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Biomedical subjects

Neil R Powe

Publications and source records attributed to Neil R Powe.

At least 73 records · Page 4Linked to original sources

How strong are patients' preferences in choices between dialysis modalities and doses?

BACKGROUND: How dialysis patients feel about their treatment may influence how they respond to information suggesting that survival is better with a higher dose or different treatment modality. We assessed the strength of dialysis patients' preferences for their current treatment modality versus other modalities, how differences in survival between modalities and doses could influence preferences, and whether preferences differ by patient characteristics. METHODS: We measured preference values for current health on dialysis therapy and for standardized descriptions of dialysis modalities and doses by using a sample of dialysis patients in Maryland and Massachusetts and a time trade-off technique scaled between 0 (death) and 1 (perfect health). RESULTS: We interviewed 109 patients on hemodialysis therapy, 57 patients on continuous ambulatory peritoneal dialysis (CAPD), and 22 patients on continuous cycling peritoneal dialysis (CCPD). Hemodialysis, CAPD, and CCPD patients had similar preference values for current health (mean, 0.69, 0.74, and 0.70, respectively; P > 0.1) and lower preference values for alternative modalities (eg, mean of 0.55 assigned to CAPD by hemodialysis patients). More than 75% of patients would choose a high dose over a lower dose of dialysis if it increased length of survival by 20%, but more than 30% would not switch modality, even if it increased survival by 100%. The only characteristic associated with a difference in preference values was depression, with weaker preferences among those with mild to moderate depressive mood. CONCLUSION: Dialysis patients have strong preferences for their current modality and are more likely to accept a higher dose of dialysis than switch modality to increase survival. Physicians should talk with patients about the modality and dose they prefer because preferences cannot be predicted by patient characteristics.

Aged↗

Screening for proteinuria in US adults: a cost-effectiveness analysis.

CONTEXT: Chronic kidney disease is a growing public health problem. Screening for early identification could improve health but could also lead to unnecessary harms and excess costs. OBJECTIVE: To assess the value of periodic, population-based dipstick screening for early detection of urine protein in adults with neither hypertension nor diabetes and in adults with hypertension. DESIGN, SETTING, AND POPULATION: Cost-effectiveness analysis using a Markov decision analytic model to compare a strategy of annual screening with no screening (usual care) for proteinuria at age 50 years followed by treatment with an angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitor or an angiotensin II-receptor blocker (ARB). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Cost per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY). RESULTS: For persons with neither hypertension nor diabetes, the cost-effectiveness ratio for screening vs no screening (usual care) was unfavorable (282 818 dollars per QALY; incremental cost of 616 dollars and a gain of 0.0022 QALYs per person). However, screening such persons beginning at age 60 years yielded a more favorable ratio (53 372 dollars per QALY). For persons with hypertension, the ratio was highly favorable (18 621 dollars per QALY; incremental cost of 476 dollars and a gain of 0.03 QALYs per person). Cost-effectiveness was mediated by both chronic kidney disease progression and death prevention benefits of ACE inhibitor and ARB therapy. Influential parameters that might make screening for the general population more cost-effective include a greater incidence of proteinuria, age at screening (53 372 dollars per QALY for persons beginning screening at age 60 years), or lower frequency of screening (every 10 years: 80 700 dollars per QALY at age 50 years; 6195 dollars per QALY at age 60 years; and 5486 dollars per QALY at age 70 years). CONCLUSIONS: Early detection of urine protein to slow progression of chronic kidney disease and decrease mortality is not cost-effective unless selectively directed toward high-risk groups (older persons and persons with hypertension) or conducted at an infrequent interval of 10 years.

Adult↗

Patient-centered communication, ratings of care, and concordance of patient and physician race.

