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Biomedical subjects

W A Ray

Publications and source records attributed to W A Ray.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Use of nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs and incidence of colorectal cancer: a population-based study.

BACKGROUND: Previous observational studies have provided limited information on the effect of specific nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) and different patterns of use (duration and dose) on the incidence of colorectal cancer. OBJECTIVE: To determine how patterns of use (duration, dose, and specific drug) of NSAIDs affect incidence of colorectal cancer. DESIGN: Population-based retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Tennessee Medicaid Program, 1985-1992. SUBJECTS: Enrollees (n = 104217) aged 65 years or older with at least 5 years of enrollment. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Incident histologically confirmed colorectal cancer. RESULTS: Users of nonaspirin NSAIDs for at least 48 months of the previous 5 years had a relative risk (RR) of 0.49 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.24-1.00) for colon cancer when compared with those with no use of NSAIDs. Among those with more than 12 months of cumulative use, those using NSAIDs in the past year (recent users) had an RR of 0.61 (95% CI, 0.48-0.77), whereas those with no recent use had an RR of 0.76 (95% CI, 0.50-1.15). No specific NSAID offered a unique protective effect and low doses of NSAIDs appeared to be at least as effective as higher doses. Protection was most pronounced for right-sided lesions. The RR among recent users with more than 12 months of cumulative use was 0.81 (95% CI, 0.49-1.32) for rectal cancer, 0.77 (95% CI, 0.55-1.08) for left-sided colon cancer, and 0.48 (95% CI, 0.34-0.68) for right-sided colon cancer. CONCLUSIONS: In this elderly population, long-term use of nonaspirin NSAIDs nearly halved the risk of colon cancer. This study was consistent with previous studies that suggest that duration of use but not daily dose of NSAIDs is an important factor for chemoprevention. Our data also suggest that the protective effect is shared by most NSAIDs, and not confined to a small number of these drugs.

Aged

Prenatal exposure to metronidazole and risk of childhood cancer: a retrospective cohort study of children younger than 5 years.

BACKGROUND: To evaluate the role of in utero exposure to metronidazole (a carcinogen in some animal models) and the risk of subsequent cancer, the authors conducted a retrospective cohort study of childhood cancer. METHODS: The cohort included 328,846 children younger than 5 years born to women enrolled in Tennessee Medicaid at any time between the last menstrual period (LMP) and the date of delivery. The cohort was identified by linking files of Tennessee Medicaid mothers ages 15-44 years and children and the children's birth and death certificates for the period January 1, 1975 through December 31, 1992. Exposure data were obtained from Medicaid pharmacy records and exposure was defined as filling a metronidazole prescription that had at least a day's supply between the 30 days prior to the LMP and the date of delivery. Study cases were cohort children diagnosed with a first primary cancer before age 5 years, identified by linking the cohort with a statewide childhood cancer database for the study period. RESULTS: Cohort members contributed 1,172,696 person-years of follow-up for analysis, with children exposed (8.1%) and not exposed (91.9%) in utero to metronidazole contributing 79,716 and 1,092,980 person-years, respectively. Of 952 children younger than 5 years in the statewide cancer database, 175 met study eligibility criteria. Of these, 42 had leukemia, 30 had central nervous system (CNS) tumors, 28 had neuroblastoma, and 75 had other cancers. Using Poisson regression modeling, children exposed to metronidazole in utero had no significant increase in adjusted relative risk (RR) for all cancers (RR: 0.81; 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 0.41-1.59), leukemia (no exposed case), CNS tumors (RR: 1.23; 95% CI, 0.29-5.21), neuroblastomas (RR: 2.60; 95% CI, 0.89-7.59), and other cancers (RR: 0.57; 95% CI, 0.18-1.82). CONCLUSIONS: The authors conclude that although there was no increase in risk for all cancers associated with in utero exposure to metronidazole, the observed increased risk for neuroblastomas, although not significant, requires further evaluation.

Adolescent

Antidepressants and the risk of falls among nursing home residents.

