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P M Rothwell

Publications and source records attributed to P M Rothwell.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Systematic review of the risks of carotid endarterectomy in relation to the clinical indication for and timing of surgery.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Reliable data on the risk of carotid endarterectomy (CEA) in relation to clinical indication and timing of surgery are necessary to target CEA more effectively, to inform patients, to adjust risks for case mix, and to understand the mechanisms of operative stroke. METHODS: We performed a systematic review of all studies published from 1980 to 2000 inclusive that reported the risk of stroke and death resulting from CEA. Pooled estimates of risk by type of presenting ischemic event and time since the last event were obtained by Mantel-Haenszel meta-analysis. RESULTS: Of 383 published studies, only 103 stratified risk by indication. Although the operative risk for symptomatic stenosis overall was higher than for asymptomatic stenosis (odds ratio [OR], 1.62; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.45 to 1.81; P<0.00001; 59 studies), risk in patients with ocular events only tended to be lower than for asymptomatic stenosis (OR, 0.75, 95% CI, 0.50 to 1.14; 15 studies). Operative risk was the same for stroke and cerebral transient ischemic attack (OR, 1.16; 95% CI, 0.99 to 1.35; P=0.08; 23 studies) but higher for cerebral transient ischemic attack than for ocular events only (OR, 2.31; 95% CI, 1.72 to 3.12; P<0.00001; 19 studies) and for CEA for restenosis than primary surgery (OR, 1.95; 95% CI, 1.21 to 3.16; P=0.018; 6 studies). Urgent CEA for evolving symptoms had a much higher risk (19.2%, 95% CI, 10.7 to 27.8) than CEA for stable symptoms (OR, 3.9; 95% CI, 2.7 to 5.7; P<0.001; 13 studies), but there was no difference between early (<3 to 6 weeks) and late (>3 to 6 weeks) CEA for stroke in stable patients (OR, 1.13; 95% CI, 0.79 to 1.62; P=0.62; 11 studies). All observations were highly consistent across studies. CONCLUSIONS: Risk of stroke and death resulting from CEA is highly dependent on the clinical indication. Audits of risk should be stratified accordingly, and patients should be informed of the risk that relates to their presenting event.

Carotid Stenosis↗

Very early risk of stroke after a first transient ischemic attack.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The commonly quoted early risks of stroke after a first transient ischemic attack (TIA)-1% to 2% at 7 days and 2% to 4% at 1 month-are likely to be underestimates because of the delay before inclusion into previous studies and the exclusion of patients who had a stroke during this time. Therefore, it is uncertain how urgently TIA patients should be assessed. We used data from the Oxford Community Stroke Project (OCSP) to estimate the very early stroke risk after a TIA and investigated the potential effects of the delays before specialist assessment. METHODS: All OCSP patients who had a first-ever definite TIA during the study period (n=209) were included. Three analyses were used to estimate the early stroke risk after a first TIA starting from 3 different dates: assessment by a neurologist, referral to the TIA service, and onset of first TIA. RESULTS: The stroke risk from assessment by a neurologist was 1.9% [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.1 to 3.8] at 7 days and 4.4% (95% CI, 1.6 to 7.2) at 30 days. The 7- and 30-day stroke risks from referral were 2.4% (95% CI, 0.3 to 4.5) and 4.9% (95% CI, 1.9 to 7.8), respectively, and from onset of first-ever TIA were 8.6% (95% CI, 4.8 to 12.4) and 12.0% (95% CI, 7.6 to 16.4), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The early risk of stroke from date of first-ever TIA is likely to be higher than commonly quoted. Public education about the symptoms of TIA is needed so that medical attention is sought more urgently and stroke prevention strategies are implemented sooner.

Aged↗

Differences in vascular risk factors between etiological subtypes of ischemic stroke: importance of population-based studies.

