Adverse events secondary to mistakes, excessive work hours, and sleep deprivation.
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Biomedical subjects
Publications and source records attributed to Roberto Manfredini.
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BACKGROUND: The frequency of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) peaks on Mondays and in the mornings. However, the distribution of the types of acute coronary syndromes (ACS), including unstable angina (UA), has not been systematically evaluated. HYPOTHESIS: The distribution of the types of ACS and clinical presentations varies by time and day of admission. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was conducted in 1,946 consecutive nontransfer ACS admissions (1999-2004) to a tertiary-care academic center to assess presenting clinical variables in patients admitted on days versus nights (6 P.M.-6 A.M.) and weekdays versus weekends (Friday 6 P.M.-Monday 6 A.M.). RESULTS: There were fewer ACS admissions than expected on nights and weekends (p < 0.001), but the proportion of patients with ACS presenting with ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) is 64% higher on weekends (p < 0.001) and 31% higher on nights (p = 0.022). This increased proportion with STEMI results in a greater proportion of ACS with AMI on weekends (up arrow 10%, p = 0.006) and nights (up arrow 7%, p = 0.033). Using multivariate modeling, the increase in patients with AMI on weekends was not explained by conventional risk predictors. CONCLUSIONS: Although fewer patients with ACS presented on nights and weekends, patients at those times were more likely to have an AMI, driven largely by an increased proportion with STEMI at those times. Consideration should be given to these findings when developing clinical care paradigms, health care staffing needs, and when comparing new treatment outcomes in patients with ACS.
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We recently reported the existence of a higher risk of acute aortic dissection (AAD) during the winter months. However, it is not known whether this winter peak is affected by climate. To address this issue, we evaluated data from 969 AAD patients who were enrolled at various sites around the globe and who were participating in the International Registry of Acute Aortic Dissection (IRAD). We found a significant (p = 0.001; chi2 test) difference in the number of AAD events occurring during the different seasons of the year, with highest incidence in winter (28.4%) and lowest incidence in summer (19.9%). Furthermore, the winter peak was evident in both cold and temperate climate settings, suggesting that the relative change in temperature, rather than absolute temperature, and/or endogenous annual rhythms are critical mechanistic factors.
Like many other serious acute cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events, acute myocardial infarction (AMI) shows seasonal variation, being most frequent in the winter. We sought to investigate whether age, gender, and hypertension influence this pattern. We studied 4014 (2259 male and 1755 female) consecutive patients with AMI presenting to St. Anna Hospital of Ferrara, Italy between January 1998 and December 2004. Some 1131 (28.2%) of the AMI occurred in persons <65 yrs of age, and 2883 (71.8%) in those > or =65 yrs of age. AMI was over-represented in males (82% in the <65 yr group vs. 56.6% in the > or =65 yr group (chi2=13.99; p<0.001). Hypertension had been previously documented in 964 (24%) of the cases. There were 691 (17.2%) fatal case outcomes; fatal outcomes were significantly higher among the 3054 normotensive (n=614 or 20.1%) than the 964 hypertensive cases (n=77 or 8%; chi2=74.94, p<0.001). AMIs were most frequent in the winter (n=1076 or 26.8% of all the events) and least in the summer (n=924 or 23.0% of all the events; chi2=12.36, p=0.007). The greatest number of AMIs occurred in December (n=379 or 9.44%), and the lowest number in September (n=293 or 7.3%; chi2=11.1, p=0.001). Inferential chronobiological (Cosinor) analysis identified a significant annual pattern in AMI in those > or =65 yrs of age, with a peak between December and February-January for the total sample (p<0.005), January for the sample of males (p=0.014), February for fatal infarctions (p=0.017), and December for non-fatal infarctions (p=0.006). No such temporal variations were detected in any of these categories in those <65 yrs of age. The annual pattern in AMI was also verified by Cosinor analysis in the following hypertensive subgroups: hypertensive males (n=552: January, p=0.014), non-fatal infarctions in hypertensive patients (n=887: January, p=0.018), and elderly normotensives (n=1556: November, p=0.007).
