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Paulo H M Chaves

Publications and source records attributed to Paulo H M Chaves.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in community-dwelling elderly individuals with calcification of the fibrous skeleton of the base of the heart and aortosclerosis (The Cardiovascular Health Study).

In the elderly, mitral annular calcification (MAC) and aortic valve sclerosis (AVS) are associated with increased cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. Aortic annular calcification (AAC) commonly occurs with MAC. However, the prognostic value of AAC, singly or in combination with MAC and AVS, for incident cardiovascular disease and mortality is unknown. From the Cardiovascular Health Study, we analyzed 3,782 participants (76 +/- 5 years of age, 60% women) who had an echocardiogram at the 1994 to 1995 examination and who were prospectively followed for an average of 6.6 years (range 0.01 to 8.5). All 3 calcification categories were associated with incident congestive heart failure (MAC: hazard ratio [HR] 1.71, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.35 to 2.18, AAC: HR 1.62, 95% CI 1.28 to 2.06, and AVS: HR 1.50, 95% CI 1.19 to 1.89) and death. A stronger association with incident cardiovascular disease and mortality was observed with a larger number of calcification categories and with increased MAC severity. Moreover, in the participants with prevalent cardiovascular disease at echocardiographic examination (n = 1,054), MAC and AAC were still associated with cardiovascular mortality (MAC: HR 1.91, 95% CI 1.04 to 3.50; AAC: HR 2.11, 95% CI 1.16 to 3.85) even in fully adjusted models. In conclusion, MAC, AAC, and AVS are associated with a significant risk of incident congestive heart failure, cardiovascular and all-cause mortalities, and worse outcome in older patients with preexisting cardiovascular disease. Elderly patients with these findings represent a high-risk group and may require close medical attention.

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Clinical significance of calcification of the fibrous skeleton of the heart and aortosclerosis in community dwelling elderly. The Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS).

BACKGROUND: Mitral annular calcification (MAC), aortic annular calcification (AAC), and aortic valve sclerosis (AVS) are associated with aging, and MAC and AVS are markers of advanced atherosclerosis. No studies have examined the prevalence and the clinical relevance of all 3 forms of calcification in a single free-living elderly population. METHODS: We used 2-dimensional echocardiography to evaluate MAC, AAC, AVS and all 3 combined in 3929 participants, mean age 76 +/- 5 years, 60% women, in the Cardiovascular Health Study, a prospective community-based observational study designed to assess cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors and outcomes in elderly persons. RESULTS: Mitral annular calcification was found in 1640 (42 %) subjects, AAC in 1710 (44 %), AVS in 2114 (54 %), and all 3 combined in 662 (17 %). The participants with these findings were older than those without them, and those with MAC had worse cardiovascular, renal, metabolic, and functional profile than those with AAC and AVS. Age-, sex-, and race-adjusted logistic regression analysis found a significant association between the 3 calcification categories and CVD, the strongest being between the combined group with congestive heart failure (odds ratio 2.04, 95% CI 1.34-3.09). In highly adjusted models, only MAC was associated with CVD, and the strength of association was related to the severity of MAC. CONCLUSIONS: In free-living elderly, MAC, AAC, and AVS are highly prevalent and are associated with CVD. Mitral annular calcification in particular has strong association with CVD, and with an adverse biomedical profile.

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Association between mild anemia and executive function impairment in community-dwelling older women: The Women's Health and Aging Study II.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the relationship between mild anemia and executive function in community-dwelling older women. DESIGN: Cross-sectional. SETTING: Community-based. PARTICIPANTS: High-functioning subjects participating in the baseline assessment of the Women's Health and Aging Study (WHAS) II, Baltimore, Maryland, 1994 to 1996. WHAS II eligibility criteria included aged 70 to 80, a Mini-Mental State Examination score of 24 or greater, and absence of advanced disability (difficulty in no more than 1 domain of physical function). Included in this study were 364 subjects with a hemoglobin concentration 10 g/dL or greater and known executive function status. MEASUREMENTS: Trail Making Test (TMT) Parts B and A. Tertiles of time to complete each test were used to define best (bottom), intermediate, and worst (top) performance. Tertiles of the difference TMT-B minus TMT-A were calculated. Anemia defined as hemoglobin concentration less than 12 g/dL. RESULTS: The percentage of subjects in the worst TMT-B, TMT-A, and TMT-B minus TMT-A performance tertile was highest for those with anemia. Prevalent anemia substantially increased the likelihood of performing worst (as opposed to best) on the TMT-B (odds ratio (OR) = 5.2, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.3-20.5), TMT-A (OR = 4.8, 95% CI = 1.5-15.6), and TMT-B minus TMT-A (OR = 4.2, 95% CI = 1.0-17.2), even after controlling for age, education, race, prevalent diseases, and relevant physiological and functional parameters. CONCLUSION: This study provides preliminary evidence in support of the hypothesis that mild anemia might be an independent risk factor for executive function impairment in community-dwelling older adults. Whether such an association is causal or noncausal remains to be determined.

