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Biomedical subjects

R Trout

Publications and source records attributed to R Trout.

7 recordsLinked to original sources

Effect of anaemia and cardiovascular disease on surgical mortality and morbidity.

BACKGROUND: Guidelines have been offered on haemoglobin thresholds for blood transfusion in surgical patients. However, good evidence is lacking on the haemoglobin concentrations at which the risk of death or serious morbidity begins to rise and at which transfusion is indicated. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was performed in 1958 patients, 18 years and older, who underwent surgery and declined blood transfusion for religious reasons. The primary outcome was 30-day mortality and the secondary outcome was 30-day mortality or in-hospital 30-day morbidity. Cardiovascular disease was defined as a history of angina, myocardial infarction, congestive heart failure, or peripheral vascular disease. FINDINGS: The 30-day mortality was 3.2% (95% CI 2.4-4.0). The mortality was 1.3% (0.8-2.0) in patients with preoperative haemoglobin 12 g/dL or greater and 33.3% (18.6-51.0) in patients with preoperative haemoglobin less than 6 g/dL. The increase in risk of death associated with low preoperative haemoglobin was more pronounced in patients with cardiovascular disease than in patients without (interaction p < 0.03). The effect of blood loss on mortality was larger in patients with low preoperative haemoglobin than in those with a higher preoperative haemoglobin (interaction p < 0.001). The results were similar in analyses of postoperative haemoglobin and 30-day mortality or in-hospital morbidity. INTERPRETATION: A low preoperative haemoglobin or a substantial operative blood loss increases the risk of death or serious morbidity more in patients with cardiovascular disease than in those without. Decisions about transfusion should take account of cardiovascular status and operative blood loss as well as the haemoglobin concentration.

Adult

Physician malpractice: does the past predict the future?

OBJECTIVE: To assess whether there is a population of physicians who have consistently poor malpractice claims experiences over time. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. POPULATION: 12,730 physicians insured in New Jersey from 1977 to 1991. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: After adjusting for specialty, the physicians were grouped according to who had the highest, very high, and high rates of malpractice claims, approximating 1%, 5%, and 10% respectively, of the insured population. Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) were calculated comparing the physicians in these high-risk categories with the other physicians. RESULTS: Of the 55 physicians who had the highest malpractice claims rates during the first four years, two (3.6%) were in the highest group during the subsequent three years (OR 2.8; 95% CI 0.7 to 10.8), five (9.1%) were in the very high group (OR 2.0; 95% CI 0.7 to 5.3), and 11 (20%) were in the high group (OR 2.3; 95% CI 1.1 to 4.6). Of the 260 physicians in the very high group during the first four years, 11 (4.2%) were in the highest group during the subsequent three years (OR 3.6; 95% CI 1.8 to 6.4), 26 (10.0%) were in the very high group (OR 2.3; 95% CI 1.5 to 3.6), and 46 (17.7%) were in the high group (OR 2.0; 95% CI 1.4 to 2.8). Of the 947 physicians in the high group during the first four years, 24 (2.5%) were in the highest group during the subsequent three years (OR 2.3; 95% CI 1.4 to 3.7), 62 (6.6%) were in the very high group (OR 1.5; 95% CI 1.1 to 1.9), and 118 (12.5%) were in the high group (OR 1.3; 95% CI 1.1 to 1.6). Similar results were found when using awards as the outcome. CONCLUSIONS: Most physicians who have high malpractice rates during their first four years improve over time. Physicians who have high rates of malpractice during one period should not be subjected to disciplinary action. However, carefully evaluating physicians who consistently have high rates of malpractice during two periods may represent an effective strategy for identifying problem physicians.

Cohort Studies

Does physician performance explain interspecialty differences in malpractice claim rates?

Physician specialty has been consistently associated with different malpractice claim rates, with neurosurgery, orthopedics, and obstetrics and gynecology having the highest rates. Whether these differences reflect physician performance or other aspects of patient care that are unique for each specialty is unclear. A retrospective cohort study was performed including 12,829 physicians involved in 8,221 closed cases from 1977 to 1991. For each case an assessment was made whether the plaintiff received an award and whether the physician care of the patient was indefensible. An award was made to the plaintiff in 42% of cases. Physician care was considered indefensible in 23% of the cases. The specialties with the highest award rates were anesthesiology (58.3%), obstetrics and gynecology (47.5%), and radiology (43.0%). Neurosurgery had the lowest rate of award (30.2%). The specialties with the highest indefensibility rates were radiology (36%), obstetrics and gynecology (27%), and anesthesiology (27%). Neurosurgery had the lowest indefensibility rate (10%). These results were unchanged after controlling for physician age, degree, site of training, certification status, and severity of patient injury. In conclusion, differences in award rate and indefensibility are present, but not large enough to explain the large variation in specialty claim rates. This suggests that the variation in malpractice rates results from factors other than a meaningful difference in physician performance.

