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Randall D Cebul

Publications and source records attributed to Randall D Cebul.

15 recordsLinked to original sources
PubMed2006

Redirecting patients to improve stroke outcomes: implications of a volume-based approach in one urban market.

BACKGROUND: The designation of primary stroke centers may result in patients being redirected from their usual source of care, although there is little evidence that these centers would result in better outcomes or lower costs. An alternative approach could direct patients to hospitals treating greater volumes of stroke patients. OBJECTIVES: We sought to estimate the effect of hospital stroke volume on patient mortality and costs in a regional hospital market and to analyze the implications of hypothetical volume-based referral policies in that market, including the effects of patient-hospital distance. METHODS: Using a retrospective cohort, we studied 12,150 Medicare patients admitted for acute stroke to 1 of 29 hospitals in Greater Cleveland during a 7-year period. The primary outcome was risk-adjusted 30-day mortality. Secondary outcomes included log hospital costs and discharge destination. The primary measure of volume was average annual number of stroke patients; patient distance to the nearest hospital was approximated using patient zip code and hospital address data. RESULTS: Overall 30-day mortality was 14.9%. For each 100-patient increase in hospitals' annual stroke volume, risk-adjusted mortality declined 0.9 percentage points (odds ratio = 0.90; 95% confidence interval = 0.82-0.98; P < 0.02) with no significant difference in hospital costs. For each 1-mile increase in patient distance to nearest hospital, mortality increased 0.6 percentage points (odds ratio = 1.07; 95% confidence interval = 1.03-1.11; P < 0.01). Only 3 of 29 hospitals (10.3%) exceeded the highest plausible threshold (250 strokes/year), redirecting 81.4% of patients for a net reduction in mortality of 0.4%; lower thresholds would redirect fewer patients but have negligible effects on mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings fail to support redirecting acute stroke patients based on hospital stroke volume.

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PubMed2006

Overcoming bias in estimating the volume-outcome relationship.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the effect of hospital volume on 30-day mortality for patients with congestive heart failure (CHF) using administrative and clinical data in conventional regression and instrumental variables (IV) estimation models. DATA SOURCES: The primary data consisted of longitudinal information on comorbid conditions, vital signs, clinical status, and laboratory test results for 21,555 Medicare-insured patients aged 65 years and older hospitalized for CHF in northeast Ohio in 1991-1997. STUDY DESIGN: The patient was the primary unit of analysis. We fit a linear probability model to the data to assess the effects of hospital volume on patient mortality within 30 days of admission. Both administrative and clinical data elements were included for risk adjustment. Linear distances between patients and hospitals were used to construct the instrument, which was then used to assess the endogeneity of hospital volume. PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: When only administrative data elements were included in the risk adjustment model, the estimated volume-outcome effect was statistically significant (p=.029) but small in magnitude. The estimate was markedly attenuated in magnitude and statistical significance when clinical data were added to the model as risk adjusters (p=.39). IV estimation shifted the estimate in a direction consistent with selective referral, but we were unable to reject the consistency of the linear probability estimates. CONCLUSIONS: Use of only administrative data for volume-outcomes research may generate spurious findings. The IV analysis further suggests that conventional estimates of the volume-outcome relationship may be contaminated by selective referral effects. Taken together, our results suggest that efforts to concentrate hospital-based CHF care in high-volume hospitals may not reduce mortality among elderly patients.

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PubMed2005

Are we selecting the right patients for stroke rehabilitation in nursing homes?

OBJECTIVE: To examine the effect of stroke rehabilitation in the nursing home on community discharge rates and functional status among patients stratified by propensity to receive rehabilitation. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort. SETTING: Medicaid-certified nursing homes (N=945) in Ohio. PARTICIPANTS: Patients with stroke (N=2013) admitted to an Ohio nursing home. INTERVENTION: Rehabilitation therapy services. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The propensity to receive rehabilitation, used to adjust for selection bias, was calculated for each patient by using a logistic regression model. Community discharge and change in functional status, measured by using a crosswalk to the FIM instrument, were determined 3 months after admission. RESULTS: By 3 months after admission, 36.9% of the patients were discharged to the community, 16.6% had died, and 46.5% remained in the nursing home. The overall effect of rehabilitation on community discharge (relative risk [RR]=1.58; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.33-1.85) was not homogeneous across subgroups stratified by propensity to receive rehabilitation. Patients less likely to receive rehabilitation, as measured by a lower propensity score, had a significant benefit in terms of community discharge (RR=1.65; 95% CI, 1.35-1.97), but those more likely to receive services did not (RR=1.21; 95% CI, 0.87-1.56). Among long-term nursing home residents, rehabilitation services were not associated with improved functional status. CONCLUSIONS: With respect to community discharge, patients who were less likely to receive rehabilitation therapy appear to receive greater benefit from rehabilitation services than those who were more likely to receive rehabilitation. This finding raises concerns about current selection practices for rehabilitation services. Research is needed to identify the patients most likely to benefit, especially in the present fiscally constrained reimbursement environment.

