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Biomedical subjects

N R St-Pierre

Publications and source records attributed to N R St-Pierre.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Prediction and evaluation of urine and urinary nitrogen and mineral excretion from dairy cattle.

Urine excretion is a substantial factor in the amount of manure that needs to be managed, and urinary N can contribute to ammonia volatilization. Development and validation of prediction equations focusing on dietary factors to decrease urine and urinary nutrient excretion will provide information for managing urine and feces separately or for other future technologies. The objective of this study was to develop equations for prediction of urine excretion and excretion of urinary N, Na, and K and to evaluate both new and previously published prediction equations for estimation of urine and urinary nutrient excretion from lactating dairy cows. Data sets from metabolism studies conducted at Washington State University were compiled and evaluated for excretion of minerals. Urine excretion averaged 24.1 kg/d and urinary nitrogen excretion ranged from 63 to 499 g/d in the calibration data set. Regression equations were developed to predict urine excretion, urinary N excretion, and urinary Na and K excretion. Predictors used in the regression equations included milk yield, body weight, dietary crude protein percentage, milk urea nitrogen, and nutrient intakes. Previously published prediction equations were evaluated using data sets from Washington State University and the University of Wisconsin. Mean and linear biases were evaluated by determining the regression of residuals on predicted values. Evaluation and validation of prediction equations are important to develop equations that will more accurately estimate urine and urinary nitrogen excretion from lactating dairy cows.

Animal Nutritional Physiological Phenomena↗

Integration of ruminal metabolism in dairy cattle.

An important objective is to identify nutrients or dietary factors that are most critical for advancing our knowledge of, and improving our ability to predict, milk protein production. The Dairy NRC (2001) model is sensitive to prediction of microbial protein synthesis, which is among the most important component of models integrating requirement and corresponding supply of metabolizable protein or amino acids. There are a variety of important considerations when assessing appropriate use of microbial marker methodology. Statistical formulas and examples are included to document and explain limitations in using a calibration equation from a source publication to predict duodenal flow of purine bases from measured urinary purine derivatives in a future study, and an improved approach was derived. Sources of specific carbohydrate rumen-degraded protein components probably explain microbial interactions and differences among studies. Changes in microbial populations might explain the variation in ruminal outflow of biohydrogenation intermediates that modify milk fat secretion. Finally, microbial protein synthesis can be better integrated with the production of volatile fatty acids, which do not necessarily reflect volatile fatty acid molar proportions in the rumen. The gut and splanchnic tissues metabolize varying amounts of volatile fatty acids, and propionate has important hormonal responses influencing milk protein percentage. Integration of ruminal metabolism with that in the mammary and peripheral tissues can be improved to increase the efficiency of conversion of dietary nutrients into milk components for more efficient milk production with decreased environmental impact.

Animals↗

Analysis of myosin isoform transitions during growth and development in diverse chicken genotypes.

The temporal expression of chicken skeletal fast myosin heavy chain (MyHC) isoforms in pectoralis major muscle was characterized in 3 commercial broiler lines at embryonic d 19 and at 7, 14, and 21 d posthatch. Lines A and B have been selected for breast yield, and line C is a fast' growing commercial line with limited selection for carcass traits. The isoform transitions in breast muscle samples were compared with samples from Single Comb White Leghorns (line D) using a semiquantitative immunoassay. The hypothesis was that selection for growth and carcass development in broilers would be accompanied by changes in the temporal expression of one or more of the chicken fast MyHC isoforms. Embryos from all lines were sampled at 19 d of incubation, and chicks were randomly sampled at 7, 14, and 21 d post-hatch. Myosin was extracted from pectoralis major muscle and assayed for purity and total protein concentration by SDS-PAGE and bincinchoninic acid protein analyses, respectively. The relative concentration of MyHC isoforms was evaluated by semiquantitative ELISA with 3 monoclonal antibodies specific for chicken skeletal fast embryonic and adult (eMyHC, aMyHC; EB165), neonatal (nMyHC; 2E9), and adult (aMyHC; AB8) myosin, respectively. The overall temporal expression of the myosin isoforms, eMyHC, nMyHC, and aMyHC, was similar in all lines. With eMyHC, at 19 d of incubation, line B had lower expression than lines A, C, and D. Expression of nMyHC, in lines C and D was similar with expression being highest at 7 d and lower at 14 d and 21 d. In lines A and B, however, nMyHC expression was higher at hatch than lines C and D. In line D, aMyHC was expressed at 14 d and increased through 21 d, whereas in lines A, B, and C, aMyHC isoform was expressed and was higher at 7 d and increased through 21 d. The results of this experiment support our hypothesis that commercial broilers have different temporal expression patterns of the developmental chicken fast MyHC isoforms.

