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Biomedical subjects

R Semenciw

Publications and source records attributed to R Semenciw.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Trends in childhood injury mortality in Canada, 1979-2002.

OBJECTIVE: To examine national trends in mortality rates for injuries among Canadian children younger than 15 years in 1979-2002. METHODS: Data on injury deaths were obtained from the Canadian Vital Statistics system at Statistics Canada. Injuries were classified using the codes for external cause of injury and poisoning (E-codes) by intent and by mechanism. Mortality rates were age adjusted to the 1990 world standard population. Negative binomial regression was used to estimate the secular trends. RESULTS: Annual mortality rates for total and unintentional injuries declined substantially (from 23.8 and 21.7 in 1979 to 7.2 and 5.8 in 2002, respectively), whereas suicide deaths among children aged 10-14 showed an increasing trend. All Canadian provinces and territories showed a decreasing trend in mortality rates of total injuries. Motor vehicle related injuries were the most common cause of injury deaths (accounted for an average of 36.4% of total injury deaths), followed by suffocation (14.3%), drowning (13.5%), and burning (11.1%); however, suffocation was the leading cause for infants. The number of potential years of life lost due to injury before age 75 decreased from 89 343 in 1979 to 27 948 in 2002 for children aged 0-14 years. CONCLUSIONS: During the period 1979-2002, there were dramatic decreases in childhood mortality for total injuries and unintentional injuries as well as various degrees of reduction for all causes of injury except suffocation in children aged 10-14 years and drowning in infants. The reason for the reduction in injury mortality might be multifactoral.

Adolescent↗

Survival patterns for the top four cancers in Canada: the effects of age, region and period.

This study examined the variations in survival rates (1989-1991) and the trends (1969-1991), by sex, age and province, for patients diagnosed with breast, colorectal, lung or prostate cancer in Canada and compared the Canadian rates with those of nine American SEER registries. Five-year age-standardized relative survival rates (ASRs) were calculated, and the trends were estimated from variance-weighted linear regression of the ASRs for five periods of diagnosis (1969-1973, 1974-1978, 1979-1983, 1984-1988 and 1989-1991). In 1989-1991, the ASR varied among provinces for each cancer except female colorectal cancer. The lowest survival rates were observed in the youngest patients (15-44) for breast and prostate cancers, and in the oldest patients (75-99) of both sexes for lung and colorectal cancers. Over the five periods, a major trend toward improved survival was observed for breast, prostate and colorectal cancers (P<0.008), whereas no changes were seen for lung cancer. The ASRs in the western region were higher than in the Atlantic region over time (P<0.02) for each cancer. From the third period onward, the ASRs for Canadian patients with lung cancer were similar to those for the US patients and lower than for Canadian patients with breast, prostate or colorectal cancer. The observed increases in ASR for breast and prostate cancer are likely due to the increased use of screenings and the improved treatment modalities.

Adolescent↗

Survival of women with breast cancer in Ottawa, Canada: variation with age, stage, histology, grade and treatment.

This study examined the 5-year survival of 2192 breast cancer women diagnosed between 1994 and 1997 in Ottawa, Canada, by age, TNM stage, histology, grade and treatment, including assessment of the independent value of variables in defining prognosis. Our results showed that age, stage, treatment and grade significantly influenced outcome regardless of the confounding factors considered, with histology failing to achieve significant independent prognostic information. The survival rates were highest at ages 50-69 years for stage I and at ages 40-49 years for stages II-IV. The rates were lowest at ages or=70 years for stages III-IV. The differences in survival between grade 1 and grade 3 were 9% in stage I and 20% in stage II. The treatment leading to the best survival was surgery plus radiation for stages I-II and surgery combined with chemotherapy for stages III-IV. Lobular carcinoma had a better prognosis than ductal carcinoma; this can be explained by more grade 1 and less grade 3 cases in lobular carcinoma. The worse prognosis for young patients than other ages can be explained by their higher proportion of poorly differentiated cancers. Stage I patients aged 50-69 years having the best survival is likely due to the earlier diagnosis achieved through screening.

Adult↗

Active and passive smoking and the risk of stomach cancer, by subsite, in Canada.

This study assessed the influence of active and passive smoking on the risk of stomach cancer by subsite. Mailed questionnaires were used to obtain information on 1171 newly diagnosed histologically confirmed stomach cancer cases and 2207 population controls between 1994 and 1997 in eight Canadian provinces. Data were collected on socio-economic status, lifestyle and passive smoking status. Odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) were derived by logistic regression. Compared with those who had never smoked, there was strongly increased risk for ex- and current smokers among subjects with cardial stomach cancer. For men with cardial cancer, the adjusted ORs were 1.9 (95% CI 1.2-3.0) and 2.6 (95% CI 1.6-4.3) for ex-smokers and current smokers, respectively, with a similar pattern among women. Among men, the adjusted ORs were lower for subsites of stomach cancer other than cardia. These findings suggest that active and passive smoking may play an important role in the development of cardial stomach cancer.

