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Biomedical subjects

S A Ogston

Publications and source records attributed to S A Ogston.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources
PubMed2007

Increasing prevalence of type 2 diabetes in a Scottish population: effect of increasing incidence or decreasing mortality?

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: We examined incidence, prevalence and mortality from type 2 diabetes mellitus in a Scottish population over 12 years, and evaluated the effects on prevalence of increasing incidence and decreasing mortality. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We used a diabetes clinical information system in Tayside (population 387,908), Scotland, to identify new cases of type 2 diabetes between 1993 and 2004 and to calculate incidence rates and mid-year prevalence. We defined mortality rates as the number of deaths of diabetic people divided by mid-year prevalence. We used logistic and Poisson regression to analyse trends. We then modelled the increase in prevalence for each year for three scenarios, based on whether mortality or incidence rates remained unchanged from 1993. RESULTS: There was a doubling in incidence and prevalence of type 2 diabetes in Tayside over the 12 years, with statistically significant increasing trends of 6.3 and 6.7% per year respectively. The mortality rate decreased. If incidence and mortality had remained at 1993 levels, there would have been an increase in prevalence of 855 per 100,000 in 2003, accounting for 60.1% of the actual increase of 1,423 per 100,000. If there had been no mortality decrease, prevalence in 2003 would have been very similar to the actual prevalence observed. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Decreasing mortality rates in Tayside had less effect on the increase in prevalence than did increasing incidence. Even if incidence and mortality remain unchanged, prevalence will increase by over 20% in the next decade.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2006

Risk of mortality and adverse cardiovascular outcomes in type 2 diabetes: a comparison of patients treated with sulfonylureas and metformin.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: The aim of this study was to evaluate the risk of adverse cardiovascular outcomes in patients with type 2 diabetes newly treated with sulfonylureas and metformin. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: The Diabetes Audit and Research in Tayside Scotland (DARTS) diabetes information system and the Medicines Monitoring Unit (MEMO) dispensed prescribing database for the population of Tayside, Scotland (400,000 people) were employed. Patients newly prescribed with oral hypoglycaemic agents between 1994 and 2001 were classified into five study cohorts according to the treatment received: metformin only, sulfonylureas only, sulfonylureas added to metformin, metformin added to sulfonylureas, and both drugs simultaneously. In Cox regression analyses, we estimated relative risks for all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality and cardiovascular hospital admission for patients in the five study cohorts, with metformin monotherapy as the reference group. RESULTS: Of the 5,730 study patients, 1,000 died during a maximum of 8 years follow-up. Patients in the sulfonylureas only cohort had increased risks of mortality and cardiovascular mortality, with unadjusted relative risks of 3.12 (95% CI 2.54-3.84) and 3.71 (95% CI 2.64-5.22), respectively. After adjusting for differences between groups (age, sex, duration of diabetes, blood pressure, cholesterol, HbA(1c), smoking, previous hospital admission, treatment with cardiovascular medication), these relative risks were 1.43 (95% CI 1.15-1.77) and 1.70 (95% CI 1.18-2.45), respectively. Patients in the combination cohorts had significantly increased risks of cardiovascular hospital admission, as well as increased risks of mortality and cardiovascular mortality. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: In this cohort study of patients newly treated with oral hypoglycaemic agents, those treated with sulfonylureas only, or combinations of sulfonylureas and metformin, were at higher risk of adverse cardiovascular outcomes than those treated with metformin alone.

Adult↗
PubMed2005

QT interval abnormalities are often present at diagnosis in diabetes and are better predictors of cardiac death than ankle brachial pressure index and autonomic function tests.

OBJECTIVES: To study serial measures of maximum QT interval corrected for heart rate (QTc) and QT dispersion (QTD) and their association with cardiac mortality patients with non-insulin dependent diabetes and to compare QT abnormalities with other mortality predictors (ankle brachial pressure index (ABPI) and autonomic function tests) in their ability to predict cardiac death. SETTING: Teaching hospital. METHODS AND PATIENTS: QT interval analysis, heart rate (RR) variation in response to deep breathing and standing, and ABPI were analysed in 192 patients with non-insulin dependent diabetes. Cardiac death was the primary end point. RESULTS: Mean (SD) follow up was 12.7 (3.2) years (range 1.2-17.1 years). There were 48 deaths, of which 26 were cardiac. QTc and QTD were individually significant predictors of cardiac mortality throughout the follow up period (p < 0.001). The predictability of QT parameters was superior to the predictability of ABPI and RR interval analysis. Temporal changes in QT parameters showed that the mean absolute QT parameter was a significant predictor of cardiac death (p < 0.001), whereas an intraindividual change in QT parameter over time was not predictive. CONCLUSION: QT abnormalities seem to exist at the point of diagnosis of diabetes and do not appear to change between then and the subsequent cardiac death. Furthermore, the analysis of QT interval is superior to ABPI and the RR interval in identifying diabetic patients at high risk of cardiac death.