BACKGROUND: African-American patients who visit physicians of the same race rate their medical visits as more satisfying and participatory than do those who see physicians of other races. Little research has investigated the communication process in race-concordant and race-discordant medical visits. OBJECTIVES: To compare patient-physician communication in race-concordant and race-discordant visits and examine whether communication behaviors explain differences in patient ratings of satisfaction and participatory decision making. DESIGN: Cohort study with follow-up using previsit and postvisit surveys and audiotape analysis. SETTING: 16 urban primary care practices. PATIENTS: 252 adults (142 African-American patients and 110 white patients) receiving care from 31 physicians (of whom 18 were African-American and 13 were white). MEASUREMENTS: Audiotape measures of patient-centeredness, patient ratings of physicians' participatory decision-making styles, and overall satisfaction. RESULTS: Race-concordant visits were longer (2.15 minutes [95% CI, 0.60 to 3.71]) and had higher ratings of patient positive affect (0.55 point, [95% CI, 0.04 to 1.05]) compared with race-discordant visits. Patients in race-concordant visits were more satisfied and rated their physicians as more participatory (8.42 points [95% CI, 3.23 to 13.60]). Audiotape measures of patient-centered communication behaviors did not explain differences in participatory decision making or satisfaction between race-concordant and race-discordant visits. CONCLUSIONS: Race-concordant visits are longer and characterized by more patient positive affect. Previous studies link similar communication findings to continuity of care. The association between race concordance and higher patient ratings of care is independent of patient-centered communication, suggesting that other factors, such as patient and physician attitudes, may mediate the relationship. Until more evidence is available regarding the mechanisms of this relationship and the effectiveness of intercultural communication skills programs, increasing ethnic diversity among physicians may be the most direct strategy to improve health care experiences for members of ethnic minority groups.

Adolescent↗

Loss of IGF2 imprinting: a potential marker of colorectal cancer risk.

Loss of imprinting (LOI), an epigenetic alteration affecting the insulin-like growth factor II gene (IGF2), is found in normal colonic mucosa of about 30% of colorectal cancer (CRC) patients, but it is found in only 10% of healthy individuals. In a pilot study to investigate the utility of LOI as a marker of CRC risk, we evaluated 172 patients at a colonoscopy clinic. The adjusted odds ratio for LOI in lymphocytes was 5.15 for patients with a positive family history [95% confidence interval (95% CI), 1.70 to 16.96; probability P = 0.002], 3.46 for patients with adenomas (95% CI, 1.14 to 11.37; P = 0.026), and 21.7 for patients with CRC (95% CI, 3.48 to 153.6; P = 0.0005). LOI can be assayed with a DNA-based blood test, and it may be a valuable predictive marker of an individual's risk for CRC.

Adolescent↗

Cardiac resynchronization and death from progressive heart failure: a meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials.

CONTEXT: Progressive heart failure is the most common mechanism of death among patients with advanced heart failure. Cardiac resynchronization, a pacemaker-based therapy for heart failure, enhances cardiac performance and quality of life, but its effect on mortality is uncertain. OBJECTIVE: To determine whether cardiac resynchronization reduces mortality from progressive heart failure. DATA SOURCES: MEDLINE (1966-2002), EMBASE (1980-2002), the Cochrane Controlled Trials Register (Second Quarter, 2002), The National Institutes of Health ClinicalTrials.gov database, the US Food and Drug Administration Web site, and reports presented at scientific meetings (1994-2002). Search terms included pacemaker, pacing, heart failure, dual-site, multisite, biventricular, resynchronization, and left ventricular preexcitation. STUDY SELECTION: Eligible studies were randomized controlled trials of cardiac resynchronization for the treatment of chronic symptomatic left ventricular dysfunction. Eligible studies reported death, hospitalization for heart failure, or ventricular arrhythmia as outcomes. Of the 6883 potentially relevant reports initially identified, 11 reports of 4 randomized trials with 1634 total patients were included in the meta-analysis. DATA EXTRACTION: Trial reports were reviewed independently by 2 investigators in an unblinded standardized manner. DATA SYNTHESIS: Follow-up in the included trials ranged from 3 to 6 months. Pooled data from the 4 selected studies showed that cardiac resynchronization reduced death from progressive heart failure by 51% relative to controls (odds ratio [OR], 0.49; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.25-0.93). Progressive heart failure mortality was 1.7% for cardiac resynchronization patients and 3.5% for controls. Cardiac resynchronization also reduced heart failure hospitalization by 29% (OR, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.53-0.96) and showed a trend toward reducing all-cause mortality (OR, 0.77; 95% CI, 0.51-1.18). Cardiac resynchronization was not associated with a statistically significant effect on non-heart failure mortality (OR, 1.15; 95% CI, 0.65-2.02). Among patients with implantable cardioverter defibrillators, cardiac resynchronization had no clear impact on ventricular tachycardia or ventricular fibrillation (OR, 0.92; 95% CI, 0.67-1.27). CONCLUSIONS: Cardiac resynchronization reduces mortality from progressive heart failure in patients with symptomatic left ventricular dysfunction. This finding suggests that cardiac resynchronization may have a substantial impact on the most common mechanism of death among patients with advanced heart failure. Cardiac resynchronization also reduces heart failure hospitalization and shows a trend toward reducing all-cause mortality.