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Association between reduced heart rate variability and cognitive impairment in older disabled women in the community: Women's Health and Aging Study I.

OBJECTIVES: To examine the independent association between heart rate variability (HRV), a marker of cardiac autonomic function, and cognitive impairment. DESIGN: Cross-sectional analysis of baseline data from Women's Health and Aging Study I. SETTING: Urban community in Baltimore, Maryland. PARTICIPANTS: A subset of 311 physically disabled, community-dwelling women aged 65 and older whose HRV data were obtained. MEASUREMENTS: Reduced HRV was defined as the lowest quartile of each of several HRV measures exploring time and frequency domains and compared with the remaining three quartiles. Cognitive impairment was defined as a Mini-Mental State Examination score less than 24. Multiple logistic regression was used to model the independent relationship between reduced HRV and prevalent cognitive impairment. RESULTS: The age-, education-, and race-adjusted prevalence of cognitive impairment was higher in those with reduced HRV than in those with nonreduced HRV. After adjusting for relevant demographic and clinical characteristics, participants with reduced HRV were significantly more likely than those with nonreduced HRV to have cognitive impairment; these findings were consistent across different HRV indices. In particular, reduced high-frequency power, indicative of decreased parasympathetic activity, was associated with 6.7 times greater odds of cognitive impairment (95% confidence interval = 2.27-20.0). CONCLUSION: Cardiac autonomic dysfunction, particularly decreased parasympathetic activity, was independently associated with cognitive impairment in older disabled women in the community. This finding may improve understanding of the pathophysiological basis of cognitive impairment. The potential role of HRV as a cause or consequence of cognitive impairment needs to be elucidated in future studies.

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Frequency of going outdoors as a good predictors for incident disability of physical function as well as disability recovery in community-dwelling older adults in rural Japan.

BACKGROUND: The clinico-epidemiologic relevance of the reduction in the frequency of going outdoors in older adults has not been well characterized. This study examined whether the frequency of going outdoors has predictive values for incident physical disability and recovery among community-dwelling elderly. METHODS: One thousand, two hundred and sixty-seven persons aged 65+ years who lived in a rural community in Niigata, Japan, and participated in the baseline survey were assessed again 2 years later in terms of mobility, and instrumental and basic activities of daily living (IADL and BADL). We compared the incident disability and recovery at follow-up among three subgroups classified by the baseline frequency of going outdoors: once a day or more often, once per 2-3 days, and once a week or less often. Multivariate analyses tested associations between the frequency of going outdoors and functional transition, independent of potential confounders. RESULTS: A lower frequency of going outdoors at baseline was associated with a greater incident disability, and a lower recovery at the two-year follow-up. Even after adjustment, the effects of going outdoors remained significant. Adjusted risks of incident mobility and IADL disabilities were significantly higher (odds ratio[OR]=4.02, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.77-9.14 and OR=2.65, 95% CI: 1.06-6.58), respectively, and recovery from mobility disability was significantly lower (OR=0.29, 95% CI: 0.08-0.99) for "once a week or less often" subgroup compared with "once a day or more often" subgroup. CONCLUSION: The frequency of going outdoors is a good predictor for incident physical disability and recovery among community-living elderly. Public health nurses and clinicians should pay more attention how often their senior clients usually go outdoors.

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Comparison of mortality risk for electrocardiographic abnormalities in men and women with and without coronary heart disease (from the Cardiovascular Health Study).

