Cardiovascular health in Europe: a global problem.
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Cardiovascular Diseases↗
Biomedical subjects
Philip A Poole-Wilson
Publications and source records attributed to Philip A Poole-Wilson.
The DREAM trial.
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Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2↗
The development of heart failure in patients with stable angina pectoris.
BACKGROUND: To describe the clinical characteristics of patients with stable angina pectoris who develop heart failure and the events preceding its onset. METHODS AND RESULTS: Of 7665 patients with stable angina in the ACTION trial, which compared long-acting nifedipine to placebo, 207 (2.7%) developed heart failure (HF) during a mean follow-up of 4.9 years. Those who developed HF were significantly (P<0.05) older, more often had diabetes, had a more extensive history of cardiovascular disease, lower ejection fractions, a higher serum creatinine and glucose, a lower haemoglobin, and were more often on blood pressure lowering drugs. A cardiac event or an intervention (n=155), a significant non-cardiac infection (n=19) or poor control of hypertension (n=12) preceded the development of HF in 186/207 cases (90%). There was no obvious precipitating factor in the remaining 21 patients (10%). Myocardial infarction increased the risk of the development of new HF within one week more than 100-fold. Nifedipine reduced the incidence of HF by 29% (P=0.015). CONCLUSIONS: The development of heart failure is uncommon in patients with stable angina, and even less so in the absence of an obvious precipitating factor.
Aged↗
Cardiovascular magnetic resonance, fibrosis, and prognosis in dilated cardiomyopathy.
OBJECTIVES: We studied the prognostic implications of midwall fibrosis in dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM) in a prospective longitudinal study. BACKGROUND: Risk stratification of patients with nonischemic DCM in the era of device implantation is problematic. Approximately 30% of patients with DCM have midwall fibrosis as detected by late gadolinium-enhancement (LGE) cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR), which may increase susceptibility to arrhythmia and progression of heart failure. METHODS: Consecutive DCM patients (n = 101) with the presence or absence of midwall fibrosis were followed up prospectively for 658 +/- 355 days for events. RESULTS: Midwall fibrosis was present in 35% of patients and was associated with a higher rate of the predefined primary combined end point of all-cause death and hospitalization for a cardiovascular event (hazard ratio 3.4, p = 0.01). Multivariate analysis showed midwall fibrosis as the sole significant predictor of death or hospitalization. However, there was no significant difference in all-cause mortality between the 2 groups. Midwall fibrosis also predicted secondary outcome measures of sudden cardiac death (SCD) or ventricular tachycardia (VT) (hazard ratio 5.2, p = 0.03). Midwall fibrosis remained predictive of SCD/VT after correction for baseline differences in left ventricular ejection fraction between the 2 groups. CONCLUSIONS: In DCM, midwall fibrosis determined by CMR is a predictor of the combined end point of all-cause mortality and cardiovascular hospitalization, which is independent of ventricular remodeling. In addition, midwall fibrosis by CMR predicts SCD/VT. This suggests a potential role for CMR in the risk stratification of patients with DCM, which may have value in determining the need for device therapy.
Adult↗
Anabolic deficiency in men with chronic heart failure: prevalence and detrimental impact on survival.