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PubMed2005

Rehabilitation services after the implementation of the nursing home prospective payment system: differences related to patient and nursing home characteristics.

BACKGROUND: The prospective payment system (PPS) for nursing homes was designed to curtail the rapid expansion of Medicare costs for skilled nursing care. This study examines the changes that occurred in nursing home patients and rehabilitation services following the PPS. SETTING: Free-standing Medicare and/or Medicaid certified nursing homes in Ohio. PRIMARY OUTCOMES: The percent of new admissions receiving therapy and the amount of rehabilitation therapy provided. SAMPLE: A total of 7006 first admissions in 1994-6 (pre-PPS) and 61,569 first admissions in 2000-1 (post-PPS). METHODS: A logistic model predicting likelihood of rehabilitation was developed and validated in pre-PPS admissions and applied to the post-PPS patients. Rehabilitation services were compared in the pre-PPS and post-PPS cohorts overall, stratified by quintile of predicted score, diagnosis group, and by nursing home profit status. RESULTS: Post-PPS patients had less cognitive impairment, more depression, and more family support. The amount of rehabilitation services declined the most in the higher quintiles of predicted likelihood of rehabilitation and among patients with stroke. The percent of patients receiving rehabilitation services increased the most in the lowest quintile and among patients with medical conditions. These changes were greater in for-profit nursing homes. CONCLUSIONS: The implementation of the PPS in nursing homes has been associated with a decrease in the amount of rehabilitation services, targeted at those predicted to receive higher amounts and an increased frequency of providing services targeted at those predicted to be less likely to receive them. The outcomes of the changes deserve further study.

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PubMed2005

Evaluation of a commercial electronic medical record (EMR) by primary care physicians 5 years after implementation.

Electronic medical records (EMRs) are gaining increasing prominence in the delivery of healthcare, although the focus is primarily on deploying EMRs. Relatively little research has studied the post-implementation of commercial EMRs. Here we present the results of a web-based survey of all the primary care clinicians in our university affiliated, tertiary care health system. The survey evaluated primary care clinician demographics, usage, and ideas for enhancement of the EpicCare EMR, five year after its initial deployment throughout our healthcare system.

Adult↗
PubMed2004

Trends in postdischarge mortality and readmissions: has length of stay declined too far?

BACKGROUND: Length of hospital stay continues to decline, but the effect on postdischarge outcomes is unclear. METHODS: We determined trends in risk-adjusted mortality rates and readmission rates for 83,445 Medicare patients discharged alive after hospitalization for myocardial infarction, heart failure, gastrointestinal hemorrhage, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, pneumonia, or stroke. Patients were stratified into deciles of observed/expected length of stay to determine whether patients whose length of stay was much shorter than expected had higher risk-adjusted mortality and readmission rates. Analyses were stratified by whether a do-not-resuscitate (DNR) order was written within 2 days of admission (early) or later. RESULTS: From 1991 through 1997, risk-adjusted postdischarge mortality generally remained stable for patients without a DNR order. Postdischarge mortality increased by 21% to 72% for patients with early DNR orders and increased for 2 of 6 diagnoses for patients with late DNR orders. Markedly shorter than expected length of stay was associated with higher than expected risk-adjusted mortality for patients with early DNR orders but not for others (no DNR and late DNR). Risk-adjusted readmission rates remained stable from 1991 through 1997, except for a 15% (95% confidence interval, 3%-30%) increase for patients with congestive heart failure. Short observed/expected length of stay was not associated with higher readmission rates. CONCLUSIONS: The dramatic decline in length of stay from 1991 through 1997 was not associated with worse postdischarge outcomes for patients without DNR orders. However, postdischarge mortality increased among patients with early DNR orders, and some of this trend may be due to patients being discharged more rapidly than previously.

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PubMed2004

Disease prevention and health promotion in medical education: reflections from an academic health center.

