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Biomedical subjects

Tim J Peters

Publications and source records attributed to Tim J Peters.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources
PubMed2006

Depressed mood and n-3 polyunsaturated fatty acid intake from fish: non-linear or confounded association?

There is increasing evidence of an association between low dietary intake of essential n-3 long chain polyunsaturated fatty acids (n-3 EFAs) and depressed mood. This study aimed to evaluate this association in a large population-based sample of UK individuals. N-3 EFA intake (intake from fish alone, and from all sources (fish and supplements)), depressed mood (assessed using the short-form Depression, Anxiety and Stress Scales) and demographic variables (sex, age, Index of Multiple Deprivation (IMD) based on postal code, and date of questionnaire completion) were obtained simultaneously by self-report questionnaire (N = 2982). Using polynomial regression, a non-linear relationship between depressed mood and n-3 EFA intake from fish was found, with the incremental decrease in depressed mood diminishing as n-3 EFA intake increased. However, this relationship was attenuated by adjustment for age and IMD. No relationship between depression and n-3 EFA intake from all sources was found. These findings suggest that higher levels of n-3 EFA intake from fish are associated with lower levels of depressed mood, but the association disappears after adjustment for age and social deprivation, and after inclusion of n-3 EFA intake from supplements. This study does have a number of limitations, but the findings available suggest that the apparent associations between depressed mood and n-3 EFA intake from fish may simply reflect a wider association between depressed mood and lifestyle.

Adult↗
PubMed2006

Clinical features of colorectal cancer before emergency presentation: a population-based case-control study.

OBJECTIVE: To identify the clinical features of colorectal cancer presenting as a surgical emergency. DESIGN: Population-based case-control study. SETTING: All general practices in Exeter Primary Care Trust, Devon, UK. Participants. 349 patients with colorectal cancer, 62 of these having an emergency presentation. Five randomly selected controls matched by age, sex and general practice for each case. DATA: The entire primary care record, from 24 months to 30 days before diagnosis, was coded using the International Classification of Primary Care-2. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Symptom reporting by patients with emergency presentation of colorectal cancer compared with matched controls and non-emergency presentations. RESULTS: Eight features of colorectal cancer were associated with the 62 emergency presentations of colorectal cancer. 39 (63%) of patients had reported at least one symptom to their doctors a minimum of 30 days before the diagnosis. In multivariable analysis, three features remained independently associated with cancer: abdominal pain, odds ratio 6.2 (95% CI 2.8-14), P<0.001; loss of weight 3.4 (1.3-8.5), P=0.01; and diarrhoea 3.4 (1.2-5.7), P=0.02. When emergency presentations were compared with elective cases, abdominal pain was more common [interaction odds ratio 2.3 (1.6-3.3); P=0.047] and rectal bleeding less common [0.30 (0.08, 1.0); P=0.040]. CONCLUSION: The majority of patients destined to have an emergency presentation of colorectal cancer have reported symptoms of their cancer to their doctor well before the emergency. Some emergency presentations should therefore be preventable.

Abdominal Pain↗
PubMed2006

Effectiveness and acceptability of lidocaine spray in reducing perineal pain during spontaneous vaginal delivery: randomised controlled trial.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the effectiveness and acceptability of a lidocaine spray in reducing perineal pain during spontaneous vaginal delivery. DESIGN: Randomised controlled trial. SETTING: Consultant led obstetric unit. PARTICIPANTS: 185 women who had a spontaneous vaginal delivery without epidural analgesia. INTERVENTIONS: Topically applied local anaesthetic spray (93 women) and placebo spray (92 women). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Primary outcome measure was pain during delivery (0-100 scale). The 16 secondary outcome measures included second degree perineal trauma during delivery, trauma of the genital tract, and dyspareunia by two months. RESULTS: Lidocaine spray did not reduce pain during spontaneous vaginal delivery: mean 77 and 72 on a scale of 0-100 in the lidocaine and placebo groups, respectively (difference between means 4.8, 95% confidence interval -1.7 to 11.2). Lidocaine spray may reduce genital tract trauma during delivery, in particular second degree perineal trauma. The intervention was highly acceptable to the women and midwives. CONCLUSIONS: Although lidocaine spray applied to the perineum during spontaneous vaginal delivery did not reduce perineal pain, it was acceptable to both the women and the midwives. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Current controlled trials ISRCTN99732966 [controlled-trials.com].