Cardiac Pacing, Artificial↗

Lung cancer screening with helical computed tomography in older adult smokers: a decision and cost-effectiveness analysis.

CONTEXT: Encouraged by direct-to-consumer marketing, smokers and their physicians are contemplating lung cancer screening with a promising but unproven imaging procedure, helical computed tomography (CT). OBJECTIVE: To estimate the potential benefits, harms, and cost-effectiveness of lung cancer screening with helical CT in various efficacy scenarios. DESIGN, SETTING, AND POPULATION: Using a computer-simulated model, we compared annual helical CT screening to no screening for hypothetical cohorts of 100 000 current, quitting, and former heavy smokers, aged 60 years, of whom 55% were men. We simulated efficacy by changing the clinical stage distribution of lung cancers so that the screened group would have fewer advanced-stage cancers and more localized-stage cancers than the nonscreened group (ie, a stage shift). Our model incorporated known biases in screening programs such as lead time, length, and overdiagnosis bias. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: We measured the benefits of screening by comparing the absolute and relative difference in lung cancer-specific deaths. We measured harms by the number of false-positive invasive tests or surgeries per 100 000 and incremental cost-effectiveness in US dollars per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained. RESULTS: Over a 20-year period, assuming a 50% stage shift, the current heavy smoker cohort had 553 fewer lung cancer deaths (13% lung cancer-specific mortality reduction) and 1186 false-positive invasive procedures per 100 000 persons. The incremental cost-effectiveness for current smokers was $116 300 per QALY gained. For quitting and former smokers, the incremental cost-effectiveness was $558 600 and $2 322 700 per QALY gained, respectively. Other than the degree of stage shift, the most influential parameters were adherence to screening, degree of length or overdiagnosis bias in the first year of screening, quality of life of persons with screen-detected localized lung cancers, cost of helical CT, and anxiety about indeterminate nodule diagnoses. In 1-way sensitivity analyses, none of these parameters was sufficient to make screening highly cost-effective for any of the cohorts. In multiway sensitivity analyses, a program screening current smokers was $42 500 per QALY gained if extremely favorable estimates were used for all of the influential parameters simultaneously. CONCLUSION: Even if efficacy is eventually proven, screening must overcome multiple additional barriers to be highly cost-effective. Given the current uncertainty of benefits, the harms from invasive testing, and the high costs associated with screening, direct-to-consumer marketing of helical CT is not advisable.

Aged↗

Outpatient prescriptions for atypical antipsychotics for African Americans, Hispanics, and whites in the United States.