BACKGROUND: To understand the mechanisms of stroke and to target prevention, we need to know how risk factors differ between etiological subtypes. Hospital-based studies may be biased because not all stroke patients are admitted. If risk factors differ between patients who are admitted and those who are not, then case-control studies will be biased. If the likelihood of admission also depends on stroke subtype, then case-case comparisons may also be biased. METHODS: We compared risk factors and ischemic stroke subtypes (TOAST classification) in hospitalized and nonhospitalized patients in 2 population-based stroke incidence studies: the Oxford Vascular Study (OXVASC) and Oxfordshire Community Stroke Project (OCSP). We also performed a meta-analysis of risk factor-stroke subtype associations with other published population-based studies. RESULTS: In OXVASC and OCSP, stroke subtypes differed between hospitalized (293 of 647) and nonhospitalized patients (P<0.0001), with more cardioembolic strokes (odds ratio [OR], 1.8; 95% CI, 1.3 to 2.6) and fewer lacunar strokes (OR, 0.4; 95% CI, 0.3 to 0.7). Premorbid blood pressure and cholesterol were higher in hospitalized patients (both P<0.0001). Risk factor-stroke subtype associations in hospitalized patients were consequently biased (P=0.001). Meta-analysis of data from all patients in OXVASC, OCSP, and 2 other studies demonstrated consistent risk factor-stroke subtype associations. However, contrary to previous hospital-based studies, there was only a weak (OR, 1.4; 95% CI, 1.1 to 1.8) and inconsistent (P(heterogeneity)=0.01) association between small-vessel stroke and hypertension and no association with diabetes (OR, 1.0; 95% CI, 0.7 to 1.3). CONCLUSIONS: Prevalences of risk factors and stroke subtypes differ between hospitalized and nonhospitalized patients with ischemic stroke, which may bias hospital-based risk factor studies. Meta-analysis of population-based studies suggests that vascular risk factors differ between stroke subtypes.

Age Distribution↗

Analysis of pooled data from the randomised controlled trials of endarterectomy for symptomatic carotid stenosis.

BACKGROUND: Endarterectomy reduces risk of stroke in certain patients with recently symptomatic internal carotid stenosis. However, investigators have made different recommendations about the degree of stenosis above which surgery is effective, partly because of differences between trials in the methods of measurement of stenosis. To accurately assess the overall effect of surgery, and to increase power for secondary analyses, we pooled trial data and reassessed carotid angiograms. METHODS: We pooled data from the European Carotid Surgery Trial (ECST), North American Symptomatic Carotid Endarterectomy Trial, and Veterans Affairs trial 309 from the original electronic data files. Outcome events were re-defined, if necessary, to achieve comparability. Pre-randomisation carotid angiograms from ECST were re-measured by the method used in the other two trials. RESULTS: Risks of main outcomes in both treatment groups and effects of surgery did not differ between trials. Data for 6092 patients, with 35000 patient-years of follow-up, were therefore pooled. Surgery increased the 5-year risk of ipsilateral ischaemic stroke in patients with less than 30% stenosis (n=1746, absolute risk reduction -2.2%, p=0.05), had no effect in patients with 30-49% stenosis (1429, 3.2%, p=0.6), was of marginal benefit in those with 50-69% stenosis (1549, 4.6%, p=0.04), and was highly beneficial in those with 70% stenosis or greater without near-occlusion (1095, 16.0%, p<0.001). There was a trend towards benefit from surgery in patients with near-occlusion at 2 years' follow-up (262, 5.6%, p=0.19), but no benefit at 5 years (-1.7%, p=0.9). INTERPRETATION: Re-analysis of the trials with the same measurements and definitions yielded highly consistent results. Surgery is of some benefit for patients with 50-69% symptomatic stenosis, and highly beneficial for those with 70% symptomatic stenosis or greater but without near-occlusion. Benefit in patients with carotid near-occlusion is marginal in the short-term and uncertain in the long-term.

Aged↗

A systematic review of outcomes following staged and synchronous carotid endarterectomy and coronary artery bypass.

