Biomedical subjects

Stephen J Nicholls

Publications and source records attributed to Stephen J Nicholls.

5 recordsLinked to original sources

PubMed2026

The presence or absence of standard modifiable cardiovascular risk factors in patients with myocardial infarction impacts long-term but not 30-day mortality: a UK Biobank prospective cohort study.

AIMS: Prior studies reported higher early mortality after acute myocardial infarction (MI) in patients without standard modifiable cardiovascular risk factors (SMuRFs), warranting further validation. We aimed to evaluate whether SMuRF-absence is associated with increased 30-day cardiovascular mortality following MI. METHODS AND RESULTS: We conducted a population-based cohort study using UK Biobank data (n = 487 177). Incident MI cases occurring between 2006 and 2022 were identified through linkage to hospital and death registries. Standard modifiable cardiovascular risk factors (diabetes, hypertension, hypercholesterolaemia, current smoker) were defined at baseline and continuously assessed until MI onset. Thirty-day mortality following MI was estimated using Cox proportional hazards models, adjusted for sociodemographic, clinical, and cardiogenomic variables, were used to estimate 30-day mortality risks. Logistic regression model was used to estimate mortality risk at 10 years post-MI. Among 15 463 patients experiencing an MI (1034 without SMuRFs), SMuRF-absence was not significantly associated with 30-day mortality (HR: 0.82, 95% CI: 0.65-1.04, P = 0.103). Propensity score-matched analyses supported these findings (HR: 0.95, 95% CI: 0.69-1.29, P = 0.729). Further analyses stratified by distinct time intervals (2006-2022) revealed no significant modification of this association by advancements in acute MI management. Interaction analyses indicated no significant effect modification by sex, age, socioeconomic status, or period of MI occurrence. However, extended analysis to 10 years revealed that SMuRF absence was significantly associated with lower long-term mortality (OR: 0.61, 95% CI: 0.49-0.75, P < 0.01). CONCLUSION: In this population-based cohort, SMuRF status significantly impacted long-term but not short-term mortality following MI, indicating early survival is predominantly driven by acute-phase factors rather than baseline cardiovascular risk profiles.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Effect of Semaglutide on the Inflammatory Biomarker High-Sensitivity CRP in Patients With Established Cardiovascular Disease and Overweight or Obesity in SELECT: A Prespecified Secondary Analysis.

BACKGROUND: In SELECT (Semaglutide Effects on Heart Disease and Stroke in Patients With Overweight or Obesity), among 17 604 patients with known atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease and overweight or obesity, but not diabetes, randomization to the glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist semaglutide significantly reduced the primary outcome of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE; cardiovascular death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, or nonfatal stroke) compared with placebo (mean follow-up, 39.8 months). Inflammation, as indicated by plasma hsCRP (high-sensitivity C-reactive protein) level, is implicated as a biomarker predicting cardiovascular risk in obesity and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. SELECT provides a unique opportunity to study the relationship among hsCRP, obesity, weight loss, and MACE outcomes in semaglutide versus placebo groups. METHODS: In this prespecified SELECT substudy, we evaluated whether baseline hsCRP levels predicted MACE risk and examined the relationships between changes in hsCRP levels and time to first MACE, baseline body weight, weight loss, and other clinical measures among treatment groups over time (104, 208 weeks) using multiple approaches, including Cox modeling. RESULTS: Baseline hsCRP level, which was similar in the semaglutide (geometric mean 1.96 mg/L) and placebo (geometric mean 1.91 mg/L) groups, was prognostic of future MACE. The risk of MACE increased across baseline hsCRP level <2, 2-<10, and ≥10 mg/L subgroups, including significant associations with cardiovascular and all-cause death. Semaglutide reduced hsCRP levels (-37.8% [104 weeks]) and risk of MACE across all hsCRP subgroups. Greater reductions in ratio-to-baseline hsCRP with semaglutide were associated with greater weight loss, but preceded major weight loss, evident by 4 and 8 weeks, and occurred among those without weight loss. Semaglutide-associated changes in hsCRP were independent of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels, statin use, and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease entry criteria. hsCRP reductions were found to be prognostic of decreased risk of MACE. Modeling suggests decreased inflammation as contributing in part to the benefits seen with semaglutide in SELECT. CONCLUSIONS: In SELECT, hsCRP data at baseline and in response to treatment with semaglutide support inflammation as a potential prognostic factor associated with cardiovascular risk in these generally well-treated patients with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease and overweight or obesity but not diabetes. These findings suggest that the MACE reduction observed with semaglutide versus placebo in SELECT may have partially involved a decrease in inflammation. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT03574597.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Bempedoic Acid and First and Recurrent Limb Outcomes in Statin-Intolerant Patients With Peripheral Artery Disease: Insights From the CLEAR Outcomes Trial.

