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Oswaldo Morales Matamoros

Publications and source records attributed to Oswaldo Morales Matamoros.

2 recordsLinked to original sources

Devil's-staircase-like behavior of the range of random time series with record-breaking fluctuations.

We propose insight into the analysis of the record-breaking fluctuations in random time series, which permits to distinguish between the self-organized criticality and the record dynamics (RD) scenarios of system evolution, using a finite time series realization. Performed analysis of the time series associated with the historical prices of different commodities has shown that the evolution of commodity markets is controlled by the record-breaking fluctuations as it is outlined by the RD. Furthermore, we found that the sizes of record-breaking fluctuations follow a fat-tailed distribution and the devil's-staircase-like records of price ranges are multiaffine and persistent, nevertheless, the high moments (q> q(C) >2) of their q-order height-height correlation functions behave logarithmically.

Journal Article↗

Crossover from antipersistent to persistent behavior in time series possessing the generalyzed dynamic scaling law.

The behavior of crude oil price volatility is analyzed within a conceptual framework of kinetic roughening of growing interfaces. We find that the persistent long-horizon volatilities satisfy the Family-Viscek dynamic scaling ansatz, whereas the mean-reverting in time short horizon volatilities obey the generalized scaling law with continuously varying scaling exponents. Furthermore we find that the crossover from antipersistent to persistent behavior is accompanied by a change in the type of volatility distribution. These phenomena are attributed to the complex avalanche dynamics of crude oil markets and so a similar behavior may be observed in a wide variety of physical systems governed by avalanche dynamics.

Journal Article↗