BACKGROUND: In nursing home residents, the use of tricyclic and other heterocyclic antidepressants is associated with an increased risk of falls. The newer selective serotonin-reuptake-inhibitor antidepressants are largely free of the side effects of the tricyclic agents thought to cause falls and so have been hypothesized to be safer for those at high risk for falls. METHODS: We retrospectively identified an inception cohort of 2428 nursing home residents in Tennessee who were new users of tricyclic antidepressants (665 subjects), selective serotonin-reuptake inhibitors (612 subjects), or trazodone (304 subjects) or nonusers of antidepressants (847 subjects). We ascertained the number of falls during therapy and during a similar follow-up period for nonusers, then calculated the rate ratios for falls with adjustments for an extensive set of potential confounding factors. RESULTS: The new users of each type of antidepressant had higher rates of falls than the nonusers, with adjusted rate ratios of 2.0 (95 percent confidence interval, 1.8 to 2.2) for tricyclic antidepressants, 1.8 (1.6 to 2.0) for selective serotonin-reuptake inhibitors, and 1.2 (1.0 to 1.4) for trazodone. The rate ratios increased with the daily dose for tricyclic antidepressants, reaching 2.4 (95 percent confidence interval, 2.1 to 2.8) for doses of 50 mg or more of amitriptyline or its equivalent, and for the serotonin-reuptake inhibitors, reaching 1.9 (1.7 to 2.2) for 20 mg or more of fluoxetine or its equivalent. The elevated rates of falls persisted through the first 180 days of therapy and beyond. CONCLUSIONS: In this large study of nursing home residents, there was little difference in rates of falls between those treated with tricyclic antidepressants and those treated with selective serotonin-reuptake inhibitors. Hence, the preferential use of the newer antidepressants is unlikely to reduce the higher rate of falls among nursing home residents taking antidepressants.

Accidental Falls

No association between calcium channel blocker use and confirmed bleeding peptic ulcer disease.

Calcium channel antagonists are commonly used drugs that have recently been reported to be associated with an increased incidence of gastrointestinal hemorrhage. We performed a retrospective cohort study among 105,824 enrollees of the Tennessee Medicaid program 65 years of age or older between 1984 and 1986. Exposure to calcium channel blockers and other medications was determined from pharmacy files. Hospitalization for bleeding peptic ulcers was identified by hospital claims and verified by a review of the medical record. Univariate estimates of relative risk for current users of calcium channel blockers and beta-blocker users were 1.8 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.2-2.7) and 1.1 (95% CI 0.7-1.6) (reference group was nonuse of either). After adjustment for potential confounders, the relative risks for bleeding peptic ulcer among current users of calcium channel blockers and beta blockers were 1.1 (95% CI 0.7-1.7) and 1.0 (95% CI 0.7-1.6), respectively, when compared with those who used neither drug. In this population, after controlling for important confounders, there was no increased risk for hospitalization with bleeding peptic ulcer among users of calcium channel blockers.

Adrenergic beta-Antagonists

Perinatal outcomes following implementation of TennCare.

CONTEXT: The abrupt initiation of capitated Medicaid care in Tennessee (TennCare) in 1994 prompted many questions about changes in quality of care. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the effect on perinatal outcomes of the transition to TennCare in 1994. DESIGN: Before and after retrospective cohort analysis. SETTING AND POPULATION: Births to women residing in Tennessee between 1990 and 1995 with complete demographic information on birth certificates, with a focus on women enrolled in Medicaid giving birth in 1993 (before TennCare) and 1995 (after TennCare). OUTCOME MEASURES: Late prenatal care (after the fourth month of pregnancy) or inadequate prenatal visits, low and very low birth weight, and death in the first 60 days of life. RESULTS: Tennessee residents had 72014 study births in 1993 and 72278 in 1995, of which 37543 (52.1%) and 35707 (49.4%) were to women enrolled in Medicaid at delivery. For these Medicaid births, there were no changes after TennCare in the proportions with late prenatal care (16.2% in 1993 vs 15.8% in 1995), inadequate prenatal visits (5.9% vs 5.6%), low birth weight (9.4% vs 9.0%), very low birth weight (1.6% vs 1.5%), and death in the first 60 days (0.6% both years). These findings were unchanged in multivariate analysis, in analysis of high-risk subgroups, and in analysis of women with demographics characteristic of Medicaid women. CONCLUSION: Study perinatal outcomes did not change among Medicaid births following the transition to TennCare.

Birth Weight

Predictors of mortality from fires in young children.