BACKGROUND: The age-related decline of circulating anabolic hormones in men is associated with increased morbidity and mortality. We studied the prevalence and prognostic consequences of deficiencies in circulating total testosterone (TT) and free testosterone, dehydroepiandrosterone sulfate (DHEAS), and insulin-like growth factor-1 (IGF-1) in men with chronic heart failure (CHF). METHODS AND RESULTS: Serum levels of TT, DHEAS, and IGF-1 were measured with immunoassays in 208 men with CHF (median age 63 years; median left ventricular ejection fraction 33%; New York Heart Association class I/II/III/IV, 19/102/70/17) and in 366 healthy men. Serum levels of free testosterone were estimated (eFT) from levels of TT and sex hormone binding globulin. Deficiencies in DHEAS, TT, eFT, and IGF-1, defined as serum levels at or below the 10th percentile of healthy peers, were seen across all age categories in men with CHF. DHEAS, TT, and eFT were inversely related to New York Heart Association class irrespective of cause (all P<0.01). DHEAS correlated positively with left ventricular ejection fraction and inversely with N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (both P<0.01). Circulating TT, eFT, DHEAS, and IGF-1 levels were prognostic markers in multivariable models when adjusted for established prognostic factors (all P<0.05). Men with CHF and normal levels of all anabolic hormones had the best 3-year survival rate (83%, 95% CI 67% to 98%) compared with those with deficiencies in 1 (74% survival rate, 95% CI 65% to 84%), 2 (55% survival rate, 95% CI 45% to 66%), or all 3 (27% survival rate, 95% CI 5% to 49%) anabolic endocrine axes (P<0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: In male CHF patients, anabolic hormone depletion is common, and a deficiency of each anabolic hormone is an independent marker of poor prognosis. Deficiency of >1 anabolic hormone identifies groups with a higher mortality.
Adult↗
Heart rate response during exercise predicts survival in adults with congenital heart disease.
OBJECTIVES: To assess the prognostic value of heart rate response to exercise in adult congenital heart disease (ACHD) patients. BACKGROUND: An abnormal heart rate response to exercise is related to autonomic dysfunction and may have prognostic implications in ACHD. METHODS: We identified 727 consecutive ACHD patients (mean age [+/- SD] 33 +/- 13 years) with varying diagnoses and without pacemakers. Peak oxygen consumption (peak VO2), resting heart rate, and the increase in heart rate from resting level to peak exercise ("heart rate reserve") were measured. We also quantified the decrease in heart rate ("heart rate recovery") after cessation of exercise. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 28 months, 38 patients died. Lower values of heart rate reserve, peak heart rate, heart rate recovery, and peak VO2 (p < 0.01 for each) were associated with increased mortality in univariate analysis. Furthermore, heart rate reserve predicted mortality independently of antiarrhythmic therapy, functional class, and peak VO2. Stratifying patients by diagnostic groups revealed that a lower heart rate reserve was also associated with a greater risk of death in patients with complex anatomy, Fontan circulation, and tetralogy of Fallot (p < 0.05 for each). CONCLUSIONS: An abnormal heart rate response to exercise identifies ACHD patients with a higher risk of mortality in the midterm, even after accounting for antiarrhythmic medication and exercise capacity. Heart rate reserve is a simple and inexpensive way to identify ACHD patients at higher mortality risk.
Adult↗
Tracking coronary calcification and atherosclerotic lesions in patients with stable angina pectoris undergoing nifedipine therapy.
AIMS: The objective of the Coronary Calcification (CC) study was to determine in patients with chronic symptomatic coronary artery disease, if, in addition to standard therapy, nifedipine GITS, relative to placebo, would arrest or slow down the progression of calcium or the development of new atherosclerotic lesions in the coronary arteries. METHODS AND RESULTS: The CC study was part of the ACTION trial. Multi-slice computerized tomography was used to measure and track the progression of CC. Five hundred and eighteen patients were included in this study. The changes in calcium score from baseline every 24 months, over a period of between 4.5 and 6 years, were similar in the nifedipine and placebo treatment groups (p = 0.8). Compared to placebo, more patients in the nifedipine group (71 vs. 60%) were free of new calcified atherosclerotic lesions during follow-up(p = 0.095). CONCLUSION: Nifedipine GITS was not effective in slowing down the progression of calcium in advanced atherosclerotic plaques in patients with stable angina pectoris. Although statistically not significant, Nifedipine demonstrated a trend in slowing down the development of new atherosclerotic lesions.
Aged↗
Statin use and survival in patients with chronic heart failure--results from two observational studies with 5200 patients.
