Biomedical subjects

Ori Davidov

Publications and source records attributed to Ori Davidov.

4 recordsLinked to original sources

PubMed2004

Overdiagnosis in early detection programs.

Overdiagnosis refers to the situation where a screening exam detects a disease that would have otherwise been undetected in a person's lifetime. The disease would have not have been diagnosed because the individual would have died of other causes prior to its clinical onset. Although the probability of overdiagnosis is an important quantity for understanding early detection programs it has not been rigorously studied. We analyze an idealized early detection program and derive the mathematical expression for the probability of overdiagnosis. The results are studied numerically for prostate cancer and applied to a variety of screening schedules. Our investigation indicates that the probability of overdiagnosis is remarkably high.

Aged↗

PubMed2003

The analysis of the influence of birth order and other factors in multiple birth data.

We compare three methods which can be used to analyse the influence of birth order and other factors on health outcomes in multiple birth data. We consider marginal models based on generalized estimating equations (GEE) and two kinds of conditional models; conditional logistic regression (CLR) and mixed effects models (MEM). Although the models may be written similarly, there are differences in both the interpretation and the numerical values assigned to the parameters. Our main conclusion is that GEE and MEM are preferable to CLR since they provide more flexibility in dealing with missing values and covariates. The choice between GEE and MEM is less obvious and depends on the data, the parameter of interest and statistical power.

Birth Order↗

PubMed2003

The theory of case-control studies for early detection programs.

Although case-control studies are widely used for evaluating the benefit of early detection programs, the theoretical basis underlying this application has not been well developed. In this paper the properties of chronic disease case-control studies for evaluating early detection programs are investigated. An idealized case-control study is analyzed and the theoretical expression for the odds ratio associated with the benefit of screening is derived. The odds ratio is related to the natural history of disease and the screening program. Our results indicate that case-control studies result in odds ratios that are surprisingly close to unity and consequently have low power.

Age Factors↗

PubMed2002

Combined association, segregation and aggregation analysis on case-control family data.

Recently genetic epidemiologists have begun using case-control family study designs to investigate the role of genetic and environmental risk factors in disease etiology. The objective of these studies is to assess the association of environmental factors with the disease trait; to characterize the disease genes using segregation analysis; and to quantify the residual familial aggregation after controlling for environmental and genetic factors. Typically these objectives are achieved by conducting separate studies and analysis. This paper describes an estimating equation based approach for a combined association, segregation and aggregation analysis on data from case-control family studies. Simulations indicate that the method performs well in a variety of settings. The method is illustrated using simulated family history data made available to participants in a recent Genetic Analysis Workshop.

Journal Article↗