BACKGROUND: In the United States in 1994, fires claimed 3.75 lives per 100 000 child years and accounted for 17.3% of all injury deaths in children <5 years of age. OBJECTIVES: To conduct a historical cohort study that uses maternal demographic characteristics to identify young children at high risk of fire-related deaths, thus defining appropriate targets for prevention programs. METHODS: The cohort consisted of children born to mothers who resided in the state of Tennessee between 1980 and 1995. Information was obtained by linking birth certificates, 1990 census data, and death certificates. Children were eligible for the study if they were <5 years of age at any time within the study period and if key study variables were present (99.2% of births). Birth certificates provided information on maternal characteristics including age, race, education, previous live births, use of prenatal care, and residence (in standard metropolitan statistical area). Child characteristics included gender, gestational age, and birth type (singleton/multiple gestation). Neighborhood income was estimated by linking the mother's address at the time of birth to the 1990 census (block group mean per capita income). The study outcome was a fire resulting in at least one fatality (fatal fire event) during the study period, identified from death certificates (coded E880 through E889 in the International Classification of Diseases, 9th rev). We calculated the fatal fire event rate corresponding to each stratum of maternal/child characteristics. We assessed the independent association between each characteristic and the risk of a fatal fire event from a Poisson regression multivariate analysis. RESULTS: During the study period, 1 428 694 children contributed 5 415 213 child years to the cohort: there were 270 deaths from fire (4.99 deaths per 100 000 child years) and 231 fatal fire events. In the multivariate analysis, factors associated with greater than a threefold increase in fatal fire events included maternal education, age, and number of other children. Compared with children whose mothers had a college education, children whose mothers had less than a high school education had 19.4 times (95% confidence interval [CI], 2.6-142.4) an increased risk of a fatal fire event. Children whose mothers had more than two other children had 6.1 times (95% CI, 3.8-9.8) an increased risk of a fatal fire event compared with children whose mothers had no other children. Children of mothers <20 years of age had 3.9 times (95% CI, 2.2-7.1) increased risk of a fatal fire event compared with children whose mothers were >/=30 years old. Although both maternal neighborhood income and race were associated strongly with increased rates of fatal fire events in the univariate analysis, this association did not persist in the multivariate analysis. Other factors that were associated with increased risk of fatal fire events in the multivariate analysis were male gender and having a mother who was unmarried or who had delayed prenatal care. The three factors associated most strongly with fire mortality were combined to create a risk score based on maternal education (>/=16 years, 0 points; 13 to 15 years, 1 point; 12 years, 2 points; <12 years, 3 points); age (>/=30 years, 0 points; 25 to 29 years, 1 point; 20 to 24 years, 2 points; <20 years, 3 points); and number of other children (none, 0 points; one, 1 point; two, 2 points; three or more, 3 points). The lowest-risk group (score <3) included 19% of the population and had 0.19 fatal fire events per 100 000 child years. In contrast, highest-risk children (score >7) comprised 1.5% of the population and had 28.6 fatal fire events per 100 000 child years, 150 times higher than low-risk children. Children with risk scores >5 contributed 26% of child years but experienced 68% of all fatal fire events. If the fatal fire event rate for all children had been equal to that of the low-risk group (risk score <3), then 95% of deaths from

Burns

Policy and program analysis using administrative databases.

Administrative policies and programs play an important and growing role as determinants of the use of medical care. Although some policies and programs may be harmful or ineffectual, randomized, controlled trials or prospective evaluations are rarely done for political or logistic reasons. Most evaluations are retrospective and often use administrative databases. Major problems with such evaluations include poor data quality, lack of concurrent controls, inability to ascertain important study outcomes, and incomplete data on case mix. This article uses published evaluations to illustrate these problems and suggests strategies that can minimize their impact. Such strategies include thorough assessment of data quality, interrupted time-series or policy gradient analysis, restriction of studies to those clinical outcomes that reliably result in medical care, and use of data on medical encounters as surrogates for determining case mix. However, even when these strategies are used, adequate evaluation of the effects of many policies and programs may continue to be impossible. Prospective evaluations need to be used more frequently to ensure that changes are held to the same standard used for other therapeutic interventions.

Data Collection

A randomized trial of a consultation service to reduce falls in nursing homes.