Aging↗

Myosin heavy chain isoform expression is not altered in the pectoralis major muscle in selenium-deficient chickens recovering from exudative diathetic myopathy.

The recovery of broiler chickens experiencing skeletal muscle myopathy caused by a selenium deficiency was compared with control broiler chickens in an age matched study by ultrastructural analysis of the pectoralis major (PM) muscle and examination of the temporal expression of the developmental fast skeletal myosin heavy chain (MyHC) isoforms. Selenium-deficient chicks showing signs of exudative diathesis (ED) were injected subcutaneously with sodium selenite in water and allowed to recover. At 0, 2, 5, 10, 20, and 30 d after selenium injection, a sample of the PM muscle was removed from selenium-deficient and control chicks for analysis. Ultrastructural analysis revealed vacuolization in the PM of selenium-deficient chicks with little or no visible damage to the sarcomere. Relative amounts of chicken ventricular, embryonic, neonatal, and adult fast skeletal MyHC isoforms were determined using chicken fast skeletal MyHC isoform specific monoclonal antibodies. The temporal expression of the developmental MyHC isoforms was similar in all chickens (P > 0.05). There was no expression of chicken ventricular MyHC observed in the PM of either group. These results indicate that chicken fast muscle recovering from exudative diathetic myopathy does not use the same pathways as chicken skeletal fast muscle regenerating from physical or toxic injury in which temporal expression of the MyHC isoforms is initially predominantly ventricular, then predominantly embryonic, neonatal, and finally predominantly adult developmental MyHC isoform.

Animals↗

Determination of rumen degradability and ruminal effects of three sources of methionine in lactating cows.

Objectives were to quantify the ruminal effects and flows to the omasum of Met provided as 2-hydroxy-4-(methylthio)-butanoic acid (HMB), the isopropyl ester of HMB (HMBi), and DL-Met. Eight ruminally cannulated cows were used in a replicated 4 x 4 Latin square design. Treatments were 1) no Met (control), 2) HMB at 0.10% of DM, 3) HMBi at 0.13% of DM, and 4) DL-Met at 0.088% of DM. Diets were identical except for type of Met supplement and were based on corn silage and alfalfa hay at 30 and 13% of dietary DM, respectively. Samples of omasal fluid were used to determine the proportion of Met supplements passing out of the reticulorumen. Dry matter intake (20.1 kg/d) was restricted during the week of sampling to a maximum of 95% of ad libitum DMI determined during the first 2 wk of the period. Milk yields (37.7 +/- 0.8 kg/d) and fat concentration (3.42 +/- 0.15%) were not significantly different for control, HMB, HMBi, and DL-Met. Milk protein concentration (2.91, 2.95, 3.02, 2.96 +/- 0.07%, respectively) was significantly increased by the HMBi treatment. Rumen volatile fatty acids profile and NH3 concentrations were similar across treatments. Apparent ruminal digestibility of organic matter and neutral detergent fiber were higher for the three diets supplemented with Met sources than for the control diet. In situ rate of digestibility of CP from alfalfa hay, TMR, and corn silage was affected by Met sources. Passage rates of small particles (0.071/h) and fluid (0.167/h) were not affected by treatments. Protozoal counts in the rumen and omasum were not significantly affected by Met sources. Proportion of omasal N from bacterial N was not different (0.54 +/- 0.03), and bacterial N flow (305 +/- 24.4 g/d) was similar across treatments. The proportion of HMB that passed into the omasum was 5.3 +/- 1.5% of the amount consumed. Only a small amount (2.3%) of HMBi was found as HMB in the omasum. These results indicate that little HMB escapes ruminal degradation through passage to the omasum and that the site of HMBi absorption must be preomasal.

Amino Acids↗

Effects of 2-hydroxy-4-(methylthio) butanoic acid (HMB) and its isopropyl ester on milk production and composition by Holstein cows.