Mortality risk associated with electrocardiographic (ECG) abnormalities has been commonly reported to be lower in women than in men. We compared coronary heart disease (CHD) and all-cause mortality risk for ECG variables during a mean 9.1-year follow-up in 4,912 participants in the Cardiovascular Health Study who were > or = 65 years of age. The hypothesis was that mortality risk for ECG abnormalities is not lower in women than in men. Five ECG variables were significant mortality predictors in Cox regression models that were adjusted for demographic, clinical, and medication variables. Gender differences were significant and mortality risk was higher in women for ECG estimates of left ventricular mass for both end points and for nondipolar QRS voltage for all-cause mortality. When evaluated simultaneously in multiple ECG variable risk models in subgroups that were stratified by baseline CHD status, no gender difference was significant. In the latter models, ST depression was a strong predictor of CHD mortality in groups with and without previous CHD. Other significant ECG predictors were previous myocardial infarction in the previous CHD group and nondipolar QRS voltage in the CHD-free group. Four ECG abnormalities were significant predictors of all-cause mortality in the CHD-free group, with risk increases of 18% to 50%. The risk of all-cause mortality in the previous CHD group was significantly increased for ST depression (by 64%), the ECG estimate of left ventricular mass (by 48%), and previous myocardial infarction (by 34%). In conclusion, we found no evidence that the relative risk of mortality for ECG abnormalities is lower in women than in men.

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Kidney function as a predictor of noncardiovascular mortality.

Chronic kidney disease is associated with a higher risk for cardiovascular mortality, as well as all-cause mortality. Whether chronic kidney disease is a predictor of noncardiovascular mortality is less clear. To further explore the latter, the association of kidney function with total noncardiovascular mortality and cause-specific mortality was assessed in the Cardiovascular Health Study, a community-based cohort of older individuals. Kidney disease was assessed using cystatin C and estimated GFR in 4637 participants in 1992 to 1993. Participants were followed until June 30, 2001. Deaths were adjudicated as cardiovascular or noncardiovascular disease by committee, and an underlying cause of death was assigned. The associations of kidney function with total noncardiovascular mortality and cause-specific mortality were analyzed by proportional hazards regression. Noncardiovascular mortality rates increased with higher cystatin C quartiles (16.8, 17.1, 21.6, and 50.0 per 1000 person-years). The association of cystatin C with noncardiovascular mortality persisted after adjustment for demographic factors; the presence of diabetes, C-reactive protein, hemoglobin, and prevalent cardiovascular disease; and measures of atherosclerosis (hazard ratio 1.69; 95% confidence interval 1.33 to 2.15, for the fourth quartile versus the first quartile). Results for estimated GFR were similar. The risk for noncardiac deaths attributed to pulmonary disease, infection, cancer, and other causes was similarly associated with cystatin C levels. Kidney function predicts noncardiovascular mortality from multiple causes in the elderly. Further research is needed to understand the mechanisms and evaluate interventions to reduce the high mortality rate in chronic kidney disease.

Age Factors↗

A prospective study of anemia status, hemoglobin concentration, and mortality in an elderly cohort: the Cardiovascular Health Study.

BACKGROUND: Anemia is viewed as a negative prognostic factor in the elderly population; its independent impact on survival is unclear. METHODS: Baseline hemoglobin quintiles and anemia, as defined by the World Health Organization criteria, were assessed in relation to mortality in the Cardiovascular Health Study, a prospective cohort study with 11.2 years of follow-up of 5888 community-dwelling men and women 65 years or older, enrolled in 1989-1990 or 1992-1993 in 4 US communities. RESULTS: A total of 1205 participants were in the lowest hemoglobin quintile (<13.7 g/dL for men; <12.6 g/dL for women), and 498 (8.5%) were anemic (<13 g/dL for men; <12 g/dL for women). A reverse J-shaped relationship with mortality was observed; age-, sex-, and race-adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence interval [CI]) in the first and fifth quintiles, compared with the fourth quintile, were 1.42 (95% CI, 1.25-1.62) and 1.24 (95% CI, 1.09-1.42). After multivariate adjustment, these hazard ratios were 1.33 (95% CI, 1.15-1.54) and 1.17 (95% CI, 1.01-1.36). The demographic- and fully-adjusted hazard ratios of anemia for mortality were 1.57 (95% CI, 1.38-1.78) and 1.38 (95% CI, 1.19-1.54). Adjustment for causes and consequences of anemia (renal function, inflammation, or frailty) did not reduce associations. CONCLUSIONS: Lower and higher hemoglobin concentrations and anemia by World Health Organization criteria were independently associated with increased mortality. The World Health Organization criteria did not identify risk as well as a lower hemoglobin value. Additional study is needed on the clinically valid definition for and causes of anemia in the elderly and on the increased mortality at the extremes of hemoglobin concentrations.