BACKGROUND: New antipsychotic medications introduced during the past decade-clozapine (1990), risperidone (1994), olanzapine (1996), and quetiapine fumarate (1997)-offer a decrease in serious adverse effects compared with traditional antipsychotic medications, but at up to 10 times the cost. We examined whether ethnic minorities achieve access to these new advanced treatments. METHODS: Using national data on physician office and hospital outpatient department visits from the National Ambulatory Medical Care Survey and National Hospital Ambulatory Medical Care Survey from 1992 through 2000, we selected all patient visits at which an antipsychotic medication (atypical or traditional) was prescribed or continued and the patient was aged between 18 and 69 years. We performed a series of cross-sectional logistic regression analyses to determine the association of ethnic group and receipt of an atypical antipsychotic prescription over time, adjusted for potential confounders such as age, diagnosis, and health insurance type. RESULTS: Antipsychotic medication was prescribed or continued in 5032 visits; 33% of overall visits involved an atypical antipsychotic prescription. During 1992 to 1994, the adjusted relative odds of receipt of an atypical antipsychotic prescription for African Americans was 0.50 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.26-0.96) and for Hispanics was 0.43 (95% CI, 0.16-1.18) compared with whites. During 1995 to 1997, the odds of receipt of a prescription for atypical antipsychotics increased for African Americans (odds ratio [OR], 0.69; 95% CI, 0.54-0.85) and for Hispanics (OR, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.65-1.07) compared with whites; and during 1998 to 2000, the relative odds continued to increase for African Americans (OR, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.78-0.97) and for Hispanics (OR, 1.05; 95% CI, 0.92-1.16) compared with whites. For visits specified for psychotic disorders, receipt of atypical antipsychotics was still lower for African Americans by 1998 to 2000 (adjusted OR, 0.74; 95% CI, 0.61-0.89) compared with whites, while for Hispanics the relative odds was equivalent (adjusted OR, 1.05; 95% CI, 0.87-1.19). CONCLUSION: Early gaps between ethnic groups in receipt of atypical antipsychotic prescriptions decreased throughout the 1990s but persisted for African Americans with psychotic disorders.

Adolescent↗

Predictors of cause-specific hospital readmission in patients with heart failure.

BACKGROUND: Repeated hospital readmissions are frequent and increasing over time in patients with heart failure (HF). The predictors for readmission in patients with HF are not completely understood. HYPOTHESIS: The study was undertaken to investigate the time course of readmission by specific cause in patients with HF, and to examine the independent effects of HF etiology and left ventricular (LV) function on cause-specific readmissions. METHODS: A retrospective cohort of 493 consecutive patients with HF was followed for readmission for 16.5 +/- 12.3 months. Ischemic etiology of HF was defined as history of myocardial infarction (MI), coronary artery bypass graft (CABG), percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty (PTCA), or > or = 70% coronary stenosis. Left ventricular function was assessed echocardiographically. Cause-specific readmissions were classified as HF, cardiovascular disease (CVD) other than HF, and other non-CVD. RESULTS: The annual readmission rate was 56.6%. Median time to readmission was 91 days, with 18.3% patients readmitted within 1 month after discharge. Ischemic etiology independently predicted all-cause readmission: Cox hazard ratio (95% confidence interval): 1.40 (1.11-1.79). This relationship was significant in women (1.83 [1.31-2.55]), but not in men (1.15 [0.82-1.62]), while readmissions were equally frequent in both genders. Similarly, ischemic etiology significantly predicted readmission for CVD in women (4.18 [2.14-8.19]), but not in men (1.49 [0.83-2.67]). However, LV dysfunction independently predicted readmission for recurrent HF (2.44 [1.46-4.08]), while ischemic etiology was not predictive in either gender. CONCLUSIONS: Readmissions for recurrent HF comprise only one-third of total hospital readmissions in patients with HF. Ischemic etiology is a significant predictor of readmission, and most of this effect is mediated through a four-fold increased risk of readmission for CVD other than HF in women. Readmission for recurrent HF is predicted by LV dysfunction but not by ischemic etiology. Patients with HF can be accurately risk stratified for cause-specific readmission with available clinical data.

Aged↗

Lipoprotein(a) and prevalent cardiovascular disease in a dialysis population: The Choices for Healthy Outcomes in Caring for ESRD (CHOICE) study.