The esterification of 2-hydroxy-4-(methylthio)-butanoic acid (HMB) to isopropanol (HMBi) decreases the rate and extent of its ruminal breakdown. The modes of action of HMB and HMBi appear to be different. The quantification of the production response to HMBi has not been done. The objectives of this study were (1) to determine the lactation response to HMB, (2) to determine the lactation response to HMBi, and (3) to evaluate whether the response to HMBi is affected by HMB in the diet. Sixty-one Holstein cows (24 primiparous, 37 multiparous) were assigned to 1 of 4 dietary treatments 21 to 28 d after calving. The base diet consisted of [on a dry matter (DM) basis] 32.5% corn silage, 17.5% alfalfa hay, 10% whole cottonseed, and 40% of a pelleted concentrate made primarily of ground corn, soybean meal, and blood meal, and was fed for 16 wk as a control diet. To prepare the dietary treatments, the base diet was supplemented with 0.1% of diet DM with HMB (treatment 2), with 0.15% HMBi (treatment 3), or with 0.045% HMB and 0.15% HMBi (treatment 4). Results showed a significant increase in milk yield (2.9 kg/d), protein content (0.15%), protein yield (115 g/d), fat yield (165 g/d), and lactose yield (182 g/d) from HMBi. Supplementation of HMB had small and nonsignificant effects on milk yield and composition. There were no significant interaction effects of HMB with HMBi on any of the production traits measured in this experiment. Plasma free Met as a proportion of essential amino acids was increased by HMBi, but not by HMB. Dietary supplementation of HMBi increased gross N efficiency expressed as the proportion of ingested N secreted in milk. Consequently, HMBi significantly improved N efficiency.

2-Propanol↗

Prediction of manure and nutrient excretion from dairy cattle.

Accurate estimates of manure excretion are needed for planning manure storage facilities and for nutrient management. Data sets from metabolism studies conducted at several universities were compiled and evaluated for excretion of total manure, N, P, and K. Animal groups included calves weighing up to 204 kg, heifers weighing between 274 and 613 kg, nonlactating cows, and lactating cows. Regression equations were developed to predict excretion of total manure, total dry matter, N, P, and K. Predictors used in the regression equations for lactating cows included milk yield, percentages of protein and fat in milk, dietary concentrations of crude protein and neutral detergent fiber, and intakes of nutrients. The regression equations provide improved predictions of excretion and enable more accurate planning of manure storage and nutrients to be managed at the farm level.

Animal Nutritional Physiological Phenomena↗

Processing whole cottonseed moderates fatty acid metabolism and improves performance by dairy cows.

Pelleting cottonseed (CS) improves handling characteristics. Our objectives were to determine whether increasing the particle size of the CS pellet or dilution of a smaller pellet with delinted CS would limit the rate of CS oil release to optimize digestibility of fatty acids (FA) and fiber while maintaining milk fat production. In a 5 x 5 Latin square design with 3-wk periods, 5 rumen-cannulated cows were fed 1) control with CS hulls (CSH) and CS meal plus tallow and Ca soaps of FA, 2) whole CS (WCS), 3) small CS pellets (SP; 0.44-cm die diameter), 4) larger CS pellets (LP; 0.52-cm die diameter), or 5) a blend of 1/2 SP plus 1/2 partially delinted CS (SPD). Diets contained 39.6% concentrate, 14.4% CS, and 46% forage (40:60, alfalfa hay:corn silage) on a DM basis and were balanced to have similar concentrations of CS protein, CS fiber, and total fat. In a production trial, dietary treatments were 1) WCS control, 2) LP, 3) SPD, and 4) SPD fed at 90%. Sixty cows averaging 105 d in milk were fed the WCS diet for 2 wk and then assigned to one of the 4 diets for 12 wk. Total tract digestibility of NDF was unaffected, but N digestibility was lower for SPD than for other treatments. Fatty acid digestibility was higher for SP and LP (82.6 and 82.3%) than for CSH or SPD treatments (78.8 and 75.3%), and WCS was intermediate (81.1%). The trans-11 C18:1 from cows fed SP and LP (6.58 and 6.24% of total milk FA) was greater than that from cows fed CSH, WCS, and SPD (3.23, 3.79, and 3.97%). The trans-10 C18:1 in milk fat from SP and LP (0.508 and 0.511%) was higher than that in WCS and SPD diets (0.316 and 0.295%); CSH was intermediate (0.429%). Using passage rates estimated from the NRC, disappearance of total FA in situ was estimated to be 17.7, 44.2, 46.6, and 35.0% for WCS, SP, LP, and SPD, respectively. In the production trial, a diet x week interaction was explained by a trend for progressively greater milk production for SPD and SPD90 than for WCS or LP. Milk fat was lower for LP (2.74%) and SPD90 (2.85%) than for WCS or SPD (3.07 and 3.08%). The fat yield was lower for LP than for SPD (1.09 and 1.30 kg/d); WCS and SPD90 were intermediate (1.23 and 1.21 kg/d). Although having a lower FA digestibility, SPD appeared to minimize negative effects of free oil from SP in the rumen, explaining higher DMI and milk production compared with WCS or LP.