CONTEXT: Falls are a major health problem in nursing homes, but no interventions have been shown to prevent falls in nursing home residents. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate an intervention program designed to prevent falls and associated injuries in high-risk nursing home residents. DESIGN: Randomized controlled trial. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: Seven pairs of middle Tennessee nursing homes with 1 facility in each pair randomly assigned to the intervention. Facilities had 482 (261 control, 221 intervention) residents who qualified for the study because they had high risk of falls and a potential safety problem that could be addressed by the intervention. INTERVENTION: Comprehensive structured individual assessment with specific safety recommendations that targeted suboptimal practices for environmental and personal safety, wheelchair use, psychotropic drug use, and transferring and ambulation. Facility staff were encouraged to implement the individual recommendations and to improve overall facility safety. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The mean proportion of recurrent fallers and incidence rate of injurious falls in the facility in the year following the intervention. RESULTS: The mean proportion of recurrent fallers in intervention facilities (43.8%) was 19.1% (95% confidence interval, 2.4%-35.8%) lower than that in control facilities (54.1%, P=.03). Intervention facilities had a nonsignificant trend toward a lower mean rate of injurious falls (13.7 vs 19.9 per 100 person-years, reduction of 31.2%, P=.22). Subgroup analyses suggested greatest benefits for residents for whom the recommended interventions were carried out or who had 3 or more falls in the preceding year. CONCLUSION: The high rate of falls and related injuries in nursing homes should not be viewed as inevitable, but as outcomes that can be substantially improved through structured safety programs.

Accident Prevention

Antihypertensives and the risk of serious hypoglycemia in older persons using insulin or sulfonylureas.

CONTEXT: Beta-Blockers and angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitors are effective antihypertensive agents for patients with diabetes mellitus. However, beta-blockers attenuate some components of the autonomic response to hypoglycemia and could increase the risk of hypoglycemia. ACE inhibitors may increase insulin sensitivity and predispose users to hypoglycemia. OBJECTIVE: To determine whether use of cardioselective beta-blockers, nonselective beta-blockers, ACE inhibitors, thiazide diuretics, calcium channel blockers, or other antihypertensive drugs alters the risk of developing serious hypoglycemia among older persons prescribed insulin or sulfonylureas. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Tennessee Medicaid Program. PATIENTS: A total of 13,559 elderly (mean age, 78+/-7 years) Medicaid enrollees, who were prescribed insulin (n=5171, 38%) or sulfonylureas (n=8368, 62%) from 1985 through 1989. These enrollees contributed a total of 33,107 person-years of insulin or sulfonylurea use for follow-up. MEASUREMENTS: Hospitalization, emergency department admission, or death associated with hypoglycemic symptoms and a concomitant blood glucose determination of less than 2.8 mmol/L (50 mg/dL). RESULTS: We identified 598 persons with an episode of serious hypoglycemia during the study period. The rate of serious hypoglycemia was 2.01 per 100 person-years among those who were not prescribed antihypertensives. Crude rates of serious hypoglycemia were highest among users of ACE inhibitors (2.47 per 100 person-years) and lowest among users of cardioselective beta-blockers (1.23 per 100 person-years). However, when we controlled for demographic characteristics and markers of comorbidity, there was no statistically significant increase or decrease in risk of serious hypoglycemia among users of any class of antihypertensive agents compared with nonusers of antihypertensive drugs. Using nonselective beta-blockers as the reference group, each of these agents was associated with a lower, but not statistically significant, risk of hypoglycemia. CONCLUSIONS: In this population, specific antihypertensive drug therapy had little impact on the risk of hypoglycemia in older diabetic patients. Therapy should be chosen based on other considerations of safety and effectiveness.

Aged

Persistently increased injury mortality rates in high-risk young children.

OBJECTIVE: To study trends in injury mortality for low- and high-risk young children. DESIGN AND METHODS: For Tennessee children 0 to 4 years of age, we used birth certificates to obtain data on maternal education, age, and parity; these risk factors were used to classify children into low- and high-risk groups. The outcome was death from injury, as determined from linked death certificates. Between 1978 and 1995, injury mortality rates were calculated for six 3-year periods for low- and high-risk children. RESULTS: There were 1.5 million children 0 to 4 years of age who contributed 4.9 million child-years. The high-risk group contributed 28% of all child-years. There were 673 injury deaths in the high-risk group, 48.9 deaths per 100,000 child-years, and 586 deaths in the low-risk group, 16.8 deaths per 100,000 child-years. The injury mortality rate for low-risk children decreased from 20.7 to 15.7 per 100,000 child-years between the 1978-1980 and 1981-1983 periods; thereafter it remained relatively stable. For high-risk children, the injury mortality rate decreased from 50.9 to 43.5 per 100,000 between the 1978-1980 and 1981-1983 periods, remained mostly unchanged through 1992, and then increased sharply in the 1993-1995 period to 64.1 per 100,000 child-years. The disparity between high- and low-risk children widened from 29.3 (95% confidence interval, 25.1-33.5) excess deaths per 100,000 for 1978 through 1991 to 46.9 (95% confidence interval, 35.9-57.9) in 1993 through 1995. CONCLUSIONS: In Tennessee, maternal education, age, and parity consistently identified a population of children at increased risk of injury mortality. For these high-risk children, there has been no substantial reduction in injury mortality in high-risk young children during the last 18 years.