Administration, Topical↗
PubMed2006

Best--worst scaling: What it can do for health care research and how to do it.

Statements like "quality of care is more highly valued than waiting time" can neither be supported nor refuted by comparisons of utility parameters from a traditional discrete choice experiment (DCE). Best--worst scaling can overcome this problem because it asks respondents to perform a different choice task. However, whilst the nature of the best--worst task is generally understood, there are a number of issues relating to the design and analysis of a best--worst choice experiment that require further exposition. This paper illustrates how to aggregate and analyse such data and using a quality of life pilot study demonstrates how richer insights can be drawn by the use of best--worst tasks.

Consumer Behavior↗
PubMed2006

A comparison of socio-demographic and psychological factors between patients consenting to randomisation and those selecting treatment (the ProtecT study).

BACKGROUND: Patient preferences for treatment can pose problems for the conduct of randomised controlled trials: patients with a preference may refuse participation and thereby potentially compromise external validity. Moreover, randomising patients with a preference may affect treatment efficacy and threaten internal validity. AIMS: This study compared baseline characteristics and short-term psychological outcomes of patients who selected their treatment and those who agreed to random allocation. METHODS: Men participating in the prostate testing for cancer and treatment (ProtecT) study and who were randomised to active monitoring (n=138) were compared with those who had refused randomisation and selected this management (n=180). Socio-demographic data were collected at baseline, and anxiety and depression data were collected at baseline and six month follow-up. Socio-demographic characteristics were compared across these two groups in univariable analyses, and then linear regression was used to compare levels of anxiety and depression at follow-up with adjustments for confounders. RESULTS: Participants who selected active monitoring were more affluent (based on occupation details) and had less anxiety at baseline than those who were randomised. There were no differences with respect to age and marital status. Levels of anxiety and depression at six months follow-up were similar across the two groups of men. CONCLUSIONS: This study found some differences at baseline between the socio-demographic and psychological status of those randomised and self-selecting treatment, but no psychological differences at short-term follow-up. Further empirical evidence is required to assess whether preferences impact upon the process and outcome of randomised controlled trials.

Aged↗
PubMed2006

Does population screening for Chlamydia trachomatis raise anxiety among those tested? Findings from a population based chlamydia screening study.

BACKGROUND: The advent of urine testing for Chlamydia trachomatis has raised the possibility of large-scale screening for this sexually transmitted infection, which is now the most common in the United Kingdom. The purpose of this study was to investigate the effect of an invitation to be screened for chlamydia and of receiving a negative result on levels of anxiety, depression and self-esteem. METHODS: 19,773 men and women aged 16 to 39 years, selected at random from 27 general practices in two large city areas (Bristol and Birmingham) were invited by post to send home-collected urine samples or vulvo-vaginal swabs for chlamydia testing. Questionnaires enquiring about anxiety, depression and self-esteem were sent to random samples of those offered screening: one month before the dispatch of invitations; when participants returned samples; and after receiving a negative result. RESULTS: Home screening was associated with an overall reduction in anxiety scores. An invitation to participate did not increase anxiety levels. Anxiety scores in men were lower after receiving the invitation than at baseline. Amongst women anxiety was reduced after receipt of negative test results. Neither depression nor self-esteem scores were affected by screening. CONCLUSION: Postal screening for chlamydia does not appear to have a negative impact on overall psychological well-being and can lead to a decrease in anxiety levels among respondents. There is, however, a clear difference between men and women in when this reduction occurs.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2006

Fetal growth and childhood behavioral problems: results from the ALSPAC cohort.

Using data on 4,813 children from the ALSPAC cohort in Bristol, United Kingdom, recontacted in 1998-1999, the authors investigated whether intrauterine growth restriction (indexed by birth weight and length) was associated with behavioral problems at age 7 years. Childhood behavioral problems were measured by using a brief behavioral screening questionnaire (the Strengths and Difficulties Questionnaire (parental completion)). For term singleton infants, a one standard deviation increase in birth weight was associated with an 11% reduction in the odds of behavioral problems at age 81 months. After adjustment for confounders and birth length, this association was no longer seen. The association with birth length remained after adjustment for confounders. A one standard deviation increase in birth length was associated with a 14% decrease in the odds of being in the top tertile of total behavioral difficulties at age 81 months (odds ratio = 0.86, 95% confidence interval: 0.79, 0.95) and was similarly associated with hyperactivity and conduct problems. Evidence was weak for an association between birth length and behavioral problems earlier in childhood. In summary, there was a weak association between intrauterine growth restriction, indexed by birth length (rather than weight), and childhood behavioral problems. Future work should focus on elucidating the biologic mechanisms that lead to variations in birth length and underlie this association.