OBJECTIVES: to determine the overall cardiovascular risk for patients with combined cardiac and carotid artery disease undergoing synchronous coronary artery bypass (CABG) and carotid endarterectomy (CEA), staged CEA then CABG and reverse staged CABG then CEA. DESIGN: systematic review of 97 published studies following 8972 staged or synchronous operations. RESULTS: mortality was highest in patients undergoing synchronous CEA+CABG (4.6%, 95% CI 4.1-5.2). Reverse staged procedures (CABG-CEA) were associated with the highest risk of ipsilateral stroke (5.8%, 95% CI 0.0-14.3) and any stroke (6.3%, 95% CI 1.0-11.7). Peri-operative myocardial infarction (MI) was lowest following the reverse staged procedure (0.9%, 95% CI 0.5-1.4) and highest in patients undergoing staged CEA-CABG (6.5%, 95% CI 3.2-9.7). The risk of death+/-any stroke was highest in patients undergoing synchronous CEA+CABG (8.7%, 95% CI 7.7-9.8) and lowest following staged CEA-CABG (6.1%, 95% CI 2.9-9.3). The risk of death/stroke or MI was 11.5% (95% CI 10.1-12.9) following synchronous procedures versus 10.2% (95% CI 7.4-13.1) after staged CEA then CABG. CONCLUSIONS: 10-12% of patients undergoing staged or synchronous procedures suffered death or major cardiovascular morbidity (stroke, MI) within 30 days of surgery. Overall, there was no significant difference in outcomes for staged and synchronous procedures and no comparable data for patients with combined cardiac and carotid disease not undergoing staged or synchronous surgery.

Carotid Stenosis↗

Overview of the principal results and secondary analyses from the European and North American randomised trials of endarterectomy for symptomatic carotid stenosis.

OBJECTIVES: Review of the primary results and secondary analyses from the European Carotid Surgery Trial (ECST) and the North American Symptomatic Carotid Endarterectomy Trial (NASCET). DESIGN: Review of 48 ECST and NASCET papers. RESULTS: The simple assumption that all patients with a symptomatic stenosis >70% benefit from CEA is untenable. Approximately 70-75% will not have a stroke if treated medically. The ECST and NASCET have identified subgroups that should have expedited investigation and surgery (male sex, age >75 years, 90-99% stenosis, irregular plaque, hemispheric symptoms, recurrent events for >6 months, contralateral occlusion, multiple co-morbidity). Accordingly development of local protocols for patient selection/exclusion should involve surgeons and physicians and take account of the local operative risk. The ECST and NASCET have also shown that the ubiquitous "string sign" is not associated with a high risk of stroke, and emergency CEA is unnecessary. CONCLUSIONS: Surgeons must quote their own results and be aware that a high operative risk reduces long-term benefit. Accordingly, in those centres with a higher operative death/stroke rate, some "lower risk" patients should probably be considered for best medical therapy alone. It is hoped that pooling of the ECST and NASCET databases will enable more definitive guidelines to be developed regarding who benefits most from CEA.

Aged↗

Long term risks of stroke, myocardial infarction, and vascular death in "low risk" patients with a non-recent transient ischaemic attack.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies of prognosis after a transient ischaemic attack (TIA) have recruited patients soon after the event, when the risk of stroke is very high. However, the majority of patients survive for many years after a TIA, and the need for continued preventive treatment to lower vascular risk will need to be reassessed at a later date. OBJECTIVE: To determine the long term risks of stroke and other vascular events in patients with TIA who survive the initial high risk period. METHODS: 290 patients were studied who had initially been followed up after a TIA in the Oxford community stroke project and in a contemporaneous hospital based cohort study, and who were alive and stroke-free at the end of planned follow up in 1988. All patients were followed for a further 10 years, and the risks of major vascular events (stroke, myocardial infarction, vascular death) were determined. Standardised mortality ratios (SMR) were calculated from the observed numbers of fatal events and the number expected on the basis of age and sex in the general population. RESULTS: Median time since last TIA was 3.8 years (interquartile range, 2.2 to 5.8 years). The risk of major vascular events was constant through time. The 10 year risk of first stroke was 18.8% (95% confidence interval (CI), 13.6 to 23.7; 45 events). The 10 year risk of myocardial infarction or death from coronary heart disease was 27.8% (95% CI, 21.8 to 33.3; 67 events) and there was a significant excess of fatal coronary events compared with that expected in the general population (SMR = 1.47; 95% CI, 1.10 to 1.93; p = 0.009). A total of 114 patients had at least one major vascular event, with a 10 year risk of any first stroke, myocardial infarction, or vascular death of 42.8% (95% CI, 36.4 to 48.5). CONCLUSIONS: The overall risk of major vascular events remains high for 10 to 15 years after a TIA. It is important therefore that preventive treatments are continued in the long term, even in apparently "low risk" patients who have already survived free of stroke for several years.