Animal Nutritional Physiological Phenomena↗

Ventricular myosin heavy chain isoform expression is altered in vitro in low score normal chickens.

The low score normal (LSN) chicken exhibits a genetic muscle weakness and altered in vitro myogenesis compared to the normal White Leghorn chicken. The ventricular myosin heavy chain isoform has been reported to be the initial muscle-specific contractile protein expressed during myogenesis. The goals of this study were to determine whether altered myogenesis of the LSN satellite cells in culture was accompanied by delayed ventricular myosin heavy chain expression and to further characterize the altered myogenic events exhibited by the LSN chicken. Immunocytochemical and ELISA analyses were employed to document the temporal expression of the ventricular myosin heavy chain during LSN chicken myogenesis. Satellite cells derived from the LSN chicken pectoralis major exhibited lower (P </= 0.05) expression of ventricular myosin heavy chain during proliferation and differentiation in culture than did satellite cells derived from White Leghorn chickens. Low score normal cells failing to express the ventricular myosin heavy chain generally remained mononucleated and unfused, whereas cells that were multinucleated appeared to express ventricular myosin heavy chain regardless of the avian source. These results suggest that the altered myogenesis observed in LSN chickens is associated with delayed ventricular myosin heavy chain expression.

Animals↗

Reassessment of biases in predicted nitrogen flows to the duodenum by NRC 2001.

The appearance of numerous plots in recent literature from which the residuals are plotted against observed values (Y) to assess a model's potential bias raises this question: should residuals be regressed against Y or against predicted values (Y)? The answer requires knowing the expected relationship under the assumption of an unbiased model. The objectives of this paper are: 1) to derive the expected relationship between residuals, Y, and Y; 2) to determine whether Y or Y should be used for the assessment of bias; and 3) to reassess the extent of mean and linear bias in the prediction of N flows to the duodenum by the NRC (2001). In the simplest case, we can assume a true model of the form Y = Xbeta + epsilon. This model is estimated by Y = Xb + e, and Y = Xb. The correlation between the residual vector e and the vector of observations Y can easily be derived. The numerator of the correlation coefficient is shown to be equal to e'e, the residual sum of squares. The denominator of this correlation is equal to the square root of e'e multiplied by the total sum of squares. Algebraic simplifications show that the correlation between e and Y is equal to the square root of (1-R2). That is, under the assumption of an unbiased model, the residuals are correlated with the observed values and the slope of e regressed on Y is equal to (1-R2). Thus, a graph of e versus Y will show a positive slope between e and Y unless the model is a perfect predictor (i.e., R2 is equal to 1.0). Significant slopes linking e to Y have been erroneously interpreted as evidence of biased models in the NRC (2001). Conversely, the slope of e regressed on Y is expected to be zero under the assumption of an unbiased model. Therefore, residuals should be regressed against Y and not Y. When Y, as opposed to Y, was used to assess biases in the prediction of flows to the duodenum of microbial N, nonammonia-nonmicrobial N and nonammonia N in NRC (2001), mean biases became nonsignificant and linear biases over the range of predicted values are of the same magnitude or smaller than the standard errors of measurements reported in literature. Thus, although N flow predictions from NRC (2001) may not be precise, they appear to have insignificant and inconsequential biases.

Ammonia↗

Supplementation of methionine and selection of highly digestible rumen undegradable protein to improve nitrogen efficiency for milk production.