BACKGROUND: Levels of lipoprotein(a) [Lp(a)], an atherogenic lipoprotein, are elevated in patients with end-stage renal disease and inversely related to the size of apolipoprotein(a) [apo(a)], a glycoprotein bound to Lp(a). We studied the association of Lp(a) level and apo(a) size with prevalent atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) in 871 incident dialysis patients (261 blacks, 565 whites, 45 other). METHODS: Lp(a) was measured by an apo(a) size-independent enzyme-linked immunoassay; and apo(a) size was measured by sodium dodecyl sulfate-agarose gel electrophoresis. Prevalent ASCVD, derived from medical records, was defined as coronary heart disease or cerebral or peripheral vascular disease. Adjustment variables included age, sex, race, dialysis modality, diabetes, serum creatinine level, albumin level, and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol level. RESULTS: ASCVD prevalence was 58%. Median Lp(a) levels for those with compared with those without ASCVD were 38 versus 35 nmol/L for whites (P = 0.49) and 100 versus 74 nmol/L for blacks, respectively (P = 0.35). Lp(a) level was associated with ASCVD among those younger than 60 years (odds ratio [OR] for +1 interquartile range of Lp(a), 1.5; P = 0.02), but not among those 60 years and older (OR, 1.0; P = 0.82; P(interaction) by age, 0.08). ORs were 1.3 for all whites (P = 0.03) and 1.1 for all blacks (P = 0.87; P(interaction)by race = 0.53). ORs of ASCVD were 1.7 for whites younger than 60 years (P = 0.01) and 1.2 for blacks younger than 60 years (P = 0.77; P(interaction) by race = 0.42). No association between apo(a) isoform size and ASCVD was present. CONCLUSION: In an incident dialysis cohort, Lp(a) level was associated with prevalent ASCVD among whites younger than 60 years, but not among blacks or those older than 60 years. Apo(a) isoform size was not associated with prevalent ASCVD. These data suggest that baseline ASCVD is unlikely to strongly confound the potential associations of Lp(a) level and prospectively ascertained ASCVD among incident dialysis patients.

Adult↗

Receipt of renal replacement therapy in the United States: a population-based study of sociodemographic disparities from the Second National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES II).

BACKGROUND: Persons with chronic kidney disease who need kidney replacement therapy to sustain life have health insurance. We examined whether young adults, women, blacks, less-educated persons, the poor, and persons residing in less populated areas receive treatment when health insurance is no longer a barrier. METHODS: We conducted a case-control study nested in the Second National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey Mortality Study. Cases were persons treated with kidney replacement therapy determined by linkage to the end-stage renal disease treatment registry. Controls were untreated persons with kidney disease who died not appearing in the registry. RESULTS: During 12 to 16 years, 44 persons developed treated disease, and 145 persons, untreated disease. After adjustment for sex, age, education, population of residential area, and comorbid conditions in logistic regression analysis, younger versus older age and living in a highly populated versus less populated area were both independently associated with treatment (relative odds of treatment, 5.57; 95% confidence interval, 1.72 to 18.0; and 4.33; 95% confidence interval, 2.09 to 8.97, respectively). Race, sex, education, and poverty were not associated with less treatment. CONCLUSION: We found no disparity in life-saving chronic kidney disease treatment with regard to race or socioeconomic status in this population-based study. Less receipt of treatment by older adults may reflect greater comorbid disease or choices made by persons or their providers. Strategies to render treatment in less populated areas, including incentives to deliver care to such areas, should be encouraged.

Adult↗

Leukocytosis, hypoalbuminemia, and the risk for chronic kidney disease in US adults.

