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Biomedical subjects

Stephen A Gourley

Publications and source records attributed to Stephen A Gourley.

2 recordsLinked to original sources

Eradicating vector-borne diseases via age-structured culling.

We derive appropriate mathematical models to assess the effectiveness of culling as a tool to eradicate vector-borne diseases. The model, focused on the culling strategies determined by the stages during the development of the vector, becomes either a system of autonomous delay differential equations with impulses (in the case where the adult vector is subject to culling) or a system of nonautonomous delay differential equations where the time-varying coefficients are determined by the culling times and rates (in the case where only the immature vector is subject to culling). Sufficient conditions are derived to ensure eradication of the disease, and simulations are provided to compare the effectiveness of larvicides and insecticide sprays for the control of West Nile virus. We show that eradication of vector-borne diseases is possible by culling the vector at either the immature or the mature phase, even though the size of the vector is oscillating and above a certain level.

Age Factors↗

A stage structured predator-prey model and its dependence on maturation delay and death rate.

Many of the existing models on stage structured populations are single species models or models which assume a constant resource supply. In reality, growth is a combined result of birth and death processes, both of which are closely linked to the resource supply which is dynamic in nature. From this basic standpoint, we formulate a general and robust predator-prey model with stage structure with constant maturation time delay (through-stage time delay) and perform a systematic mathematical and computational study. Our work indicates that if the juvenile death rate (through-stage death rate) is nonzero, then for small and large values of maturation time delays, the population dynamics takes the simple form of a globally attractive steady state. Our linear stability work shows that if the resource is dynamic, as in nature, there is a window in maturation time delay parameter that generates sustainable oscillatory dynamics.

Animals↗