Metabolizable protein (MP) supply and amino acid balance were manipulated through selection of highly digestible rumen-undegradable protein (RUP) sources and methionine (Met) supplementation. Effects on production efficiency and N utilization of lactating dairy cows were determined. Thirty-two multiparous (647 kg) and 28 primiparous (550 kg) Holstein cows were assigned during the fourth week of lactation to one of four dietary treatments. Treatments were 1) 18.3% crude protein (CP) with low estimated intestinal digestibility of RUP (HiCP-LoDRUP), 2) 18.3% CP with high digestibility RUP (HiCP-HiDRUP), 3) 16.9% CP with high digestibility RUP (LoCP-HiDRUP), and 4) 17.0% CP with high digestibility RUP and supplemental Met (LoCP-HiDRUP + Met). Diets were balanced to have equal concentrations of net energy for lactation (NE(L)), acid detergent fiber (ADF), neutral detergent fiber (NDF), and ash. Milk yields (40.8, 46.2, 42.9, 46.6 kg/d), protein percentages (2.95, 2.98, 2.99, 3.09%), and fat percentages (3.42, 3.64, 3.66, 3.73%) are reported here for HiCP-LoDRUP, HiCP-HiDRUP, LoCP-HiDRUP, and LoCP-HiDRUP + Met, respectively. Milk urea N and BUN decreased when feeding a lower CP diet. Efficiency of use of N for milk protein production was higher when feeding higher digestibility RUP, especially with the LoCP-HiDRUP + Met diet. A digestibility study followed the production trial, with six cows per treatment group continuing on the same treatment for an additional week. The experimental periods were 5 d long, with 1 d of adjustment and 4 d of total collection of urine and feces. Dry matter intake, milk production, milk protein production, and N digestibility were not significantly different among treatments during the collection trial, whereas N intake and N absorbed increased with the higher CP diets. The quantity of N in feces did not change with diet, but quantity of N in urine decreased in the low CP diets. Milk N as a percentage of intake N and milk N as a percentage of N absorbed showed a trend toward increasing as CP concentration in the diet decreased. The supplementation of Met did not improve the efficiency of N utilization during the digestibility study, in contrast to what was estimated during the production trial. Supplementing the highly digestible RUP source with rumen available and rumen escape sources of Met resulted in maximal milk and protein production and maximum N efficiency by cows during the production trial, indicating that postruminal digestibility of RUP and amino acid balance can be more important than total RUP supplementation.

Animal Nutritional Physiological Phenomena↗

Effects of 2-hydroxy-4-(methylthio) butanoic acid (HMB) on microbial growth in continuous culture.

2-Hydroxy-4-(methylthio) butanoic acid (HMB) positively affects milk composition and yield, potentially through ruminal actions. Four continuous culture fermenters were used to determine the optimal concentration of HMB for digestibility of organic matter (OM), neutral detergent fiber (NDF), acid detergent fiber (ADF), and hemicellulose and synthesis of microbial N. A highly degradable mix of hay and grain was used as a basal diet to simulate a typical lactation diet. Three concentrations of HMB (0, 0.055, and 0.110%) and one concentration of dl-Met (0.097%) were infused into the fermenters according to a 4 x 4 Latin square design. Digesta samples were collected during the last 3 d of each of the four 10-d experimental periods. Digestibility of OM, hemicellulose, and NDF was largely insensitive to treatment. Digestibility of ADF showed a quadratic effect to supplementation of HMB, with 0.055% having lower digestibility than 0 or 0.110%. Total production of VFA was not influenced by HMB supplementation, but differences in concentration and production of individual VFA were seen. Isobutyrate increased linearly with increasing HMB supplementation. Propionate concentration decreased linearly with increased HMB supplementation, but propionate production showed a quadratic trend (P = 0.13). A higher concentration of acetate was detected for dl-Met compared with the highest HMB concentration. There were trends (P < 0.15) for dl-Met to decrease the production of isobutyrate and to lower the concentration of butyrate when compared with HMB. Microbial efficiency was not different among treatments. The proportion of bacterial N produced from NH3-N decreased linearly with increasing HMB, and bacteria receiving dl-Met synthesized more N from NH3-N than those receiving HMB. These data suggest that supplementation of HMB may have a sparing effect on branched chain volatile fatty acids because the fatty acids are not needed to provide carbon for synthesis of valine, isoleucine and leucine with ammonia. Comparisons of bacterial community structure in the fermenter effluent samples using PCR amplicons containing the ribosomal intergenic spacer region and its flanking partial 16S ribosomal RNA gene showed no distinct banding patterns, though treatments tended to group together. Both Met and HMB affect the rumen microbial population, but Met supplied as dl-Met does not act identically to that supplied as HMB.

Ammonia↗

Identification and characterization of location decision factors for relocating dairy farms.