The risk of acute aortic dissection (AAD) exhibits chronobiological variations with peak onset in the morning and in winter. However, it is not known whether the time of day or season of the year of the AAD affects clinical outcomes. We studied 1,032 patients enrolled in the International Registry of Acute Aortic Dissection from January 1997 to December 2001. For circadian and seasonal analysis, the time and date of symptom onset were available for 741 and 1,007 patients, respectively, and were grouped into four 6h periods (morning, afternoon, evening, and night) and four seasons (winter, spring, summer, and autumn). The chi2 test for goodness of fit was used to evaluate non-uniformity of the time of day and time of year for critical in-hospital clinical events, including death. While highest incidence of AAD occurred in the morning and winter, clinical events (including mortality) were similar during the four different periods of the 24 h (chi2 = 1.9, p = 0.60) and seasonal (chi2 = 1.2, p = 0.75) periods.
Stroke is the culmination of a heterogeneous group of cerebrovascular diseases that is manifested as ischemia or hemorrhage of one or more blood vessels of the brain. The occurrence of many acute cardiovascular events--such as myocardial infarction, sudden cardiac death, pulmonary embolism, critical limb ischemia, and aortic aneurysm rupture--exhibits prominent 24 h patterning, with a major morning peak and secondary early evening peak. The incidence of stroke exhibits the same 24 h pattern. Although ischemic and hemorrhagic strokes are different entities and are characterized by different pathophysiological mechanisms, they share an identical double-peak 24 h pattern. A constellation of endogenous circadian rhythms and exogenous cyclic factors are involved. The staging of the circadian rhythms in vascular tone, coagulative balance, and blood pressure plus temporal patterns in posture, physical activity, emotional stress, and medication effects play central and/or triggering roles. Features of the circadian rhythm of blood pressure, in terms of their chronic and acute effects on cerebral vessels, and of coagulation are especially important. Clinical medicine has been most concerned with the prevention of stroke in the morning, when population-based studies show it is of greatest risk during the 24 h; however, improved protection of at-risk patients against stroke in the early evening, the second most vulnerable time of cerebrovascular accidents, has received relatively little attention thus far.
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The natriuretic peptides are hormones released mainly from the cardiac ventricles in response to increased wall tension, and involved in volume homeostasis and cardiovascular remodeling. At today, Atrial Natriuretic Peptide (ANP), Brain Natriuretic Peptide (BNP) and C-type Natriuretic Peptide (CNP) have been identified. BNP is the more utilized, secondary to its major expression of left ventricle function. Recently, it has opened up the potential for the utilization of atrial natriuretic peptides in the everyday clinical practice. The levels of B-type natriuretic peptide are elevated in patients with left ventricular dysfunction and they correlate with both the severity of symptoms and the prognosis. Observational studies have suggested that, when used in conjunction with other clinical information, rapid measurement of B-type natriuretic peptide in the emergency department may be useful in establishing or ruling out the diagnosis of heart failure in patients with acute dyspnea. Furthermore, plasma peptide levels predicted the risk of death and cardiovascular events after adjustment for traditional risk factors. BNP has been studied also in myocardial ischemia: in ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction, BNP rise substantially and rapidly. Elevated levels of BNP can also be detected in patients presenting with non-ST-segment elevation acute coronary syndromes, and even in those with transient myocardial ischemia exercise-induced.
AIM: A circannual variation in the onset of several acute diseases, mostly dealing with cardiovascular system, has been reported. The present study was to verify the possible existence of a seasonal variability in the onset of acute pancreatitis. METHODS: All patients consecutively admitted to the Hospital of Ferrara, Italy, between January 1998 to December 2002, whose discharge diagnosis was acute pancreatitis, were considered. According to the time of admission, cases were categorized into twelve 1-mo intervals and in four periods by season. chi (2) test for goodness of fit and partial Fourier series were used for statistical analysis. RESULTS: During the study period, 549 cases of acute pancreatitis were observed. A significant peak of higher incidence was found in March-May, both for total population, males and subgroups with and without cholelithiasis or alcoholism. Fourier analysis showed the existence of a circannual rhythmic pattern with its main peak in March (95% C.L.: February-April, P = 0.005), and a secondary one in September. Death occurred more frequently in December-February, compared to the other periods (P = 0.029), and chronobiologic analysis yielded a seasonal peak in November-December (P<0.001). CONCLUSION: This study shows the existence of a circannual variation in the onset of acute pancreatitis, with a significantly higher frequency of events in the spring, especially for patients with cholelithiasis or alcoholism. Moreover, events occurring during the colder months seem to be characterized by a higher mortality rate.
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