PubMed Health⌕ Search

Biomedical subjects

O Svenson

Publications and source records attributed to O Svenson.

10 recordsLinked to original sources
PubMed2001

Errors in subtractions: judged and observed frequencies.

In a first study 10 adults, aged 24-44 years, solved all 105 subtraction problems in the form M - N = , where 0 < or = M < or = 13, 0 < or = N < or = 13 and N < or = M. Each participant solved every problem 10 times and in total there were 10 500 answers. Answers, response latencies and errors were registered. Retrospective verbal reports were also given, indicating how a solution was reached: (1) via a (conscious) reconstructive cognitive process or (2) via an (unconscious) reproductive (retrieval) process. The participants made 291 errors (2.8%) when solving the subtractions in study 1. The rate of self-correction was very high, 92%. In a second study 27 undergraduate students estimated overall error rates, including self-corrected errors for the 105 subtraction problems used in the first study. Judged and actual error rates were compared. The participants systematically underestimated error rates for error prone problems and overestimated error rates for error free problems. The participants were fairly accurate when they predicted problems that were most error prone, with a hit rate of 0.67 for the (18) problems predicted as the most error prone ones. In contrast, predictions of which problems were error free were very poor with a hit rate of only 0.20 of the problems predicted as error free really having no errors in study 1. The correlation between judged error rates and frequencies for actually made errors was 0.69 for answers belonging to reconstructive solutions. In contrast, there was no significant correlation between judged and actual error rates at all for retrieved solutions, possibly reflecting the inaccessibility to consciousness of quick retrieval processes.

Adult↗
PubMed2000

Individual postdecision processes in group settings.

In two experiments Differentiation and Consolidation Theory (Diff Con) (Svenson, 1992) was used to investigate individual postdecision making processes in three-member groups. It was predicted that in groups in which the subjects preferred different alternatives (conflict groups), subjects would consolidate their own preferred alternative, and not the group's final decision. A second hypothesis was that no consolidation would be indicated in groups in which all members preferred the same alternative (non-conflict groups). The results showed that in conflict groups, the members who gave up their preferred alternative (minority members) consolidated their own preference, thereby significantly regretting the group decision. In contrast, members who got their own will through in the majority decision (majority members) showed no consolidation of the group decision. The corresponding pattern of results was replicated in a second experiment, using a different decision situation. The results indicated that perceptions of social support, agreement in a group and decreasing responsibility for a group's decision, could all partly substitute consolidation by attractiveness restructuring.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2000

Postdecision consolidation in a trend prediction task.

To be able to learn from experience it is necessary to correctly apprehend experienced feedback and the situation in which it is provided. The results indicate how post-decision consolidation in complex domains may affect learning. The problem may be particularly pertinent in recurrent decision making where considerable risk is involved. The study explores the changes in aspect (signal) importance from pre- to postdiction as a function of outcome information. By postdiction we mean the remembering of an earlier prediction (cf. Hawkins & Hastie, 1990). Subjects were asked to decide on which of four alternative future price developments would follow a historical price trajectory for different commodities, and to rate the importance of each of the chosen alternative's corresponding aspects. The subjects revealed a bias in their support ratings of aspects--seeing support in aspects that traditionally (by themselves and in many contexts) would be seen as neutral or even counter-indicative of the alternative chosen. After an intermission, the subjects were also given information about what was indicated to be the actual development of the market. One group was told that their decisions were correct (irrespective of what the decisions were), another group that they were incorrect but close, a third group that they were incorrect by far, while a fourth group served as a control. Following this information the subjects were again asked to judge the importance of the aspects for their own prior decision on the most likely future development. The results indicated that outcome feed-back had an effect on post decision restructuring of facts. Subjects in the correct condition showed an average consolidation that increased the support, while the wrong conditions lead to negative consolidation (in retrospect indicating that they never found as much support for their decision in the past as they actually did). Thus, in a choice between consolidating their own initial prediction and the price trajectory they would have to live with, the decision makers consolidated the outcome. Therefore, the results of the study were related to the hindsight bias phenomenon (Fischhoff, 1975) and to Kahneman and Miller's (1986) mutability concept.