Adult↗
PubMed2003

Observer variability in the Goseki grouping of gastric adenocarcinoma in resection and biopsy specimens.

AIMS: The Goseki grouping of gastric adenocarcinoma has been suggested as a possible prognostic factor. In those centres where it is used, it may be valuable to assess the Goseki grouping of a tumour on the initial diagnostic biopsy as well as on the resection specimen since it may in theory influence management. We examined the robustness of Goseki grouping of gastric adenocarcinoma in representative sections from resection and biopsy specimens in order to assess the consistency of agreement among a group of pathologists. METHODS: A single representative block from 100 gastric resection specimens was studied using a haematoxylin and eosin and mucin (alcian blue/periodic acid-Schiff) stain. These were circulated in batches to members of a group of 12 pathologists who each completed a simple proforma confirming the presence of carcinoma and assigning a Goseki group. In a second circulation the diagnostic biopsy specimen taken prior to resection was examined in the same way. This allowed comparison of the Goseki group of the biopsy and resection specimens. RESULTS: In both studies kappa statistics showed good agreement on tubular differentiation of the carcinoma, but only moderate agreement for the intracellular mucin production, resulting in moderate agreement for the final Goseki group. Correlation between the Goseki group assigned on the biopsy and resected specimens was seen in 62% of the cases. However, the reproducibility was low (kappa 0.375). CONCLUSIONS: The Goseki grouping of resected gastric adenocarcinoma is reproducible and can be used in prognostication. Goseki grouping of biopsy specimens is of limited value in predicting the Goseki group assigned to the resected carcinoma.

Adenocarcinoma↗
PubMed2003

Airway-stabilizing effect of long-acting beta2-agonists as add-on therapy to inhaled corticosteroids.

BACKGROUND: The protection afforded by long-acting beta(2)-agonists against bronchoconstrictor stimuli can be regarded as a surrogate for their stabilizing effects on airway smooth muscle. AIM: To determine the magnitude of residual bronchoprotection after chronic dosing with long-acting beta(2)-agonists. DESIGN: Retrospective meta-analysis. METHODS: Medline, BIDS and Cochrane Library databases were searched from 1990. A meta-analysis was then performed of 13 eligible randomized placebo-controlled trials (596 patients) in which second-line treatment with a long-acting beta(2)-agonist (salmeterol or formoterol) was used for 1 week or more. The residual protection against bronchoconstrictor stimuli as doubling dose/dilution shift was the main outcome measure. RESULTS: Data were assessed according to Quorum criteria. Combining the results of the meta-analysis, the overall estimated protection amounted to a 0.79 (95%CI 0.63-0.96) doubling dose/dilution shift from placebo. Subgroup analysis showed greater protection at peak vs. trough, but no difference between formoterol vs. salmeterol, or between direct vs. indirect challenge. There was no evidence of significant heterogeneity across all the studies, or within any of the subgroups. DISCUSSION: When used as second-line treatment, the overall additive protective effect of long-acting beta(2)-agonists amounts to a 0.8 doubling dose/dilution shift. This stabilizing effect on airway smooth muscle may explain their beneficial effects on exacerbations.

Adrenal Cortex Hormones↗
PubMed2003

Long QTc predicts future cardiac death in stroke survivors.