PURPOSE: It is unclear whether academic health centers are successfully addressing societal needs and expectations by preparing students with knowledge and skills in disease prevention and health promotion. The authors assessed whether students were exposed to key content in these areas and whether they felt this exposure was adequate. METHOD: All components of the first three years of the Case Western Reserve University (Case) curriculum were examined in 2001 to create a curricular map, using competencies in disease prevention and health promotion identified by the Association of Teachers of Preventive Medicine (ATPM) as a template to assess the scope of instruction. Case students' United States Medical Licensing Examination (USMLE) Step 2 subscores in preventive medicine and health maintenance from 1994 to 2000 and graduating seniors' assessment of the adequacy of their training were compared to national data from the Association of American Medical Colleges' 2000 Graduation Questionnaire (GQ). RESULTS: Most content areas identified by ATPM were present in the Case curriculum and were offered frequently in a variety of educational venues over the first three years. USMLE scores increased nationally and at Case from 1994 to 2000 and Case students' perception of training adequacy in preventive medicine and health promotion was comparable to national ratings from the 2000 GQ. CONCLUSIONS: Broad and frequent exposure to disease prevention and health promotion core competencies has value, but may not sufficiently prepare students to deliver health-promoting services confidently. Creative curricula highlighting prevention's relevance throughout clinical practice and incorporating formal opportunities to apply knowledge and build experience may result in greater success.

Academic Medical Centers↗
PubMed2003

Mortality trends for 23,505 Medicare patients hospitalized with heart failure in Northeast Ohio, 1991 to 1997.

BACKGROUND: Clinical trials have identified major therapeutic advances for heart failure (HF), but the degree to which survival has improved among the general population of patients with HF is not known. This study analyzed mortality trends from 1991 to 1997 for 23,505 Medicare patients hospitalized with a first admission for HF at 29 Northeast Ohio hospitals. METHODS: We linked databases from the Cleveland Health Quality Choice (CHQC) program and Medicare to allow identification of first admissions for HF and death date. We adjusted for changes in admission illness severity using chart data from CHQC (eg, vital signs, do-not-resuscitate status, comorbid conditions, and laboratory results). Logistic regression was used to analyze trends in risk-adjusted mortality. RESULTS: At baseline (1991), crude inhospital, 30-day and 1-year mortality rates were 6.4%, 8.6% and 36.5%, respectively. Between 1991 and 1997, mean length of stay declined steeply from 9.2 days to 6.6 days (P <.001 for trend). Risk-adjusted inhospital mortality also declined markedly (absolute-decline -3.7%, 95% CI -4.3 to -3.0), a 52.8% relative decrease. However, the decline in 30-day mortality was only -1.4% (95% CI -2.5 to -0.1, P <.05), a 15.3% relative decrease. The 1-year mortality declined -5.3% (95% CI -3.2 to -7.4, P <.001), a 14.6% relative decrease. CONCLUSIONS: Long-term mortality for patients hospitalized with HF improved from 1991 to 1997, although mortality remains very high. The 30-day mortality declined far less than inhospital mortality, indicating that mortality shortly after discharge increased. This raises concerns that the marked reduction in length of stay is causing adverse consequences.

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PubMed2003

Outcomes of rehabilitation services for nursing home residents.

OBJECTIVE: To examine survival and community discharge outcomes related to rehabilitation services among patients admitted to nursing homes before the implementation of the Balanced Budget Amendment of 1997. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort. SETTING: A total of 945 Medicaid-certified nursing homes in Ohio. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 11,150 patients admitted for the first time to a nursing home from 1994 to 1996. INTERVENTIONS: Not applicable. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Community discharge and survival rates among patients who did or did not receive rehabilitation services, using multivariable techniques to adjust for patients' propensity to receive rehabilitation and for other potential confounders. In secondary analyses, we also examined dose-response effects and analyzed the effects of rehabilitation when patients were divided into 5 diagnostic groups (stroke, hip fracture, congestive heart failure, chronic lung disease, other). RESULTS: Rehabilitation was provided to 58% of the patients and was associated with higher community discharge rates (relative risk=1.48; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.40-1.57) and a lower hazard of death (hazard ratio=.81; 95% CI,.75-.88). Dose-response effects were observed for both outcomes (P<.001) among patients receiving rehabilitation. Rehabilitation was associated with improved community discharge rates in each of the 5 diagnostic groups. CONCLUSIONS: New reimbursement policies that discourage the provision of rehabilitation services may have adverse effects on patients, their families, and societal costs of care.

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PubMed2003

Changes in the use of do-not-resuscitate orders after implementation of the Patient Self-Determination Act.