Adult↗

The 12 year prognosis of unilateral functional weakness and sensory disturbance.

BACKGROUND: Although the symptoms of unilateral "medically unexplained" or "functional" weakness and sensory disturbance present commonly to neurologists, little is known about their long term prognosis. OBJECTIVE: To determine the long term outcome of functional weakness and sensory disturbance. PATIENTS: A previously assembled cohort of 60 patients seen as inpatients by consultant neurologists in Edinburgh between 1985 and 1992 and diagnosed as having unilateral functional weakness or sensory disturbance. METHODS: Current symptoms, disability, and distress were assessed by postal questionnaire to the patients and their family doctors. RESULTS: Follow up data relating to mortality were obtained in 56 patients (93%) and to current diagnosis in 48 patients (80%). Patient questionnaire data were obtained in 42 patients (70%). The median duration of follow up was 12.5 years (range 9 to 16). Thirty five of the 42 patients (83%) still reported weakness or sensory symptoms, and the majority reported limitation of physical function, distress, and multiple other somatic symptoms. Twenty nine per cent had taken medical retirement. An examination of baseline predictors indicated that patients who had sensory symptoms had better functioning at follow up than those who had weakness. Only one patient had developed a neurological disorder which, in hindsight, explained the original presentation. Another patient had died of unrelated causes. CONCLUSIONS: Many patients assessed by neurologists with unilateral functional weakness and sensory symptoms as inpatients remain symptomatic, distressed, and disabled as long as 12 years after the original diagnosis. These symptoms are only rarely explained by the subsequent development of a recognisable neurological disorder in the long term.

Adult↗

Abnormalities on diffusion weighted magnetic resonance imaging performed several weeks after a minor stroke or transient ischaemic attack.

OBJECTIVES: Diffusion weighted brain imaging (DWI) is used in acute stroke, and also shows an acute ischaemic lesion in most transient ischamic attack (TIA) patients scanned acutely. However, it may also be useful in identifying subacute ischaemic lesions in patients with minor stroke or TIA who present several weeks after symptom onset. This study investigated the sensitivity and the observer reproducibility of DWI in cerebral TIA and minor ischaemic stroke patients scanned more than two weeks after the last symptomatic event. METHODS: Consecutive patients underwent magnetic resonance imaging (T2, DWI, ADC). The presence of clinically appropriate lesions was assessed by two independent observers, and related to the type of presenting event, the NIH score, persistence of symptoms and signs, and the time since the presenting event. RESULTS: 101 patients (53 men) were scanned at a median time of 21 days (IQR=17-28) after symptom onset. Reproducibility of the assessment of DWI abnormalities was high: interobserver agreement =97% (kappa=0.94, p<0.0001); intraobserver agreement =94% (kappa=0.88, p<0.0001). DWI showed a clinically appropriate ischaemic lesion in 29 of 51 (57%) minor stroke patients, and in 7 of 50 (14%) TIA patients. The independent predictors of a positive DWI scan were presentation with minor stroke versus TIA (p=0.009) and increasing NIH score (p=0.009), but there was no difference between patients presenting 2-4 weeks compared with >4 weeks after symptom onset. In minor stroke patients, the presence of a clinically appropriate lesion was associated with persistent symptoms (63% versus 36%; p=0.12) and signs (64% versus 33%, p=0.06) at the time of scanning. CONCLUSIONS: DWI shows a clinically appropriate ischaemic lesion in more than half of minor stroke patients presenting more than two weeks after the symptomatic event, but only in a small proportion of patients with TIA. The persistence of lesions on DWI is closely related to markers of severity of the ischaemic event. These results justify larger studies of the clinical usefulness of DWI in subacute minor stroke.