BACKGROUND: Atherosclerosis and chronic kidney disease (CKD) share several common antecedents. However, the association between inflammatory markers and incident CKD is unknown. METHODS: We determined risk for incident CKD, defined by treatment for kidney failure or death related to kidney disease, in 9,250 US adults aged 30 to 74 years who participated in the Second National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES II), a nationally representative prospective cohort study with 17 years of follow-up. RESULTS: After adjusting for age, race, sex, blood pressure, smoking, and body mass index, there was a graded positive association with increasing total white blood cell (WBC) count and risk for CKD (P for trend < 0.001; relative hazard (RH) highest versus lowest quartile, 2.34; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.30 to 4.19). This association remained statistically significant after adjusting further for the presence of diabetes and cardiovascular disease at baseline (RH, 2.01; 95% CI, 1.11 to 3.65). A similarly strong and graded association with incident CKD was observed for hypoalbuminemia after adjusting for age, race, sex, blood pressure, smoking, and body mass index (P for trend = 0.02; RH lowest versus highest quartile, 1.91; 95% CI, 0.89 to 4.07) and additionally adjusting for the presence of diabetes and cardiovascular disease at baseline (P for trend = 0.02; RH lowest versus highest, 2.05; 95% CI, 0.96 to 4.39). CONCLUSION: In a nationally representative sample of US adults, elevated WBC count and hypoalbuminemia were associated with future risk for CKD. These results support the hypothesis that systemic inflammation is an independent risk factor for CKD.

Adult↗

Effects of patient compliance, parental education and race on nephrologists' recommendations for kidney transplantation in children.

Transplantation is the treatment goal for youth with kidney failure. To assess the effects of compliance, parental education and race on nephrologists' recommendations for transplantation in children, we surveyed a national random sample of adult and pediatric nephrologists. We elicited transplant recommendations for case vignettes created from random combinations of patient age, gender, race, cause of renal failure, family structure, parental education and compliance. Of 519 eligible physicians, 316 (61%) responded. Nephrologists were more likely to recommend transplantation for children of college-educated parents than children of parents who did not finish high school, despite identical clinical and demographic characteristics (adjusted OR 1.48, 95% CI 1.18, 1.86). Patient noncompliance negatively influenced transplant recommendations (adjusted OR 0.1, 95% CI 0.08, 0.13). Additionally, compliance had a different effect on transplant recommendations for white compared with black patients. The adjusted OR of a white, compliant patient being referred for transplantation were twice that of a black compliant patient (OR 2.06, 95% CI 1.17, 3.6). Education and compliance with therapy independently influence nephrologists' recommendations for transplantation in youth with kidney failure. Among the most compliant candidates, referral for transplantation may vary with patient race.

Adolescent↗

Comorbidity and its change predict survival in incident dialysis patients.

BACKGROUND: Few studies have performed a comprehensive comparison of the prognostic importance of comorbidity to that of other case-mix factors influencing incident dialysis patients' survival. Longitudinal change in the comorbid illness burden of incident dialysis patients has not been measured. Comorbidity severity and its change may serve as important prognostic markers of survival, independent of other case-mix factors. METHODS: The Choices for Healthy Outcomes in Caring for End-Stage Renal Disease Cohort Study used the Index of Coexistent Disease (ICED) to assess comorbidity at the initiation of chronic dialysis treatment (1,039 incident patients) and during follow-up (733 patients). Using proportional hazards regression analyses, the relationship to survival of baseline ICED level and change in ICED level was examined. RESULTS: At the initiation of chronic dialysis treatment, 36% of patients were at ICED level 0 to 1 (least comorbidity severity); 35%, level 2; and 29%, level 3. After multivariable adjustment, baseline ICED level was the strongest predictor of subsequent mortality. Compared with ICED level 0 to 1, relative risks for mortality were 1.9 (95% confidence interval, 1.3 to 2.6) for ICED level 2 and 2.8 (95% confidence interval, 2.0 to 3.9) for ICED level 3. The prevalence and severity of most comorbid conditions increased during follow-up. After controlling for baseline ICED level and other factors, change in ICED level over time was significantly associated with mortality (P = 0.01). CONCLUSION: Indexing comorbidity when patients begin chronic dialysis therapy and recording the evolution of index scores yields a predictor of mortality risk that is independent of other case-mix factors.

Cohort Studies↗

The relationship of race to women's use of health information resources.

