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Biomedical subjects

Ron Goeree

Publications and source records attributed to Ron Goeree.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources
PubMed2006

Effect of a clinical pathway to reduce hospitalizations in nursing home residents with pneumonia: a randomized controlled trial.

CONTEXT: Nursing home residents with pneumonia are frequently hospitalized. Such transfers may be associated with multiple hazards of hospitalization as well as economic costs. OBJECTIVE: To assess whether using a clinical pathway for on-site treatment of pneumonia and other lower respiratory tract infections in nursing homes could reduce hospital admissions, related complications, and costs. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: A cluster randomized controlled trial of 680 residents aged 65 years or older in 22 nursing homes in Hamilton, Ontario, Canada. Nursing homes began enrollment between January 2, 2001, and April 18, 2002, with the last resident follow-up occurring July 4, 2005. Residents were eligible if they met a standardized definition of lower respiratory tract infection. INTERVENTIONS: Treatment in nursing homes according to a clinical pathway, which included use of oral antimicrobials, portable chest radiographs, oxygen saturation monitoring, rehydration, and close monitoring by a research nurse, or usual care. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Hospital admissions, length of hospital stay, mortality, health-related quality of life, functional status, and cost. RESULTS: Thirty-four (10%) of 327 residents in the clinical pathway group were hospitalized compared with 76 (22%) of 353 residents in the usual care group. Adjusting for clustering of residents in nursing homes, the weighted mean reduction in hospitalizations was 12% (95% confidence interval [CI], 5%-18%; P = .001). The mean number of hospital days per resident was 0.79 in the clinical pathway group vs 1.74 in the usual care group, with a weighted mean difference of 0.95 days per resident (95% CI, 0.34-1.55 days; P = .004). The mortality rate was 8% (24 deaths) in the clinical pathway group vs 9% (32 deaths) in the usual care group, with a weighted mean difference of 2.9% (95% CI, -2.0% to 7.9%; P = .23). There were no significant differences between the groups in health-related quality of life or functional status. The clinical pathway resulted in an overall cost savings of US 1016 dollars per resident (95% CI, 207 dollars-1824 dollars) treated. CONCLUSION: Treating residents of nursing homes with pneumonia and other lower respiratory tract infections with a clinical pathway can result in comparable clinical outcomes, while reducing hospitalizations and health care costs. TRIAL REGISTRATION: clinicaltrials.gov Identifier: NCT00157612.

Aged↗
PubMed2006

Economics methods in the Clinical Outcomes Utilizing percutaneous coronary Revascularization and Aggressive Guideline-driven drug Evaluation (COURAGE) trial.

Percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) remains a major therapeutic option for the treatment of chronic coronary artery disease. In the COURAGE trial, 2287 patients with chronic coronary disease were randomized between PCI with medical management and medical management alone. Embedded within the COURAGE trial is a detailed economic analysis being conducted in three health care systems: the US Veterans Administration (VA), Canada, and the US non-VA. Resource use and costs are being collected for each system and overall. Survival is assessed internally in the trial with mean follow-up of 4.5 years. Long-term mean survival will be estimated by projecting survival beyond the trial period by extrapolating the in-trial hazard rates. Utility is being assessed at baseline and at 1, 3, and 6 months and annually thereafter, using a computer-administered standard gamble. Quality-adjusted life years are calculated by multiplying survival by utility. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of PCI will be defined as the additional cost of PCI divided by the gain in life years and quality-adjusted life years. The 95% confidence regions of efficacy and costs will be determined by bootstrap over a range of acceptability thresholds, which will then be displayed in the cost-effectiveness plane and as a cost-effectiveness acceptability curve. A multilevel regression model will assess cost-effectiveness from a net benefit perspective. These approaches should provide the most detailed assessment available of the cost-effectiveness of PCI for coronary artery disease.

Angioplasty, Balloon, Coronary↗
PubMed2006

A comparison between integrating clinical practice setting and randomized controlled trial setting into economic evaluation models of therapeutics.