Birth Weight↗
PubMed2006

Adherence to antihypertensive medication assessed by self-report was associated with electronic monitoring compliance.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Clinicians often find it difficult to differentiate between subobtimal adherence and nonresponse to medical treatment if a patient's clinical condition does not improve. This study aimed to evaluate an adherence self-report tool to assess adherence to blood pressure lowering medication. STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: Participants were 245 patients with uncontrolled hypertension from 21 general practices taking part in a randomized trial. Prior to randomization, participants were asked to indicate which of six descriptions (adherence levels) would most closely describe their medication taking and were given electronic medication monitors for 30 days. We used multivariable regression analysis to compare the adherence self-report tool with electronic monitoring. RESULTS: There was strong evidence that a drop in one adherence level from level 1 (highest level) to level 2 and from level 2 to level 3-6 (six being the lowest) combined was associated with a decrease in timing compliance of approximately 5% (test for trend: P = 0.0004). CONCLUSION: Adherence assessed by a brief self-report tool was associated with timing compliance obtained through electronic monitoring in patients taking blood pressure lowering medication. Further research is required to investigate the validity of this tool in patients with lower adherence levels and in a nontrial population.

Antihypertensive Agents↗
PubMed2006

Early speech- and language-impaired children: linguistic, literacy, and social outcomes.

The aim of this study was to follow-up prospectively a cohort of preschool children originally recruited from successive referrals to speech and language therapy community clinics and to investigate their linguistic, literacy, and social outcomes at 7 to 10 years of age. Three hundred and fifty children aged 84 to 113 months (mean age 99.9mo [SD 5.4mo]) were singletons from monolingual backgrounds where there was concern about their speech and language development. Children who had severe learning difficulties, autism, oromotor deficits, dysfluency, or dysphonia were excluded. Altogether 196 (56%), 134 males and 62 females, were seen at follow-up. A control group of children who had never been referred for speech and language therapy, 57% of whom were males, was also recruited (n=94; mean age 104.4mo [SD 6.8mo]). All children were assessed on standardized measures of speech, language, and literacy. Teachers and parents completed questionnaires on educational and social outcomes. In total, 139 children in the cohort were within the normal range on standardized language assessments. About 30% of the original cohort of children continue to struggle with language, literacy, and social difficulties. The study demonstrates the long-term nature of language impairment and reinforces the need for awareness among professionals in child development and education of the ongoing needs of this population of children.

Age Factors↗
PubMed2006

Effects of n-3 long-chain polyunsaturated fatty acids on depressed mood: systematic review of published trials.

BACKGROUND: Greater dietary intakes of n-3 long-chain polyunsaturated fatty acids (n-3 PUFAs) may be beneficial for depressed mood. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to systematically review all published randomized controlled trials investigating the effects of n-3 PUFAs on depressed mood. DESIGN: Eight medical and health databases were searched over all years of records until June 2006 for trials that exposed participants to n-3 PUFAs or fish, measured depressed mood, were conducted on human participants, and included a comparison group. RESULTS: Eighteen randomized controlled trials were identified; 12 were included in a meta-analysis. The pooled standardized difference in mean outcome (fixed-effects model) was 0.13 SDs (95% CI: 0.01, 0.25) in those receiving n-3 PUFAs compared with placebo, with strong evidence of heterogeneity (I2 = 79%, P < 0.001). The presence of funnel plot asymmetry suggested that publication bias was the likely source of heterogeneity. Sensitivity analyses that excluded one large trial increased the effect size estimates but did not reduce heterogeneity. Meta-regression provided some evidence that the effect was stronger in trials involving populations with major depression-the difference in the effect size estimates was 0.73 (95% CI: 0.05, 1.41; P = 0.04), but there was still considerable heterogeneity when trials that involved populations with major depression were pooled separately (I2 = 72%, P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Trial evidence that examines the effects of n-3 PUFAs on depressed mood is limited and is difficult to summarize and evaluate because of considerable heterogeneity. The evidence available provides little support for the use of n-3 PUFAs to improve depressed mood. Larger trials with adequate power to detect clinically important benefits are required.