Age Factors↗

Proinflammatory state and circulating erythropoietin in persons with and without anemia.

PURPOSE: High circulating levels of proinflammatory cytokines cause anemia, perhaps by interacting with erythropoietin production or biological activity. We characterize the relationships of systemic inflammation, erythropoietin, and hemoglobin. METHODS: Data are from the InCHIANTI (Invecchiare in Chianti, aging in the Chianti area) study population. A sample of 1270 persons aged 65 years or older and 30 men and 30 women from each age-decade 20 to 70 years were randomly selected from the residents in the Chianti, Italy, geographic area. Of the 1714 eligible persons, 1235 had complete data on inflammatory markers, erythropoietin, hemoglobin, potential causes of anemia, and other relevant covariates. Anemia was defined as hemoglobin less than 12 g/dL in women and less than 13 g/dL in men. RESULTS: Independent of age, sex, and hemoglobin, the number of elevated inflammatory markers (C-reactive protein, interleukin-6, interleukin-1beta, and tumor necrosis factor-alpha) was associated with progressively higher erythropoietin in non-anemic participants but lower erythropoietin in anemic participants. Findings were consistent across different causes of anemia. The threshold at which the effect of inflammation on erythropoietin reversed was close to 13.0 g/dL of hemoglobin. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that anemia of inflammation evolves from a "pre-anemic" stage characterized by a compensatory increment of erythropoietin that maintains normal hemoglobin levels to a stage of clinically evident anemia in which erythropoietin levels are not high enough to maintain normal hemoglobin, possibly because of the inhibitory effect of inflammation on erythropoietin production. This hypothesis requires testing in a longitudinal study.

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Arterial pulse wave velocity as a marker of poor cognitive function in an elderly community-dwelling population.

BACKGROUND: Knowledge about potentially modifiable risk factors for cognitive decline is limited at this time. The aim of this study was to determine the cross-sectional relationship between a low level of cognitive function and brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV) in a community-dwelling elderly population. METHODS: The study population included 352 community-dwelling Japanese persons ages 70 years and older who participated in a comprehensive health examination in April 2003. None had any history of cardiovascular disease. In addition to conventional medical examinations such as blood pressure and routine blood analyses, cognitive function was tested using the Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE), and baPWV was determined using a recently developed noninvasive and automatic arterial waveform analyzer (AT-Form). This measure, with well-established validity and reproducibility, reflects both central and peripheral arterial flow. A multivariate logistic regression model tested the possible association between poor cognitive function (an MMSE score < 24) and baPWV. RESULTS: Poor cognitive function was independently associated with the middle tertile of baPWV (odds ratio [OR] = 9.66, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.15 to 80.93), age (1-year increment; OR = 1.12, 95% CI = 1.04 to 1.22), and the highest tertile of pulse pressure (OR = 4.70, 95% CI = 1.08 to 20.48) even after multivariate adjustment of data for the effects of age, educational level, and hemodynamic and metabolic antecedents of atherosclerosis. CONCLUSIONS: A high baPWV may be a potent risk factor for poor cognitive function in an elderly community-dwelling population, and this effect is independent of another marker of arterial stiffness: pulse pressure.

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The effect of nandrolone decanoate on bone mineral density, muscle mass, and hemoglobin levels in elderly women with osteoporosis: a double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled clinical trial.

