Thus, the usual statistical tests for no difference between groups do not test the biologically and clinically relevant hypothesis. We propose a model for the possible selective effects of a vaccine and develop several test statistics for assessing a direct effect of the vaccine on viral load given this selection model. Finite sample properties of these tests are evaluated using computer simulations.

AIDS Vaccines↗

PubMed2003

What constitutes efficacy for a human immunodeficiency virus vaccine that ameliorates viremia: issues involving surrogate end points in phase 3 trials.

Initial human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) vaccines are unlikely to prevent acquisition of HIV in all recipients. Moreover, several HIV vaccines are under evaluation that are designed to reduce viremia after acquisition of infection. Such vaccines could provide important benefits to delay HIV progression and to reduce transmission. The decision to license a vaccine on the basis of observed effects on virus load and other postinfection surrogate end points in an efficacy trial is complicated by uncertainty about whether the vaccine effects will persist and reliably predict clinical effects, and by the challenge in interpreting the data posed by treatment of some seroconverters with antiretroviral drugs. Here, we evaluate how analyses of certain surrogate end points can be used for inferring clinically significant vaccine effects and propose end points that could be evaluated in efficacy trials to support licensure. The assessment suggests that a vaccine demonstrating moderately durable effects to delay therapy and to ameliorate viremia merits consideration for licensure.

AIDS Vaccines↗

PubMed2003

Estimating cumulative probabilities from incomplete longitudinal binary responses with application to HIV vaccine trials.

When describing longitudinal binary response data, it may be desirable to estimate the cumulative probability of at least one positive response by some time point. For example, in phase I and II human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) vaccine trials, investigators are often interested in the probability of at least one vaccine-induced CD8+ cytotoxic T-lymphocyte (CTL) response to HIV proteins at different times over the course of the trial. In this setting, traditional estimates of the cumulative probabilities have been based on observed proportions. We show that if the missing data mechanism is ignorable, the traditional estimator of the cumulative success probabilities is biased and tends to underestimate a candidate vaccine's ability to induce CTL responses. As an alternative, we propose applying standard optimization techniques to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of the response profiles and, in turn, the cumulative probabilities of interest. Comparisons of the empirical and maximum likelihood estimates are investigated using data from simulations and HIV vaccine trials. We conclude that maximum likelihood offers a more accurate method of estimation, which is especially important in the HIV vaccine setting as cumulative CTL responses will likely be used as a key criterion for large scale efficacy trial qualification.

AIDS Vaccines↗

PubMed2003

Moving to human immunodeficiency virus type 1 vaccine efficacy trials: defining T cell responses as potential correlates of immunity.

There is evidence in both simian immunodeficiency virus and human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) type 1 infection that class I major histocompatibility complex-restricted CD8(+) cytotoxic T lymphocytes play a pivotal role in controlling infection and, potentially, in protecting by immunization. Progress has been made in designing strategies to elicit these responses with HIV-1 vaccines, but methods to reproducibly quantify them have posed difficulties. An interferon-gamma enzyme-linked immunospot assay, using peptide pools spanning the HIV-1 genes, was developed and standardized. This method is rapid (2 days), sensitive (threshold of detection, > or =0.005%), quantitative, feasible using cryopreserved cells, and able to define epitope specificities. When this assay was applied to 36 HIV-1-seropositive and 10 HIV-1-seronegative subjects, it proved to be robust (specificity, 100%). When responses in natural infection were compared with vaccine-induced responses, vaccine recipient responses were > or =1 log lower, which confirms the importance of using this sensitive assay as an initial screen in vaccine protocols.

AIDS Vaccines↗

PubMed2003

Sensitivity analysis for the assessment of causal vaccine effects on viral load in HIV vaccine trials.

Vaccines with limited ability to prevent HIV infection may positively impact the HIV/AIDS pandemic by preventing secondary transmission and disease in vaccine recipients who become infected. To evaluate the impact of vaccination on secondary transmission and disease, efficacy trials assess vaccine effects on HIV viral load and other surrogate endpoints measured after infection. A standard test that compares the distribution of viral load between the infected subgroups of vaccine and placebo recipients does not assess a causal effect of vaccine, because the comparison groups are selected after randomization. To address this problem, we formulate clinically relevant causal estimands using the principal stratification framework developed by Frangakis and Rubin (2002, Biometrics 58, 21-29), and propose a class of logistic selection bias models whose members identify the estimands. Given a selection model in the class, procedures are developed for testing and estimation of the causal effect of vaccination on viral load in the principal stratum of subjects who would be infected regardless of randomization assignment. We show how the procedures can be used for a sensitivity analysis that quantifies how the causal effect of vaccination varies with the presumed magnitude of selection bias.

AIDS Vaccines↗

PubMed2002

Subtype-specific transmission probabilities for human immunodeficiency virus type 1 among injecting drug users in Bangkok, Thailand.

The Bangkok (Thailand) Metropolitan Administration cohort of injecting drug users (IDUs) consisted of 1,209 IDUs initially seronegative for human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) who were followed from 1995 to 1998 at 15 Administration drug treatment clinics. At enrollment and approximately every 4 months thereafter, participants were assessed for HIV seropositivity. As of December 1998, there were 133 HIV type 1 seroconversions and approximately 2,300 person-years of follow-up. Of the 133 observed seroconversions, specimens from 126 persons were available for subtyping (27 subtype B, 99 subtype E). In this analysis, the authors assessed differences in subtype-specific transmission while controlling for important risk factors. The methodology used accounts for left truncation, interval censoring, and competing risks as well as for time-varying covariates such as each IDU's history of reported frequency of injection and of incarceration. Using plausible epidemiologic assumptions and controlling for behavioral risks, the authors found that a significantly higher transmission probability was associated with subtype E compared with subtype B in this population. Since many epidemiologic, virologic, and host factors can influence HIV transmission, it was difficult to conclude whether these differences in transmission probabilities were due to biologic properties associated with subtype.

Adolescent↗

PubMedDate not supplied

Enrollment of racial/ethnic minorities in NIAID-funded networks of HIV vaccine trials in the United States, 1988 to 2002.

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to analyze enrollment of racial/ethnic minorities in Phase I and Phase II HIV vaccine trials in the U.S. conducted by National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID)-funded networks from 1988 to 2002. METHODS: A centralized database was searched for all NIAID-funded networks of HIV vaccine trial enrollment data in the U.S. from 1988 through 2002. The authors reviewed data from Phase I or Phase II preventive HIV vaccine trials that included HIV-1 uninfected participants at low to moderate or high risk for HIV infection based on self-reported risk behaviors. Of 66 identified trials, 55 (52 Phase I, 3 Phase II) met selection criteria and were used for analyses. Investigators extracted data on participant demographics using statistical software. RESULTS: A total of 3,731 volunteers enrolled in U.S. NIAID-funded network HIV vaccine trials from 1988 to 2002. Racial/ethnic minority participants represented 17% of the overall enrollment. By pooling data across all NIAID-funded networks from 1988 to 2002, the proportion of racial/ethnic minority participants was significantly greater (Fisher's exact test p-value < 0.001) in Phase II trials (278/1,061 or 26%) than in Phase I trials (347/2,670 or 13%). By generalized estimating equations, the proportion of minorities in Phase I trials increased over time (p = 0.017), indicating a significant increase in racial/ethnic minority participants from 1988 to 2002. CONCLUSIONS: There has been a gradual increase in racial/ethnic minority participation in NIAID-funded network HIV vaccine trials in the U.S. since 1988. In the light of recent efficacy trial results, it is essential to continue to increase the enrollment of diverse populations in HIV vaccine research.

AIDS Vaccines↗