Adult↗
PubMed2006

Measuring the psychosocial impact of population-based prostate-specific antigen testing for prostate cancer in the UK.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the psychosocial impact of participation in a population-based prostate-specific antigen (PSA) testing programme, akin to screening, and to explore the relationship between urinary symptoms reported before PSA testing and the response to the subsequent PSA result. PATIENTS AND METHODS: This prospective questionnaire study was nested within the case-finding component of the ProtecT (prostate testing for cancer and treatment) feasibility study (ISRCTN20141297). Men aged 50-69 years from 18 general practices in three cities in the UK completed the Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale (HADS), the Short Form-12 (SF-12) Health Survey, and the International Continence Society 'male' (ICSmale) questionnaires before giving consent for a PSA test in a community clinic (baseline). Men with an 'abnormal' PSA result returned for further investigation (including biopsy) and repeated these questionnaires before biopsy. RESULTS: At baseline, study participants had similar levels of anxiety and depression to the general male population. There was no increase in the HADS scores, or reduction in the SF-12 mental health component summary score, on attendance at the biopsy clinic after receiving an 'abnormal' PSA result. Urinary symptoms were associated with levels of anxiety and depression before receiving a PSA result (baseline), but were not associated with anxiety and depression at biopsy independently of baseline scores. Therefore changes in anxiety or depression at biopsy did not appear to differ between those with and without urinary symptoms. CONCLUSIONS: This study confirms the findings of other studies that the deleterious effects of receiving an abnormal PSA result during population screening are not identified by generic health-status questionnaires. Comparisons with outcomes of studies measuring cancer-specific distress and using qualitative research methods raise the question of whether a prostate cancer screening-specific instrument is required. However, a standardized measure of anxiety identified differences at baseline between those who did and did not report urinary symptoms. These findings suggest that it might be advisable to better inform men undergoing PSA testing about the uncertain relationship between urinary symptoms and prostate cancer, to minimize baseline levels of psychological distress.

Aged↗
PubMed2006

Clinical features of prostate cancer before diagnosis: a population-based, case-control study.

BACKGROUND: Even in areas where screening is available, many prostate cancers are diagnosed after the symptoms begin. However, the risk posed by particular symptoms is largely unknown, especially in unselected populations such as primary care. AIM: To identify and quantify the features of prostate cancer before diagnosis, both individually and in combination. DESIGN OF STUDY: Population-based case-control study. SETTING: All 21 general practices in Exeter, Devon, UK. METHODS: We studied all 217 prostate cancer patients diagnosed between 1998 and 2002, and 1080 male controls, matched by age and general practice. The full medical record for 2 years before diagnosis was coded, using the International Classification of Primary Care. We calculated odds ratios for variables independently associated with cancer, using conditional logistic regression, and calculated the positive predictive values for these, both individually and in combination. RESULTS: Eight features were associated with prostate cancer before diagnosis. Their positive predictive values against a background risk of 0.35% were: urinary retention 3.1% (95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.5 to 6.0); impotence 3.0% (95% CI = 1.7 to 4.9); frequency 2.2% (95% CI = 1.3 to 3.5); hesitancy 3.0% (95% CI = 1.5 to 5.5); nocturia 2.2% (95% CI = 1.2 to 3.6); haematuria 1.0% (95% CI = 0.57 to 1.8); weight loss 0.75% (95% CI = 0.38 to 1.4); abnormal rectal examination, deemed benign 2.8% (95% CI = 1.6 to 4.6); abnormal rectal examination, deemed malignant 12% (95% CI = 5.0 to 37): all P <0.001, except for hesitancy P = 0.032, nocturia P = 0.004 and haematuria P = 0.009. Loss of weight, impotence, frequency and abnormal rectal examination remained associated with cancer after excluding the final 180 days from analysis. CONCLUSION: Most men with prostate cancer present with symptoms. The predictive values for these symptoms will help guide GPs and patients about the value of further investigation.

Adult↗
PubMed2005

Economic evaluation of a general practitioner with special interests led dermatology service in primary care.