A survey was conducted to determine the importance of various location factors during the site selection process for relocating dairy farms. The objectives were to identify the importance of location decision factors (LDF) and characterize how importance differs among respondents with different demographic characteristics. Information was collected from sampled populations of Grade A milk producers in the top 35 milk-producing states in the United States and from U.S. agribusiness professionals using a mailed questionnaire. Location decision factors (n = 110) were rated on importance using a numerical scale of 0 to 10, where 0 = not important and 10 = critically important. Demographic data were collected from each respondent. Of 906 respondents, 72.4% identified their primary occupation as dairy producer. The five overall most important LDF were 1) availability of fresh water supplies (9.16 +/- 0.05); 2) availability of land for waste management (8.94 +/- 0.05); 3) average mailbox price of milk (8.79 +/- 0.05); 4) quality of fresh water supply (8.41 +/- 0.06); and 5) complexity of laws governing waste management (8.35 +/- 0.06). Factors pertaining to dairy production activities, such as cost of feeds and milk handling, were prevalent among those LDF in the upper quartile of importance. Region and herd size had significant effects on the overall importance of LDF. The relative importance of factors differed between western and eastern regions of the United States. Observed differences in importance of LDF among subclasses of respondents suggest that characteristics of the geographic regions evaluated and dairy production activities at various scales affect perceived importance of certain LDF.

Adult↗

Whole linted cottonseed as a forage substitute: fiber effectiveness and digestion kinetics.

Six ruminally and duodenally cannulated Holstein cows were used in a 6 x 6 Latin square design to 1) evaluate the potential interaction in effectiveness of neutral detergent fiber (NDF) from whole cottonseed (WCS) when it was substituted for forage NDF (FNDF) and fed with ground (G) or steam-flaked (SF) corn and 2) to determine whether the kinetic properties of NDF digestion further clarify the effectiveness of WCS. The six dietary treatments were: forage control with G corn (21% FNDF), 5% WCS with G or SF corn (18% FNDF), 10% WCS with G or SF corn (15% FNDF), and 15% WCS with G corn (12% FNDF). Based on chewing activity, the NDF from WCS was estimated to be 84% (SE = 36%) as effective as alfalfa silage NDF. Decreasing passage and digestion rates of potentially digestible NDF with increasing WCS increased the evacuated pool size of ruminal DM, apparently explaining the similar ruminal mat consistency among treatments. Measures of effectiveness ofWCS treatments did not interact with corn source. Fluid dilution rate was estimated based on a two-compartment model describing Co dilution, but no treatment differences were detected. There was a strong linear bias for estimates of ruminal NDF digestibility based on a single compartment model using the digestion rate of potentially digestible NDF and the passage rate of either indigestible NDF or digestible NDF when compared with NDF digestibility calculated using duodenal flows. Although further verification is needed, these digestion and passage kinetics help explain why WCS are effective at stimulating chewing during eating and rumination.

Animal Feed↗

Invited review: Integrating quantitative findings from multiple studies using mixed model methodology.

In animal agriculture, the need to understand complex biological, environmental, and management relationships is increasing. In addition, as knowledge increases and profit margins shrink, our ability and desire to predict responses to various management decisions also increases. Therefore, the purpose of this review is to help show how improved mathematical and statistical tools and computer technology can help us gain more accurate information from published studies and improve future research. Researchers, in several recent reviews, have gathered data from multiple published studies and attempted to formulate a quantitative model that best explains the observations. In statistics, this process has been labeled meta-analysis. Generally, there are large differences between studies: e. g., different physiological status of the experimental units, different experimental design, different measurement methods, and laboratory technicians. From a statistical standpoint, studies are blocks and their effects must be considered random because the inference being sought is to future, unknown studies. Meta-analyses in the animal sciences have generally ignored the Study effect. Because data gathered across studies are unbalanced with respect to predictor variables, ignoring the Study effect has as a consequence that the estimation of parameters (slopes and intercept) of regression models can be severely biased. Additionally, variance estimates are biased upward, resulting in large type II errors when testing the effect of independent variables. Historically, the Study effect has been considered a fixed effect not because of a strong argument that such effect is indeed fixed but because of our prior inability to efficiently solve even modest-sized mixed models (those containing both fixed and random effects). Modern statistical software has, however, overcome this limitation. Consequently, meta-analyses should now incorporate the Study effect and its interaction effects as random components of a mixed model. This would result in better prediction equations of biological systems and a more accurate description of their prediction errors.