BACKGROUND: There is minimal evidence that HMG-CoA reductase inhibitors (statins) are beneficial in patients with chronic heart failure (CHF). Treatment with statins may lead to a lower mortality in CHF, independent of cholesterol levels, CHF etiology and clinical status. METHODS: In a first study, we included 3132 patients with CHF from the ELITE 2 study in whom information on body mass index (BMI) and statin use at baseline were available. In a second study, we pooled the databases of 5 tertiary referral centers with 2068 CHF patients. In this cohort 705 patients were on a statin (34%), 585 of 1202 (49%) patients with ischemic etiology, and 120 of 866 (14%) patients with non-ischemic etiology (established by coronary angiography). FINDINGS: Patients in ELITE 2 who received statin therapy at baseline (n=397, 13%) had lower mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 0.61, 95% CI 0.45-0.83; p=0.0007). In univariate analysis, increasing age, NYHA class, creatinine, and decreasing BMI, LVEF, and cholesterol, as well as lack of beta-blocker treatment and ischemic etiology (all p<0.002) related to higher mortality. In multivariable analysis, statin therapy related to lower mortality independently of all these variables (adjusted HR 0.66, 95% CI 0.47-0.93; p=0.017). In the second study CHF patients on statins had lower mortality (adjusted HR 0.58, 95% CI 0.44-0.77; p=0.0001). Both in patients with ischemic (p<0.0001) and non-ischemic etiology (p=0.028) statin treatment related to better survival. INTERPRETATION: In chronic heart failure, treatment with statins is related to lower mortality, independent of cholesterol levels, disease etiology and clinical status.
Aged↗
Abnormal ventilatory response to exercise in adults with congenital heart disease relates to cyanosis and predicts survival.
BACKGROUND: Limited data exist with which to stratify risk in adult congenital heart disease (ACHD). An increased ventilatory response to exercise, expressed as ventilation per unit of carbon dioxide production (V(E)/V(CO2) slope), is an established predictor of impaired survival in acquired heart disease. We sought to establish the distribution, relation to cyanosis, and prognostic value of the V(E)/V(CO2) slope across a wide spectrum of ACHD patients. METHODS AND RESULTS: Five hundred sixty ACHD patients of varying diagnoses and 50 healthy controls underwent cardiopulmonary exercise testing at a single laboratory between 2001 and 2004. Patient age was 33.2 +/- 12.9 years (mean +/- SD). Peak oxygen consumption was 23.5 +/- 9.0 mL.kg(-1).min(-1).V(E)/V(CO2) slope for all patients was 36.3 +/-15.3. The slope was raised in all ACHD groups compared with controls and was 73% higher in cyanotic patients. Cyanosis, with or without pulmonary arterial hypertension, was the strongest predictor of abnormal V(E)/V(CO2) slope. The V(E)/V(CO2) slope was the most powerful univariate predictor of mortality in the noncyanotic group and the only independent predictor of mortality among exercise parameters on multivariate analysis. In cyanotic patients, no parameter was predictive of death. CONCLUSIONS: Ventilatory response to exercise is abnormal across the spectrum of ACHD. Cyanosis is a powerful stimulus for such exaggerated ventilatory patterns irrespective of the presence of pulmonary arterial hypertension. Increased V(E)/V(CO2) slope is the strongest exercise predictor of death in noncyanotic ACHD patients.
Adult↗
The impact of new onset anaemia on morbidity and mortality in chronic heart failure: results from COMET.