Decision Making↗
PubMed1994

Post-decision consolidation, as a function of the instructions to the decision maker and of the decision problem.

The effects of instructions and decision problems on post-decision processes were studied by varying the instructions to subjects. Subjects made a medical policy decision based on information on four attributes in Experiments 1-2. The subjects were given different instructions: (1) no instruction at all about a second session, (2) instruction to remember his/her decision until a session a week later, and (3) instruction to justify the decision at a later occasion one week later. The results indicated post-decision consolidation in the first group, as predicted by the Differentiation and Consolidation Theory (Svenson, 1992). The effect showed up in attractiveness restructuring in support of the chosen alternative on the most important attributes. The instruction to remember the decision until a later time increased the consolidation effect. Contrary to our expectations, the instruction to later justify the decision did not produce any consolidation. This effect was replicated in the second experiment and could not be interpreted as a random result. In a third experiment the decision problem was framed as an environmental pollution problem and it was preceded by a carefully designed booklet presenting arguments for and against different materials used in manufacturing packages for coffee. Subjects were then asked to make a choice of the same coffee in two different packages. The data indicated no difference in structural consolidation as a result of the instruction to justify or not. The paper concludes with a discussion pointing out the importance of the involvement in a decision task for decision differentiation and consolidation.

Adolescent↗
PubMed1991

The accident evolution and barrier function (AEB) model applied to incident analysis in the processing industries.

This study develops a theoretical model for accident evolutions and how they can be arrested. The model describes the interaction between technical and human-organizational systems which may lead to an accident. The analytic tool provided by the model gives equal weight to both these types of systems and necessitates simultaneous and interactive accident analysis by engineers and human factors specialists. It can be used in predictive safety analyses as well as in post hoc incident analyses. To illustrate this, the AEB model is applied to an incident reported by the nuclear industry in Sweden. In general, application of the model will indicate where and how safety can be improved, and it also raises questions about issues such as the cost, feasibility, and effectiveness of different ways of increasing safety.

Accidents, Occupational↗
PubMed1988

A new transtrochanteric approach to the hip.

This transtrochanteric approach to the hip maintains continuity between the greater trochanter and the vastus lateralis muscle, thereby preventing the gross displacement of the greater trochanter and preserving the branches of the lateral circumflex vessels to it. The procedure offers the advantages of easy exposure and a high rate of bony union between trochanter and femur. We have used the procedure in 189 consecutive operations; in only four cases did union between the bones not occur. The trochanter was never cranially displaced more than three cm, and even in the cases of non-union abductor power was good. Although we do not recommend trochanteric osteotomy for every case of total hip replacement, we suggest that the approach be used for cases where technical problems are anticipated.

Bone Wires↗
PubMed1985

Perceived driving safety and seatbelt usage.

Swedish and U.S. subjects judged their own driving skills and safety in relation to other drivers. As in earlier studies, most subjects showed an optimism bias: a tendency to judge oneself as safer and more skillful than the average driver, with a smaller risk of getting involved and injured in an accident. Different measures of the optimism effect were strongly correlated with one another, with driving experience and with the judged importance of human factors (as opposed to technical and chance factors) in causing accidents. Degree of optimism was positively, but weakly, correlated with reported seatbelt usage and worry about traffic accidents. Seatbelt usage was positively related to the extent to which belts are judged to be convenient and popular, and more modestly related to the belt's perceived contributions to safety. These results suggest that providing more information about the effectiveness of seatbelts may not be as efficient a way of increasing seatbelt usage as emphasizing other factors, such as comfort and social norms, which cannot be outweighed by optimism.

Accidents, Traffic↗