Age Factors

Predictors of antipsychotic withdrawal or dose reduction in a randomized controlled trial of provider education.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the effects of an educational program to reduce antipsychotic use in nursing homes that had high use rates post-OBRA-87 and to identify factors that predicted antipsychotic withdrawal or 50% or greater dose reduction. DESIGN/SETTING: A randomized controlled trial (RCT) of the educational program (nursing home the unit of randomization and analysis) was conducted in 12 Tennessee nursing homes (6 education/6 control). Cohort analysis in baseline antipsychotic users identified factors predicting withdrawal or dose reduction. SUBJECTS: The RCT analysis included 1152 patients in the homes at baseline and 6 months. The cohort analysis included 133 baseline antipsychotic users in the five education homes able to implement the recommendations of the educational program. OUTCOME MEASURES: Change in days of antipsychotic use per 100 days of nursing home residence, withdrawal from antipsychotics, reduction in antipsychotic dose by 50% or more. RESULTS: Following the educational intervention, use of antipsychotics in the six education homes decreased from 25.3 days per 100 at baseline to 19.7 days per 100 by month 6, a 23% reduction relative to control homes (P = .014). In the withdrawal analysis, 44 (33%) of 133 baseline antipsychotic users were withdrawn. Factors at baseline predicting successful withdrawal were low antipsychotic dose, no use of benzodiazepines or antidepressants, and behavioral symptoms score below the median. However, although an additional 22 patients had dose reductions > or = 50%, none of the predictors of withdrawal were associated with dose reductions. CONCLUSIONS: Focused provider education programs may facilitate antipsychotic reduction above and beyond that attributable to regulatory changes. Patients who are poor candidates for total antipsychotic withdrawal may tolerate substantial dose reductions, which should reduce their risk of adverse antipsychotic effects.

Aged

Predictors of injury mortality in early childhood.

OBJECTIVE: To study the association between maternal/infant characteristics and mortality from injury for children 0 through 4 years of age. DESIGN: Historical cohort. SETTING: State of Tennessee. PARTICIPANTS: Children 0 through 4 years of age at any time between January 1, 1985 and December 31, 1994. We linked birth certificates and US census data to obtain information on maternal age, race, education, neighborhood income, parity, use of prenatal care, residence location, infant's gender, and gestational age. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The outcome was death from injury, as determined from linked death certificates. The incidence density rates for each stratum (defined by maternal/child characteristics) were calculated by dividing the number of injury deaths by child years in the stratum. We used multivariate analysis to assess the independent contribution of each characteristic to risk of injury death. RESULTS: There were 1 035 504 children 0 through 4 years of age who contributed 3 414 436 child years. There were 803 deaths from injury, ie, 23.5 deaths per 100 000 child years. In the multivariate analysis, children had at least a 50% increased risk of injury mortality if they were born to a mother who had less than a high school education (relative risk [RR] = 2.88; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.92-4.34) compared with a college education, was <20 years of age (RR = 2.42; 95% CI: 1.76-3.31) compared with >30 years, or had >2 other children (RR = 2.97; 95% CI: 2.29-3.85) compared with no other children. Neither race nor income was significantly associated with childhood injury mortality in the multivariate analysis. Classification of children by maternal education, age, and parity defined a pronounced risk gradient in which high-risk children had an injury mortality rate >15 times that of low-risk children. The steep risk gradient was present for both infants (24-fold increase for high-risk children) and children 1 through 4 years of age (13-fold increase for high-risk children). If the injury mortality rate for all children were equal to that of the low-risk group, 614/803 (76.3%) of injury deaths would not have occurred. CONCLUSIONS: For young children, maternal education, age, and parity are strongly and independently associated with injury mortality. These factors define a steep gradient of risk, suggesting that many injury deaths could be prevented.