AIMS: Anaemia is a common comorbidity in chronic heart failure (CHF). The predictors of new onset anaemia (NOA) and its long-term prognostic value, particularly in patients treated with beta-blockers, are not known. METHODS AND RESULTS: In COMET, 3029 patients with CHF in NYHA II-IV and EF <35% were randomized to carvedilol or metoprolol tartrate and were followed for an average of 58 months. Plasma haemoglobin (Hb) concentrations were measured at a central laboratory at randomization, at four monthly intervals for the first year and annually thereafter. According to WHO criteria, anaemia was defined when Hb measured <13 g/dL for men and <12 g/dL for women. We considered anaemia to be severe when Hb <11.5 g/dL for men and <10.5 g/dL for women. The baseline mean Hb was 14.2 +/- 1.5 g/dL (n = 2996) and 15.9% of patients had anaemia (males, 16.0%; females, 15.2%). At baseline, severe anaemia was found in 3.3% of patients (males, 3.6%; females, 2.0%). During the study, all-cause mortality (RR 1.47) death or hospitalization (RR 1.28), and heart failure hospitalization (RR 1.43, all P < 0.0001) were higher in anaemic when compared with non-anaemic patients. In patients without anaemia at baseline, at the end of the study, the cumulative frequency of NOA was 28.1% in males and 27.0% in females. NOA increased over time from 14.2% at year 1 to 27.5% at year 5. Predictors of NOA were: higher age, diuretic dose, creatinine (all P < 0.0001), higher serum potassium, lower serum sodium, body mass index, and use of aldosterone antagonists, carvedilol, and digitalis (all P < 0.03). Treatment with carvedilol (vs. metoprolol tartrate) was associated with a 24% increased risk to develop NOA (P = 0.0047), but not severe anaemia (P = 0.18). Patients with a Hb decrease of >3 g/dL (RR 3.37, P < 0.0001) or of 2.0-3.0 g/dL (RR 1.47, P = 0.011) from baseline had an increased subsequent mortality when compared with patients having Hb increases of 0-1.0 g/dL. CONCLUSION: In stable ambulatory CHF patients, development of NOA is frequent and can be predicted by a set of clinical variables. Decreases in Hb over time relate to future increased morbidity and mortality.
Aged↗
A comparison of the effects of carvedilol and metoprolol on well-being, morbidity, and mortality (the "patient journey") in patients with heart failure: a report from the Carvedilol Or Metoprolol European Trial (COMET).
OBJECTIVES: This study was designed to investigate the loss of well-being, in terms of life-years, overall and in patients randomized to metoprolol versus carvedilol in the Carvedilol Or Metoprolol European Trial (COMET). BACKGROUND: The ultimate objectives of treating patients with heart failure are to relieve suffering and prolong life. Although the effect of treatment on mortality is usually described in trials, the effects on patient well-being throughout the trials' courses are rarely reported. METHODS: A total of 3,029 patients randomized in the COMET study were included in the analysis. "Patient journey" was calculated by adjusting days alive and out of hospital over four years using a five-point score completed by the patient every four months, adjusted according to the need for intensification of diuretic therapy. Scores ranged from 0% (dead or hospitalized) to 100% (feeling very well). RESULTS: Over 48 months, 17% of all days were lost through death, 1% through hospitalization, 23% through impaired well-being, and 2% through the need for intensified therapy. Compared with metoprolol, carvedilol was associated with fewer days lost to death, with no increase in days lost due to impaired well-being or days in hospital. The "patient journey" score improved from a mean of 54.8% (SD 26.0) to 57.4% (SD 26.3%) (p < 0.0068). CONCLUSIONS: Despite treatment with beta-blockers, heart failure remains associated with a marked reduction in well-being and survival. Loss of quality-adjusted life-years through death and poor well-being seemed of similar magnitude over four years, and both were much larger than the loss that could be attributed to hospitalization.
Adrenergic beta-Antagonists↗
The Seattle Heart Failure Model: prediction of survival in heart failure.