BACKGROUND: Cost-effectiveness analyses generated from randomized controlled trials (RCTs) represent results obtained under ideal experimental conditions (efficacy) and the applicability of these data to real-world settings (effectiveness) may be questionable. OBJECTIVE: To compare cost-effectiveness results obtained from a RCT setting with the results derived from community-based clinical practice. METHODS: Using data from a community-based cohort study and from a RCT, two cost-effectiveness analyses were performed and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were calculated for the use of etanercept in the treatment of patients with rheumatoid arthritis. RESULTS: Using an effectiveness-based analysis, the mean quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) gained during the 12-month monitoring period were 0.45 and 0.35 for the treatment and control groups respectively. The ICER for etanercept treatment was 174,200 dollars (CDN) per QALY (95% confidence limits between 119,500 dollars and 285,000 dollars). Incorporating efficacy data obtained from the RCT into the analysis, the mean QALYs gained were 0.56 and 0.35 for the treatment and control groups respectively. This resulted in a substantially lower ICER for etanercept treatment of 82,952 dollars per QALY (95% confidence limits between 66,500 dollars and 103,430 dollars). CONCLUSION: Depending on the type of clinical setting used for the analysis, the resulting ICER for etanercept treatment was very different. These results help to explain the difference in cost-effectiveness reported in previous modeling studies, some based on RCT assumptions and some based on effectiveness setting.

Anti-Inflammatory Agents, Non-Steroidal↗
PubMed2006

A randomized controlled trial of laparoscopic nissen fundoplication versus proton pump inhibitors for treatment of patients with chronic gastroesophageal reflux disease: One-year follow-up.

A randomized controlled trial conducted in patients with gastroesophageal reflux disease compared optimized medical therapy using proton pump inhibitor (n = 52) with laparoscopic Nissen fundoplication (n = 52). Patients were monitored for 1 year. The primary end point was frequency of gastroesophageal reflux dis-ease symptoms. Surgical patients had improved symptoms, pH control, and overall quality of life health index after surgery at 1 year compared with the medical group. The overall gastroesophageal reflux disease symptom score at 1 year was unchanged in the medical patients, but improved in the surgical patients. Fourteen patients in the medical arm experienced symptom relapse requiring titration of the proton pump inhibitor dose, but 6 had satisfactory symptom remission. No surgical patients required additional treatment for symptom control. Patients controlled on long-term proton pump inhibitor therapy for chronic gastroesophageal reflux disease are excellent surgical candidates and should experience improved symptom control after surgery at 1 year.

Adult↗
PubMed2006

Cost-effectiveness of alternative treatments for women with osteoporosis in Canada.

BACKGROUND: During the years following menopause, estrogen levels decline leading to accelerated bone loss and an increased risk of osteoporosis and osteoporosis-related fractures. METHODS: Using a Markov model and decision analytic techniques, the long-term costs and outcomes of five treatment and secondary prevention strategies for osteoporosis were compared: 'no intervention', alendronate, etidronate, risedronate, and raloxifene. The base case analysis examined postmenopausal (65 year old) osteoporotic women without prior fracture. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis (PSA) was used to incorporate the impact of parameter uncertainty, and deterministic sensitivity analysis (DSA) was used to compare alternative patient populations and modeling assumptions. Life years and Quality Adjusted Life Years (QALYs) were used as measures of effectiveness. RESULTS: In the base case analysis, risedronate was dominated by etidronate and alendronate. Alendronate and etidronate were projected to have similar costs and QALYs, and the efficiency frontier was represented by 'no intervention', etidronate, alendronate, and raloxifene (Can$32 571, Can$38 623 and Can$114 070 per QALY respectively). Alternative assumptions of raloxifene's impact on CHD and breast cancer, alternative discount rates and alternative patient risk factors (e.g., starting age of therapy, CHD risk, and prior fracture risk) had significant impacts on the overall cost-effectiveness results for both the bisphosphonates and raloxifene. DISCUSSION: Using conventionally quoted benchmarks and compared to no therapy, alendronate, etidronate, and raloxifene would all be considered cost-effective alternatives for treating women with osteoporosis. Potential limitations of this study include the usual caveats and cautions associated with long-term projection models and the fact that not all inputs into the model are Canadian data sources.

Aged↗
PubMed2006

Economic evaluation of rivastigmine in patients with Parkinson's disease dementia.