Acute Disease↗

Evidence of underdiagnosis of myasthenia gravis in older people.

BACKGROUND: Myasthenia gravis is a potentially serious but treatable muscle disease caused by autoantibodies directed at the acetylcholine receptor (AChR) on the postsynaptic membrane of the neuromuscular junction. There is anecdotal evidence that the diagnosis is sometimes missed in older patients. OBJECTIVE: To examine the incidence and age distribution of positive AChR antibodies in samples referred to diagnostic laboratories in the UK, and the prevalence of positive AChR antibodies in samples from a cohort of older individuals. METHODS: Positive AChR antibody tests were identified from all UK centres registered for the assay with the European quality assurance scheme (EQAS) during 1997-99, and the age and sex specific incidence was calculated, based on the UK population. The prevalence of AChR antibodies in sera from a sample of 2000 individuals aged > or =60 years was determined. RESULTS: 3183 individuals had positive AChR antibody tests on routine screening during the years 1997 to 1999 in the UK, giving an annual incidence of 1.8/100 000. In both sexes, the age specific incidence rose steeply between the ages of 45 and 74, reaching 9.9/100 000 in men, and then fell, with a sharp decline above the age of 80. In the prevalence study, whereas only one serum from individuals aged 60-74 years was positive for AChR antibodies (0.12%), sera from eight individuals aged > or =75 years were positive (0.7%). Only one had a previous clinical diagnosis of myasthenia gravis but four others had histories of stroke or transient ischaemic attacks. CONCLUSIONS: The sharp fall in the incidence of clinically recognised myasthenia gravis in people over 80 years of age in our national AChR antibody incidence study, and the high prevalence of previously unrecognised positive AChR antibodies in those > or =75 years old, suggest that myasthenia gravis may be substantially underdiagnosed in older people.

Aged↗

Reanalysis of the final results of the European Carotid Surgery Trial.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The European Carotid Surgery Trial (ECST) and North American Symptomatic Carotid Endarterectomy Trial (NASCET) have shown that endarterectomy reduces the risk of stroke in certain patients with recently symptomatic carotid stenosis. However, they differed in the degree of stenosis above which surgery was reported to be effective. This disparity has led to inconsistent clinical recommendations but may have been due to differences between the trials in the methods of measurement of carotid stenosis and definitions of outcome events. METHODS: To allow direct comparison of analyses from ECST and NASCET, we remeasured the prerandomization ECST carotid angiograms and redefined the outcome events the same way as in NASCET. RESULTS: We randomized 3018 patients and followed them up for a mean of 73 months. Surgery reduced the 5-year risk of any stroke or surgical death by 5.7% (95% CI, 0 to 11.6) in patients with 50% to 69% stenosis (n=646, P=0.05) and by 21.2% (95% CI, 12.9 to 29.4) in patients with 70% to 99% stenosis without "near occlusion" (n=429, P<0.0001). These benefits were maintained at the 10-year follow-up. However, surgery was of no benefit in patients (n=125) with near occlusion. The effect of surgery in this group was highly significantly different from that in patients with 70% to 99% stenosis without near occlusion (P=0.002). Surgery was harmful in patients with <30% stenosis (n=1321, P=0.007) and of no benefit in patients with 30% to 49% stenosis (n=478, P=0.6). CONCLUSIONS: Results of the ECST and NASCET were consistent when analyzed in the same way. In ECST, surgery was highly beneficial for 70% to 99% stenosis and moderately beneficial for 50% to 69% stenosis. However, contrary to clinical recommendations and current practice, surgery was of little benefit in patients with carotid near occlusion.

Aged↗

Clinical and radiographic risk factors for operative stroke and death in the European carotid surgery trial.