BACKGROUND: Heart failure has an annual mortality rate ranging from 5% to 75%. The purpose of the study was to develop and validate a multivariate risk model to predict 1-, 2-, and 3-year survival in heart failure patients with the use of easily obtainable characteristics relating to clinical status, therapy (pharmacological as well as devices), and laboratory parameters. METHODS AND RESULTS: The Seattle Heart Failure Model was derived in a cohort of 1125 heart failure patients with the use of a multivariate Cox model. For medications and devices not available in the derivation database, hazard ratios were estimated from published literature. The model was prospectively validated in 5 additional cohorts totaling 9942 heart failure patients and 17,307 person-years of follow-up. The accuracy of the model was excellent, with predicted versus actual 1-year survival rates of 73.4% versus 74.3% in the derivation cohort and 90.5% versus 88.5%, 86.5% versus 86.5%, 83.8% versus 83.3%, 90.9% versus 91.0%, and 89.6% versus 86.7% in the 5 validation cohorts. For the lowest score, the 2-year survival was 92.8% compared with 88.7%, 77.8%, 58.1%, 29.5%, and 10.8% for scores of 0, 1, 2, 3, and 4, respectively. The overall receiver operating characteristic area under the curve was 0.729 (95% CI, 0.714 to 0.744). The model also allowed estimation of the benefit of adding medications or devices to an individual patient's therapeutic regimen. CONCLUSIONS: The Seattle Heart Failure Model provides an accurate estimate of 1-, 2-, and 3-year survival with the use of easily obtained clinical, pharmacological, device, and laboratory characteristics.
Adult↗
Autonomic imbalance and immune activation in chronic heart failure - pathophysiological links.
Activation of the immune system and derangement of cardiorespiratory neural control are established elements of the complex pathophysiology of chronic heart failure (CHF). The magnitude of these abnormalities relates to disease progression and mortality. Less clear is the origin of these derangements and the sequence of triggering mechanisms in the course of the natural history of CHF. To date, immune activation and autonomic imbalance have been considered independently; we hypothesise they are closely related. Damaged heart muscle through autonomic afferents triggers functional and structural changes in the central nervous system, in part related to inflammatory processes. The altered function of the autonomic centres is expressed as a reduction of central parasympathetic tone. Diminished cholinergic signalling (mainly nicotinergic) activates inflammation and stimulates immune response. These two phenomena predict prognosis and represent therapeutic targets in the syndrome of CHF.
Autonomic Nervous System↗
Effects of nebivolol in elderly heart failure patients with or without systolic left ventricular dysfunction: results of the SENIORS echocardiographic substudy.
AIMS: The SENIORS trial recently demonstrated that nebivolol reduces the composite risk of all-cause mortality and cardiovascular hospital admission in elderly patients with chronic heart failure and, importantly, that ejection fraction does not influence the clinical effects of nebivolol. An echocardiographic substudy was designed to evaluate the effects of nebivolol on systolic and diastolic left ventricular (LV) function in patients stratified according to the presence or absence of systolic LV dysfunction. METHODS AND RESULTS: The substudy randomized 112 patients in 29 European centres, of whom 104 were evaluable for the study; 43 had an ejection fraction (EF) 35%. LV end-systolic volume (ESV), EF, mitral valve E/A ratio, and E-wave deceleration time were assessed at baseline and after 12 months. Echocardiograms were submitted to a core laboratory to perform quantitative analysis in blinded condition. In the group with EF</=35%, nebivolol reduced ESV (adjusted difference between treatments 25.8 mL, 95%CI: -46.6; -5.0, P=0.016) and improved EF (adjusted difference between treatments 4.6%, 95%CI: 1.3;7.9, P=0.008); no changes were observed in the E/A ratio or E-wave deceleration time. In EF>35% group, no significant changes in either systolic or diastolic parameters were observed. CONCLUSION: In patients with heart failure and advanced systolic LV dysfunction, nebivolol reduces ventricular size and improves EF. The absence of detectable changes with standard echocardiography in patients with predominant diastolic heart failure questions the mechanism of benefit on morbidity/mortality in such patients.
Adrenergic beta-Antagonists↗
Safety of nifedipine GITS in stable angina: the ACTION trial.