Clinical Competence

Immunity and responses of circulating leukocytes and lymphocytes in monkeys to aerosolized staphylococcal enterotoxin B.

Rhesus monkeys immunized intramuscularly or orally with staphylococcal enterotoxin B (SEB) toxoid or SEB toxoid incorporated in microspheres made of poly(DL-lactide-co-glycolide) were challenged with a lethal dose of aerosolized SEB to study their immunity and cellular responses in the circulation. It was found that circulating antibodies play a critical role in preventing SEB from triggering toxicosis. Monkeys with high levels of antibodies survived, while those with low levels underwent 2 to 3 days of toxicosis and died. Intramuscular immunization induced high levels and oral immunization induced low levels of antibodies. The circulating antibodies in surviving monkeys decreased dramatically within 20 min and started to rebound at 90 min after SEB challenge. At 90 min, the dying monkeys showed in the circulation a dramatic increase of polymorphonuclear leukocytes and decreases of NK cells and monocytes (CD16 and CD56 markers) as well as of lymphocytes with HLA-DR, CD2, CD8, and IL2R alpha (CD25) markers. The number of polymorphonuclear leukocytes showed an inverse correlation with the numbers of monocytes and various lymphocyte subpopulations which, except for IL-2R, CD16, and CD56(+) cells, showed a direct correlation with one another. The changes in the populations of leukocytes, monocytes, NK cells, and lymphocytes seem to be an indication of initial toxicosis; however, the roles of these cells in toxicosis and death remain to be defined.

Aerosols

The influence of standard of care and severity of injury on the resolution of medical malpractice claims.

OBJECTIVE: To explore how frequently physicians lose medical malpractice cases despite providing standard care and to assess whether severity of patient injury influences the frequency of plaintiff payment. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Physicians from the state of New Jersey insured by one insurance company from 1977 to 1992. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 12,829 physicians involved in 8231 closed malpractice cases. MEASUREMENTS: Physician care and claim severity were prospectively determined by the insurance company using a standard process. RESULTS: Physician care was considered defensible in 62% of the cases and indefensible in 25% of the cases, in almost half of which the physician admitted error. In the remaining 13% of cases, it was unclear whether physician care was defensible. The plaintiff received a payment in 43% of all cases. Payment was made 21% of the time if physician care was considered defensible, 91% if considered indefensible, and 59% if considered unclear. The severity of the injury was classified as low, medium, or high in 28%, 47%, and 25% of the cases, respectively. Severity of injury had a small but significant association (P < 0.001) with the frequency of plaintiff payment (low severity, 39%; medium severity, 43%; and high severity, 47%). The severity of injury was not associated with the payment rate in cases resolved by a jury (low severity, 23%; medium severity, 25%; and high severity, 23%). CONCLUSIONS: In malpractice cases, physicians provide care that is usually defensible. The defensibility of the case and not the severity of patient injury predominantly influences whether any payment is made. Even in cases that require a jury verdict, the severity of patient injury has little effect on whether any payment is made. Our findings suggest that unjustified payments are probably uncommon.

Cohort Studies

Physician demographics and the risk of medical malpractice.

PURPOSE: This study was undertaken to clarify which, if any, physician demographic characteristics are associated with an increased rate of medical malpractice claims. METHODS: We analyzed the malpractice experience of 9,250 physicians insured for at least 2 years from 1977 to 1987 in the state of New Jersey. After adjusting for years at risk, physician claims per year was categorized into low, medium, and high. RESULTS: Male physicians were three times as likely to be in the high-claims group as female physicians, even after adjusting for other demographic variables (relative risk, 3.1; 99% confidence interval, 2.2 to 4.4). Specialty was strongly associated with claims rate, with neurosurgery, orthopedics, and obstetrics/gynecology having 7 to 12 times the number of claims per year as psychiatry, the specialty with the fewest claims. The rate of claims varied with age (p < 0.001) and peaked at approximately age 40. No association was evident between claims rate and a physician's site of training or type of degree. CONCLUSION: Male physicians are three times as likely to be in a high-claims category as female physicians. We suspect that the most likely explanation for this finding is that women interact more effectively with patients. Understanding the reasons for the variation in claim rates between physicians may lead to the development of methods to reduce the overall rate of malpractice claims.

Adult

Assessing disease prevalence from inaccurate test results: teaching an old dog new tricks.

Estimates of disease prevalence are needed for the interpretation of test results as well as for public health decisions. Assessing prevalence may be difficult if a definitive test is unavailable, impractical, or expensive. A formula derived from Bayes' theorem can calculate the prevalence of disease in a population by incorporating test results with a knowledge of the sensitivity and specificity of a test. This paper reviews this formula and provides examples evaluating the prevalence of HIV disease, the usefulness of ventilation-perfusion scans in diagnosing pulmonary embolism, and settings where screening tests should not be applied. These examples demonstrate that precise yet inexpensive estimates of disease prevalence are possible by enhancing the usefulness of an inaccurate test.

Bayes Theorem