BACKGROUND: The positive results of a randomised clinical trial of rivastigmine in patients with dementia associated with Parkinson's disease have been published recently. Patient-level healthcare utilisation data were also collected, and this report is the economic evaluation based on these data. OBJECTIVE: To determine the cost effectiveness of rivastigmine 3-12 mg/day in patients in whom mild to moderate dementia developed at least 2 years after they received a clinical diagnosis of Parkinson's disease. METHODS: A cost-effectiveness analysis was performed by applying Canadian and UK cost weights (year 2004 values) to healthcare utilisation data collected prospectively during a randomised, double-blind, multinational, 24-week trial of rivastigmine 3-12 mg/day (n = 362) versus placebo (n = 179). Patients were > or =50 years of age, had a Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) score of between 20 and 24 and had contact with a responsible caregiver at least 3 days a week.Quality-adjusted survival time, transformed from MMSE scores, was the measure of effectiveness. Caregiver costs included paid and unpaid time, and direct costs included concomitant medications, outpatient care, hospitalisations, long-term care and study medications. Analysis was conducted from a societal perspective with a time horizon of 24 weeks. RESULTS: Consistent with the improvement in clinical outcomes, there was an observed increase in quality-adjusted survival time in the rivastigmine arm of 2.81 quality-adjusted life-days (two-sided p-value 0.13 [90% CI -0.243, 5.86]). Using Canadian price weights, there was an observed increase in cost in the rivastigmine arm of Can 55.76 dollars(two-sided p-value 0.98 [90% CI -3431, 3543]), with a resulting incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of Can 7429 dollars per QALY. Using UK price weights, there was an observed decrease in cost in the rivastigmine arm of pound 26.18 (two-sided p-value 0.99 [90% CI -2407, 2355]). CONCLUSION: Although no between-treatment differences in cost were seen, the small sample size, highly variable cost distributions and short time horizon prevent us from making strong conclusions with regard to the effect of rivastigmine on total costs and, by inference, on cost effectiveness.

Aged↗
PubMed2006

Building bridges between academic research and policy formulation: the PRUFE framework - an integral part of Ontario's evidence-based HTPA process.

Healthcare expenditure in Ontario has been escalating at increasing rates and a growing proportion of this has come from medical devices and other technologies. A comprehensive evidence-based process for the assessment of new health technologies in Ontario was recently established (the Health Technology Policy Analysis [HTPA] process). Requests for funding for new technologies are directed through a department of the Ministry called the Medical Advisory Secretariat (MAS) who, using a systematic and evidence-based approach, provides information on the safety, effectiveness, and cost effectiveness of the technology to the Ontario Health Technology Advisory Committee (OHTAC). If the OHTAC determines that the evidentiary base for making recommendations is too uncertain, a request is made to reduce this uncertainty through the conduct of a 'real world' Ontario-based study. The Program for Assessment of Technology in Health (PATH) reduction of Uncertainty through Field Evaluation (PRUFE) framework is an iterative process for collecting new information, updating prior knowledge and providing new 'real world' evidence back to the Ministry regarding the cost effectiveness of new health technologies. MAS/OHTAC has undertaken evidence-based analyses for >50 new technologies. The PRUFE framework has been successful for reducing uncertainty and controlling healthcare expenditures while providing access and improving patient outcomes.

Biomedical Research↗
PubMed2005

A randomized trial of strategies for assessing eligibility for long-term domiciliary oxygen therapy.

RATIONALE: Restricting oxygen administration to those who benefit is desirable. OBJECTIVE: To determine the impact of alternative strategies for assessing eligibility for domiciliary oxygen on funded oxygen use, quality of life, and costs. METHODS: We randomized applicants for domiciliary oxygen therapy to an assessment system that relied on data collected by oxygen providers at the time of application and judgments by Home Oxygen Program personnel (conventional assessment) or to a system of data collection by a respiratory therapist that included, in patients unstable at the time of initial assessment, a repeat assessment after 2 months of stability (alternative assessment). MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: A total of 276 applicants were allocated to the conventional arm and 270 to the alternative assessment. In the year after application, oxygen use was lower in the alternative arm with no between-group differences in mortality, quality of life, or resource use in the community. Although alternative assessment applicants had on average higher assessment costs by dollars Canadian 155 per applicant, these costs were more than offset by decreased Home Oxygen Program costs of dollars Canadian 596 per applicant using Canadian cost weights. The comparable U.S. dollar figures were dollars US 309 and dollars US 432, respectively, and the difference in cost between strategies was therefore smaller using U.S. cost weights. CONCLUSIONS: Reassessment of applicants for domiciliary oxygen after several months of stability identifies an appreciable portion of initially eligible patients who are no longer eligible, thus reducing program costs to public funders without adverse consequences on quality of life, mortality, or other resource use.

Aged↗
PubMed2005

Country specific cost comparisons from multinational clinical trials using empirical Bayesian shrinkage estimation: the Canadian ASSENT-3 economic analysis.