Adult↗

Increasing thyroid cancer incidence in Canada, 1970-1996: time trends and age-period-cohort effects.

We examined time trends in thyroid cancer incidence in Canada by age, time period and birth cohort between 1970 and 1996. Age-specific incidence rates by time period and birth cohort were calculated and age-period-cohort modelling used to estimate effects underlying the observed trends. Overall age-adjusted incidence rates of thyroid cancer doubled, from 3.3 and 1.1 per 100 000 in 1970-72 to 6.8 and 2.2 per 100 000 in 1994-96, among females and males respectively. Almost all the increase between 1970-72 and 1994-96 was due to papillary carcinoma of the thyroid. Age, birth cohort and period effects significantly improved the fit of the model for females, while age and birth cohort effects were significant determinants of the incidence among males. There were significant differences in the patterns/curvature for age, period and birth cohort effects between women and men. Our results suggest that the increases in thyroid cancer incidence in Canada may be associated with more intensive diagnostic activities and change in radiation exposure in childhood and adolescence. Temporal changes in reproductive factors among young women may explain some of the gender differences observed.

Adolescent↗

Incidence of second primary breast cancer among women with a first primary in Manitoba, Canada.

Second primary breast cancer is of importance because of the increasing incidence of first primary breast cancer and improved survival. There is lack of information on the disease in Canada. We studied 14,220 women with a first primary breast cancer (invasive only) diagnosed during the period from 1970 to 1997, in Manitoba, Canada. A breast cancer was considered to be a second primary if it was an invasive lesion diagnosed at least six months after the diagnosis of an initial primary breast cancer. The incidence rate of second primary breast cancer was approximately six per 1,000 person-years, and the cumulative incidence during the 28-year study period was 14.3%. Average age at diagnosis of first primary breast cancer had increased significantly since 1970. The incidence was higher in 1975-1979, and there was no significant difference among other study periods after adjustment for the age at diagnosis of first primary breast cancer. Standardized incidence ratios showed no significant difference among six age groups after adjusting for calendar year. However, women with a first primary breast cancer had an increased risk of developing a second primary breast cancer compared with the risk of developing a first primary breast cancer among the general female population. The SIR was markedly greater among women who had a first primary breast cancer before the age of 40 years, and decreased significantly with increasing age at diagnosis of first primary breast cancer. The data provide epidemiological information on second primary breast cancer risk for the general female population in Manitoba, Canada.

Adult↗

Socioeconomic status and lung cancer risk in Canada.

BACKGROUND: Several epidemiological studies have found that lung cancer is inversely related to socioeconomic status (SES) and suggest it as a possible risk factor for lung cancer. This study examines SES and lung cancer risk in Canada. METHODS: Mailed questionnaires with telephone follow-up were used to obtain data on 3280 newly diagnosed, histologically confirmed lung cancer cases and 5073 population controls, between 1994 and 1997, in eight Canadian provinces. Measurement included information on SES, smoking habits, alcohol use, diet, residential and occupational histories and both residential and occupational exposure to environmental tobacco smoke (ETS). Odds ratios (OR) and 95% CI were derived from unconditional logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: Compared with high income adequacy, an increased risk was found among low income males and females, with adjusted OR of 1.7 (95% CI : 1.3-2.2) and 1.5 (95% CI : 1.1-2.0), respectively. Compared with < or = 8 years of education, the adjusted OR were 0.6 (95% CI : 0.5-0.7) and 0.6 (95% CI : 0.5-0.8) for > or = 14 years education among males and females, respectively. Lung cancer risk was significantly increased for males of some social classes. The population attributable risk for income adequacy, education and social class was 24%, 25% and 21% among males, respectively, and 14% and 19% for income adequacy and education among females, respectively, in this Canadian population. CONCLUSIONS: A statistically significant association between income adequacy, education social class and lung cancer risk was found.

Adult↗

Clues to the aetiological heterogeneity of testicular seminomas and non-seminomas: time trends and age-period-cohort effects.

