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R Hertwig

Publications and source records attributed to R Hertwig.

5 recordsLinked to original sources

Experimental practices in economics: a methodological challenge for psychologists?

This target article is concerned with the implications of the surprisingly different experimental practices in economics and in areas of psychology relevant to both economists and psychologists, such as behavioral decision making. We consider four features of experimentation in economics, namely, script enactment, repeated trials, performance-based monetary payments, and the proscription against deception, and compare them to experimental practices in psychology, primarily in the area of behavioral decision making. Whereas economists bring a precisely defined "script" to experiments for participants to enact, psychologists often do not provide such a script, leaving participants to infer what choices the situation affords. By often using repeated experimental trials, economists allow participants to learn about the task and the environment; psychologists typically do not. Economists generally pay participants on the basis of clearly defined performance criteria; psychologists usually pay a flat fee or grant a fixed amount of course credit. Economists virtually never deceive participants; psychologists, especially in some areas of inquiry, often do. We argue that experimental standards in economics are regulatory in that they allow for little variation between the experimental practices of individual researchers. The experimental standards in psychology, by contrast, are comparatively laissez-faire. We believe that the wider range of experimental practices in psychology reflects a lack of procedural regularity that may contribute to the variability of empirical findings in the research fields under consideration. We conclude with a call for more research on the consequences of methodological preferences, such as the use on monetary payments, and propose a "do-it-both-ways" rule regarding the enactment of scripts, repetition of trials, and performance-based monetary payments. We also argue, on pragmatic grounds, that the default practice should be not to deceive participants.

Deception↗

Medicine. Communicating statistical information.

Most people, experts included, have difficulties understanding and combining statistical information effectively. Hoffrage et al. demonstrate that these difficulties can be considerably reduced by communicating the information in terms of natural frequencies rather than in terms of probabilities. Several applications in medicine, legal decision-making, and education are discussed.

DNA Fingerprinting↗

Hindsight bias: a by-product of knowledge updating?

With the benefit of feedback about the outcome of an event, people's recalled judgments are typically closer to the outcome of the event than their original judgments were. It has been suggested that this hindsight bias may be due to a reconstruction process of the prior judgment. A model of such a process is proposed that assumes that knowledge is updated after feedback and that reconstruction is based on the updated knowledge. Consistent with the model's predictions, the results of 2 studies show that knowledge after feedback is systematically shifted toward feedback, and that assisting retrieval of the knowledge prior to feedback reduces hindsight bias. In addition, the model accounts for about 75% of cases in which either hindsight bias or reversed hindsight bias occurred. The authors conclude that hindsight bias can be understood as a by-product of an adaptive process, namely the updating of knowledge after feedback.

Adult↗

Signal detection indices in schizophrenics on a visual, auditory, and bimodal Continuous Performance Test.

Signal detection indices (perceptual sensitivity) were calculated to compare performance of 24 male schizophrenic inpatients and 24 controls (12 alcoholics and 12 normals) on 4 different CPT-tests. A standard version (St) employed 1 target (P = 0.166) and 5 nontargets. In condition V stimuli were presented visually, in condition A acoustically and in condition VA bimodally (1 target (P = 0.333) and 1 nontarget). Compared to controls schizophrenics exhibited lower levels of perceptual sensitivity in all 4 conditions. They were especially impaired when stimuli were presented either acoustically or when they had to monitor 2 modalities simultaneously. Perceptual sensitivity of schizophrenics was significantly lower in conditions V, A, and VA than in condition St. For controls only condition VA led to lower values. Because St was always presented first, the possible explanation that vigilance decrement over time is responsible for the lowered perceptual sensitivity had to be ruled out. It could be shown that schizophrenics did not differ in sensitivity between conditions being later in task sequence. Controls, however, showed a slight decrement over time. Thus our finding should to a large extent be attributed to different task requirements. Response criterion beta yielded inconsistent results.

Adult↗