The growing number of multinational clinical trials in which patient-level health care resource data are collected have raised the issue of which is the best approach for making inference for individual countries with respect to the between-treatment difference in mean cost. We describe and discuss the relative merits of three approaches. The first uses the random effects pooled estimate from all countries to estimate the difference for any particular country. The second approach estimates the difference using only the data from the specific country in question. Using empirical Bayes estimation a third approach estimates the country-specific difference using a variance-weighted linear sum of the estimates provided by the other two approaches. The approaches are illustrated and compared using the data from the ASSENT-3 trial.

Abciximab↗
PubMed2005

Cost-effectiveness of physiologic pacing: results of the Canadian Health Economic Assessment of Physiologic Pacing.

OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to determine the cost-effectiveness of physiologic pacemakers. BACKGROUND: The Canadian Trial of Physiologic Pacing (CTOPP) was a large randomized trial that evaluated the efficacy of physiologic pacing compared with ventricular pacing. CTOPP also included a prospective cost-effectiveness substudy. METHODS: Resource usage and costs were collected from a subset of 472 patients (of 1,094) who received a physiologic pacemaker and 586 (of 1,474) who received a ventricular pacemaker. Costs included initial pacemaker implantation and all health care follow-up costs over a follow-up of 5.2 years. Costs are reported in 2004 Canadian dollars (1 Canadian dollar = 0.76 US dollars), with adjustments for censoring. Incremental cost-effectiveness was estimated as the ratio of the difference (treatment-control) in mean cost to the difference in life expectancy (mean survival), with costs and effects discounted at 3% per year. RESULTS: Over a mean follow-up of 3.1 years, physiologic pacing was associated with a gain of 0.01 life-years. This benefit increases to 0.25 life-years in the subgroup of patients with an intrinsic (unpaced) heart rate < or =60 bpm. Physiologic pacing was more expensive than ventricular (16,833 Canadian dollars vs 13,857 US dollars), largely because of the increased cost of dual-chamber devices. Among all substudy patients, the incremental cost-effectiveness of physiologic pacing is 297,600 Canadian dollars per life-year gained; however, this value falls to 16,343 Canadian dollars in patients with an intrinsic heart rate >60. CONCLUSIONS: In the short term, a strategy of routine implantation of physiologic pacemakers is not cost-effective by currently accepted standards. The selective use of these devices in patients likely to be pacemaker dependent appears to be cost-effective. Further studies with longer follow-up and which consider the benefit of reducing nonfatal cardiac events would be valuable.

Arrhythmias, Cardiac↗
PubMed2005

Antiviral agents for influenza: a comparison of cost-effectiveness data.

The economic burden of influenza-related illness has been estimated to be 71.3-166 billion US dollars in the US, the majority of which is attributable to indirect costs as a result of lost productivity. There are currently four antiviral drugs available for the treatment of influenza: two ion channel blockers, amantadine and rimantadine; and two neuraminidase inhibitors, zanamivir and oseltamivir. The objective of this paper was to review the studies evaluating the cost effectiveness of currently available antiviral treatment and prophylaxis management strategies for influenza. Published studies that reported both costs and effectiveness of influenza management were extracted using MEDLINE, pre-MEDLINE and EMBASE. To facilitate a broad comparison, all costs were inflated to 2003 US dollars. Fifteen studies met the inclusion criteria of the review, with 14 analyses based on decision-analytic modelling and one economic analysis performed alongside a clinical trial. Management strategies included antiviral influenza prophylaxis or vaccination, empiric treatment of suspected disease, or antiviral treatment following rapid influenza testing. Study populations included healthy adults, adults at risk of influenza-related adverse outcomes, institutionalised and non-institutionalised elderly, and children. The comparator in all studies was standard care (i.e. over-the-counter medications only), and analyses were carried out from both the societal and payer perspectives. The only dominant strategy relative to standard care was vaccination of the institutionalised elderly. All other strategies in all populations were both more costly and more effective than standard care. Depending on the population and the perspective, the incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) for antiviral treatment strategies ranged from 5000 US dollars/QALY for amantadine in test-and-treat studies to >400,000 US dollars/QALY for zanamivir or oseltamivir treatment in children. Sensitivity analysis in all studies consistently reported a strong influence of the population prevalence or diagnostic accuracy of influenza on the cost effectiveness of all strategies. Baseline influenza prevalence varied widely between studies, ranging from 15% to 68%. There was also a wide variation in the assumption about the disutility of influenza (ranging from -0.137 to -0.983 for the elderly requiring hospitalisation), which also impacted the cost effectiveness. Given the variation in the ICERs of antiviral treatment and prophylaxis, the uncertainty around many model parameters, and the dynamic nature of influenza from year to year, one can only conclude that antiviral treatment or prophylaxis for influenza is likely to be more cost effective in specific populations at specific times during the influenza season, and during influenza seasons when the population prevalence reaches epidemic levels or there is mismatch between the vaccine and the circulating virus.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2005