OBJECTIVES: To test the hypothesis that the QTc of any lead of the ECG predicts death after stroke, and to determine which lead of the ECG carries the greatest risk of cardiac death when its QTc is measured. DESIGN: Standard 12 lead ECGs were analysed by one observer who was blind to patient outcome. SETTING: A major teaching hospital in Scotland. PATIENTS: 404 stroke survivors were studied at approximately one year after the cerebrovascular event and followed for up to 6.3 years. OUTCOME MEASURES: Death from any cause and cardiac mortality. RESULTS: The QTc measured from any lead of the ECG (except aVR) was associated with death from any cause. A prolonged QTc in limb lead III and chest lead V6 carried the highest relative risk of cardiac death (a 3.1-fold incease). After adjusting for overt ischaemic heart disease, pulse pressure, glucose, and cholesterol, a prolonged QTc in lead V6 was associated with a relative risk of cardiac death of 2.8 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.1 to 7.3) (p = 0.028) and of death from all causes of 2.9 (95% CI 1.6 to 5.3) (p < 0.001). If the QTc in V6 exceeded 480 ms, then the specificity of predicting cardiac death within five years after the stroke was 94%. CONCLUSIONS: Although treatment of the conventional modifiable risk factors is important, stroke survivors with a prolonged QTc in lead V6 are still at a high risk of cardiac death and may need more intensive investigations and treatments than are currently routine practice.

Adult↗
PubMed2002

Urate predicts subsequent cardiac death in stroke survivors.

AIMS: To test the hypothesis that urate predicts cardiac death after stroke independent of conventional risk factors of atherosclerosis, creatinine and diuretic use. METHODS AND RESULTS: Serum urate concentration was measured in an unselected cohort of 354 stroke survivors who were followed-up for a median of 2.8 years. Cardiac death was the primary end-point. Urate was associated with a statistically significant threefold increase in relative risk of cardiac death even after adjustment for other conventional risk factors. In the subgroup of patients who were not on diuretics, raised urate was associated with a 12-fold significant increase in relative risk of cardiac death after adjusting for renal function and other conventional risk factors. A urate concentration of greater than 0.31 mmol. l(-1) was 78% sensitive at predicting cardiac death within 5 years after stroke, but was only 54% specific. If urate exceeded 0.38 mmol. l(-1), specificity of predicting cardiac death within 5 years after stroke was 88%. CONCLUSIONS: Elevated serum urate concentration may be used to stratify risk of future cardiac death after stroke. This appeared to be true even in stroke survivors who were not on diuretic therapy.

Aged↗
PubMed2002

Identifying populations at risk from environmental contamination from point sources.

OBJECTIVES: To compare methods for defining the population at risk from a point source of air pollution. A major challenge for environmental epidemiology lies in correctly identifying populations at risk from exposure to environmental pollutants. The complexity of today's environment makes it essential that the methods chosen are accurate and sensitive. METHODS: Environmental and mathematical methods were used to identify the population potentially exposed to a point source of airborne pollution emanating from a waste incinerator. Soil sampling was undertaken at 83 sites throughout the city and environs. The concentrations of arsenic and copper were measured at each site. Computer software produced smoothed contour plots of the distribution of arsenic and copper in the soil based on the information derived from the sampling sites. The population at risk was also identified using concentric rings of varying radii, with the source of pollution at the centre. Lastly, we used the sites that had previously been selected and measured the frequency of wind direction, speed and distance from the source of pollution at each site. Theoretical contour plots were constructed using the distance from the source of pollution at each site, with and without incorporating wind frequency as a function of direction. RESULTS: Each method identified different populations at risk from airborne pollution. The use of circles was a very imprecise way of identifying exposed populations. Mathematical modelling that incorporated wind direction was better. Soil sampling at many sites was accurate, as the method is direct; but it is very costly and the close proximity of high and low concentrations hindered interpretation. The smoothed contour plots derived from the soil sampling sites identified an exposed population that was similar to that derived from the spot sampling. CONCLUSIONS: Using circles as the only means of identifying the exposed population leads to dilution of the potential health effect. The best approach is to use local knowledge about wind direction and speed to estimate the population likely to be at risk; to back up this estimate by judicious use of soil sampling; to use contour mapping to guide the final selection of exposed and non-exposed populations; and finally, to interpret the populations identified as being at risk by incorporating information about other potential sources of pollution (past and present) in the area.

Arsenic↗
PubMed2001

"Ethnic" variation in childhood lung function may relate to preventable nutritional deficiency.

