Oral contraceptives and cervical cancer.
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Adult↗
Biomedical subjects
Prabhat Jha
Publications and source records attributed to Prabhat Jha.
Improving the health of the global poor.
We analyzed the technical basis for a major global program to reduce disease among the poor. Effective interventions exist against the few diseases which most account for excess mortality among the poor. Achieving high coverage of effective interventions requires a well-functioning health system, as well as overcoming a set of financial and nonfinancial constraints. The annual incremental cost would be between $40 billion and $52 billion by 2015 in 83 low-income and sub-Saharan African countries. Such a program is feasible and would avoid millions of child, maternal, and adult deaths annually in poor countries.
Adult↗
Global and regional estimates of the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of price increases and other tobacco control policies.
The objective of this study was to provide conservative estimates of the global and regional effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of tobacco control policies. Using a static model of the cohort of smokers alive in 1995, we estimated the number of smoking-attributable deaths that could be averted by: (1) price increases, (2) nicotine replacement therapy (NRT), and (3) a package of non-price interventions other than NRT. We calculated the cost-effectiveness of these policy interventions by weighing the approximate public-sector costs against the years of healthy life saved, measured in disability-adjusted life years, or DALYs. Even with deliberately conservative assumptions, tax increases that would raise the real price of cigarettes by 10% worldwide would prevent between 5 and 16 million tobacco-related deaths, and could cost 3-70 US dollars per DALY saved in low-income and middle-income regions. NRT and a package of non-price interventions other than NRT are also cost-effective in low-income and middle-income regions, at 280-870 US dollars per DALY and 36-710 US dollars per DALY, respectively. In high-income countries, price increases were found to have a cost-effectiveness of 83-2771 US dollars per DALY, NRT 750-7206 US dollars per DALY and other non-price interventions 696-13,924 US dollars per DALY. Tobacco control policies, particularly tax increases on cigarettes, are cost-effective relative to other health interventions. Our estimates are subject to considerable variation in actual settings; thus, local cost-effectiveness studies are required to guide local policy.
Adult↗
Estimates of global and regional smoking prevalence in 1995, by age and sex.
OBJECTIVES: We calculated regional and sex- and age-specific smoking prevalence estimates worldwide in 1995. METHODS: Sex-specific smoking prevalence data from studies in 139 countries and age distribution data from 7 studies were analyzed. RESULTS: Globally, 29% of persons aged 15 years or older were regular smokers in 1995. Four fifths of the world's 1.1 billion smokers lived in low- or middle-income countries. East Asian countries accounted for a disproportionately high percentage (38%) of the world's smokers. Males accounted for four fifths of all smokers, and prevalence among males and females was highest among those aged 30 to 49 years (34%). CONCLUSIONS: Future decades will see dramatic increases in tobacco-attributable deaths in low- and middle-income regions. Although much of this excess mortality can be prevented if smokers stop smoking, quitting remains rare in low- and middle-income countries.
Adolescent↗
Modelling HIV/AIDS epidemics in Botswana and India: impact of interventions to prevent transmission.
OBJECTIVE: To describe a dynamic compartmental simulation model for Botswana and India, developed to identify the best strategies for preventing spread of HIV/AIDS. METHODS: The following interventions were considered: a behavioural intervention focused on female sex workers; a conventional programme for the treatment of sexually transmitted infections; a programme for the prevention of mother-to-child transmission; an antiretroviral treatment programme for the entire population, based on a single regimen; and an antiretroviral treatment programme for sex workers only, also based on a single regimen. FINDINGS: The interventions directed at sex workers as well as those dealing with sexually transmitted infections showed promise for long-term prevention of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection, although their relative ranking was uncertain. In India, a sex worker intervention would drive the epidemic to extinction. In Botswana none of the interventions alone would achieve this, although the prevalence of HIV would be reduced by almost 50%. Mother-to-child transmission programmes could reduce HIV transmission to infants, but would have no impact on the epidemic itself. In the long run, interventions targeting sexual transmission would be even more effective in reducing the number of HIV-infected children than mother-to-child transmission programmes. Antiretroviral therapy would prevent transmission in the short term, but eventually its effects would wane because of the development of drug resistance. CONCLUSION: Depending on the country and how the antiretroviral therapy was targeted, 25-100% of HIV cases would be drug- resistant after 30 years of use.
Antiretroviral Therapy, Highly Active↗
Avoidable mortality in India: past progress and future prospects.
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Adult↗
Coronary Artery Disease in Asian Indians: Prevalence and Risk Factors.
PURPOSE OF THE STUDY: The purpose of this study is to describe the prevalence of coronary artery disease (CAD) and provide a review of the risk factors associated with CAD in Asian Indians. SEARCH METHODS USED: The authors extensively reviewed numerous British and international studies and the more limited number of studies in India and the US. SUMMARY OF IMPORTANT FINDINGS: Asian Indians have one of the highest rates of CAD. Conventional risk factors such as high blood pressure, high serum total cholesterol level, cigarette smoking, high fat diet, and obesity consistently fail to fully explain these high rates. There appears to be a strong role of insulin resistance and abdominal obesity, both of which have a high prevalence in Asian Indians. Various dyslipidemic disorders in Asian Indians such as low levels of HDL cholesterol, elevation of triglyceride, elevation of LDL cholesterol and elevation of lipoprotein (a) may also have a role. CONCLUSIONS: We hypothesize that against a background of higher susceptibility to CAD among Asian Indians, as characterized by insulin resistance, abdominal obesity and dyslipidemic disorders, conventional risk factors for CAD are also important. A genetic predisposition to CAD is suggested by high levels of lipoprotein (a) in Asian Indians. This would suggest that more aggressive identification and modulation of all known risk factors are necessary among Asian Indians along with a compelling need for further epidemiological studies in this population. RELEVANCE TO ASIAN PACIFIC ISLANDER AMERICAN POPULATIONS: The marked differences in the rates of CAD among Asian Indians, compared with Chinese, Japanese, Filipino, other Asians and Whites are discussed. KEY WORDS: Asian Indians, coronary artery disease, epidemiology, disease prevalence, risk factors, insulin resistance, dyslipidemic disorders, triglycedide, high density lipoprotein; lipoprotein (a)
Journal Article↗