BACKGROUND: Patients with peripheral artery disease (PAD) are at high risk of major adverse limb events (MALE) and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). Recently, bempedoic acid was shown to reduce MACE in primary and secondary prevention patients. Whether bempedoic acid reduces the risk of MALE in patients with PAD is unknown. METHODS: CLEAR Outcomes (Cholesterol Lowering via Bempedoic Acid [ETC1002], an ACL-Inhibiting Regimen) randomized 13 970 patients to bempedoic acid 180 mg or placebo from December 22, 2016, to August 14, 2019. The trial primary end point was MACE-4, defined as death resulting from cardiovascular causes, nonfatal myocardial infarction, nonfatal stroke, or coronary revascularization. A clinical history of PAD was reported by investigators at baseline. Two blinded vascular medicine specialists independently adjudicated MALE, including adverse events indicating worsening PAD symptoms leading to revascularization, chronic limb-threatening ischemia, and acute limb ischemia. Outcomes were assessed as time to first event and total (including recurrent) events with a negative binomial approach. RESULTS: A total of 1624 of the enrolled patients (mean±SD age, 63.9±9.9 years; 915 [56.3%] female) had PAD at baseline. In patients with PAD in the placebo group, 69 (8.3%) had MALE over a median of 40.6 months, with rate of recurrent events of 4.0%/y. Bempedoic acid reduced the risk of MALE by 36% (hazard ratio, 0.64 [95% CI, 0.44-0.93]; P=0.018). Bempedoic acid reduced total MALE by 45% (relative risk, 0.55 [95% CI, 0.35-0.85]; P=0.007). First MACE-4 or MALE was reduced overall by 13% (hazard ratio, 0.87 [95% CI, 0.80-0.95]) with consistent effects with PAD (hazard ratio, 0.82 [95% CI, 0.64-1.04]) and without PAD (hazard ratio, 0.87 [95% CI, 0.79-0.86]; Pinteraction=NS) but not statistically significant within the PAD subgroup alone. Total MACE-4 or MALE was reduced (relative risk, 0.81 [95% CI, 0.73-0.90]) overall with consistent effects in PAD (relative risk, 0.71 [95% CI, 0.54-0.95]) and without PAD (relative risk, 0.82 [95% CI, 0.73-0.92]; Pinteraction=NS). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with PAD are at high risk of MALE and MACE. Bempedoic acid reduces both MACE and MALE in patients with atherosclerotic vascular disease, with notable absolute benefits in patients with PAD. These findings support (1) the importance of lowering low-density lipoprotein cholesterol in patients with PAD to reduce overall vascular risk and (2) the benefits of bempedoic acid in this population.

Humans↗

PubMed2026

Baseline Computed Tomography Coronary Angiography and Polygenic Risk Profiles in Adults With Type 2 Diabetes: A Cross-Sectional Analysis From the VOLTAIRE Study.

AIMS: To characterise baseline clinical, anatomical, and genetic cardiovascular risk profiles in participants enrolled in the VOLTAIRE (Evaluation of Polygenic Scores and CT Imaging in Risk Factor Modification in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes) study and examine concordance across these domains. METHODS: This analysis included adults with T2D who completed baseline computed tomography coronary angiography (CTCA) and polygenic risk score (PRS) assessment prior to randomisation in the VOLTAIRE study. Coronary atherosclerosis was evaluated using coronary artery calcium (CAC) score and CTCA-derived stenosis severity. Clinical risk was assessed using the New Zealand Society for the Study of Diabetes 5-year cardiovascular risk calculator. Polygenic risk for coronary artery disease was assessed using a genome-wide PRS and categorised into tertiles. RESULTS: Among 126 participants with T2D (mean age 57.5 ± 8.7 years; 62.7% male), coronary atherosclerotic burden was highly heterogeneous: 34.9% had CAC = 0, whereas 19.8% had CAC ≥ 400. Moderate-to-severe coronary stenosis (≥ 50%) was present in 40.5% of participants overall, including 20.4% of those classified as low clinical risk. PRS distribution was variable (low 37.3%, intermediate 35.7%, high 27.0%). Overlap between anatomical, genetic, and clinical domains was limited, with only 8.7% of participants classified as high risk across all three. CONCLUSIONS: Substantial heterogeneity and limited overlap exist between anatomical, genetic, and clinical cardiovascular risk measures in T2D. These findings support a multimodal approach to risk assessment integrating imaging and genetic profiling. TRIAL REGISTRATION: https://www. CLINICALTRIALS: gov; ID: NCT07091162.

Aged↗

PubMed2025

Lp(a) testing for the primary prevention of cardiovascular disease in high-income countries: a cost-effectiveness analysis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Cost-effectiveness of Lipoprotein(a) [Lp(a)] testing is not established. We aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of Lp(a) testing in the cardiovascular disease (CVD) primary prevention population from healthcare and societal perspectives. METHODS: We constructed and validated a multi-state microsimulation Markov model for a population of 10,000 individuals aged between 40 and 69 years without CVD, selected randomly from the UK Biobank. The model evaluated Lp(a) testing in individuals not initially classified as high-risk based on age, diabetes status, or the SCORE-2 algorithm. Those with an Lp(a) level ≥105 nmol/L (50 mg/dL) were treated as high risk (initiation of a statin plus blood pressure lowering). The Lp(a) testing intervention was compared to standard of care. The primary analyses were conducted from the Australian and UK healthcare perspectives in 2023AUD/GBP. A cost adaptation method estimated cost-effectiveness in multiple European countries, Canada, and the USA. RESULTS: Among 10,000 individuals, 1,807 had their treatment modified from Lp(a) testing. This led to 217 and 255 quality-adjusted life years gained in Australia and the UK, respectively, with corresponding incremental cost-effectiveness ratios of 12,134 (cost-effective) and -3,491 (cost-saving). From a societal perspective, Lp(a) testing saved $85 and £263 per person in Australia and the UK, respectively. Lp(a) testing was cost-saving among all countries tested in the cost adaptation analysis. CONCLUSIONS: Lp(a) testing in the primary prevention population to reclassify CVD risk and treatment is cost-saving and warranted to prevent CVD.

Humans↗