UNLABELLED: This study aimed to define the differences in lung function between British Caucasian and rural eastern Indian children, and to test the hypothesis that nutrition could account for such "ethnic" variation. To exclude confounders, a rural Indian setting was identified and children were screened for respiratory illness before lung function and nutritional characteristics were measured. Regression equations for this population have already been published. In this study, the lung function differences between rural eastern Indian (n=391) and mean predicted lung function for Caucasian children were characterized, matched for height and sex. In addition, stepwise multiple regression models were fitted to investigate the relative associations of lung function differences with body mass index (BMI), occipitofrontal circumference and age. Although the largest differences in the forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1) [girls 28.7 (27.3-30.1), boys 23.4 (22.2-24.6)] and forced vital capacity [girls 27.9 (26.4-29.4), boys 30.7 (29.6-31.9)] [values as mean difference in % predicted (95% confidence intervals)] ever reported between two populations were observed, differences in peak expiratory flow rate (PEFR) were small. BMI was strongly associated with inter-racial differences for FEV1 for both sexes (boys beta = -0.227, girls beta = -0.353. p < 0.001) and PEFR for girls (beta = -0.200, p < or = 0.05) (beta = standardized coefficient). CONCLUSION: Preventable nutritional factors may play a causal role in determining the FEV1 differences between rural Indian and Caucasian children. As peak FEV1 in youth influences respiratory morbidity in later life, it is important to define specific nutrient deficiencies that may relate to poor FEV1 growth in these children.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2001

A case-control study examining the role of physical trauma in the onset of rheumatoid arthritis.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate whether physical trauma may precipitate the onset of rheumatoid arthritis (RA). METHOD: In a case-control study comparing RA out-patients with controls attending non-rheumatology out-patient clinics, 262 patients and 262 age- and sex-matched controls completed a postal questionnaire or were interviewed about any physical trauma in the 6 months before the onset of their symptoms. RESULTS: Fifty-five (21%) of the RA patients reported significant physical trauma in the 6 months before the onset of their disease, compared with only 17 (6.5%) of the controls (P<0.00001). A preceding history of physical trauma was significantly more common in RA patients who were seronegative for rheumatoid factor (P=0.03), but was not significantly associated with sex (P=0.78), age (P=0.64), a family history of RA (P=0.07) or type of occupation, defined as manual or sedentary (P=0.6). CONCLUSION: Physical trauma in the preceding 6 months is significantly associated with the onset of RA.

Arthritis, Rheumatoid↗
PubMed2001

Mortality in various types of osteogenesis imperfecta.

BACKGROUND: Osteogenesis imperfecta (OI) is a group of closely related inherited diseases characterized by abnormal bone fragility. The current clinical classification system delineates 6 types, one of which (type II) is so severe that mortality is 100%, either intrauterine or perinatal. The types are differentiated by clinical groups, by severity, and by the presence or absence of other features such as blue sclerae or dentinogenesis imperfecta. There are no known previous studies of mortality in OI. RESULTS: From a registry created in association with the Brittle Bone Society, 743 patients with OI in England and Wales were observed in the period 1980-1993. These were classified into 3 groups (type IA, type III, and types IB, IVA, and IVB combined). Average annual mortality rates were determined in each group by sex and attained age. These rates were compared with 1981 rates in the population of England and Wales, matched by sex and age. Results are given in terms of exposures, observed and expected deaths, and 2 indices of excess mortality: mortality ratios and excess death rates per 1000 person-years. CONCLUSION: In type IA, 51.5% of the OI cases overall, there was no significant excess mortality (mortality ratio 108%, based on 15 deaths). In type III, on the other hand, excess mortality was very high in children and still significantly high at ages 15-34 years. In the combined group of types IB, IVA, and IVB, the mortality ratio was 157% in patients aged 45 and up (not significant at the 95% confidence level), but higher ratios at younger ages were significant, even though based on a total of only 5 deaths.

Adult↗
PubMed2000

Effect of phenylephrine with and without atropine on QT dispersion in healthy normotensive men.

The present study examined if changes in cardiac after-load would affect QT interval dispersion. QT dispersion (QTd) on the 12-lead electrocardiogram is believed to be a noninvasive measure of electrical inhomogeneity in the heart and has recently been identified as a sensitive predictor of sudden cardiac death. In experimental models, an increase in cardiac afterload has been shown to alter action potential durations through mechanoelectrical feedback. This may result in an altered dispersion of action potential repolarization in the ventricle. Until now, there has been little evidence for this occurring in man in vivo. In the present study, the effects of afterload on QTd were examined in 10 healthy male volunteers (mean age [SD] 25 years [4.5]) who received an intravenous infusion of phenylephrine (0.2 to 3.6 microg/kg/min) given in incremental doses, and placebo in a blinded, crossover fashion. Because phenylephrine is known to alter heart rate (HR) significantly (via a reflex vagal response), the study was performed with and without atropine. We found a significant positive correlation between acute changes in blood pressure (BP) and changes in all QTd indexes (deltaQTd/delta systolic BP and deltaQTcd/deltasystolic BP r values 0.67 and 0.60, respectively; p <0.001). This relation was independent of HR changes or reflex vagal activity. Atropine had no significant effect on QTd. These observations have important clinical implications and may partly account for why sudden deaths and arrhythmic complications occur so frequently in conditions associated with increased after-load, such as hypertension and heart failure.