BACKGROUND: Most previous epidemiological studies have treated testicular cancer as a single entity. However, some investigators suggest that testicular seminomas and non-seminomas may have different risk profiles. We examine the time trends in incidence of the two main histological types separately. METHODS: From 1970 through 1995, 7296 cases of testicular cancer were registered in the Canadian provinces of Ontario, Saskatchewan and British Columbia. In addition to analyses of the secular trends by age group and birth cohort, an age-period-cohort (APC) model with standard Poisson assumptions was fitted to the data to assess the time effects. RESULTS: The age-adjusted incidence rate for seminomas increased by 53%, from 1.5 per 100 000 males in 1970-1971 to 2.3 per 100 000 males in 1994-1995. Non-seminomas increased by 91%, from 1.1 to 2.1 per 100 000 males over the same period. Non-seminomas were more frequent at young ages whereas seminomas dominated in older ages. In contrast to seminomas, non-seminomas occurred predominantly among adolescent men (15-19 years), with a fourfold increase between 1970-1971 and 1994-1995. Age-period-cohort modelling showed that the increase in the risk of both seminomas and non-seminomas followed a birth cohort pattern, but with differences in birth cohorts in addition to significantly distinct age patterns. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings support the hypothesis postulating aetiological heterogeneity in the development of seminomas and non-seminomas. We suggest that epidemiological studies of testicular cancer treat seminomas and non-seminomas separately.

Adolescent↗

Trends by anatomic site in the incidence of cutaneous malignant melanoma in Canada, 1969-93.

Trends in melanoma incidence by anatomic site were examined in Canada where ascertainment of cancer has been of a high standard. The analysis included 41,239 malignant melanomas registered between 1969 and 1993 and used an age, period and cohort modeling approach. The estimated annual increase was 4.8% for males and 3.1% for females but slowed appreciably in the later years. The lifetime risk of melanoma appeared to have peaked with women born about 1934 and men born about 1944. The age-standardized rates have now stabilized for women and are expected to plateau for men in the near future. The largest relative increases occurred for the upper limbs followed by the trunk for both sexes. Comparable generation effects were observed for intermittently exposed sites but the patterns of trend differed between sites for men and women. This supports effects due to sex- and site-specific pattern of sun exposure. The evidence, for the first time, of more favorable trends among post-World War II generations is thought to reflect reduced exposure to UV rays. This may possibly be the earliest signs of the impact of primary prevention programs, particularly if UV radiation also acts as a tumor promoter.

Adolescent↗

Have diagnostic practices contributed to trends in leukemia incidence and mortality among Canadians?

OBJECTIVE: To outline the patterns and temporal trends in leukemia, regarding incidence and mortality, in Canada since 1970. DESIGN: A descriptive analysis of trends in incidence and mortality by age, sex, time period and leukemia subtype, using change-point modelling and log-linear regression. SETTING: Data from all provincial and territorial cancer registries. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Incidence and mortality rate per population of 100,000. RESULTS: The overall age-adjusted incidence rates for all males and females increased from 12.3 and 7.3 per 100,000 in 1970-1972 to 14.6 and 9.0 in 1979-1981, then decreased to 13.2 and 8.3 in 1991-1993, respectively. The overall age-adjusted mortality rates decreased from 9.1 and 5.7 per population of 100,000 in 1970-1972 to 8.3 and 4.8 in 1993-1995 for males and females, respectively. The incidence of acute leukemias decreased between 1970 and 1993. A sharp increase in the incidence of chronic leukemias from 1978 to 1980 was observed in the older age group. Mortality rates also showed a small increase from 1979 to 1989 in seniors. CONCLUSION: The increase in the incidence of chronic leukemias among older subjects was probably due to improvements in diagnosis and changes in registration practices, whereas the decrease in the incidence of acute leukemias was probably a real change attributable to environmental factors. Further investigation is needed to clarify whether and to what extent diagnostic practices contributed to the increased detection of chronic leukemias among elderly Canadians.

Adolescent↗

Epidemiology of contralateral breast cancer.

Two to 11% of women diagnosed with breast cancer will develop contralateral breast cancer in their lifetime. Women with a first primary are at a 2-6-fold increased risk of developing contralateral breast cancer compared with the risk in the general population of women developing a first primary cancer. The incidence rate of contralateral breast cancer varies from four to eight per 1000 person-years. To assess the risk factors associated with the development of contralateral breast cancer among women with a first primary breast cancer, the epidemiological literature concerning these factors was reviewed and summarized. Studies have shown that a family history of breast cancer, an early age at initial diagnosis, and a lobular histology of the first primary breast cancer increase the risk of developing contralateral breast cancer. Although chemotherapy and tamoxifen therapy may reduce this risk, there are inconsistent results regarding the effects of radiotherapy and the effects of reproductive, environmental and other factors. Additional analytical studies addressing all potential risk factors associated with the development of contralateral breast cancer are necessary in view of the increasing incidence and survival of women with a first primary.

Breast Neoplasms↗

First analysis of mortality and occupational radiation exposure based on the National Dose Registry of Canada.