METHODS: In a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled clinical trial, we evaluated the effect of a 2-year treatment with nandrolone decanoate (ND) on bone mineral density (BMD) of lumbar spine, femoral neck, and trochanter and on vertebral fracture rate, muscle mass, and hemoglobin levels. Sixty-five osteoporotic women older than 70 years were studied. Thirty-two patients received injections of 50 mg ND, and 33 received placebos every 3 weeks. All patients received 500 mg calcium tablets daily. RESULTS: Compared to baseline, ND increased the BMD of the lumbar spine (3.4% +/- 6.0 and 3.7% +/- 7.4; p < .05) and femoral neck (4.1% +/- 7.3 and 4.7% +/- 8.0; p < .05) after 1 and 2 years, respectively. The BMD of trochanter increased significantly only after the first year (4.8% +/- 9.3, p < .05). Compared to the placebo group, the ND group presented with significantly increased BMD of the trochanter and neck. ND significantly reduced incidence of new vertebral fractures (21% vs 43% in the placebo group; p < .05). ND showed a significant statistical increase in lean body mass after the first (6.2% +/- 5.8; p < .01) and second years (11.9% +/- 29.2; p < .01). In addition, a 2-year treatment with ND significantly increased hemoglobin levels compared to baseline (14.3%; p < .01) and placebo (p < .01). CONCLUSIONS: ND increased BMD, hemoglobin levels, and muscle mass, and reduced the vertebral fracture rate of elderly osteoporotic women.

Absorptiometry, Photon↗

Impact of anemia and cardiovascular disease on frailty status of community-dwelling older women: the Women's Health and Aging Studies I and II.

BACKGROUND: The physiological basis of the geriatric syndrome of frailty, a clinical state of increased vulnerability to adverse outcomes such as disability and mortality, remains to be better characterized. We examined the cross-sectional relationship between hemoglobin (Hb) and a recently-validated measure of frailty in community-dwelling older women, and whether this relationship was modified by cardiovascular disease (CVD) status. METHODS: Data were pooled from women 70-80 years old participating in the Women's Health and Aging Studies I and II (Baltimore, MD, 1992-1996) with known frailty status and Hb > or = 10 g/dL (n = 670). Logistic regression was used to model the relationship between frailty and Hb, adjusting for demographics, major chronic diseases, and physiologic and functional impairments. RESULTS: Prevalence of frailty was 14%. Frailty risk was highest at the lowest Hb levels, and lowest at mid-normal Hb levels (e.g., 13-14 g/dL). Mildly low and low-normal Hb concentrations were independently associated with frailty. Compared to an Hb concentration equal to 13.5 g/dL, the adjusted odds of being frail were 1.9 (95% confidence interval: 1.1-3.4) and 1.5 (95% confidence interval: 1.0-2.1) times higher for Hb concentrations equal to 11.5 g/dL and 12 g/dL, respectively. A statistically significant (p <.05) multiplicative interaction between Hb level and CVD status with respect to frailty risk was observed. CONCLUSION: In community-dwelling older women, mildly low and low-normal Hb levels were independently associated with increased frailty risk. This risk was synergistically modified by the presence of CVD. These results suggest that mild anemia, and even low-normal Hb levels are independent, potentially modifiable risk factors for frailty in community-dwelling older adults.

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Risk of congestive heart failure in an elderly population treated with peripheral alpha-1 antagonists.

OBJECTIVES: To compare the risk of congestive heart failure (CHF) in elderly individuals treated with any peripheral alpha-1 antagonist for hypertension with any thiazide, test whether the risk persists in subjects without cardiovascular disease (CVD) at baseline, and examine CHF risk in normotensive men with prostatism treated with alpha antagonists. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: Four U.S. sites: Washington County, Maryland; Allegheny County, Pennsylvania; Sacramento County, California; and Forsyth County, North Carolina. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 5,888 community-dwelling subjects aged 65 and older. MEASUREMENTS: Adjudicated incident CHF. RESULTS: The 3,105 participants with treated hypertension were at risk for CHF; 22% of men and 8% of women took alpha antagonists during follow-up. The age-adjusted risk of CHF in those receiving monotherapy treated with alpha antagonists was 1.90 (95% confidence interval=1.03-3.50) compared with thiazides. In subjects without CVD at baseline receiving monotherapy, women taking an alpha antagonist had a 3.6 times greater age-adjusted risk of CHF, whereas men had no difference in risk. Adjustment for systolic blood pressure attenuated statistical differences in risk. There were 930 men without hypertension at risk for CHF; 5% used alpha antagonists during follow-up, with no observed increase in CHF risk. CONCLUSION: Subjects receiving alpha antagonist monotherapy for hypertension had a two to three times greater risk of incident CHF, also seen in lower-risk subjects, but differences in blood pressure control partly explained this.