Adrenergic alpha-Agonists↗
PubMed1999

The relationship between ocular toxoplasmosis and levels of specific toxoplasma antibodies.

The relationship between ocular toxoplasmosis and levels of toxoplasma specific antibodies was examined in 195 patients. Using clinical information collected by questionnaires, patients were divided into: 97 with ocular toxoplasmosis (group 1) and 98 with ocular lesions not due to toxoplasma (group 2). The geometric mean of dye test titres (+/-S.D. natural log titre) in group 1 was 53.2 (+/-0.95) compared with 24.6 (+/-1.11) in group 2 (P < 0.001). Young females tended to have more active lesions compared with young males (P < 0.05). There was an age-dependent difference in dye test titres between the groups (P < 0.001). Group 1 showed a decline in titre with age compared with an increase in group 2. Ocular toxoplasmosis was diagnosed most frequently among 21-30 year olds. More group 1 patients had dye test titres > or = 65 iu/ml than group 2 (P < 0.05). Dye test titres > or = 65 iu/ml support a diagnosis of ocular toxoplasmosis whereas lower titres suggest other causes for eye lesions.

Adolescent↗
PubMed1999

QT dispersion in patients with chronic heart failure: beta blockers are associated with a reduction in QT dispersion.

OBJECTIVE: To compare QT dispersion in patients with impaired left ventricular systolic function and in matched control patients with normal left ventricular systolic function. DESIGN: A retrospective, case-control study with controls matched 4:1 for age, sex, previous myocardial infarction, and diuretic and beta blocker treatment. SETTING: A regional cardiology centre and a university teaching hospital. PATIENTS: 25 patients with impaired left ventricular systolic function and 100 patients with normal left ventricular systolic function. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: QT and QTc dispersion measured by three methods: the difference between maximum and minimum QT and QTc intervals, the standard deviation of QT and QTc intervals, and the "lead adjusted" QT and QTc dispersion. RESULTS: All measures of QT/QTc dispersion were closely interrelated (r values 0.86 to 0.99; all p < 0.001). All measures of QT and QTc dispersion were significantly increased in the patients with impaired left ventricular systolic function v controls (p < 0.001): 71.9 (6.5) (mean (SEM)) v 46.9 (1.7) ms for QT dispersion, and 83.6 (7.6) v 54.3 (2.1) ms(-1-2) for QTc dispersion. All six dispersion parameters were reduced in patients taking beta blockers (p < 0.05), regardless of whether left ventricular function was normal or impaired-by 9.4 (4.6) ms for QT dispersion (p < 0.05) and by 13.8 (6. 5) ms(-1-2) for QTc dispersion (p = 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: QT and QTc dispersion are increased in patients with systolic heart failure in comparison with matched controls, regardless of the method of measurement and independently of possible confounding factors. beta Blockers are associated with a reduction in both QT and QTc dispersion, raising the possibility that a reduction in dispersion of ventricular repolarisation may be an important antiarrhythmic mechanism of beta blockade.

Adrenergic beta-Antagonists↗
PubMed1998

Episiotomy and perineal tears in low-risk UK primigravidae.

BACKGROUND: The aim of the study was to determine the rates and to describe the risk factors for episiotomy and perineal tears in low-risk primigravidae. METHOD: A cross-sectional survey of 101 randomly selected NHS hospitals in the UK was carried out between February 1993 and January 1994. Subjects were 40 consecutive low-risk primigravidae in each hospital. The main outcome measures were number and reasons for episiotomy, and number and degree of perineal tears. RESULTS: A large proportion of women (83 per cent) experienced some form of perineal trauma. Forty per cent of the women had an episiotomy only, 6 per cent an episiotomy and perineal tear, and 37 per cent perineal or other tears without episiotomy. The main reasons for performing an episiotomy were foetal distress (27 per cent), impending tear (25 per cent) and delay of the second stage of labour (21 per cent). Fifty-nine per cent of women with a delayed second stage had a spontaneous vaginal delivery and 41 per cent required instrumental assistance. The likelihood of having an episiotomy increased with the duration of the second stage of labour, irrespective of type of delivery. Episiotomy rates varied appreciably throughout regions and hospitals in the United Kingdom, ranging from 26 to 67 per cent. There was also a large regional variation in the rates of perineal trauma; generally, high rates of one outcome were associated with low rates of the other. Compared with white women, women from the Indian sub-continent were almost twice as likely and those from the Orient almost five times as likely to have an episiotomy. CONCLUSIONS: The magnitude of the geographical variation suggests a lack of uniformity in indications for performing episiotomies and that guidelines for performing episiotomies may need to be reviewed. The rates of episiotomy in women from the Indian sub-continent and Orient were very high compared with those for white women, and this requires clarification and explanation, as they are contrary to rates experienced in these ethnic groups in other countries.

