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Stephen Bezruchka

Publications and source records attributed to Stephen Bezruchka.

4 recordsLinked to original sources
PubMed2005

Predicting time to subsequent pregnancy.

OBJECTIVES: Women in poverty may benefit from avoiding closely spaced pregnancies. This study sought to identify predictive factors that could identify women at risk for closely spaced pregnancies. METHODS: We studied 20,028 women receiving welfare (cash assistance) from Washington State. Using Cox proportional hazards methods, we estimated the effects of individual- and community-level variables on time from an index birth until a subsequent pregnancy (between June 1992 and December 1999). Prediction models developed in a random half of our data were validated in the other half. Receiver operator characteristic plots appropriate for proportional hazards models were calculated to compare the sensitivity and specificity of each model. RESULTS: At 5 years of follow-up, the most predictive model contained just individual-level variables (age, education, race, marital status, number of prior pregnancies); the area under the receiver operator characteristic curve was 0.66 (.62-.69). The addition of community-level variables (percent in poverty, with a high school degree or higher, Black, Hispanic, in an urban area; female unemployment rate; income inequality) added little predictive ability. Differences were found between women with different individual- and community-level characteristics, but the results suggest that these factors are not strong predictors of pregnancy spacing. CONCLUSIONS: Individual- and community-level characteristics are associated with interpregnancy intervals; however, we found little evidence that the selected variables predicted pregnancy interval in a useful manner.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2004

Income inequality and pregnancy spacing.

We examined the relationship between county-level income inequality and pregnancy spacing in a welfare-recipient cohort in Washington State. We identified 20,028 welfare-recipient women who had at least one birth between July 1, 1992, and December 31, 1999, and followed this cohort from the date of that first in-study birth until the occurrence of a subsequent pregnancy or the end of the study period. Income inequality was measured as the proportion of total county income earned by the wealthiest 10% of households in that county compared to that earned by the poorest 10%. To measure the relationship between income inequality and the time-dependent risk (hazard) of a subsequent pregnancy, we used Cox proportional hazards methods and adjusted for individual- and county-level covariates. Among women aged 25 and younger at the time of the index birth, the hazard ratio (HR) of subsequent pregnancy associated with income inequality was 1.24 (95% CI: 0.85, 1.80), controlling for individual-level (age, marital status, education at index birth; race, parity) and community-level variables. Among women aged 26 or older at the time of the index birth, the adjusted HR was 2.14 (95% CI: 1.09, 4.18). While income inequality is not the only community-level feature that may affect health, among women aged 26 or older at the index birth it appears to be associated with hazard of a subsequent pregnancy, even after controlling for other factors. These results support previous findings that income inequality may impact health, perhaps by influencing health-related behaviors.

Adolescent↗