AIM: We describe the safety profile of nifedipine GITS as assessed from adverse events reported in the ACTION trial in which 7,665 patients with stable, symptomatic coronary artery disease were randomly assigned nifedipine GITS or placebo and followed for a mean of 4.9 years. METHODS: All adverse events were coded using the COSTART coding dictionary. The incidence rate for each event was calculated as the number of patients with the event concerned divided by the total time 'at risk'. Hazard ratios comparing nifedipine with placebo and their 95% confidence intervals were obtained by Cox proportional-hazards analysis. RESULTS: As reported previously, nifedipine significantly reduced the incidence of cardiovascular events and procedures [hazard ratio (HR) 0.89, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.83-0.95]. Apart from the known side effects of nifedipine, which include peripheral oedema, vasodilatation, hypotension, asthenia, constipation, leg cramps, non-specific respiratory complaints, impotence and polyuria, and which were reported more frequently in patients assigned nifedipine, the incidence rates of most other adverse events were similar. There were no differences in the occurrence of gastrointestinal haemorrhage, myocardial infarction and suicide. The rate of occurrence of death or new cancer excluding non-melanoma skin cancer for patients with no history of cancer at baseline was 2.53/100 patient years for patients assigned nifedipine and 2.37/100 patient years for patients assigned placebo (HR 1.06, 95% CI 0.93-1.22). CONCLUSION: Overall nifedipine GITS was well tolerated by patients with stable symptomatic angina.
Adverse Drug Reaction Reporting Systems↗
Incidence and outcome of atrial fibrillation in stable symptomatic coronary disease.
OBJECTIVES: Evaluate the prevalence, incidence and impact on prognosis of existing and new onset atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients with stable, symptomatic coronary artery disease. DESIGN: Data from the 7 665 participants included in the ACTION (A Coronary disease Trial Investigating Outcome with Nifedipine GITS) trial was used. RESULTS: Over a mean follow-up of 4.9 years, the incidence of recurrent AF in patients with AF at baseline (4.1%) was 13.5/100 patient-years and 1.64/100 patient-years for patients without baseline AF. Patients with AF at baseline had increased mortality and new overt heart failure. New onset AF was associated with increased morbidity and mortality and in particular soon after onset. [adjusted 30-day relative risk for mortality 23, 95% CI 14-36; for debilitating stroke 37, 95% CI 18-77; and for heart failure 54, 95% CI 32-93]. The incidence of AF was not affected by treatment with nifedipine GITS. CONCLUSION: The presence of AF in patients with stable symptomatic CAD is an independent risk factor and in particular in the first 30 days for subsequent mortality and morbidity.
Aged↗
A commentary on clinical trials in chronic heart failure.
Heart failure is a common condition and becoming more common. Many treatments have been evaluated in large clinical trials during the last few decades. These trials can be criticized but do provide an evidence base for treatment, probably greater than for most other clinical conditions. Weaknesses exist in relation to age, ejection fraction, and gender. Most trials have included patients 10 years younger than those in the general population. There is little evidence for efficacy in patients with a near normal ejection fraction. Few women have been included in trials.
Adrenergic beta-Antagonists↗
The dying stem cell hypothesis: immune modulation as a novel mechanism for progenitor cell therapy in cardiac muscle.
Stem cell transplantation after myocardial infarction has been claimed to restore cardiac function, but the underlying mechanism remains unclear. A minority of transplanted cells become adherent in heart tissue and contribute to neovascularization, whereas many donor cells die from apoptosis. We propose that apoptosis of transplanted cells modulates local tissue reactions. Apoptotic cells impact on immune reactivity by down-regulating innate and adaptive immunity, deactivating macrophages and dendritic cells, and stimulating regulatory T cells. This leads to reduced scar formation, repressed myocardial apoptosis, and improved cardiac outcome.
Animals↗