Adult↗
PubMed1998

UK study of intrapartum care for low risk primigravidas: a survey of interventions.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: To determine the extent of intrapartum intervention received by primigravidas. DESIGN: Cross sectional survey of NHS hospitals in the UK. SETTING: One hundred and one randomly selected hospital maternity units. PARTICIPANTS: Forty consecutive primigravid women, judged to be at low risk at the start of labour, in each hospital. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Seven groups of interventions or monitoring procedures were identified from the first, second, and third stages of labour: fetal monitoring, vaginal examinations, artificial rupture of membranes, augmentation of labour, pain relief, type of delivery, and episiotomy. Data were collected during 1993. MAIN RESULTS: Ninety eight hospitals took part in the study and data were collected on 3160 low risk primigravidas. Seventy four per cent of these women had continuous cardiotocography. The proportion of women having restrictive or invasive fetal monitoring showed appreciable geographical variation for both the first and second stages of labour. Using the criterion of a vaginal examination every four hours and allowing for the length of each woman's labour, 72% had more vaginal examinations than expected; there was a significant geographical variation in the number of women receiving more than five examinations. Fifty three per cent had artificial rupture of membranes; the procedure was performed over a wide range of cervical dilatations (0 cm-10 cm). Thirty eight per cent of labours were augmented, most commonly by intravenous syntocinon; the procedure showed significant geographical variation. Twenty eight per cent had a spinal block or epidural analgesia for the relief of pain; this intervention varied by geographical region only for the second stage of labour. Over one quarter of the women required instrumental delivery. Forty six per cent had an episiotomy; the frequency of this intervention varied substantially by region. There were no infant deaths. Twelve babies were recorded at birth as having a congenital anomaly. CONCLUSIONS: The rates of several interventions seem high for this low risk group and there was substantial geographical variation in the use of six interventions. Clinical trials are needed to evaluate the optimum criteria for using these interventions from which guidelines should be drawn up by local groups and the Royal College.

Adolescent↗
PubMed1997

Observer variability in the histopathological reporting of needle biopsy specimens of the prostate.

The Scottish Pathology Consistency Group has in previous studies examined the consistency of histopathological reporting of biopsies from the cervix, bladder, bronchus, and rectum. In the current study, consisting of 100 needle biopsy specimens of the prostate, a single hematoxylin-eosin (H&E) slide from each case was circulated in batches of 10 to the 12 pathologists, who filled in a simple proforma. This had two sections: a diagnostic category (benign; suspicious or malignant) along with a standard Gleason score for those regarded as malignant. The majority diagnosis of the 100 cases was benign, 53; suspicious, 1; and malignant, 46. The Kappa value for benign cases versus others was 0.86 and for malignant cases versus others was 0.91. Analysis of the data on Gleason scores showed a value of 0.54 when cases were divided into two categories (2 to 6 v 7 to 10) and 0.41 when three categories were used (2 to 4; 5 to 6; 7 to 10). Although not initially part of the design of the study, the majority diagnosis was compared with the original reported diagnosis. In a small subset, examination of further levels, basal cell antibody staining, along with further clinical information, was obtained. With this added information, it appears that there were probably 52 benign and 48 malignant cases. Of the 48 malignant cases, the group majority diagnosis was malignant, 46; suspicious, 1; and benign, 1. The original reported diagnosis was 56 benign, 1 suspicious, and 43 malignant. The group therefore appeared to perform better than the original reporting pathologists. When compared with the results of our previous studies, this study has shown that the diagnosis of carcinoma of the prostate on a needle biopsy is robust.

Biopsy, Needle↗