OBJECTIVE: To carry out an economic evaluation of a general practitioner with special interest service for non-urgent skin problems compared with hospital outpatient care. DESIGN: Cost effectiveness analysis and cost consequences analysis alongside a randomised controlled trial. SETTING: General practitioner with special interest dermatology service covering 29 general practices in Bristol. PARTICIPANTS: Adults referred to a hospital dermatology clinic who were potentially suitable for management by a general practitioner with special interest. INTERVENTIONS: Participants were randomised 2:1 to receive either care by general practitioner with special interest service or usual hospital outpatient care. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Costs to NHS, patients, and companions, and costs of lost production. Cost effectiveness, using the two primary outcomes of dermatology life quality index scores and improved patient perceived access, was assessed by incremental cost effectiveness ratios and cost effectiveness acceptability curves. Cost consequences are presented in relation to all costs and both primary and secondary outcomes from the trial. RESULTS: Costs to the NHS for patients attending the general practitioner with special interest service were 208 pounds sterling (361 dollars; 308 euro) compared with 118 pounds sterling for hospital outpatient care. Based on analysis with imputation of missing data, costs to patients and companions were 48 pounds sterling and 51 pounds sterling, respectively; costs of lost production were 27 pounds sterling and 34 pounds sterling, respectively. The incremental cost effectiveness ratios for general practitioner with special interest care over outpatient care were 540 pounds sterling per one point gain in the dermatology life quality index and 66 pounds sterling per 10 point change in the access scale. CONCLUSIONS: The general practitioner with special interest service for dermatology is more costly than hospital outpatient care, but this additional cost needs to be weighed against improved access and broadly similar health outcomes.

Ambulatory Care↗
PubMed2005

Factors associated with the non-assessment of self-harm patients attending an Accident and Emergency Department: results of a national study.

BACKGROUND: Psychosocial assessment of self-harm patients by mental health service staff is an important aspect of their care. Nevertheless, in England around half of those attending a general hospital following a self-harm episode do not receive such an assessment. We have investigated the reasons for this and the characteristics of patients associated with self-discharge or planned discharge without a psychosocial assessment. METHOD: 8-week audits of self-harm attendances were carried out in 32 Accident and Emergency Departments in England. Where a specialist psychosocial assessment by mental health services was not carried out, information on the reason for this was requested. Due to incomplete data 10 of the 32 hospitals were excluded from analysis. RESULTS: There were 2780 self-harm attendances at the 22 hospitals. Psychosocial assessments were carried out on 59% of episodes. Among those not assessed, 57% discharged themselves and the remainder were discharged by hospital staff. In multivariable models, being male, taking illegal drugs/alcohol, attendance out of office hours and not being admitted to a hospital bed were associated with an increased risk of self-discharge. Younger subjects were more likely to self-discharge, but this association was explained by age-related admission patterns. Young age (<45 years), no previous self-harm and not being admitted were associated with an increased likelihood of discharge by hospital staff without a psychosocial assessment. The apparent increased risk of discharge without an assessment for those who self-lacerated was attenuated after allowing for their lower admissions rates. LIMITATIONS: Missing data from 10 hospitals led to their exclusion from analysis. Only the primary reason for discharge was reported on the audit forms. CONCLUSIONS: Those at elevated risk of suicide--older patients and those with a history of self-harm--were the least likely to be discharged by hospital staff without a psychosocial assessment. However, males (at increased risk of suicide compared with females), those who had taken illegal drugs or/and alcohol and those attending 'out of hours' were more likely to self-discharge. Services need to be modified and evaluated, based on further information about why such individuals are not currently engaging in services.

Adult↗
PubMed2005

Techniques to reduce perineal pain during spontaneous vaginal delivery and perineal suturing: a UK survey of midwifery practice.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate use of pharmacological and non-pharmacological methods of perineal analgesia used by midwives during the second stage of labour and perineal repair in the UK. DESIGN: Postal survey. METHODS: Self-complete questionnaires were sent to Heads of Midwifery in all 219 maternity units in the UK. Information was requested on the number and type of deliveries undertaken in the previous year and on the midwifery procedures used to provide pain relief immediately before delivery and for perineal repair. Details were also sought on local anaesthetics given before episiotomy or perineal repair. FINDINGS: 207 completed questionnaires were returned providing information on 210 maternity units. Midwives reported using a variety of non-pharmacological analgesic methods to control pain at the end of the second stage of labour. Hot packs were used in 70 (33%) maternity units, cold packs in 44 (21%) and perineal massage in 109 (52%). Midwives in 131 (62%) maternity units used injectable local anaesthetics to control perineal pain. All units advocated use of local anaesthetic before episiotomy or perineal repair, but the reported doses used varied widely. CONCLUSIONS: The literature on levels of pain experienced immediately before spontaneous vaginal delivery and during perineal repair is sparse, but what evidence exists suggests that, for some women, these occasions are accompanied by severe pain. Findings from this survey show that there is considerable variation in what midwives provide to control pain. Formal evaluation of the perineal analgesia offered to women during the second stage of labour is urgently required.