Birth Certificates

Excess costs from gastrointestinal disease associated with nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs.

OBJECTIVE: To quantify medical care costs for the diagnosis and treatment of gastrointestinal disorders attributable to use of nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) other than aspirin in elderly persons. DESIGN AND SETTING: Retrospective cohort study of 75,350 Tennessee Medicaid enrollees at least 65 years of age. MEASUREMENTS: The cohort was classified by baseline NSAID use as nonusers (no use preceding 1988), occasional users (< 75% of days) or regular users (> or = 75% of days). For the follow-up year (1989), we calculated annual rates of utilization of and Medicare/Medicaid payments for: medical care for NSAID-associated gastrointestinal disorders; hospitalizations/emergency department visits for peptic ulcers, gastritis/duodenitis, and gastrointestinal bleeding; outpatient upper and lower gastrointestinal tract radiologic and endoscopic examinations; and histamine2 (H2)-receptor antagonist, sucralfate, and antacid prescriptions. Rates were adjusted for demographic characteristics and baseline health care utilization. RESULTS: Among nonusers of NSAIDs, the adjusted mean annual payment for all types of medical care for study gastrointestinal disorders was $134. This increased to $180 among occasional users, an excess of $46 (p < .001); and to $244 among regular users, an excess of $111 (p < .001, comparison with both nonusers and occasional users). Cohort members with any baseline year NSAID use had an adjusted mean annual payment of $191, $57 (p < .001) higher than that for nonusers. In both users and nonusers of NSAIDs, medications and inpatient care accounted for the largest component of costs. Among regular NSAID users, excess payments increased with baseline NSAID dose: $56, $120, and $157 for less than 1, 1 to 2, and more than 2 standard units per day, respectively (p < .01, linear trend). CONCLUSIONS: Nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug (NSAID) use in elderly patients was associated with substantial excess costs and utilization of medical care for gastrointestinal disorders.

Aged

Black Americans have an increased rate of angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitor-associated angioedema.

OBJECTIVE: To study the association of race and other patient characteristics associated with angiotensin converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitor-associated angioedema. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study of participants in the Tennessee Medicaid Program ( >or= 15 years of age) to whom ACE inhibitors had been prescribed from 1986 through 1992. RESULTS: We identified 82 patients with confirmed angioedema during 51,752 person-years of ACE inhibitor use, giving an overall rate of angioedema of 1.6 per 1000 person-years of ACE inhibitor use. After potential confounding factors were controlled for, the adjusted relative risk (RR) of angioedema among black American users of ACE inhibitors was 4.5 (95% confidence interval [CI] 2.9 to 6.8) compared with white subjects. In addition to race, other factors associated with a significantly increased relative risk in the entire population were the first 30 days of ACE inhibitor use (RR, 4.6; 95% CI, 2.5 to 8.5) compared to > 1 year of use, use of either lisinopril (RR, 2.2; 95% CI, 1.2 to 3.9) or enalapril (RR, 2.2; 95% CI, 1.4 to 3.5) compared to captopril, and previous hospitalization for any diagnosis within 30 days (RR, 2.0; 95% CI, 1.1 to 3.6). Neither ACE inhibitor dose nor concurrent diuretic use was associated with the risk of angioedema. CONCLUSIONS: These data suggest that black Americans have a substantially increased risk of ACE inhibitor-associated angioedema compared with white subjects and that this increased risk cannot be attributed to an effect of dose, specific ACE inhibitor, or concurrent medications.

Adolescent

Clinical and biomechanical measures of balance as fall predictors in ambulatory nursing home residents.