Analysis of Variance↗

Forecasting herd structure and milk production for production risk management.

Substantial increases in milk price volatility have resulted from changes in federal dairy policies. For a dairy farm, however, monthly gross milk receipts are a function of unit price and quantity produced. Both can vary substantially over time. Therefore, to be effective, risk management strategies must address milk and input price volatility (price risk management) and fluctuations in milk production per cow and cow numbers (production risk management). Herd milk production through time can be modeled as a discrete stochastic process using finite Markov chains. Cows at time t = 0 are assigned to homogeneous production cells in four-dimensional arrays with coordinates determined by parity (1, 2, 3), week in milk (1, ..., 104), pregnancy status (0, 1), and week pregnant (1, ..., 40). The processes of aging, pregnancy, involuntary cull, voluntary cull, abortion, dry-off, and freshening from week i-1 to week i are accounted for, using nonstationary transition probabilities. Bayesian estimates of transition probabilities are derived from historical herd data, assuming that individual outcomes are from Bernoulli distributions. The values of parameters theta(i) for the Bernoulli distributions are unknown but have prior distributions that follow beta distributions with parameters alpha(i) and beta(i) estimated from historical data. Herd observations are then used to generate posterior distributions of theta(i), also from beta distributions. Projecting from one week to the next is accomplished by moving virtual animals from one production cell to the next based on the transition probability assigned to that path. Summing production estimates and variances of all independent cells provides for an expected herd production with an associated variance. As expected, the forecast variance increases with time, reflecting increased uncertainty of distant projections. Model validation presents an interesting problem because future observations used for validation are under human control and are not independent of the forecast.

Animal Husbandry↗

The relationship of milk urea nitrogen to urine nitrogen excretion in Holstein and Jersey cows.

The objectives of this study were to assess the relationship between urinary nitrogen excretion (UN, g/d) and milk urea nitrogen concentration (MUN, mg/dl) and whether the types of carbohydrates fed interacts with the dietary CP and the breed (size) of cows to affect this relationship. Eight multiparous cows (four Holstein and four Jersey) were fed four different diets in a 2 x 2 factorial arrangement of levels of crude protein (13 and 17%) and levels of neutral detergent fiber (30 and 40%). The experimental design was a split plot Latin square with breeds forming the main plots and diets forming the subplots. Experimental periods were 3 wk in length, with d 1 to 14 used for adjustment and d 15 to 19 used for a total collection of urine and feces. Crude protein concentrations had a significant effect on milk, milk fat and protein production, plasma urea N, MUN, and on N balance measurements (N intake, fecal and urinary N excretion, milk N production, N retention, apparent N digestibility, and N efficiency). Neutral detergent fiber levels had no effect on any production parameters or N balance measurements. The relationship between urinary N and MUN was linear over the range of MUN values observed and different for the two breeds. The breed effect on the UN-MUN relationship was no longer significant (P = 0.63) when body weight (BW) was included in the model. The optimal allometric coefficient for BW was 0.96 and was not different from 1.0. Therefore, the following equation is proposed to predict UN excretion based on MUN and BW: UN (g/d) = 0.0259 (+/- 0.0006) BW (kg) x MUN (mg/dl).

Animals↗

The next $120,000: a case study to illustrate analysis of alternative farm investments in fixed assets.

Dairy scientists specializing in the area of farm management are increasingly involved in analysis of farm investments in fixed assets. There have been instances where the wrong procedures were used to assess investments in fixed assets, leading to erroneous and possibly disastrous conclusions. A detailed case study of a dairy farm facing the decision of where best to invest an unexpected $120,000 windfall is used to illustrate the various facets of financial analysis. Indicators of profitability, liquidity, solvency, repayment capacity, and financial efficiency are explained and applied to the farm case to produce a detailed analysis of the current financial position of the firm. Long-range budgets of four alternate investment options and their impact on all financial indicators are presented. The four options are: 1) to pay down debt, 2) to purchase an additional 100 cows, 3) to install automatic milk yield recording in the parlor, and 4) to build new heifer facilities. All four investments are profitable. Therefore, an analysis limited to profitability indicators would conclude that any of the four options is a good investment. However, liquidity and financial efficiency issues showed that the option of purchasing 100 cows is far superior to the three others. We conclude that a complete and thorough financial analysis is required to evaluate the impact of long-run investments in fixed assets.

Animals↗