Canadian Cardiovascular Society/Canadian Heart Rhythm Society position paper on implantable cardioverter defibrillator use in Canada.

The Canadian Heart Rhythm Society in conjunction with the Canadian Cardiovascular Society is committed to the promotion of evidence-based practice in Canada. Since the last Canadian guidelines on the management of sudden cardiac death were published in 2000, several well-conducted clinical trials evaluating the implantable cardioverter defibrillator have been completed and published. The Canadian Cardiovascular Society Council has granted permission to review and update guidelines for the indications for implantable cardioverter defibrillators. Furthermore, data are emerging on the potential benefits of biventricular pacing therapy (cardiac resynchronization) for heart failure; recommendations for the use of this therapy have been included in the present paper. Ethical considerations and the economic implications of these recommendations are also included. Canada's heart rhythm specialists, represented by the Canadian Heart Rhythm Society, have been joined by two heart failure specialists, a medical ethicist and an economist, to develop the present position paper. Members of the Canadian Heart Rhythm Society participated in the discussion of these recommendations in open forum meetings and by electronic communication.

Death, Sudden, Cardiac↗
PubMed2003

A randomized controlled trial of a pharmacist consultation program for family physicians and their elderly patients.

BACKGROUND: Pharmacists can improve patient outcomes in institutional and pharmacy settings, but little is known about their effectiveness as consultants to primary care physicians. We examined whether an intervention by a specially trained pharmacist could reduce the number of daily medication units taken by elderly patients, as well as costs and health care use. METHODS: We conducted a randomized controlled trial in family practices in 24 sites in Ontario. We randomly allocated 48 randomly selected family physicians (69.6% participation rate) to the intervention or the control arm, along with 889 (69.5% participation rate) of their randomly selected community-dwelling, elderly patients who were taking 5 or more medications daily. In the intervention group, pharmacists conducted face-to-face medication reviews with the patients and then gave written recommendations to the physicians to resolve any drug-related problems. Process outcomes included the number of drug-related problems identified among the senior citizens in the intervention arm and the proportion of recommendations implemented by the physicians. RESULTS: After 5 months, seniors in the intervention and control groups were taking a mean of 12.4 and 12.2 medication units per day respectively (p = 0.50). There were no statistically significant differences in health care use or costs between groups. A mean of 2.5 drug-related problems per senior was identified in the intervention arm. Physicians implemented or attempted to implement 72.3% (790/1093) of the recommendations. INTERPRETATION: The intervention did not have a significant effect on patient outcomes. However, physicians were receptive to the recommendations to resolve drug-related problems, suggesting that collaboration between physicians and pharmacists is feasible.

Aged↗
PubMed2003

Validation of the GSFQ, a self-administered symptom frequency questionnaire for patients with gastroesophageal reflux disease.

BACKGROUND: Although the diagnosis of gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) is based primarily on symptoms experienced by a patient, relatively little attention has been paid to the development and validation of self-administered questionnaires specific to GERD symptoms. The present article presents the validation of the short, self-administered GERD Symptom Frequency Questionnaire (GSFQ). METHODS: Patients with GERD participating in a randomized clinical trial comparing pantoprazole and nizatidine were asked to complete the GSFQ together with validated instruments for measurement of health-related quality of life (Medical Outcome Study Short Form 12) and gastrointestinal symptoms (Gastrointestinal Symptom Rating Scale). Completion of the GSFQ, Medical Outcome Study Short Form 12 and Gastrointestinal Symptom Rating Scale took place upon entry into the trial (baseline) and during the trial (days 7 and 28). Endoscopy was performed at baseline and after 28 days. Cronbach alpha was used to assess the internal consistency of the questionnaire. The test-retest reliability of the GSFQ was examined by the intraclass correlation coefficient among the 36 patients with stable GERD symptoms between day 7 and day 28. Construct validity was assessed by comparing the GSFQ with previously validated instruments. Known group validity was determined by comparing GSFQ scores across groups of patients known to differ clinically. Responsiveness to change was assessed by the Guyatt's statistic. RESULTS: Two hundred twenty-one patients formed the study baseline group. The analysis demonstrated that the GSFQ questionnaire had excellent psychometric properties shown by the high internal consistency (Cronbach alpha 0.84); that the test-retest reliability was satisfactory (intraclass correlation coefficient 0.64); that there was good evidence that the GSFQ indeed measured what it was intended to measure (validity); and that the GSFQ was highly responsive to change (Guyatt's statistic 1.48). DISCUSSION: The GSFQ is a short, self-administered, easy to use, GERD-specific questionnaire which should be considered as a useful assessment tool in the evaluation of patients with GERD and in the assessment of treatment outcomes.