Adrenergic alpha-Antagonists↗

What constitutes normal hemoglobin concentration in community-dwelling disabled older women?

OBJECTIVES: To examine the associations between hemoglobin (Hb) concentration and (1) 5-year all-cause mortality and (2) serum erythropoietin (EPO), as the basis for the identification of data-driven thresholds, and to assess the clinical relevance of mildly low Hb. DESIGN: Prospective study. SETTING: Population based. PARTICIPANTS: Community-dwelling women aged 65 and older with moderate-to-severe disability--Women's Health and Aging Study I, Baltimore, Maryland, 1992-2000. METHODS: Proportional hazards regression was used to model the relationship between baseline Hb (available for 686 subjects) and time to death. A generalized linear model was used to assess the cross-sectional association between Hb and EPO in 641 subjects. RESULTS: A curvilinear slope of steady mortality decrease up to the Hb threshold of 13.9 g/dL was observed. Hb of 11 g/dL was independently associated with greater mortality than the World Health Organization (WHO) low-normal cutoff of Hb of 12 g/dL (hazard ratio (HR)=1.2, 95% confidence interval (CI)=1.1-1.4), whereas Hb of 14 g/dL was linked to 24% lower mortality (HR=0.76, 95% CI=0.63-0.92), after comprehensive adjustment for major health status and disease-burden indicators. A curvilinear, statistically significant slope of steady EPO decrease with increasing Hb up to the threshold of 14.3 g/dL was consistently observed. CONCLUSION: The meaningfully lower mortality risk with higher Hb levels provides empirical evidence against the notion that Hb currently perceived as mildly low is clinically benign. Furthermore, the mortality risk gradient observed even within the WHO normal Hb range suggests that Hb levels higher than what is currently recommended might offer clinical advantage. The relationship between Hb and EPO provided supporting physiological evidence for this hypothesis.

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Relation of heart rate at rest and mortality in the Women's Health and Aging Study.

Increased heart rate (HR) has been shown to be associated with increased risk of all-cause and heart disease mortality. However, HR as a health indicator in disabled older women has not been closely examined. The purpose of this study is to assess the association between HR and 3-year mortality in disabled older women. HR at rest was measured using the electrocardiogram. Three groups were categorized by baseline HR (beats per minute): (1) <60, (2) 60 to 89, and (3) >/=90. The survival rate over 3 years was examined. For the total population, age-adjusted 3-year mortality was nearly 40% for the HR >/=90 group, compared with <20% mortality in the HR 60 to 89 group. Women with a HR <60 beats/min had similar mortality to those with HRs 60 to 89 beats/min. Among women with no heart disease and normal electrocardiograms, mortality was slightly lower in all groups, but the association of elevated HR with increased mortality remained. In Cox proportional hazard models, after adjustment for age, number of diseases, medications, blood pressure, smoking status, body mass index, ankle-brachial index, activity status, physical performance score, and forced expiratory volume in the first second, there remained a twofold increase in the risk of death for the HR >/=90 group. Subclinical conditions not measured in this study, such as mild heart failure, may be associated with both increased HR and mortality; this may explain the relation. In patients with and without heart disease, further investigation of cardiovascular status may be warranted if their HR is >/=90 beats/min.

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C-reactive protein, carotid intima-media thickness, and incidence of ischemic stroke in the elderly: the Cardiovascular Health Study.