OBJECTIVE: To determine changes in the use of do-not-resuscitate (DNR) orders and mortality rates following a DNR order after the Patient Self-determination Act (PSDA) was implemented in December 1991. DESIGN: Time-series. SETTING: Twenty-nine hospitals in Northeast Ohio. PATIENTS/PARTICIPANTS: Medicare patients (N = 91,539) hospitalized with myocardial infarction, heart failure, gastrointestinal hemorrhage, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, pneumonia, or stroke. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: The use of "early" (first 2 hospital days) and "late" DNR orders was determined from chart abstractions. Deaths within 30 days after a DNR order were identified from Medicare Provider Analysis and Review files. Risk-adjusted rates of early DNR orders increased by 34% to 66% between 1991 and 1992 for 4 of the 6 conditions and then remained flat or declined slightly between 1992 and 1997. Use of late DNR orders declined by 29% to 53% for 4 of the 6 conditions between 1991 and 1997. Risk-adjusted mortality during the 30 days after a DNR order was written did not change between 1991 and 1997 for 5 conditions, but risk-adjusted mortality increased by 21% and 25% for stroke patients with early DNR and late DNR orders, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Overall use of DNR orders changed relatively little after passage of the PSDA, because the increase in the use of early DNR orders between 1991 and 1992 was counteracted by decreasing use of late DNR orders. Risk-adjusted mortality rates after a DNR order generally remained stable, suggesting that there were no dramatic changes in quality of care or aggressiveness of care for patients with DNR orders. However, the increasing mortality for stroke patients warrants further examination.

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PubMed2003

The effect of publicly reporting hospital performance on market share and risk-adjusted mortality at high-mortality hospitals.

BACKGROUND: It is unclear whether publicly reporting hospitals' risk-adjusted mortality affects market share and mortality at outlier hospitals. OBJECTIVES: To examine hospitals' market share and risk-adjusted mortality from 1991 to 1997 at hospitals participating in Cleveland Health Quality Choice (CHQC). RESEARCH DESIGN: Time series. SUBJECTS: Changes in market share were examined for all patients hospitalized with acute myocardial infarction, heart failure, gastrointestinal hemorrhage, obstructive pulmonary disease, pneumonia, or stroke at all 30 nonfederal hospitals in Northeast Ohio. Patients insured by Medicare were used to examine changes in mortality. MEASURES: Trends in market share (proportion of patients with the target conditions discharged from a given hospital) and risk-adjusted 30-day mortality. RESULTS: CHQC identified several hospitals with consistently higher than expected mortality. The five hospitals with the highest mortality tended to lose market share (mean change -0.6%, 95% CI -1.9-0.6), but this was not significant. The only outlier hospital with a large decline in market share had declining volume for 2 years before being declared an outlier. Risk-adjusted mortality declined only slightly at hospitals classified by us as "below average" (-0.8%; 95% CI, 2.9-1.8%) or "worst" (-0.4%; 95% CI -2.3-1.7). However, risk-adjusted mortality at one hospital changed from consistently above expected to consistently below expected shortly after first being declared an outlier. CONCLUSION: Despite CHQC's strengths, identifying hospitals with higher than expected mortality did not adversely affect their market share or, with one exception, lead to improved outcomes. This failure may have resulted from consumer disinterest or difficulty interpreting CHQC reports, unwillingness of businesses to create incentives targeted to hospitals' performance, and hospitals' inability to develop effective quality improvement programs.

Consumer Behavior↗
PubMed2003

Managed care penetration, insurance status, and access to health care.

BACKGROUND: Access to health care, reflected by an ability to meet one's health needs, is influenced by individual characteristics and the environment. Although managed care activity influences healthcare prices and overall utilization, its relationship to access and its broader effects across different insurance categories has not been well studied. OBJECTIVE: To examine the association between managed care activity and individuals' access to care, and to assess differences in this relationship by insurance status. RESEARCH DESIGN: Cross-sectional survey of households conducted in 1998. SUBJECTS: A sample of 15,613 adult Ohio residents. MEASURES: Self-reported difficulties in obtaining health care, medications, supplies, or medical equipment in the past year. RESULTS: A total of 1248 (8.0%) identified an access problem. In bivariate analyses, these problems were more common among continuously and intermittently uninsured individuals compared with those who were continuously insured during the previous 12 months (P<0.001) and also among those living in areas with more managed care (P=0.01). After accounting for other individual and environmental characteristics in hierarchical analyses, individuals residing in areas with more managed care had 28% higher odds of reporting problems obtaining care than those elsewhere (multivariate odds ratio, 1.28; 95% confidence interval, 1.04-1.58]; P=0.02). No significant interaction between managed care penetration and insurance status was observed. CONCLUSIONS: Greater managed care activity is associated with unfavorable patterns of healthcare access despite an individual's insurance status, suggesting more pervasive effects. Unintended effects should be carefully evaluated when formulating future programs that seek to address disparities in access to care.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2002

Improving the quality of hemodialysis treatment: a community-based randomized controlled trial to overcome patient-specific barriers.