2-Pyridinylmethylsulfinylbenzimidazoles↗
PubMedDate not supplied

Cost-effectiveness and cost-utility of long-term management strategies for heartburn.

OBJECTIVES: To compare the expected costs and outcomes of seven alternative long-term primary care strategies for the management of patients with moderate-to-severe heartburn over a 1-year period. METHODS: A decision-analytic model was developed to estimate costs and effects (weeks with heartburn symptoms and quality adjusted life years [QALYs]) for each strategy. Meta-analyses were used to synthesize acute treatment and maintenance studies and physician surveys to collect information on patient management. The impact of uncertainty on the base case results was assessed using probabilistic sensitivity analysis. Probability distributions were defined for key model parameters and techniques of Monte Carlo simulation were used to draw values from these distributions. Cost-effectiveness acceptability curves (CEACs) conditional on the monetary value decision makers are willing to pay for a symptom-free day or QALY were created for each strategy. RESULTS: In the base case, no strategy was strictly dominated by any other strategy. However, two strategies (maintenance H2-receptor antagonists H2RA] and step-down proton pump inhibitor PPI]) were dominated through principles of extended dominance. The least costly and least effective strategy was intermittent H2RA, while maintenance PPI was the most costly and most effective. CONCLUSIONS: This analysis showed that the best way of managing patients with heartburn depends on how much society is willing to pay to achieve health improvements. Based on the commonly quoted threshold of US 50,000 dollars per QALY, the optimal primary care strategy for managing patients with moderate-to-severe heartburn symptoms is to treat the symptoms with a PPI followed by maintenance therapy with an H2RA to prevent symptomatic recurrence.

Canada↗
PubMedDate not supplied

Oseltamivir for treatment of influenza in healthy adults: pooled trial evidence and cost-effectiveness model for Canada.

BACKGROUND: Influenza is a common viral respiratory infection that is associated with significant morbidity. Oseltamivir (Tamiflu) is a neuraminidase inhibitor-a new class of antiviral treatment for influenza where efficacy and safety has been established but cost-effectiveness is unknown. METHODS: A decision analytic model was used to estimate the costs and effectiveness of two treatment scenarios for empiric management of otherwise healthy nonelderly patients, presenting with influenza-like illness (ILI) to primary care physicians in Canada: 1) where oseltamivir is reimbursed and on formulary for prescription; and 2) where oseltamivir is not on formulary. Outcomes are influenza-days averted and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) gained. Effectiveness, utility, and pneumonia complication risk estimates are by pooled analysis of patient-level data from four clinical trials. Unit cost information (Canadian dollars) was obtained from published sources in Ontario. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis was conducted using Monte Carlo simulation. RESULTS: Of 2288 patients randomized, influenza was confirmed in 1575 (69%) and oseltamivir treatment reduced the mean time to symptom alleviation by 1.08 days (95% confidence interval CI] 0.58-1.59). Infected patients treated with oseltamivir had higher utility scores (quality of life) than placebo patients over the 7 days of follow-up (P <.05). Cost per influenza-day averted with oseltamivir on formulary is 49 US dollars (95% CI 31-107) and the cost per QALY is 57,863 US dollars (95% CI 48,919- 70,149 US dollars). Results are sensitive to the percentage of patients presenting to their physician beyond 48 hours from symptom onset who get oseltamivir and the prevalence of influenza among patients presenting with ILI. CONCLUSIONS: Oseltamivir for treatment of patients with ILI is potentially cost-effective if clinical diagnostic specificity for influenza observed in clinical trials is applicable to routine practice. More population-based information on the prevalence of influenza among early (<48 hours) presenters with ILI would be valuable.

Acetamides↗