Analgesia, Obstetrical↗
PubMed2005

Operative delivery and postnatal depression: a cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: To assess the association between elective caesarean section and postnatal depression compared with planned vaginal delivery and whether emergency caesarean section or assisted vaginal delivery is associated with postnatal depression compared with spontaneous vaginal delivery. DESIGN: Prospective population based cohort study. SETTING: ALSPAC (the Avon longitudinal study of parents and children). PARTICIPANTS: 14,663 women recruited antenatally with a due date between 1 April 1991 and 31 December 1992. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Edinburgh postnatal depression scale score > or = 13 at eight weeks postnatal on self completed questionnaire. RESULTS: Albeit with wide confidence intervals, there was no evidence that elective caesarean section altered the odds of postnatal depression compared with planned vaginal delivery (adjusted odds ratio 1.06, 95% confidence interval 0.66 to 1.70, P = 0.80). Among planned vaginal deliveries there was similarly little evidence of a difference between women who have emergency caesarean section or assisted vaginal delivery and those who have spontaneous vaginal delivery (1.17, 0.77 to 1.79, P = 0.46, and 0.89, 0.68 to 1.18, P = 0.42, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: There is no reason for women at risk of postnatal depression to be managed differently with regard to mode of delivery. Elective caesarean section does not protect against postnatal depression. Women who plan vaginal delivery and require emergency caesarean section or assisted vaginal delivery can be reassured that there is no reason to believe that they are at increased risk of postnatal depression.

Cesarean Section↗
PubMed2005

Prenatal risk factors for Caesarean section. Analyses of the ALSPAC cohort of 12,944 women in England.

BACKGROUND: There has been an escalation in Caesarean section rates globally. Numerous prenatal factors have been associated with elective and emergency Caesarean section, some of which may be amenable to change. METHODS: A population-based cohort of 12,944 singleton, liveborn, term pregnancies were used to investigate risk factors for Caesarean section using multivariable logistic regression modelling. Numerous prenatal factors were investigated for their associations with the following outcomes: first, with Caesarean section (both elective and emergency) compared with vaginal delivery (spontaneous and assisted); second, for their associations with elective Caesarean section compared with attempted vaginal delivery; and finally emergency Caesarean section compared with spontaneous vaginal delivery. RESULTS: 11,791 women had vaginal delivery and 1153 had Caesarean section (685 emergency, 468 elective). Non-cephalic (breech) presentation (all Caesareans odds ratio (OR) 36.6, 95% confidence interval (CI) 26.8-50.0; elective Caesarean OR 86.4, 95% CI 58.5-127.8; emergency Caesarean OR 9.58, 95% CI 6.06-15.1) and previous Caesarean section (all Caesareans OR 27.8, 95% CI 20.9-37.0, elective Caesarean OR 54.4, 95% CI 38.4-77.5; emergency Caesarean OR 13.0, 95% CI 7.76-21.7) were associated in all analyses with an increased risk of Caesarean section. Extremes of neonatal birthweight were associated with an increased risk of Caesarean section (all Caesareans and emergency section) compared with vaginal delivery as was increasing neonatal head circumferences. In all analyses increasing maternal age (OR 1.07 per year, 95 % CI 1.04-1.09; OR 1.04 per year, 95 % CI 1.01-1.08; OR 1.11 per year, 95% CI 1.08-1.15) was independently associated with increased odds of Caesarean section. Increasing parity was associated with a decrease in risk for all Caesareans and emergency section (OR 0.63, 95% CI 0.53-0.75 and OR 0.46, 95% CI 0.33-0.63, respectively), as was the outcome of the last pregnancy being a live child. Increasing gestation was independently associated with a decreased risk of both all Caesareans and elective Caesarean (OR 0.86, 95% CI 0.80-0.93 and OR 0.52, 95% CI 0.46-0.58 respectively), whereas diabetes mellitus was associated with increased risk. These variables were not associated with emergency section. However, epidural use was associated with an increased risk of emergency Caesarean (OR 6.49, 95% CI 4.78-8.82) while being in a preferred labour position decreased the risk (OR 0.59, 95% CI 0.49-0.73). CONCLUSIONS: A careful exploration of risk factors may allow us to identify reasons for the increasing rates of Caesarean section and the marked variation between institutions.

Adult↗