BACKGROUND: Increased carotid artery intima-media thickness (IMT) and elevated C-reactive protein (CRP) are both associated with the occurrence of stroke. We investigated whether elevated CRP is a risk factor for ischemic stroke independent of carotid IMT and studied the interaction between CRP and IMT. METHODS AND RESULTS: We studied 5417 participants aged 65 years or older without preexisting stroke or chronic atrial fibrillation who were participants in the Cardiovascular Health Study. The hazard ratio of incident ischemic stroke was estimated by Cox proportional hazards regression. During 10.2 years of follow-up, 469 incident ischemic strokes occurred. The adjusted hazard ratios for ischemic stroke in the 2nd to 4th quartiles of baseline CRP, relative to the 1st quartile, were 1.19 (95% CI 0.92 to 1.53), 1.05 (95% CI 0.81 to 1.37), and 1.60 (95% CI 1.23 to 2.08), respectively. With additional adjustment for carotid IMT, there was little confounding. The association of CRP with stroke was significantly different depending on IMT (P<0.02), with no association of CRP with stroke among those in the lowest IMT tertile and a significant association among those with higher levels of IMT. CONCLUSIONS: We conclude that elevated CRP is a risk factor for ischemic stroke, independent of atherosclerosis severity as measured by carotid IMT. The association of CRP with stroke is more apparent in the presence of a higher carotid IMT. CRP and carotid IMT may each be independent integrals in determining the risk of ischemic stroke.

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The association between time since last meal and blood pressure in older adults: the cardiovascular health study.

OBJECTIVES: To demonstrate a postprandial hypotensive (PPH) phenomenon in older adults. DESIGN: Observational, prospective cohort study composed of baseline and nine follow-up visits. SETTING: Cardiovascular Health Study, an epidemiological study of risk factors for cardiovascular disease in older adults. PARTICIPANTS: Five thousand eight hundred eighty-eight community-dwelling adults aged 65 and older. MEASUREMENTS: Blood pressure and time since last meal were recorded synchronously at baseline and at follow-up clinic visits. Generalized estimating equations were used to estimate associations between time since last meal and blood pressure and to adjust variance estimates to account for repeated blood pressure measures within subjects across fasting times. RESULTS: Mean systolic and diastolic blood pressures were lower in the first hour after the last meal and were progressively higher through the fourth hour after the last meal than blood pressures measured immediately after the last meal (0 hour: 133.7/68.8 mmHg; 1st hour: 130.1/66.6 mmHg; 4th hour: 136.5/71.1 mmHg). Changes were significant for systolic and diastolic measures (P <.001 for both). Exploratory analyses suggested that the systolic PPH association was more pronounced in women. Little evidence was found that the degree of systolic or diastolic PPH varied by age, race, prevalent cardiovascular disease, heart rate, ejection fraction, treated hypertension or diabetes mellitus, or body mass index. CONCLUSION: These data support previous observations that there is a significant drop in blood pressure within 1 hour after a meal in older adults. Time since last meal may be an important factor to consider when measuring blood pressure in older adults, and perhaps national standards need to be set.

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Hormone replacement therapy and the risk of incident congestive heart failure: the Cardiovascular Health Study.

BACKGROUND: The development of congestive heart failure (CHF) in older persons is related to a variety of mechanisms. Hormone replacement therapy (HRT) affects several of the pathways that may be important in the development of CHF. We hypothesized that HRT would be associated with a decreased risk of incident CHF. METHODS: Using Cox proportional-hazards regression, we assessed the risk of incident CHF (n = 304) associated with time-dependent past and current use of HRT compared to never use. The Cardiovascular Health Study is a prospective cohort study of community-dwelling adults aged 65 years and older. This analysis included female participants without a history of CHF at baseline (n = 3223). RESULTS: At baseline, 62% were never users, 26% were past users, and 12% were current users of HRT. Compared with never users, the multivariable relative risk (RR) of CHF was 1.01 (95% confidence interval [95% CI] 0.76,1.34) for past users and 1.34 (0.93,1.94) for current users. Results were similar among most treatment and clinical subgroups, except that the association of current HRT with CHF appeared to depend on body mass index (BMI) or osteoporosis status. The RR was 0.82 (0.43,1.60) for normal weight women, 1.65 (0.95,2.88) for overweight women, and 2.22 (1.06,4.67) for obese women (p = 0.01 for interaction). Similarly, the RR was 0.15 (0.04,0.65) for women with osteoporosis and 1.82 (1.25,2.65) for women without osteoporosis (p = 0.001 for interaction). CONCLUSIONS: Overall, HRT was not associated with the risk of incident CHF, although BMI and osteoporosis appeared to modify the association of HRT with CHF. The risk of CHF was lower in patients with lower BMI or osteoporosis.

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