OBJECTIVES: carotid endarterectomy is associated with significant morbidity and mortality. A better understanding of the relationships between baseline characteristics and outcome may help to reduce the risks of surgery. In order to make accurate and unbiased estimates of surgical risk it is important to study cohorts of patients that were established prospectively, where independent physicians assessed outcome, and where the decision to analyse and report the results was not data-dependent. The surgical arm of the European Carotid Surgery Trial (ECST) is such a cohort. METHODS: the 30-day outcome of carotid endarterectomy was analysed in ECST surgery patients in relation to their baseline clinical and angiographic characteristics. The severity of operative strokes was compared with that of strokes that occurred in the medical group. RESULTS: 1729 patients underwent trial surgery. There were 17 deaths (1.0%, 95% CI=0.6-1.6) and 105 non-fatal major strokes (6.1%, 95% CI=5.0-7.3) within 30 days of surgery. The risk of major stroke or death was 7.1% (95% CI=5.9-8.4). The risk of disabling or fatal stroke was 3.0% (95% CI=2.1-3.8). The ratio of disabling to non-disabling operative strokes was similar to that in the medical group. Several baseline characteristics predicted the operative risk of stroke and death in univariate analyses, but only four were independent risk factors in a multiple regression analysis: presentation with cerebral TIA vs ocular ischaemic events only (HR=2.99, 95% CI=1.33-6.69, p=0.008); female sex (HR=2.04, 95% CI=1.37--3.06, p=0.001); systolic hypertension (HR=1.01 per 10 mmHg, 95% CI=1.00-1.02, p=0.03) and peripheral vascular disease (HR=2.17, 95% CI=1.17-2.89, p=0.001). CONCLUSIONS: the operative risk of stroke and death in the ECST was comparable with other prospective studies and trials in which patients were assessed postoperatively by both a physician and a surgeon. Case fatality and disability after operative stroke are similar to strokes that occur on medical treatment only. Several baseline patient characteristics predict surgical risk and it may be possible to use these characteristics to aid patient selection and surgical audit.

Aged↗

Variation in surgical and anaesthetic technique and associations with operative risk in the European carotid surgery trial: implications for trials of ancillary techniques.

OBJECTIVES: several ancillary surgical techniques, such as shunting and patching, are used in association with carotid endarterectomy. However, the balance of risks and benefits of these techniques is uncertain because of the lack of large randomised controlled trials (RCTs). To assess the potential for further trials, we studied the variation in use of these techniques by surgeon and by country in the European Carotid Surgery Trial (ECST). METHODS: use of each ancillary technique was assessed by surgeon and by country. For each technique, the relationships between the use of the technique and baseline patient characteristics, use of other techniques, and the 30-day operative risk of stroke and death were determined. RESULTS: there was considerable variation between surgeons in the use of ancillary operative techniques both within (p<0.001 for shunting and patching), and between countries (p<0.001 for shunting and patching). Some surgeons used techniques selectively, and so the characteristics of patients differed depending on which techniques were used. Use of each technique was also significantly associated with the use of other techniques. Multiple regression analysis, taking into account all these factors, found no statistically significant associations between operative risk and the use of shunting, patching, intra-operative EEG monitoring, or type of anaesthetic. The only surgical technique significantly associated with an increased operative risk was not using intra-operative anticoagulation (hazard ratio=2.33, 95% CI=1.4-4.2). Other factors associated with an increased risk were an operation time of less than 1 h, or greater than 1.5 h, and the surgeons' subjective assessment that the operation was difficult. CONCLUSIONS: in the ECST, operative risk was more closely related to patient characteristics, length of surgery, and the surgeons' perception of the difficulty of the operation, than to the use of particular ancillary operative techniques. The considerable variation between surgeons, and between countries, in the use of ancillary techniques is in keeping with the lack of convincing data from RCTs, and suggests that there should be sufficient uncertainty to make large pragmatic trials possible.

Aged↗

Carotid artery disease and stroke during coronary artery bypass: a critical review of the literature.