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to examine, among the general public, the independent effect of race on women's use of health information resources. STUDY DESIGN: A population-based random-digit dialing survey of adult women, aged 18 to 64 years, was conducted between October 1999 and January 2000. Subjects included 509 women (341 white women, 135 black women, and 33 women of other races). The response rate was 66%. The main outcome variable was the use of health information resources (print health or news media, broadcast media, computer resources [Internet], health organizations, organized health events). Logistic regression was used to determine the independent effect of race/ethnicity on the use of different information resources, with an adjustment for age, income, education, and marital status. RESULTS: After the adjustment for socioeconomic factors, black women had <50% odds of using print news media (odds ratio, 0.5; 95% CI, 0.4-0.8), <60% odds of using computer-based resources (odds ratio, 0.4; 95% CI, 0.2-0.6), and <70% odds of using health policy organizations (odds ratio, 0.3; 95% CI, 0.2-0.7), compared with white women. CONCLUSION: There is a large racial disparity in women's use of health information resources. Traditional sources that are used to provide patient information may not be effective in certain populations.

Adult↗

The contribution of increased diabetes prevalence and improved myocardial infarction and stroke survival to the increase in treated end-stage renal disease.

This study examined the extent to which the greater than threefold increase in number of treated end-stage renal disease (ESRD) cases between 1978 and 1991 is explained by increases in the prevalence of diabetes, myocardial infarction (MI) and stroke survivors, and US population size. The change in number of persons in the United States with diabetes, a history of MI or stroke, and without these conditions was estimated for 1978 and 1991 using the Second and Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys. The treated ESRD incidence rate and the increase in ESRD treatment attributable to each of these populations were calculated using these estimates and data from the United States Renal Data System. In the United States, there were an estimated 4.3 and 1.2 million more persons with diabetes and a history of MI or stroke, respectively, 22.7 million more persons without these conditions, and 36,881 more incident treated ESRD cases in 1991 compared with 1978. In 1991, treated ESRD incidence rates among persons with diabetes, a history of MI or stroke, and without these conditions were 2567, 1463, and 153 cases per million person-years, respectively. In 1991, 10,183 cases of the additional 36,881 treated ESRD cases (27.6%) resulted from the higher prevalence of diabetes; 1775 (4.8%) from increased MI and stroke survival; and 2904 (7.9%) resulted from growth of the US population without these conditions. The increasing number of treated ESRD cases in the United States is partly explained by the increase in diabetes prevalence and US population growth but only minimally by MI and stroke survival.

Adult↗

Lifestyle factors, obesity and the risk of chronic kidney disease.

BACKGROUND: Some lifestyle behaviors and obesity are risk factors for vascular disease, but their relation to kidney disease is uncertain. METHODS: To determine whether physical inactivity, smoking, alcohol drinking and obesity are associated with the risk of chronic kidney disease, we examined data from a nonconcurrent cohort study of 9,082 U.S. adults, aged 30-74 years, who participated in the second National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES II) from 1976 through 1980. By linking the NHANES II Mortality Study with the Medicare end-stage kidney disease registry, we identified 189 incident cases of either treated end-stage kidney disease or chronic kidney disease-related death through 1992. RESULTS: The risk of chronic kidney disease was related to physical inactivity both with and without adjustment for age, sex, race and body-mass index. The adjusted relative risk (RR) of moderately active versus very active persons was 1.2 (95% confidence interval = 0.7-1.8), and of inactive versus very active was 2.2 (1.3-3.8). Risk was also related to smoking; the RR in smokers of 1-20 cigarettes a day versus never smokers was 1.2 (0.7-2.3), and in smokers of more than 20 cigarettes a day, the RR was 2.3 (1.3-4.2). The RR in morbidly obese (body-mass index >/= 35 kg/m2) compared with normal weight persons was 2.3 (1.1-4.9), but risk was not increased for those classified as overweight or obese. Obesity risk appeared largely mediated by diabetes and hypertension, whereas physical inactivity risk was only partly explained by these factors, and smoking risk was independent of them. Alcohol consumption was not related to chronic kidney disease. CONCLUSIONS: These data suggest that physical inactivity, smoking and morbid obesity contribute to the risk of chronic kidney disease.

Adult↗