A cohort mortality study of occupational radiation exposure was conducted using the records of the National Dose Registry of Canada. The cohort consisted of 206,620 individuals monitored for radiation exposure between 1951 and 1983 with mortality follow-up through December 31, 1987. A total of 5,426 deaths were identified by computerized record linkage with the Canadian Mortality Data Base. The standardized mortality ratio for all causes of death was 0.61 for both sexes combined. However, trends of increasing mortality with cumulative exposure to whole body radiation were noted for all causes of death in both males and females. In males, cancer mortality appeared to increase with cumulative exposure to radiation, without any clear relation to specific cancers. Unexplained trends of increasing mortality due to cardiovascular diseases (males and females) and accidents (males only) were also noted. The excess relative risk for both sexes, estimated to be 3.0% per 10 mSv (90% confidence interval 1.1-4.8) for all cancers combined, is within the range of risk estimates previously reported in the literature.

Adolescent↗

Farming and prostate cancer mortality.

Although farmers appear to be at an increased risk of prostate cancer, the specific exposures which produce the excess risk remain unexplained. This study was based on a retrospectively assembled cohort of male Manitoba, Saskatchewan, and Alberta, Canada, farmers age 45 years or older identified in the 1971 Canadian censuses of population and agriculture. The cohort was linked to the Canadian National Mortality Database using an iterative computer record linkage system for the period June 1971 to the end of 1987. A total of 1,148 prostate cancer deaths and 2,213,478 person-years were observed. Using Poisson regression, the study examined the relation between the risk of dying from prostate cancer and various farm practices as identified on the 1971 Census of Agriculture, including exposure to chickens, cattle, pesticides, and fuels. A weak, but statistically significant, association was found between number of acres sprayed with herbicides in 1970 and risk of prostate cancer mortality. When the analysis was restricted to farmers believed to be subject to the least amount of misclassification, the risk associated with acres sprayed with herbicides increased (rate ratio (RR) = 2.23 for 250 or more acres sprayed; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.30-3.84; test for trend, p < 0.01). No other farm exposure examined was associated with any detectable pattern of increased or decreased risk. These findings encourage further research to examine the effects of herbicides on prostate cancer.

Aged↗

Herbicides and cancer.

Herbicides are a heterogeneous class of chemicals used in agriculture, forestry, and urban settings to kill weeds, shrubs, and broad-leaved trees. The role of herbicides in the etiology of cancer is controversial. Potential studies for review were identified through a MEDLINE search and from a check of references in related review articles. This review of the literature shows reasonable evidence suggesting that occupational exposure to phenoxy herbicides results in increased risk of developing non-Hodgkin's lymphoma. Several studies have noted large increases in risk of soft-tissue sarcomas with phenoxy herbicide exposure. In contrast, others have failed to observe increased risks, and evidence of an exposure-risk relationship is lacking. Although there have been too few appropriate studies for adequate assessment of risk of cancer at other sites, some findings have linked herbicide exposure with cancers of the colon, lung, nose, prostate, and ovary as well as to leukemia and multiple myeloma. Future studies must better identify and quantify the nature of herbicide exposures. In the interim, it seems only prudent to monitor and promote safety practices among persons occupationally exposed to phenoxy herbicides, particularly farmers and professional sprayers.

Animals↗

Survival rates among patients with cancer in Alberta in 1974-78.

We calculated 5-year crude and relative survival rates, by age and sex, for patients in Alberta in whom cancer was diagnosed between 1974 and 1978. Cancers with low overall 5-year relative survival rates (less than 35%) included stomach cancer, cancer of the pancreas, lung cancer, brain cancer, multiple myeloma and myeloid leukemia. Cancers with high overall 5-year relative survival rates (more than 70%) included melanoma, breast cancer, cancer of the uterus, cancer of the bladder and Hodgkin's disease. Five-year relative survival rates were generally lower in the highest age group (75 years or more). A strong inverse relation between age and survival was noted for brain cancer, non-Hodgkin's lymphoma, Hodgkin's disease and myeloid leukemia.

Adult↗

Increased rates of illness and death from asthma in Canada.

Recent rates of illness and death from asthma in Canada and rates of hospital admission/separation for asthma were examined by age group and region. The death rates were higher in 1982-84 than in 1970-72, especially among those aged 15 to 34 years. Increases were also noted in hospital admission/separation rates, especially among those less than 15 years of age. Hospital admission/separation rates were highest in the Maritime provinces and Saskatchewan, whereas death rates were highest in Alberta and Saskatchewan. Examination of death certificates for coding errors and recoding of certificates to a single (8th) revision of the International Classification of Diseases indicated that changes in disease coding and errors in coding did not account for the significant increase in rates of death from asthma for those aged 15 to 34 years. These increases in rates of illness and death from asthma are unexplained and warrant further investigation.

Adolescent↗