OBJECTIVES: to determine the role of carotid artery disease in the pathophysiology of stroke after coronary artery bypass (CABG). DESIGN: systematic review of the literature. RESULTS: the risk of stroke after CABG was 2% and remained unchanged between 1970-2000. Two-thirds occurred after day 1 and 23% died. 91% of screened CABG patients had no significant carotid disease and had a <2% risk of peri-operative stroke. Stroke risk increased to 3% in predominantly asymptomatic patients with a unilateral 50-99% stenosis, 5% in those with bilateral 50-99% stenoses and 7-11% in patients with carotid occlusion. Significant predictive factors for post-CABG stroke included; (i) carotid bruit (OR 3.6, 95% CI 2.8-4.6), (ii) prior stroke/TIA (OR 3.6, 95% CI 2.7-4.9) and (iii) severe carotid stenosis/occlusion (OR 4.3, 95% CI 3.2-5.7). However, the systematic review indicated that 50% of stroke sufferers did not have significant carotid disease and 60% of territorial infarctions on CT scan/autopsy could not be attributed to carotid disease alone. CONCLUSIONS: carotid disease is an important aetiological factor in the pathophysiology of post-CABG stroke. However, even assuming that prophylactic carotid endarterectomy carried no additional risk, it could only ever prevent about 40-50% of procedural strokes.

Carotid Artery Diseases↗

Transient ischaemic attacks mimicking focal motor seizures.

Limb shaking is an under-recognised form of transient ischaemic attack (TIA), which can easily be confused with focal motor seizures. However, it is important to distinguish limb shaking TIAs and focal seizures, as patients with this form of TIA almost invariably have severe carotid occlusive disease and are at high risk of stroke. A patient with limb shaking TIAs is presented in whom the diagnosis was missed.

Carotid Stenosis↗

Long-term durability of carotid endarterectomy for symptomatic stenosis and risk factors for late postoperative stroke.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Carotid endarterectomy (CEA) reduces the risk of stroke ipsilateral to recently symptomatic severe carotid stenosis. Other techniques such as percutaneous transluminal angioplasty with stenting are currently being compared with CEA. Thus far, case series and several small, randomized, controlled trials of CEA versus percutaneous transluminal angioplasty (with and without stenting) have focused primarily on the 30-day procedural risks of stroke and death. However, long-term durability is also important. To determine the long-term risk of stroke after CEA and to identify risk factors, we studied patients in the European Carotid Study Trial (ECST), the largest published cohort with long-term follow-up by physicians after CEA. METHODS: Risks of ipsilateral carotid territory ischemic stroke were calculated by Kaplan-Meier analysis starting on the 30th day after CEA in 1728 patients who underwent trial surgery. Risk factors were determined by Cox regression. For comparison, we also determined the "background" risk of stroke on medical treatment in the ECST in the territory of 558 previously asymptomatic contralateral carotid arteries with <30% angiographic stenosis (ECST method) at randomization. RESULTS: The risks of disabling ipsilateral ischemic stroke and any ipsilateral ischemic stroke were constant after CEA, reaching 4.4% [95% confidence interval (CI), 3.0 to 5.8] and 9.7% (95% CI, 7.6 to 11.7), respectively, by 10 years. The equivalent ischemic stroke risks distal to contralateral <30% asymptomatic carotid stenoses were 1.9% (95% CI, 0.8 to 3.2) and 4.5% (95% CI, 1.5 to 7.4). Presentation with cerebral symptoms, diabetes, elevated systolic blood pressure, smoking, male sex, increasing age, and a lesser severity of preoperative stenosis were associated with an increased risk of late stroke after CEA, but plaque morphology and patch grafting were not. CONCLUSIONS: Although the risk of late ipsilateral ischemic stroke after CEA for symptomatic stenosis is approximately double the background risk in the territory of <30% asymptomatic stenosis, it is still only approximately 1% per year and remains low for at least 10 years after CEA. This is the standard against which alternative treatments should be judged. Several risk factors may be useful in identifying patients at particularly high risk of late postoperative stroke.

Carotid Stenosis↗