BACKGROUND: We evaluated the capacity of biomechanical and clinical measures of balance to predict future risk of recurrent falls in a cohort of frail, elderly ambulatory residents of 12 Tennessee community nursing homes. METHODS: Baseline measurements of balance and other potential fall risk factors were obtained in 303 ambulatory nursing home residents. Balance measures included biomechanics force platform measurements of postural sway (area ellipse and mean velocity) and clinical measures, which included functional reach, Tinetti balance subscale (adapted from Tinetti's Performance Oriented Mobility Index), timed chair stands, and 10-foot walk. Residents who fell two or more times during follow-up (mean of 11 months) were identified from nursing home incident reports and nursing notes. The predictive value of the balance measures was evaluated by the incidence density ratio (IDR) estimated from proportional hazards models. RESULTS: There were 118 recurrent fallers (54.2 per 100 person-years). Rates of recurrent falls increased with increasing quintiles of both the biomechanical and clinical measures of balance, with unadjusted IDRs (95% CI) per quintile change of 1.22 (1.07-1.39) for area ellipse, 1.12 (0.98-1.27) for mean velocity of postural sway, 1.29 (1.13-1.47) for the Tinetti balance subscale, 1.24 (1.08-1.41) for timed walk, 1.24 (1.09-1.42) for timed chair stands, and 1.12 (0.98-1.28) for functional reach. Controlling for age, gender, height, and weight did not materially affect the linear relationship between the balance measure quintiles and subsequent recurrent falls. However, after controlling for additional fall risk factors, only area ellipse of postural sway and the Tinetti balance subscale remained independently predictive of subsequent recurrent fall rates, with IDRs of 1.16 (1.02-1.36) and 1.17 (1.01-1.34), respectively. In an analysis where subjects were stratified by tertiles of each of these two measures, each measure appeared to independently predict future rates of recurrent falls. The independent predictive capacity of each measure persisted after controlling for other fall risk factors in a multivariate analysis with IDRs of 1.15 (1.00-1.32) for area ellipse and 1.15 (1.00-1.32) for the Tinetti balance subscale. Inclusion of both balance measures in a model with other fall risk factors to evaluate their relationship did not materially alter IDR point estimates of these risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: In this cohort of frail, nursing home residents, both area ellipse of postural sway and the Tinetti balance subscale independently predicted risk of future recurrent falls. However, the predictive value of other independent fall risk factors on risk of future recurrent falls persisted and was not explained by these two measures. Thus, assessment of patient fall risk based on surrogate endpoints, for either research or clinical practice, may need to include multiple measurements.

Accidental Falls

Injurious falls in nonambulatory nursing home residents: a comparative study of circumstances, incidence, and risk factors.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the circumstances of, incidence of, and risk factors for falls resulting in serious injuries in nonambulatory nursing home residents compared with those for ambulatory residents. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study with 1-year follow-up. SETTING: Twelve community nursing homes in Tennessee. SUBJECTS: A total of 1228 residents, 65 years of age or older, of whom 725 (59%) were nonambulatory and 503 (41%) were ambulatory. MEASUREMENTS: Baseline data were obtained for potential risk factors for injurious falls. These included demographic characteristics, mental and physical function, vision, hearing, incontinence, and use of mechanical restraints and psychotropic drugs. Data were obtained from direct resident assessment, care provider interview, and the nursing home Minimum Data Set (MDS) (validated in a sample of residents). OUTCOME: There were 111 first falls resulting in serious injury (head injury with altered consciousness, fracture, joint dislocation or sprain, or sutured laceration) that received medical treatment (hospitalization, emergency room visit, physician visit, or on-site radiological examination), ascertained from facility incident reports and nursing home charts. RESULTS: Nonambulatory residents had a substantially greater prevalence of mental and physical impairment. Circumstances of injurious falls in nonambulatory (n = 39 falls) and ambulatory (n = 72 falls) residents differed; those in the former groups were more likely to involve equipment (87% vs 45%, P < .0001), occur while seated or during transferring (82% vs 21%, P < .0001), and from a chair/bed level (54% vs 6%, P < .0001). The incidence of injurious falls in nonambulatory residents (6.7 per 100 person-years) was less than half that in ambulatory residents (17.0 per 100 person-years, P < .0001). After controlling for other factors, the nonambulatory residents at highest risk were those not bed-bound and with capacity for independent transfer (incidence density ratio (IDR) = 2.02, 95% CI = 1.07-7.99); the ambulatory residents at highest risk were baseline users of psychotropic drugs (IDR = 2.49, 95% CI = 1.43-4.33). CONCLUSIONS: In the study cohort, nonambulatory residents had 35% of injurious falls. Because the circumstances and risk factors of these events were substantially different from those for ambulatory residents, separate prevention strategies may be needed for this group. These data suggest that increasing the safety of transferring and of equipment are appropriate targets for interventions.

Accidental Falls