CONTEXT: Mortality rates among US hemodialysis patients are the highest in the industrialized world at 23% per year. Measures of dialysis dose (Kt/V) correspond strongly with survival and are inadequate in one sixth of patients. Inadequate dialysis is also associated with increased hospitalizations and high inpatient costs. Our previous work identified 3 barriers to adequate hemodialysis: dialysis underprescription, catheter use, and shortened treatment time. OBJECTIVE: To determine the effect of a tailored intervention on adequacy of hemodialysis. DESIGN AND SETTING: Community-based randomized controlled trial with recruitment from April 1999 to June 2000 at 29 hemodialysis facilities in northeast Ohio. PARTICIPANTS: Forty-four nephrologists and their 169 randomly selected adult patients receiving inadequate hemodialysis. INTERVENTION: Nephrologists were randomly assigned to an intervention (n = 21) or control (n = 23) group. For patients in the intervention group (n = 85), depending on the barrier(s) present, a study coordinator gave nephrologists recommendations about optimizing dialysis prescriptions, expedited conversion of catheters to surgically created grafts or fistulas, and educated patients about the importance of compliance with treatment time. Patients in the control group (n = 84) continued to receive usual care. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Changes in Kt/V and specific barriers after 6 months. RESULTS: At baseline, intervention and control patients had similar Kt/V measurements, specific barriers, and demographic and medical characteristics. After 6 months, intervention patients had 2-fold larger increases in Kt/V compared with control patients (+0.20 vs +0.10; P<.001) and were more likely to achieve their facility Kt/V goal (62% vs 42%; P =.01). Intervention patients also had nearly 3-fold larger increases in dialysis prescription (+0.16 vs +0.06; P<.001) and were 4 times more likely to change from use of catheters to use of fistulas/grafts (28% vs 7%; P =.04). CONCLUSIONS: An intervention tailored to patient-specific barriers resulted in increased hemodialysis dose. Extending this approach to the 33 000 persons in the United States receiving inadequate hemodialysis may substantially enhance patient survival, diminish hospitalizations, and decrease inpatient expenditures.

Catheters, Indwelling↗
PubMed2002

Mortality trends during a program that publicly reported hospital performance.

BACKGROUND: It is unclear whether publicly reporting hospitals' risk-adjusted mortality leads to improvements in outcomes. OBJECTIVES: To examine mortality trends during a period (1991-1997) when the Cleveland Health Quality Choice program was operational. RESEARCH DESIGN: Time series. SUBJECTS: Medicare patients hospitalized with acute myocardial infarction (AMI; n = 10,439), congestive heart failure (CHF; n = 23,505), gastrointestinal hemorrhage (GIH; n = 11,088), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD; n = 8495), pneumonia (n = 23,719), or stroke (n = 14,293). MEASURES: Risk-adjusted in-hospital mortality, early postdischarge mortality (between discharge and 30 days after admission), and 30-day mortality. RESULTS: Risk-adjusted in-hospital mortality declined significantly for all conditions except stroke and GIH, with absolute declines ranging from -2.1% for COPD to -4.8% for pneumonia. However, the mortality rate in the early postdischarge period rose significantly for all conditions except COPD, with increases ranging from 1.4% for GIH to 3.8% for stroke. As a consequence, the 30-day mortality declined significantly only for CHF (absolute decline 1.4%, 95% CI, -2.5 to -0.1%) and COPD (absolute decline 1.6%, 95% CI, -2.8-0.0%). For stroke, risk-adjusted 30-day mortality actually increased by 4.3% (95% CI, 1.8-7.1%). CONCLUSION: During Cleveland's experiment with hospital report cards, deaths shifted from in hospital to the period immediately after discharge with little or no net reduction in 30-day mortality for most conditions. Hospital profiling remains an unproven strategy for improving outcomes of care for medical conditions. Using in-hospital mortality rates to monitor trends in outcomes for hospitalized patients may lead to spurious conclusions.

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